• Title/Summary/Keyword: Global Model

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An Economic Impact Analysis of the Post-2012 Policy Portfolio, Utilizing the Global Dynamic CGE Model (동태 글로벌 CGE 모형을 활용한 정책 포트폴리오의 Post-2012 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Kim, Suyi;Cho, Gyeong Lyeob;Yoo, Seung Jick
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.587-635
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the Global Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model (Global CGE Model) in order to produce an economic impact analysis, including prospective obligations for the Post-2012 regime. This model explores the impact of an international emissions trading market and macroeconomic variables such as GNP, consumption, investment, imports and exports, in accordance with potential increased obligations on the Republic of Korea. Distinguishing it from existing studies, this Global CGE Model divides the global community into major economic groups, and in the capacity of the analyzed global model, reflecting the principle nations' macroeconomic indicators through the theoretical approach of endogenous growth theory. Policies such as an emissions trading scheme and carbon tax are reflected in the model. Also, in particular, the model reflects exogenous technological advances. According to this analysis, the stronger the greenhouse gas reductions, the greater the adverse effects on the economy; among macroeconomic indicators that appear, a significant decline is realized in the balance of trade, along with a significant decrease in investment and consumption. Energy dependence, in particular, plays a large role-varying in degree by industry type-, as greenhouse gas reductions would have a greater impact on energy-intensive industries. Furthermore, if Korea, currently recognized as a developing country, is given the obligation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, competing countries such as China and other developing countries will be given an advantage.

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Global Optimization Using Kriging Metamodel and DE algorithm (크리깅 메타모델과 미분진화 알고리듬을 이용한 전역최적설계)

  • Lee, Chang-Jin;Jung, Jae-Jun;Lee, Kwang-Ki;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06c
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    • pp.537-542
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    • 2001
  • In recent engineering, the designer has become more and more dependent on computer simulation. But defining exact model using computer simulation is too expensive and time consuming in the complicate systems. Thus, designers often use approximation models, which express the relation between design variables and response variables. These models are called metamodel. In this paper, we introduce one of the metamodel, named Kriging. This model employs an interpolation scheme and is developed in the fields of spatial statistics and geostatistics. This class of interpolating model has flexibility to model response data with multiple local extreme. By reason of this multi modality, we can't use any gradient-based optimization algorithm to find global extreme value of this model. Thus we have to introduce global optimization algorithm. To do this, we introduce DE(Differential Evolution). DE algorithm is developed by Ken Price and Rainer Storn, and it has recently proven to be an efficient method for optimizing real-valued multi-modal objective functions. This algorithm is similar to GA(Genetic Algorithm) in populating points, crossing over, and mutating. But it introduces vector concept in populating process. So it is very simple and easy to use. Finally, we show how we determine Kriging metamodel and find global extreme value through two mathematical examples.

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Sensitivity of Typhoon Simulation to Physics Parameterizations in the Global Model (전구 모델의 물리과정에 따른 태풍 모의 민감도)

  • Kim, Ki-Byung;Lee, Eun-Hee;Seol, Kyung-Hee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2017
  • The sensitivity of the typhoon track and intensity simulation to physics schemes of the global model are examined for the typhoon Bolaven and Tembin cases by using the Global/Regional Integrated Model System-Global Model Program (GRIMs-GMP) with the physics package version 2.0 of the Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems. Microphysics, Cloudiness, and Planetary boundary Layer (PBL) parameterizations are changed and the impact of each scheme change to typhoon simulation is compared with the control simulation and observation. It is found that change of microphysics scheme from WRF Single-Moment 5-class (WSM5) to 1-class (WSM1) affects to the typhoon simulation significantly, showing the intensified typhoon activity and increased precipitation amount, while the effect of the prognostic cloudiness and PBL enhanced mixing scheme is not noticeable. It appears that WSM1 simulates relatively unstable and drier atmospheric structure than WSM5, which is induced by the latent heat change and the associated radiative effect due to not considering ice cloud. And WSM1 results the enhanced typhoon intensity and heavy rainfall simulation. It suggests that the microphysics is important to improve the capability for typhoon simulation of a global model and to increase the predictability of medium range forecast.

Validation of Ocean General Circulation Model (FMS-MOM4) in Relation with Climatological and Argo Data

  • Chang, You-Soon;Cho, Chang-Woo;Youn, Yong-Hoon;Seo, Jang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.545-555
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    • 2007
  • Ocean general circulation model developed by GFDL on the basis of MOM4 of FMS are examined and evaluated in order to elucidate the global ocean status. The model employs a tripolar grid system to resolve the Arctic Ocean without polar filtering. The meridional resolution gradually increases from $1/3^{\circ}$ at the equator to $1^{\circ}$ at $30^{\circ}N(S)$. Other horizontal grids have the constant $1^{\circ}$ and vertical grids with 50 levels. The ocean is also coupled to the GFDL sea ice model. It considers tidal effects along with fresh water and chlorophyll concentration. This model is integrated for a 100 year duration with 96 cpu forced by German OMIP and CORE dataset. Levitus, WOA01 climatology, serial CTD observations, WOCE and Argo data are all used for model validation. General features of the world ocean circulation are well simulated except for the western boundary and coastal region where strong advection or fresh water flux are dominant. However, we can find that information concerning chlorophyll and sea ice, newly applied to MOM4 as surface boundary condition, can be used to reduce a model bias near the equatorial and North Pacific ocean.

DYNAMICAL ANALYSIS OF A PLANT-HERBIVORE MODEL : BIFURCATION AND GLOBAL STABILITY

  • SAHA TAPAN;BANDYOPADHYAY MALAY
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.19 no.1_2
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    • pp.327-344
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    • 2005
  • The first part of the paper deals with a brief introduction of the plant-herbivore model system along with deterministic analysis of local stability and Hopf-bifurcations. The second part consists of stability analysis of the limit cycle arising from Hopf-bifurcation and uniqueness of limit cycle. The third part deals with the study of global stability of the model system under consideration.

Estimation of Global Warming by Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean GCM (대기/해양 접합 GCM을 이용한 지구 온난화의 추정)

  • Kim Jeong-Woo;Park Ji-Up
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2000.05a
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    • pp.14-19
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    • 2000
  • A coupled general circulation model (GCM) of the global atmosphere, oceans and lands is used for finding the future climate at times of doubled carbon dioxide concentration (DCDC) of the atmosphere. Two runs of the model were made in order to find the future change. Global changes at times of DCDC may be characterized by a global warmig of $1.4^{\circ}C$, a $3\%$ global precipitation increase, and an increase in the surface available water (SAW) over the global land among others. The estimated increase in SAW over the land implies that river discharge is likely to increase with increased chance of severe weather as a result of the future global warming.

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A BERT-based Transfer Learning Model for Bidirectional HR Matching (양방향 인재매칭을 위한 BERT 기반의 전이학습 모델)

  • Oh, Sojin;Jang, Moonkyoung;Song, Hee Seok
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2021
  • While youth unemployment has recorded the lowest level since the global COVID-19 pandemic, SMEs(small and medium sized enterprises) are still struggling to fill vacancies. It is difficult for SMEs to find good candidates as well as for job seekers to find appropriate job offers due to information mismatch. To overcome information mismatch, this study proposes the fine-turning model for bidirectional HR matching based on a pre-learning language model called BERT(Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers). The proposed model is capable to recommend job openings suitable for the applicant, or applicants appropriate for the job through sufficient pre-learning of terms including technical jargons. The results of the experiment demonstrate the superior performance of our model in terms of precision, recall, and f1-score compared to the existing content-based metric learning model. This study provides insights for developing practical models for job recommendations and offers suggestions for future research.

A Study on Interdisciplinary Education Model of Using Climate Change Film-Focusing on Documentary An Inconvenient Truth (기후변화 영화를 활용한 융합교육 모형연구: 다큐멘터리 <불편한 진실>을 중심으로)

  • Hwang, Young-mee;Oh, Jung-jin
    • Journal of Engineering Education Research
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2016
  • This study is about interdisciplinary education model of using Davis Guggenheim's documentary film on global warming which is a big concern in climate change issues, An Inconvenient Truth. It based on Al Gore's slide speech. Through a course student analyzed the cause and phenomenon of global warming resulted from increase of $CO_2$ by using fossil fuel and its environmental science effects-heat wave, desertification, tornado, hurricane, sea level rise caused by melting glaciers, destroying ecosystem like habitat degradation of wild animals, for example polar bear, extreme cold wave caused by change of ocean currents- of global warming. After, student discussed of efforts to prevent global warming. This educational model is appropriate for lower grade student of environmental engineering and also available for converged majors or general education class.

TRAVELING WAVE GLOBAL PRICE DYNAMICS OF LOCAL MARKETS WITH LOGISTIC SUPPLIES

  • Kim, Yong-In
    • The Pure and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2010
  • We employ the methods of Lattice Dynamical System to establish a global model extending the Walrasian evolutionary cobweb model in an independent single local market to the global market evolution over an infinite chain of many local markets with interaction of each other through a diffusion of prices between them. For brevity of the model, we assume linear decreasing demands and logistic supplies with naive predictors, and investigate the traveling wave behaviors of global price dynamics and show that their dynamics are conjugate to those of H$\acute{e}$non maps and hence can exhibit complicated behaviors such as period-doubling bifurcations, chaos, and homoclic orbits etc.

SPATIALLY HOMOGENEOUS GLOBAL PRICE DYNAMICS ON A CHAIN OF LOCAL MARKETS

  • Kim, Yong-In
    • The Pure and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.243-254
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    • 2009
  • The main purpose of this paper is to use the methods of Lattice Dynamical System to establish a global model, which extends the Walrasian evolutionary cobweb model in an independent single local market to the global market evolution over an infinite chain of many local markets interacting each other through a diffusion of prices between them. For brevity of the model, we assume linear decreasing demands and quadratic supplies with naive predictors, and investigate the spatially homogeneous global price dynamics and show that the dynamics is topologically conjugate to that of well-known logistic map and hence undergoes a period-doubling bifurcation route to chaos as a parameter varies through a critical value.

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