• Title/Summary/Keyword: Gompertz

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Modeling Growth of Canopy Heights and Stem Diameters in Soybeans at Different Groundwater Level (지하 수위가 다른 조건에서 콩의 초장과 경태 모델링)

  • Choi, Jin-Young;Kim, Dong-Hyun;Kwon, Soon-Hong;Choi, Won-Sik;Kim, Jong-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.395-404
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    • 2017
  • Cultivating soybeans in rice paddy field reduces labor costs and increases the yield. Soybeans, however, are highly susceptible to excessive soil water in paddy field. Controlled drainage system can adjust groundwater level (GWL) and control soil moisture content, resulting in improvement soil environments for optimum crop growth. The objective of this study was to fit the soybean growth data (canopy height and stem diameter) using Gompertz model and Logistic model at different GWL and validate those models. The soybean, Daewon cultivar, was grown on the lysimeters controlled GWL (20cm and 40cm). The soil textures were silt loam and sandy loam. The canopy height and stem diameter were measured from the 20th days after seeding until harvest. The Gompertz and Logistic models were fitted with the growth data and each growth rate and maximum growth value was estimated. At the canopy height, the $R_2$ and RMSE were 0.99 and 1.58 in Gompertz model and 0.99 and 1.33 in Logistic model, respectively. The large discrepancy was shown in full maturity stage (R8), where plants have shed substantial amount of leaves. Regardless of soil texture, the maximum growth values at 40cm GWL were greater than the value at 20cm GWL. The growth rates were larger at silt loam. At the stem diameter, the $R_2$ and RMSE were 0.96 and 0.27 in Gompertz model and 0.96 and 0.26 in Logistic model, respectively. Unlike the canopy height, the stem diameter in R8 stage didn't decrease significantly. At both GWLs, the maximum growth values and the growth rates at silt loam were all larger than the values at sandy loam. In conclusion, Gompertz model and Logistic model both well fit the canopy heights and stem diameters of soybeans. These growth models can provide invaluable information for the development of precision water management system.

A Study on the Growth Models of Sedum takevimense as Affected by Difference of Soil Mixture Ratio in the Green Roof System (토양조성에 따른 옥상녹화용 섬기린초 생장모형 연구)

  • Kang, Tai-Ho;Li, Hong;Zhao, Hong-Xia
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.110-117
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    • 2011
  • In order to study the growth models between the growth of Sedum takevimense and growth rate in soil with three types of mix ratios, this experiment was carried out on April 3rd, 2011. A nonlinearity regression analysis was performed using the Logistic and Gompertz models by SPSS. According to the study of growth models of Sedum takevimense, the process of growth and management methods after over-wintering were explicitly determined. According to the measured values, the growth in the soil of $P_1P_2V_1$ and $P_2P_1V_1$ was better than that of $P_1$. Particularly, the average length of Sedum takevimense in the soil of $P_1P_2V_1$ was about twice as great as that in the $P_1$. The fitness test of the two growth models was: The predicted value and measured value were separately compared and analysed, the average fitting precision $R^2$ of the Logistic models was 0.995, but the average $R^2$ of the Gompertz models was below 0.978, which showed that the Logistic models were better than the Gompertz models. The growth models also showed that the growth time of Sedum takevimense was divided into three: rapid, most rapid and slow. When managed in the rapid and the most rapid time, it will grow better.

Predictive Growth Model of Native Isolated Listeria monocytogenes on raw pork as a Function of Temperature and Time (온도와 시간을 주요 변수로 한 냉장 돈육에서의 native isolated Listeria monocytogenes에 대한 성장예측모델)

  • Hong, Chong-Hae;Sim, Woo-Chang;Chun, Seok-Jo;Kim, Young-Su;Oh, Deog-Hwan;Ha, Sang-Do;Choi, Weon-Sang;Bahk, Gyung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.850-855
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    • 2005
  • Model was developed to predict the growth of Listeria monocytogenes in raw pork. Experiment condition for model development was full 5-by-7 factorial arrangements of temperature (0, 5, 10, 15, and $20^{\circ}C$) and time (0, 1, 2, 3, 18, 48, and 120 hr). Gompertz values A, C, B, and M, and growth kinetics, exponential growth rate (EGR), generation time (GT), lag phase duration (LPD), and maximum population density (MPD) were calculated based on growth increased data. GT and LPD values gradually decreased, whereas EGR value gradually increased with increasing temperature. Response surface analysis (RSA) was carried out using Gompertz B and M values, to formulate equation with temperature being main control factor. This equation was applied to Gompertz equation. Experimental and predictive values for GT, LPD, and EGR, compared using the model, showed no significant differences (p<0.01). Proposed model could be used to predict growth of microorganisms for exposure assessment of MRA, thereby allowing more informed decision-making on potential regulatory actions of microorganisms in raw pork.

Estimation of Software Project Success and Completion Rate Using Gompertz Growth Function (Gompertz 성장곡선을 이용한 소프트웨어 프로젝트의 개발 성공률과 완료율 추정)

  • Lee, Sang-Un
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.13D no.5 s.108
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    • pp.709-716
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    • 2006
  • As the software complexity increases, the development success rate decreases and failure rate increases exponentially. The failure rate related to the software size can be described by a growth function. Based on this phenomenon, this paper estimates the development success and completion rate using the Gompertz growth function. At first, we transformed a software size of numerically suggested $10^n$ into a logarithm and kept the data interval constantly. We tried to derive a functional relationship between the development success rate and the completion rate according to the change of logarithmic software size. However, we could not find a function which can represent this relationship. Therefore, we introduced the failure rate and the cancel rate which are inverse to the development success rate and completion rate, respectively. Then, we indicated the relation between development failure rate and cancel rate based on the change of software size, as a type of growth function. Finally, as we made the Gompertz growth function with the function which describes the cancel rate and the failure rate properly. We could express the actual data suitably. When you apply the growth function model that I suggested, you will be able to get the success rate and completion rate of particular site of software very accurately.

Error Structure of Technological Growth Models A Study of Selection Techniques for Technological Forecasting Models

  • Oh, Hyun-Seung;Yim, Dong-Soon;Moon, Gee-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 1995
  • The error structure of nonlinearized technological growth models, such as, the Pearl curve, the Gompertz curve and the Wei bull growth curve, has zero mean and a constant variance over time. Transformed models, however, like the linearized Fisher-Pry model. the linearized Gompertz growth curve, and the linearized Weibull growth curve have increasing variance from t = 0 to the inflection point.

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Estimation of Diameter and Height Growth Equations Using Environmental Variables (환경인자를 이용한 직경 및 수고생장 모형 추정)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.98 no.3
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    • pp.351-356
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    • 2009
  • This study purposed to judge potential possibility of building highly precise empirical model using environmental variables. Environmental variables such as altitude, mean annual rainfall, mean annual temperature and organic matter ratio of soil were added to height and diameter model for Chamaecyparis obtusa, and examined accuracy and residuals of prediction model. Improvement in precision was found for the Gompertz polymorphic height model by including mean temperature and altitude as independent variables, while the Gompertz diameter model with annual rainfall and altitude was showed improvement of precision and accuracy. Comparing the improvement of precision between the model before adding environmental variables and the model after adding them, an improvement or some ratio was obtained though it is not obvious. Therefore, there is enough proof that adding environmental variables, which can be easily acquired relatively when considering the difficulties of measurement and budget, into the model as independent variables would improve the accuracy and precision of growth models.

Theoretical Growth Equations and Their Application with a Direct Search Method (직접탐색법(直接探索法)을 이용한 이론적(理論的) 생장함수(生長函數)의 적용(適用))

  • Seo, Ok-ha
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.35-49
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    • 1992
  • Three theoretical growth equations, i.e., the Mitscherlich, the Gompertz, and the Logistic equation, were applied to the radical stem growth of 50 jack pines (Pinus banksiana Lamb.). For the determination of the parameters in these equations, NELDER-MEAD's method was used, which is one of the direct-search methods of optimization. It has been known to be very convenient in dealing with the issues related to optimization, specifically where the number of parameters are less than 6. It was found that although all the equations did not appropriately work as expected, the Mitscherlich equation revealed the least discrapancy from the obsered value among three. Using these equations and the first certain period data, i. e., 35, 55, 75 years, the predection of radius of age 95 was investigated. Comparing to the observed value, the most valid equation was the Mitscherlich, and the next were the Gompertz and the Logistic, in order.

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Estimation of Compressive Strength of the Fly Ash Substitution Cement Mortar by Equivalent age (등가재령 방법에 의한 플라이애시를 치환한 시멘트 모르타르의 강도 증진 해석)

  • Han, Min-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.121-127
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    • 2012
  • This paper is to present the strength estimation of the cement mortar incorporating 20% of fly ash by equivalent age method. ASTM C 1074 was applied to achieve apparent activation energy($E_a$). Cement mortar was cured at the temperature of $5^{\circ}C$, $20^{\circ}C$ and $35^{\circ}C$ respectively to measure the setting time and compressive strength at designed age. According to test results, it is found that an increase in curing temperature resulted in an acceleration of setting time. $E_a$ was achieved to 34.75 KJ/mol. It was also found that by estimating strength development with Plowman and Gompertz model, good agreement between calculated value and measured one was achieved.

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Comparison of Models to Describe Growth of Green Algae Chlorella vulgaris for Nutrient Removal from Piggery Wastewater (양돈폐수의 영양염류 제거를 위한 녹조류 Chlorella vulgaris 성장 모형의 비교)

  • Lim, Byung-Ran;Jutidamrongphan, Warangkana;Park, Ki-Young
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2010
  • Batch experiments were conducted to investigate growth and nutrient removal performance of microalgae Chlorella vulgaris by using piggery wastewater in different concentration of pollutants and the common growth models (logistic, Gompertz and Richards) were applied to compare microalgal growth parameters. Removal of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) by Chlorella vulgaris showed correlation with biomass increase, implying nutrient uptake coupled with microalgae growth. The higher the levels of suspended solids (SS), COD and ammonia nitrogen were in the wastewater, the worse growth of Chlorella vulgaris was observed, showing the occurrence of growth inhibition in higher concentration of those pollutants. The growth parameters were estimated by non-linear regression of three growth curves for comparative analyses. Determination of growth parameters were more accurate with population as a variable than the logarithm of population in terms of R square. Richards model represented better fit comparing with logistic and Gompertz model. However, Richards model showed some complexity and sensitivity in calculation. In the cases tested, both logistic and Gompertz equation were proper to describe the growth of microalgae on piggery wastewater as well as easy to application.

A Study on the Numerical Approach for Industrial Life Cycle: Empirical Evidence from Korea

  • LEE, Kangsun;CHOI, Kyujin;CHO, Daemyeong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.667-678
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    • 2021
  • The industrial life cycle theory was extended to the product life cycle theory and the corporate life cycle theory, but a conceptual life cycle was presented, and quantitative empirical evidence for this was insufficient. It is intended to improve appropriate resource planning and resource allocation by quantitatively predicting the industrial cycle and its position (age) in the cycle. Human resources, tangible assets, and industrial output analysis were conducted based on 28 years of actual data of 39 industries in Korea by applying the Gompertz model, which is a population ecology prediction model. By predicting with the Gompertz model, the coefficient of determination R2 value was 97% or more, confirming the high suitability with the actual cumulative sales value of the industry. A numerical model for calculating the life cycle of each industry, calculating the saturation of input resources for each industry, and diagnosing the financial stability of the industry was presented. These results will contribute to the decision-making of industrial policy officers for budget planning appropriately for each stage of industry development. Future research will apply the numerical model of this study to foreign national industries, complete an inter-industry convergence diagnostic model (e.g. ease of convergence, suitability of convergence, etc.) for renewal of fading industries.