• Title/Summary/Keyword: Generation Prediction

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A Basic Study on Development of a Tracking Module for ARPA system for Use on High Dynamic Warships

  • Njonjo, Anne Wanjiru;Pan, Bao-Feng;Jeong, Tae-Gweon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.83-87
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    • 2016
  • The maritime industry is expanding at an alarming rate hence there is a perpetual need to improve situation awareness in the maritime environment using new and emerging technology. Tracking is one of the numerous ways of enhancing situation awareness by providing information that may be useful to the operator. The tracking module designed herein comprises determining existing states of high dynamic target warship, state prediction and state compensation due to random noise. This is achieved by first analyzing the process of tracking followed by design of a tracking algorithm that uses ${\alpha}-{\beta}-{\gamma}$ tracking filter under a random noise. The algorithm involves initializing the state parameters which include position, velocity, acceleration and the course. This is then followed by state prediction at each time interval. A weighted difference of the observed and predicted state values at the $n^{th}$ observation is added to the predicted state to obtain the smoothed (filtered) state. This estimation is subsequently employed to determine the predicted state in the next radar scan. The filtering coefficients ${\alpha}$, ${\beta}$ and ${\gamma}$ are determined from a pre-determined value of the damping parameter, ${\xi}$. The smoothed, predicted and the observed positions are used to compute the twice distance root mean square (2drms) error as a measure of the ability of the tracking module to manage the noise to acceptable levels.

Theoretical Performance Prediction Program of Pulse Detonation Engines (펄스 데토네이션 엔진 이론 성능 예측 프로그램)

  • Kim, Tae-Young;Kim, Ji-Hoon;Choi, Jeong-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.42 no.7
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    • pp.552-560
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    • 2014
  • Pulse Detonation Engine(PDE) has been investigated as a next generation propulsion system with the advantages of the higher thermal efficiency by the compression effect and the wide operation ranges from zero speed at ground. In the present study, an efficient theoretical PDE performance prediction program was developed for realistic propellants based on the Endo's theory combining the Chapman-Jouguet detonation theory and expansion process of burnt gas in a constant area tube. The program was validated through the comparison with the experimental data obtained by a ballistic pendulum measurement. PDE performance analyses were carried out for various hydrocarbon fuels and oxidizer compositions by changing the mixture equivalence ratio and initial conditions. Theoretical PDE performance database could be established as a result of the analyses.

A Study on Generation Methodology of Crime Prediction Probability Map by using the Markov Chains and Object Interpretation Keys (마코프 체인과 객체 판독키를 적용한 범죄 예측 확률지도 생성 기법 연구)

  • Noe, Chan-Sook;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2012
  • In this paper we propose a method that can generate the risk probability map in the form of raster shape by using Markov Chain methodology applied to the object interpretation keys and quantified risk indexes. These object interpretation keys, which are primarily characteristics that can be identified by the naked eye, are set based on the objects that comprise the spatial information of a certain urban area. Each key is divided into a cell, and then is weighted by its own risk index. These keys in turn are used to generate the unified risk probability map using various levels of crime prediction probability maps. The risk probability map may vary over time and means of applying different sets of object interpretation keys. Therefore, this method can be used to prevent crimes by providing the ways of setting up the best possible police patrol beat as well as the optimal arrangement of surveillance equipments.

A Study on the Influence of Aerological Observation Data Assimilation at Honam Area on Numerical Weather Prediction (호남지방 고층관측자료동화가 수치기상예보에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu Chan-Su;Won Hyo-Sung;Lee Soon-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.66-77
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    • 2005
  • Aerological observation at Heuksando located in south-western part of Koran Peninsula has been started at 1 June 2003. In order to clarify the improvement of meteorological prediction quality. it is necessary to compare between aerological data observed at Gawngju and Heuksando and to make clear the influence of Heuksando data assimilation. Therefore numerical simulations were carried out with High resolution meterological prediction system based on MM5(The 5th Generation Mesoscale Model). The pattern of wind and temperature field observed at Heuksando and Gwangju are different due to land surface friction End Sensible heat flux at surface and the wind field Simulated With Gwangju and Heuksando aerological data agree well with observation wind field. Although the amount of precipitation in these experiments is underestimated. the area and starting time of precipitation around Honam province in case with Heuksando data is more reliable that without the data.

Secondary Residual Transform for Lossless Intra Coding in HEVC (제 2차 잔차 변환을 이용한 HEVC 무손실 인트라 코딩)

  • Kwak, Jae-Hee;Lee, Yung-Lyul
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.734-741
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    • 2012
  • A new lossless intra coding method based on residual transform is applied to the next generation video coding standard HEVC (High Efficiency Video Coding). HEVC includes a multi-directional spatial prediction method to reduce spatial redundancy by using neighboring samples as a prediction for the samples in a block of data to be encoded. In the new lossless intra coding method, the spatial prediction is performed as samplewise DPCM (Difference Pulse Code Modulation) but is implemented as block-based manner by using residual transform and secondary residual transform on the HEVC standard. Experimental results show that the new lossless intra coding method reduces the bit rate by approximately 6.45% in comparison with the lossless intra coding method previously included in the HEVC standard.

Proposal of Acceleration Time History Prediction Method Based on Seismic Observation Data (관측 자료를 활용한 지진가속도 시간이력 추정방법 제안)

  • Lee, Kyeong-Seok;Ahn, Jin-Hee;Park, Jae-Bong;Choi, Hyoung-Suk
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, seismic ground motion generation method based on the observbation data from the Korea Meteorological Administration is proposed to predict the acceleration time history at an arbitrary location after earthquake. The proposed method assumes that the magnitude of the seismic accelrations obtained from the near stations decreases linearly with the distance from the epicenter to the corresponding station and the accelerations measured at the adjacent stations are assumed to have similar maximum acceleration and time shape functions. These two assumptions allow for the prediction of seismic acceleartion motion without geotechnical information where no seismic accelerometer is installed. This study verified the applicability of the prediction method using seismic observation data from Gyeongju Earthquake (2016), Pohang Earthquake (2017) and Sangju Earthuqkae (2019). The comparison results show that the proposed method is effective for predicting the seismic acceleration response spectrum and time history at arbitary locations.

Adaptive Input Traffic Prediction Scheme for Proportional Delay Differentiation in Next-Generation Networks (차세대 네트워크에서 상대적 지연 차별화를 위한 적응형 입력 트래픽 예측 방식)

  • Paik, Jung-Hoon
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, an algorithm that provisions proportional differentiation of packet delays is proposed with an objective for enhancing quality of service (QoS) in future packet networks. It features an adaptive scheme that adjusts the target delay every time slot to compensate the deviation from the target delay which is caused by the prediction error on the traffic to be arrived in the next time slot. It predicts the traffic to be arrived at the beginning of a time slot and measures the actual arrived traffic at the end of the time slot. The difference between them is utilized to the delay control operation for the next time slot to offset it. As it compensates the prediction error continuously, it shows superior adaptability to the bursty traffic as well as the exponential rate traffic. It is demonstrated through simulations that the algorithm meets the quantitative delay bounds and shows superiority to the traffic fluctuation in comparison with the conventional non-adaptive mechanism. The algorithm is implemented with VHDL on a Xilinx Spartan XC3S1500 FPGA and the performance is verified under the test board based on the XPC860P CPU.

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Application of Pharmacovigilance Methods in Occupational Health Surveillance: Comparison of Seven Disproportionality Metrics

  • Bonneterre, Vincent;Bicout, Dominique Joseph;De Gaudemaris, Regis
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.92-100
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: The French National Occupational Diseases Surveillance and Prevention Network (RNV3P) is a French network of occupational disease specialists, which collects, in standardised coded reports, all cases where a physician of any specialty, referred a patient to a university occupational disease centre, to establish the relation between the disease observed and occupational exposures, independently of statutory considerations related to compensation. The objective is to compare the relevance of disproportionality measures, widely used in pharmacovigilance, for the detection of potentially new disease ${\times}$ exposure associations in RNV3P database (by analogy with the detection of potentially new health event ${\times}$ drug associations in the spontaneous reporting databases from pharmacovigilance). Methods: 2001-2009 data from RNV3P are used (81,132 observations leading to 11,627 disease ${\times}$ exposure associations). The structure of RNV3P database is compared with the ones of pharmacovigilance databases. Seven disproportionality metrics are tested and their results, notably in terms of ranking the disease ${\times}$ exposure associations, are compared. Results: RNV3P and pharmacovigilance databases showed similar structure. Frequentist methods (proportional reporting ratio [PRR], reporting odds ratio [ROR]) and a Bayesian one (known as BCPNN for "Bayesian Confidence Propagation Neural Network") show a rather similar behaviour on our data, conversely to other methods (as Poisson). Finally the PRR method was chosen, because more complex methods did not show a greater value with the RNV3P data. Accordingly, a procedure for detecting signals with PRR method, automatic triage for exclusion of associations already known, and then investigating these signals is suggested. Conclusion: This procedure may be seen as a first step of hypothesis generation before launching epidemiological and/or experimental studies.

Forecasted Weather based Weather Data File Generation Techniques for Real-time Building Simulation (실시간 빌딩 시뮬레이션을 위한 예측 기상 기반의 기상 데이터 파일 작성 기법)

  • Kwak, Young-Hoon;Jeong, Yong-Woo;Han, Hey-Sim;Jang, Cheol-Yong;Huh, Jung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.8-18
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    • 2014
  • Building simulation is used in a variety of sectors. In its early years, building simulation was mainly used in the design phase of a building for basic functions. Recently, however, it has become increasingly important during the operating phase, for commissioning and facility management. Most building simulation tools are used to estimate the thermal environment and energy consumption performance, and hence, they require the inputting of hourly weather data. A building simulation used for prediction should take into account the use of standard weather data. Weather data, which is used as input for a building simulation, plays a crucial role in the prediction performance, and hence, the selection of appropriate weather data is considered highly important. The present study proposed a technique for generating real-time weather data files, as opposed to the standard weather data files, which are required for running the building simulation. The forecasted weather elements provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), the elements produced by the calculations, those utilizing the built-in functions of Energy Plus, and those that use standard values are combined for hourly input. The real-time weather data files generated using the technique proposed in the present study have been validated to compare with measured data and simulated data via EnergyPlus. The results of the present study are expected to increase the prediction accuracy of building control simulation results in the future.

Applying Rating Score's Reliability of Customers to Enhance Prediction Accuracy in Recommender System (추천 시스템의 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 고객 평가정보의 신뢰도 활용법)

  • Choeh, Joon Yeon;Lee, Seok Kee;Cho, Yeong Bin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.379-385
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    • 2013
  • On the internet, the rating scores assigned by customers are considered as the preference information of themselves and thus, these can be used efficiently in the customer profile generation process of recommender system. However, since anyone is free to assign a score that has a biased rating, using this without any filtering can exhibit a reliability problem. In this study, we suggest the methodology that measures the reliability of rating scores and then applies them to the customer profile creation process. Unlikely to some related studies which measure the reliability on the user level, we measure the reliability on the individual rating score level. Experimental results show that prediction accuracy of recommender system can be enhanced when ratings with higher reliability are selectively used for the customer profile configuration.