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http://dx.doi.org/10.17663/JWR.2015.17.4.436

Forecasting for the Demand on Water Amenity Zones in the Large Rivers Based on Regional Characteristics and Monthly Variation  

Suh, Myong-kyo (Water Resources Policy Bureau, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport)
Rhee, Dong Sop (Hydro Science and Engineering Research Institute, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology)
Publication Information
Journal of Wetlands Research / v.17, no.4, 2015 , pp. 436-446 More about this Journal
Abstract
It is suggested investigating method about the existing state of demand in this study. The total demand of 357 water amenity zones in 2014 is estimated based on the growth curve models. The effects of population density and distances between water amenity zones and metropolises populated over 1 million are investigated on each river system. The suitability like RMSE and MAPE of logistic and gompertz models are considered to select more suitable model for each water amenity zone. Demand for water amenity zones in 2014 is seemed to be rather high at Han Gang river system and Chungcheongbukdo after analyzing. The influence of population density is rarely effective except Geum Gang river system. The influence of metropolis on the demand for water amenity zones is higher at Geum Gang river system than others.
Keywords
Water amenity zone; Demand; Growth curve model;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 4  (Citation Analysis)
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