• Title/Summary/Keyword: Global Precipitation

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Anisotropic Acorn-like Particle Fabrication Via a Dynamic Phase Separation Method (동적 상분리법을 이용한 이방성 도토리형상 입자 제조)

  • Park, Chul Ho;Baek, Il-hyun
    • Membrane Journal
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.61-65
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    • 2019
  • Anisotropic particles have been issued in various fields due to their unique physical properties. Herein, a novel dynamic phase separation method (DPS) is introduced to fabricate anisotropic acorn-like nanoparticles. DPS consists of two dynamic conditions; solvent evaporation and nonsolvent induced precipitation. The bottom layer is controlled by feeding the water as a non-solvent diluent, and the phase separation of the upper layer relies on the diffusion and evaporation of a volatile good solvent. At this condition, the acorn-like particles were fabricated. Under a closed box filled with water (spontaneous phase separation), monodisperse polystyrene (PS) particles were synthesized. At the coexistence between DPS and spontaneous phase separation, the sizes of cap and particle were changed. Also, the volume of PS solutions influences on the particle shape. Since the unique structures could be utilized into various applications, if advanced techniques such as membrane-based controlled water feeding is developed, monodisperse acorn-like particles could be tuned.

Analysis of future flood inundation change in the Tonle Sap basin under a climate change scenario

  • Lee, Dae Eop;Jung, Sung Ho;Yeon, Min Ho;Lee, Gi Ha
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.433-446
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the future flood inundation changes under a climate change were simulated in the Tonle Sap basin in Cambodia, one of the countries with high vulnerability to climate change. For the flood inundation simulation using the rainfall-runoff-inundation (RRI) model, globally available geological data (digital elevation model [DEM]; hydrological data and maps based on Shuttle elevation derivatives [HydroSHED]; land cover: Global land cover facility-moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer [GLCF-MODIS]), rainfall data (Asian precipitation-highly-resolved observational data integration towards evaluation [APHRODITE]), climate change scenario (HadGEM3-RA), and observational water level (Kratie, Koh Khel, Neak Luong st.) were constructed. The future runoff from the Kratie station, the upper boundary condition of the RRI model, was constructed to be predicted using the long short-term memory (LSTM) model. Based on the results predicted by the LSTM model, a total of 4 cases were selected (representative concentration pathway [RCP] 4.5: 2035, 2075; RCP 8.5: 2051, 2072) with the largest annual average runoff by period and scenario. The results of the analysis of the future flood inundation in the Tonle Sap basin were compared with the results of previous studies. Unlike in the past, when the change in the depth of inundation changed to a range of about 1 to 10 meters during the 1997 - 2005 period, it occurred in a range of about 5 to 9 meters during the future period. The results show that in the future RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, the variability of discharge is reduced compared to the past and that climate change could change the runoff patterns of the Tonle Sap basin.

The performance evaluation of dam management by using Granger causal analysis (그랜저 인과분석을 통한 댐관리 성과평가)

  • Cho, Sung-Min;Yoo, Myoung-Kwan;Lee, Deokro
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2021
  • This paper attempted to find implications for water resource management and water quality improvement by analyzing the causal relationship among discharge, water temperature and pollution index, which were expected to have a great effect on water quality with the rise of water temperature and precipitation change as the warming effect in recent years. For this purpose, the unit root test, cointegration test, and Granger causal test were carried out for 10 multi-purpose dams in Korean major water systems using time series data on discharge, water temperature, BOD, COD and DO. It was analyzed that the fluctuation of water temperature affected the pollution index more than the fluctuation of discharge volume. Also, Hapcheon dam and Chungju dam were the best water quality management dams based on the high causal relationship between water quality and discharge. The second rank was Daecheong dam. The third-ranking group were Yongdam and Andong dam, whose causal relationships between water quality and discharge were low. The last group were the remaining five dams.

Recent(2008-2019) trend and expectations in future of the water reuse capacity based on the statistics of sewerage in Republic of Korea (최근(2008-2019년) 하수도통계 자료 분석 기반 국내 하수재이용량 예측)

  • Ma, Jeong-Hyeok;Jeong, Seongpil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.477-487
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    • 2021
  • Due to the global climate change, Korean peninsula is has been experiencing flooding and drought severely. It is hard difficult to manage water resources sustainably, because due to intensive precipitation in short periods and severe drought has increased in Korea. Reused water from the wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) could be a sustainable and an alternative water source near the urban areas. In order to understand the patterns of water reuse in Korea, annual water reuses data according to the times and regional governments were investigated from 2008 to 2019. The reused water from WWTP in Korea has been mainly used for river maintenance flow and industrial use, while agricultural use of water reuse has decreased with time. Metropolitan cities in Korea such as Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Ulsan, and Incheon have been mainly used reused reusing water for river maintenance flow. Industrial water reuse has been limitedly applied recently for the planned industrial districts in Pohang, Gumi, Paju, and Asan. By using the collected annual water reuse data from the domestic sewerage statistics of sewerage, the optimistic and pessimistic future estimations of for future annual water reuse were suggested from 2020 to 2040 on a five year interval for every five years.

Impact of Diverse Configuration in Multivariate Bias Correction Methods on Large-Scale Climate Variable Simulations under Climate Change

  • de Padua, Victor Mikael N.;Ahn Kuk-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.161-161
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    • 2023
  • Bias correction of values is a necessary step in downscaling coarse and systematically biased global climate models for use in local climate change impact studies. In addition to univariate bias correction methods, many multivariate methods which correct multiple variables jointly - each with their own mathematical designs - have been developed recently. While some literature have focused on the inter-comparison of these multivariate bias correction methods, none have focused extensively on the effect of diverse configurations (i.e., different combinations of input variables to be corrected) of climate variables, particularly high-dimensional ones, on the ability of the different methods to remove biases in uni- and multivariate statistics. This study evaluates the impact of three configurations (inter-variable, inter-spatial, and full dimensional dependence configurations) on four state-of-the-art multivariate bias correction methods in a national-scale domain over South Korea using a gridded approach. An inter-comparison framework evaluating the performance of the different combinations of configurations and bias correction methods in adjusting various climate variable statistics was created. Precipitation, maximum, and minimum temperatures were corrected across 306 high-resolution (0.2°) grid cells and were evaluated. Results show improvements in most methods in correcting various statistics when implementing high-dimensional configurations. However, some instabilities were observed, likely tied to the mathematical designs of the methods, informing that some multivariate bias correction methods are incompatible with high-dimensional configurations highlighting the potential for further improvements in the field, as well as the importance of proper selection of the correction method specific to the needs of the user.

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Improving soil moisture accuracy in ungauged areas using Multi-Satellite data (다종위성에 근거한 미계측 지역의 토양수분 정확도 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Doyoung Kim;Hyunho Jeon;Seulchan Lee;Minha Choi
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.433-433
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    • 2023
  • 토양수분은 물 순환의 필수적인 요소로써 수문순환 및 기상 현상에 큰 영향을 미친다. 현재 우리나라에서는 토양수분 자료구축을 위해 Frequency Domain Reflectometry (FDR), Time Domain Reflectometry (TDR) 센서를 활용하여 지점 단위 토양수분 자료를 생산하고 있다. 그러나 한반도는 도서, 산간 지역이 다수 분포하고 있어, 지점관측 센서만으로 공간 대표성을 갖는 토양수분 자료를 산출하기 어렵다. 이에, 광범위한 지역을 장기간 모니터링 할 수 있는 원격탐사 기법을 활용하여, Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT), Soil Moisture Active and Passive (SMAP) 등의 공간 단위 토양수분 자료의 적용성이 평가되고 있다. 하지만, 공간 토양수분 자료의 검증을 위해 필수적인 지점 토양수분 자료가 구축되지 않은 미계측지역이 다수 존재하며, 한반도와 같이 지형적 복잡성이 높게 나타나는 지역에서는 계측지역에서의 활용성 평가 결과가 미계측지역에서도 유사하게 나타난다고 가정하기 어렵다. 이에 본 연구에서는, 미계측지역의 공간 토양수분 자료를 산출하고자 계측지역에서 SM2RAIN 알고리즘으로 산출된 강수량 자료와 위성 산출 자료 그리고 지점관측 자료의 관계성을 분석했다. SM2RAIN 알고리즘의 입력자료는 Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT) 토양수분 자료를 활용했다. ASCAT 토양수분 자료와 SM2RAIN 강수 자료의 검증을 위해 기상청에서 제공하는 Automated Agriculture Observing System (AAOS) 토양수분 자료, Automatic Weather System (AWS) 강수량 자료와 Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) 강수 자료를 활용하였다. 전반적으로 ASCAT 토양수분을 통해 산출한 SM2RAIN 강수량의 추정과GPM 강수량이 유의미한 상관성이 나타나는 것을 확인할 수 있었으며, 추후 Downscaling 기법과 연계하여 지형적 복잡성이 높게 나타나는 지역의 토양수분 추정이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

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Prediction of spring precipitation in the Geum River basin using global climate indices and artificial neural network model (글로벌 기후지수와 인공신경망모형을 이용한 금강권역의 봄철 강수량 예측)

  • Chul-Gyum Kim;Jeongwoo Lee;Hyeonjun Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.292-292
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구에서는 인공신경망을 이용한 통계적 모형을 구성하여 금강권역의 봄철(3~5월) 강수량 예측을 수행하였다. 통계적 모형의 예측인자로서는 NOAA 등에서 제공하는 AAO, AMM, AO 등 36종의 기후지수와 대상권역인 금강권역의 강수량, 기온 등의 기상인자 8종 등 총 44종의 기후지수를 활용하였다. 예측대상기간을 기준으로 선행기간(1~18개월)에 따른 상관성을 분석하여 상관도가 높은 10개의 기후지수를 예측인자로 선정하였다. 예측모형 형태는 10개의 입력층과 1개의 은닉층으로 되어 있는 인공신경망모형을 구성하였다. 모형 구성과정에서의 불확실성을 최소화하고 예측모형의 적합도를 높이기 위해 예측대상기간을 기준으로 과거 40년간의 자료에 대해 임의로 20년간 자료를 선별하여 모형을 구성하고, 너머지 기간에 대해 검증하는 무작위 교차검증을 반복하여, 예측대상기간 및 예측시점에 따라 각각 적합도가 높은 1000개의 예측모형을 선별하였다. 과거기간(1991~2022년)을 대상으로 예측시점에 따라 각 연도별 1000개의 예측결과를 도출하여, 실제 해당년도의 관측값과의 비교를 통해 예측성을 분석하였다. 예측성은 크게 예측치의 최대값과 최소값 범위 및 예측치의 25%~75% 범위 안에 관측치가 포함될 확률, 그리고 과거 관측값의 3분위 구간을 기준으로 한 예측확률 등을 평가하였다. 관측치가 예측치의 범위 안에 포함될 확률은 평균 87.5%, 예측치의 25~75% 범위 안에 포함될 확률은 30.2%로 나타났으며, 3분위 예측확률은 35.6%로 분석되었다. 관측값과의 일대일 비교는 정확도가 떨어지지만 3분위 예측확률이 33.3% 이상인 점으로 볼 때 예측성은 확보된다고 볼 수 있다. 다만, 우리나라 강수량의 불규칙성과 통계적 모형 특성상 과거 관측되지 않은 패턴에 대해서는 예측이 어려운 문제가 있어, 특정년도의 예측결과가 관측치를 크게 벗어나는 경우도 종종 나타나고 있다.

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Projecting the spatial-temporal trends of extreme climatology in South Korea based on optimal multi-model ensemble members

  • Mirza Junaid Ahmad;Kyung-sook Choi
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.314-314
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    • 2023
  • Extreme climate events can have a large impact on human life by hampering social, environmental, and economic development. Global circulation models (GCMs) are the widely used numerical models to understand the anticipated future climate change. However, different GCMs can project different future climates due to structural differences, varying initial boundary conditions and assumptions about the physical phenomena. The multi-model ensemble (MME) approach can improve the uncertainties associated with the different GCM outcomes. In this study, a comprehensive rating metric was used to select the best-performing GCMs out of 11 CMIP5 and 13 CMIP6 GCMs, according to their skills in terms of four temporal and five spatial performance indices, in replicating the 21 extreme climate indices during the baseline (1975-2017) in South Korea. The MME data were derived by averaging the simulations from all selected GCMs and three top-ranked GCMs. The random forest (RF) algorithm was also used to derive the MME data from the three top-ranked GCMs. The RF-derived MME data of the three top-ranked GCMs showed the highest performance in simulating the baseline extreme climate which was subsequently used to project the future extreme climate indices under both the representative concentration pathway (RCP) and the socioeconomic concentration pathway scenarios (SSP). The extreme cold and warming indices had declining and increasing trends, respectively, and most extreme precipitation indices had increasing trends over the period 2031-2100. Compared to all scenarios, RCP8.5 showed drastic changes in future extreme climate indices. The coasts in the east, south and west had stronger warming than the rest of the country, while mountain areas in the north experienced more extreme cold. While extreme cold climatology gradually declined from north to south, extreme warming climatology continuously grew from coastal to inland and northern mountainous regions. The results showed that the socially, environmentally and agriculturally important regions of South Korea were at increased risk of facing the detrimental impacts of extreme climatology.

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Characteristic of Coastal Soil Improvement by MICP Technology Using Sea Water (해수를 사용한 MICP 기술의 연안 지반 개량시 발생하는 특성 분석)

  • Sojeong Kim;Jinung Do
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2023
  • Mean sea level has recently been rising due to global warming causing coastal erosion. As Korea is peninsula, the land loss due to coastal erosion is critical. An approach in this study is cementing the coastal area using bacteria, which is called microbially induced carbonate precipitation (MICP). This study tried to see how fresh water and sea water work with MICP as a solvent. Ureolytic activity during the MICP reaction was measured with deionized and sea water. A soil column was prepared to evaluate the strength of MICP-treated sand. Sands were treated by MICP with surface percolation method. As the treatmen t style was different with other conventional methods, several methods were proposed to properly evaluate the MICP-treated sand surface. A micro-scale evaluation was performed to assess the mineral structure treated by different solvents. As results, sea water rendered the ureolytic reaction slower. A needle penetrometer worked well to evaluate the MICP-treated sand surface. This study confirmed the utilization of sea water is feasible as the solvent of MICP.

Estimation of High-Resolution Soil Moisture Using Sentinel-1A/B SAR and Deep Learning Regression Model (딥러닝 모형을 이용한 Sentinel SAR 기반 고해상도 토양수분 산정)

  • Lee, Taehwa;Kim, Sangwoo;Chun, Beomseok;Jung, Younghun;Shin, Yongchul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.114-114
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구에서는 Sentinel-1 SAR 센서 기반 이미지자료와 딥러닝기법을 이용하여 고해상도 토양수분을 산정하였다. 입력자료는 지표특성(모래함량, 점토함량, 경사도), 인공위성 기반의 강우와 LANDSAT 기반의 이미지자료(NDVI, LST, 공간분포 토양수분)를 사용하였다. 강우자료의 경우 GPM(Global Precipitation Measurement) 일강우 자료를 사용하였으며, 관측일 기준으로 5일전까지의 강우자료와 5일평균강우를 구분하여 사용하였다. LANDSAT 기반의 토양수분 이미지자료와 지점관측 토양수분을 이용하여 검·보정 이후 딥러닝 모형의 입력자료로 사용하였다. 입력자료는 30m × 30m 해상도로 Resample 하여 딥러닝 모형의 학습을 진행하였으며, 학습에 사용된 모형을 이용하여 Sentinel-1 기반의 고해상도(10m × 10m) 토양수분이미지를 산정하였다. 검증지점은 거창군 거창읍, 계룡시 두마면, 장수군 장수읍 및 무주군 무주읍 토양수분 관측지점을 선정하였다. 거창군 거창읍의 산정결과, LANDSAT 기반의 토양수분 이미지와 DNN 기반의 토양수분 이미지가 매우 유사하게 나타났으며, 모의값(DNN 기반 토양수분)이 실측값(LANDSAT 기반의 토양수분)을 잘 반영한 것(R: 0.875 ; RMSE: 0.013)으로 나타났다. 또한 학습모형을 토지피복이 유사한 지역에 적용하여 토양수분을 산정한 결과 검증지점 계룡시(R: 0.897 ; RMSE: 0.014), 장수군(R: 0.770 ; RMSE: 0.024) 및 무주군(R: 0.909 ; RMSE: 0.012)의 모의값이 실측값과 매우 유사한 것으로 나타났다. 이를 바탕으로 Seninel-1 SAR센서 이미지자료와 딥러닝기법을 연계한 고해상도 토양수분자료가 농업, 수문, 환경 등 다양한 분야에서 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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