• 인간식물환경학회지
• /
• 제24권6호
• /
• pp.629-638
• /
• 2021

Background and objective: This study was conducted to develop diameter growth models for thinned Quercus glauca Thunb. (QGT) stands to inform production goals for treatment and provide the information necessary for the systematic management of this stands. Methods: This study was conducted on QGT stands, of which initial thinning was completed in 2013 to develop a treatment system. To analyze the tree growth and trait response for each thinning treatment, forestry surveys were conducted in 2014 and 2021, and a one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) was executed. In addition, non-linear least squares regression of the PROC NLIN procedure was used to develop an optimal diameter growth model. Results: Based on growth and trait analyses, the height and height-to-diameter (H/D) ratio were not different according to treatment plot (p > .05). For the diameter of basal height (DBH), the heavy thinning (HT) treatment plot was significantly larger than the control plot (p < .05). As a result of the development of diameter growth models by treatment plot, the mean squared error (MSE) of the Gompertz polymorphic equation (control: 2.2381, light thinning: 0.8478, and heavy thinning: 0.8679) was the lowest in all treatment plots, and the Shapiro-Wilk statistic was found to follow a normal distribution (p > .95), so it was selected as an equation fit for the diameter growth model. Conclusion: The findings of this study provide basic data for the systematic management of Quercus glauca Thunb. stands. It is necessary to construct permanent sample plots (PSP) that consider stand status, location conditions, and climatic environments.

• 한국식품과학회지
• /
• 제37권2호
• /
• pp.194-198
• /
• 2005

게맛살의 HACCP system에 있어서 critical control point중의 하나인 L. monocytogenes가 오염된 제품에서 균의 성장변화를 정량적으로 예측할 수 있는 수학적 모델의 개발을 위한 기초 자료를 제공하고자 게맛살 성분조성을 고려한 modified imitation crab(MIC) broth에서 온도와 초기균수에 따른 L. monocytogenes의 성장 실험 결과를 데이터베이스화하여 이를 바탕으로 균의 성장을 정량적으로 평가할 수 있는 수학적 모델을 개발하였다. 균의 증식 지표인 최대증식속도상수(k), 유도기(LT), 세대시간(GT)은 온도에 지배적인 영향을 받았으며, 초기균수에 따른 유의적인 차이는 없었다(p>0.05). 최대증식속도상수(k)와 온도 및 초기균수의 상관관계를 나타내는 수학적 정량평가모델인 polynomial model과 square root model을 이용하여 L. monocytogenes 성장을 정량적으로 예측할 수 있는 모델인 $polynomial\;mode(k=0.71{\cdot}exp(-0.5(\;((T-36.05)/11.84)^{2}+((A_{0}+8.12)/21.59)^{2})))$과 square root model($\sqrt{k}$ =0.02(T-(-3.42)) [1-exp(0.36(T-44.51))])을 개발하였으며 실험치와 예측치의 상관관계는 각각 0.92. 0.95로 polynomial model보다 square root model 예측치가 실험치와 상관관계가 더 높은 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국식품위생안전성학회지
• /
• 제28권2호
• /
• pp.168-173
• /
• 2013

본 연구는 신선편이 식품에서 오염 가능성이 있는 병원성 식중독 균 E. coli O157:H7에 대해 파프리카에서 성장 예측 모델을 적용하고, 본 연구에서 개발된 성장 예측 모델을 내부 검증하였다. 이를 비교하여 신선편이 식품을 안전하게 관리하기 위한 적절한 모델을 제시하고자 하였다. 파프리카에 E. coli O157:H7접종하여 온도에 따라 12, 24, 30, $36^{\circ}C$에 보관하여 성장을 측정하였다. Gompertz 식을 이용하여 온도에 따른 성장곡선을 그리고 LT와 SGR을 산출하였다. 산출된 LT와 SGR은 각각 Davey model와 squareroot model를 이용하여 2차 모델을 개발하였다. 개발된 2차 모델에 대하여 LT와 SGR model의 $R^2$값은 각각 0.999, 0.994로 1에 근접하는 높은 적합성을 보였다. 또한 내부 검정 결과 LT와 SGR model의 Bf 값은 각각 1.01, 0.89, LT model은 안전하게 SGR model 위험하게 예측되었다. 파프리카의 LT와 SGR의 상대적인 오차 값은 모두 허용 가능한 오차 범위에 포함 되었다. 따라서 개발된 모델을 이용하여 온도에 따른 E. coli O157:H7성장을 추정할 수 있으며, 이를 위해평가 자료로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 보인다.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
• /
• 제24권1호
• /
• pp.17-27
• /
• 2011

A selection experiment for reduced residual feed intake (RFI) in Yorkshire pigs consisted of a line selected for lower RFI (LRFI) and a random control line (CTRL). Longitudinal measurements of daily feed intake (DFI) and body weight (BW) from generation 5 of this experiment were used. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the use of random regression (RR) and nonlinear mixed models to predict DFI and BW for individual pigs, accounting for the substantial missing information that characterizes these data, and to evaluate the effect of selection for RFI on BW and DFI curves. Forty RR models with different-order polynomials of age as fixed and random effects, and with homogeneous or heterogeneous residual variance by month of age, were fitted for both DFI and BW. Based on predicted residual sum of squares (PRESS) and residual diagnostics, the quadratic polynomial RR model was identified to be best, but with heterogeneous residual variance for DFI and homogeneous residual variance for BW. Compared to the simple quadratic and linear regression models for individual pigs, these RR models decreased PRESS by 1% and 2% for DFI and by 42% and 36% for BW on boars and gilts, respectively. Given the same number of random effects as the polynomial RR models, i.e., two for BW and one for DFI, the non-linear Gompertz model predicted better than the polynomial RR models but not as good as higher order polynomial RR models. After five generations of selection for reduced RFI, the LRFI line had a lower population curve for DFI and BW than the CTRL line, especially towards the end of the growth period.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
• /
• 제28권9호
• /
• pp.1252-1258
• /
• 2015

The Liangshan pig is a traditional Chinese small-sized breed; it has a relatively long feeding period and low meat production ability but superior meat quality. This study utilized three non-linear growth models (Von Bertalanffy, Gompertz, and logistic) to fit the growth curve of Liangshan pigs from an unselected, random-bred pig population and estimate the pigs most suitable slaughter weight. The growth development data at 20 time points of 275 Liangshan pigs (from birth to 250 d) were collected. To analyze the relative gene expression related to development, seven slaughter weight phases (50, 58, 66, 74, 82, 90, and 98 kg) (20 pigs per phase) were examined. We found that the Liangshan pig growth curve fit the typical S-curve well and that their growth turning point was 193.4 days at a weight of 62.5 kg, according to the best fit Von Bertalanffy model based on the goodness of fit criteria. Furthermore, we estimated that the most suitable slaughter weight was 62.5 to 74.9 kg based on the growth curve and the relative expression levels of growth-related genes.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
• /
• 제11권4호
• /
• pp.1239-1247
• /
• 2010

본 연구에서는 소프트웨어 제품을 개발하여 테스팅을 거친 후 사용자에게 인도하는 시기를 결정하는 방출문제에 대하여 연구되었다. 인도시기에 관한 모형은 무한 고장수에 의존하는 비동질적인 포아송 과정을 적용하였다. 이러한 포아송 과정은 소프트웨어의 결함을 제거하거나 수정 작업 중에도 새로운 결함이 발생될 가능성을 반영하는 모형이다. 강도함수는 여러 수명 분포들을 적합시키는데 효율적인 특성을 가진 콤페르쯔, 파레토, 로그-로지스틱 패턴을 이용하였다. 따라서 소프트웨어 요구 신뢰도를 만족시키고 소프트웨어 개발 및 유지 총비용을 최소화 시키는 방출시간이 최적 소프트웨어 방출 정책이 된다. 본 논문의 수치적인 예에서는 고장 간격 시간 자료를 적용하고 모수추정 방법은 최우추정법과 추세분석을 통하여 자료의 효율성을 입증한 후 최적 방출시기를 추정하였다.

• 한국축산식품학회지
• /
• 제36권2호
• /
• pp.262-266
• /
• 2016

This study evaluated the growth kinetics of Salmonella spp. in processed meat products formulated with low sodium nitrite (NaNO₂). A 5-strain mixture of Salmonella spp. was inoculated on 25-g samples of sausages formulated with sodium chloride (NaCl) (1.0%, 1.25%, and 1.5%) and NaNO₂ (0 and 10 ppm) followed by aerobic or vacuum storage at 10℃ and 15℃ for up to 816 h or 408 h, respectively. The bacterial cell counts were enumerated on xylose lysine deoxycholate agar, and the modified Gompertz model was fitted to the Salmonella cell counts to calculate the kinetic parameters as a function of NaCl concentration on the growth rate (GR; Log CFU/g/h) and lag phase duration (LPD; h). A linear equation was then fitted to the parameters to evaluate the effect of NaCl concentration on the kinetic parameters. The GR values of Salmonella on sausages were higher (p<0.05) with 10 ppm NaNO₂ concentration than with 0 ppm NaNO₂. The GR values of Salmonella decreased (p<0.05) as NaCl concentration increased, especially at 10℃. This result indicates that 10 ppm NaNO₂ may increase Salmonella growth at low NaCl concentrations, and that NaCl plays an important role in inhibiting Salmonella growth in sausages with low NaNO₂.

• 한국습지학회지
• /
• 제17권4호
• /
• pp.436-446
• /
• 2015

본 연구에서는 한강, 낙동강, 금강, 영산강, 섬진강 등을 중심으로 신규 조성된 친수지구에 대한 이용 현황 조사 방안을 제안하고, 조사 결과를 토대로 성장 곡선 모형을 이용하여 총 357개 지구에 대한 2014년 이용수요를 예측하였다. 또한 친수지구가 위치한 지방자치체의 인구밀도와 수계별로 위치한 인구 100만 이상 도시와 친수지구 사이의 거리에 의한 영향을 검토하였다. 각 친수지구별로 로지스틱 모형과 곰페르츠 모형으로 추정한 결과를 RMSE와 MAPE 적합도를 이용하여 선택하였으며, 분석 결과 2014년 친수지구 이용수요는 한강 수계와 충청북도에서 상대적으로 활성화 된 것으로 나타났다. 인구밀도의 영향은 금강 수계를 제외하고는 비교적 미미한 것으로 보이며, 친수지구 이용에 대해서는 대도시 영향이 나타나긴 하나, 마찬가지로 다른 수계에 비해 금강 수계에서 대도시 영향이 큰 것으로 나타났다.

• Food Science and Biotechnology
• /
• 제17권6호
• /
• pp.1316-1321
• /
• 2008

This study was conducted to develop a model to describe the effect of antimicrobials [potassium sorbate (PS), potassium lactate (PL), and combined PL and sodium diacetate (SDA, PLSDA)] on the growth parameters of Listeria monocytogenes such as specific growth rate (SGR) and lag phase periods (LT) in air-dried raw sausages as a function of storage temperature (4, 10, 16, and $25^{\circ}C$). Results showed that the SGR of L monocytogenes was dependent on the storage temperature and level of antimicrobials used. The most effective treatment was the 4% PLSDA, followed by the 2% PLSDA and 4% PL and 0.2% PS exhibited the least antimicrobial effect. Increased growth rates were observed with increasing storage temperatures from 4 to $25^{\circ}C$. The growth data were fitted with a Gompertz equation to determine the SGR and LT of the L. monocytogenes. Six polynomial models were developed for the SGR and LT to evaluate the effect of PS (0.1, 0.2%) and PL (2,4%) alone and PLSDA (2, 4%) on the growth kinetics of L. monocytogenes from 4 to $25^{\circ}C$.

• Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
• /
• 제17권9호
• /
• pp.1437-1444
• /
• 2007

A response surface model was developed for predicting the growth rates of Staphylococcus aureus in tryptic soy broth (TSB) medium as a function of combined effects of temperature, pH, and NaCl. The TSB containing six different concentrations of NaCl (0, 2, 4, 6, 8, and 10%) was adjusted to an initial of six different pH levels (pH 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10) and incubated at 10, 20, 30, and $40^{\circ}C$. In all experimental variables, the primary growth curves were well ($r^2=0.9000$ to 0.9975) fitted to a Gompertz equation to obtain growth rates. The secondary response surface model for natural logarithm transformations of growth rates as a function of combined effects of temperature, pH, and NaCl was obtained by SAS's general linear analysis. The predicted growth rates of the S. aureus were generally decreased by basic (pH 9-10) or acidic (pH 5-6) conditions and higher NaCl concentrations. The response surface model was identified as an appropriate secondary model for growth rates on the basis of correlation coefficient (r=0.9703), determination coefficient ($r^2=0.9415$), mean square error (MSE=0.0185), bias factor ($B_f=1.0216$), and accuracy factor ($A_f=1.2583$). Therefore, the developed secondary model proved reliable for predictions of the combined effect of temperature, NaCl, and pH on growth rates for S. aureus in TSB medium.