• 제목/요약/키워드: Generation Model

검색결과 5,392건 처리시간 0.038초

온실가스 배출권 거래제도를 고려한 경쟁적 전력시장 모형 연구 (A Study on the Model of Competitive Electricity Market Considering Emission Trading)

  • 김상훈;이광호;김욱
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제58권8호
    • /
    • pp.1496-1503
    • /
    • 2009
  • The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is an international environmental treaty to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere. In order to fulfil the commitments of the countries in an economically efficient way, the UNFCCC adapted the emission trading scheme in the Kyoto Protocol. If the UNFCCC's scheme is enforced in the country, considerable changes in electric power industry are expected due to the imposed greenhouse gas emission reduction. This paper proposes a game theoretic model of the case when generation companies participate in both competitive electricity market and emission market simultaneously. The model is designed such that generation companies select strategically between power quantity and greenhouse gas reduction to maximize their profits in both markets. Demand function and Environmental Welfare of emission trading market is proposed in this model. From the simulation results using the proposed model the impact of the emission trading on generation companies seems very severe in case that the emission prices are significantly high.

3차원 교량정보 모델링에 따른 IFC 기반 트러스교 구조해석정보 자동생성 모듈 (Automatic Generation Module of IFC-based Structural Analysis Information Model Through 3-D Bridge Information Modeling)

  • 이진훈;김효진;이상호
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국전산구조공학회 2007년도 정기 학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.809-812
    • /
    • 2007
  • Automatic generation method of structural analysis model data for a truss bridge is presented through 3-D bridge information modeling based on Industry Foundation Classes(IFC). The mapping schema is proposed between a steel bridge information model based on STEP and a truss bridge information model based on the IFC. The geometry information from mapping is presented by IFC model, and SAP 2000 that can import the IFC file performs the structural analysis. Numerical analysis for a truss bridge is performed in this paper.

  • PDF

ARIMA Based Wind Speed Modeling for Wind Farm Reliability Analysis and Cost Estimation

  • Rajeevan, A.K.;Shouri, P.V;Nair, Usha
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제11권4호
    • /
    • pp.869-877
    • /
    • 2016
  • Necessity has compelled man to improve upon the art of tapping wind energy for power generation; an apt reliever of strain exerted on the non-renewable fossil fuel. The power generation in a Wind Farm (WF) depends on site and wind velocity which varies with time and season which in turn determine wind power modeling. It implies, the development of an accurate wind speed model to predict wind power fluctuations at a particular site is significant. In this paper, Box-Jenkins ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) time series model for wind speed is developed for a 99MW wind farm in the southern region of India. Because of the uncertainty in wind power developed, the economic viability and reliability of power generation is significant. Life Cycle Costing (LCC) method is used to determine the economic viability of WF generated power. Reliability models of WF are developed with the help of load curve of the utility grid and Capacity Outage Probability Table (COPT). ARIMA wind speed model is used for developing COPT. The values of annual reliability indices and variations of risk index of the WF with system peak load are calculated. Such reliability models of large WF can be used in generation system planning.

Few-Shot Image Synthesis using Noise-Based Deep Conditional Generative Adversarial Nets

  • Msiska, Finlyson Mwadambo;Hassan, Ammar Ul;Choi, Jaeyoung;Yoo, Jaewon
    • 스마트미디어저널
    • /
    • 제10권1호
    • /
    • pp.79-87
    • /
    • 2021
  • In recent years research on automatic font generation with machine learning mainly focus on using transformation-based methods, in comparison, generative model-based methods of font generation have received less attention. Transformation-based methods learn a mapping of the transformations from an existing input to a target. This makes them ambiguous because in some cases a single input reference may correspond to multiple possible outputs. In this work, we focus on font generation using the generative model-based methods which learn the buildup of the characters from noise-to-image. We propose a novel way to train a conditional generative deep neural model so that we can achieve font style control on the generated font images. Our research demonstrates how to generate new font images conditioned on both character class labels and character style labels when using the generative model-based methods. We achieve this by introducing a modified generator network which is given inputs noise, character class, and style, which help us to calculate losses separately for the character class labels and character style labels. We show that adding the character style vector on top of the character class vector separately gives the model rich information about the font and enables us to explicitly specify not only the character class but also the character style that we want the model to generate.

하이브리드 모델을 이용하여 중단기 태양발전량 예측 (Mid- and Short-term Power Generation Forecasting using Hybrid Model)

  • 손남례
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제26권4_2호
    • /
    • pp.715-724
    • /
    • 2023
  • Solar energy forecasting is essential for (1) power system planning, management, and operation, requiring accurate predictions. It is crucial for (2) ensuring a continuous and sustainable power supply to customers and (3) optimizing the operation and control of renewable energy systems and the electricity market. Recently, research has been focusing on developing solar energy forecasting models that can provide daily plans for power usage and production and be verified in the electricity market. In these prediction models, various data, including solar energy generation and climate data, are chosen to be utilized in the forecasting process. The most commonly used climate data (such as temperature, relative humidity, precipitation, solar radiation, and wind speed) significantly influence the fluctuations in solar energy generation based on weather conditions. Therefore, this paper proposes a hybrid forecasting model by combining the strengths of the Prophet model and the GRU model, which exhibits excellent predictive performance. The forecasting periods for solar energy generation are tested in short-term (2 days, 7 days) and medium-term (15 days, 30 days) scenarios. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach outperforms the conventional Prophet model by more than twice in terms of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and surpasses the modified GRU model by more than 1.5 times, showcasing superior performance.

강우모의모형의 모수 추정 최적화 기법의 적합성 분석 (Analysis of the applicability of parameter estimation methods for a stochastic rainfall generation model)

  • 조현곤;이경은;김광섭
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제28권6호
    • /
    • pp.1447-1456
    • /
    • 2017
  • 강우현상을 구조적으로 모형화한 확률적 강우모의모형의 활용성이 증대되는 상황에서 확률적 강우모의모형의 모수에 대한 정확한 추정은 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 확률적 강우모의모형 (Neyman-Scott rectangular pulse model, NSRPM)의 모수를 DFP (Davidon-Fletcher-Powell), GA (genetic algorithm), Nelder-Mead, DE (differential evolution) 기법으로 추정하고 추정된 모수의 적합성을 분석하고 지역특성에 적합한 모수 추정 기법을 제시하였다. 낙동강 유역의 20개 강우 관측 지점을 대상으로 1973년-2017년 기간 동안의 여름철 1시간 강수자료 이용하여 산정된 모형 모수를 분석한 결과, 전반적으로 DE, Nelder-Mead기법이 가장 좋은 결과를 보였으며 DFP, GA기법은 상대적으로 낮은 적합도를 보였다.

암모니아 공급 고체산화물 연료전지의 1D 반응 모델 (1D Kinetics Model of NH3-Fed Solid Oxide Fuel Cell)

  • 잡반티엔;쿠엔;안국영;배용균;이선엽;김영상
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
    • /
    • 제33권6호
    • /
    • pp.723-732
    • /
    • 2022
  • Cracking ammonia inside solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) stack is a compact and simple way. To prevent sharp temperature fluctuation and increase cell efficiency, the decomposition reaction should be spread on whole cell area. This leading to a question that, how does anode thickness affect the conversion rate of ammonia and the cell voltage? Since the 0D model of SOFC is useful for system level simulation, how accurate is it to use equilibrium solver for internal ammonia cracking reaction? The 1D model of ammonia fed SOFC was used to simulate the diffusion and reaction of ammonia inside the anode electrode, then the partial pressure of hydrogen and steam at triple phase boundary was used for cell voltage calculation. The result shows that, the ammonia conversion rate increases and reaches saturated value as anode thickness increase, and the saturated thickness is bigger for lower operating temperature. The similar cell voltage between 1D and 0D models can be reached with NH3 conversion rate above 90%. The 0D model and 1D model of SOFC showed similar conversion rate at temperature over 750℃.

불확실성을 고려한 장기 전원 포트폴리오의 평가 (The Evaluation of Long-Term Generation Portfolio Considering Uncertainty)

  • 정재우;민대기
    • 한국경영과학회지
    • /
    • 제37권3호
    • /
    • pp.135-150
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper presents a portfolio model for a long-term power generation mix problem. The proposed portfolio model evaluates generation mix by considering the tradeoffs between the expected cost for power generation and its variability. Unlike conventional portfolio models measuring variance, we introduce Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) in designing the variability with aims to considering events that are enormously expensive but are rare such as nuclear power plant accidents. Further, we consider uncertainties associated with future electricity demand, fuel prices and their correlations, and capital costs for power plant investments. To obtain an objective generation by each energy source, we employ the sample average approximation method that approximates the stochastic objective function by taking the average of large sample values so that provides asymptotic convergence of optimal solutions. In addition, the method includes Monte Carlo simulation techniques in generating random samples from multivariate distributions. Applications of the proposed model and method are demonstrated through a case study of an electricity industry with nuclear, coal, oil (OCGT), and LNG (CCGT) in South Korea.

이완법을 이용한 SWASH 모형의 파랑 조파기법 개선 (Improvement of Wave Generation for SWASH Model Using Relaxation Method)

  • 신충훈;윤성범
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제29권4호
    • /
    • pp.169-179
    • /
    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 선형 및 비선형파의 안정적이고 정확한 조파를 위해 이완법을 이용한 조파기법을 비정수압 수치모형인 SWASH 모형에 적용하였다. 이완법을 이용한 조파기법을 검증하기 위해 선형파와 비선형파인 경우에 대해 수치실험을 수행하였고 해석해와 비교하였다. 그 결과 Stokes 파 영역으로부터 cnoidal 파 영역에 이르는 모든 경우의 입사파랑이 성공적으로 생성되고 전파되었다. 또한 파고와 파형이 해석해와 잘 일치하는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

태양광발전 단기예측모델 개발 (The Development of the Short-Term Predict Model for Solar Power Generation)

  • 김광득
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제33권6호
    • /
    • pp.62-69
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this paper, Korea Institute of Energy Research, building integrated renewable energy monitoring system that utilizes solar power generation forecast data forecast model is proposed. Renewable energy integration of real-time monitoring system based on monitoring data were building a database and the database of the weather conditions and to study the correlation structure was tailoring. The weather forecast cloud cover data, generation data, and solar radiation data, a data mining and time series analysis using the method developed models to forecast solar power. The development of solar power in order to forecast model of weather forecast data it is important to secure. To this end, in three hours, including a three-day forecast today Meteorological data were used from the KMA(korea Meteorological Administration) site offers. In order to verify the accuracy of the predicted solar circle for each prediction and the actual environment can be applied to generation and were analyzed.