• Title/Summary/Keyword: GENERALIZED LINEAR MODEL

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Bankruptcy Prediction Model with AR process (AR 프로세스를 이용한 도산예측모형)

  • 이군희;지용희
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 2001
  • The detection of corporate failures is a subject that has been particularly amenable to cross-sectional financial ratio analysis. In most of firms, however, the financial data are available over past years. Because of this, a model utilizing these longitudinal data could provide useful information on the prediction of bankruptcy. To correctly reflect the longitudinal and firm-specific data, the generalized linear model with assuming the first order AR(autoregressive) process is proposed. The method is motivated by the clinical research that several characteristics are measured repeatedly from individual over the time. The model is compared with several other predictive models to evaluate the performance. By using the financial data from manufacturing corporations in the Korea Stock Exchange (KSE) list, we will discuss some experiences learned from the procedure of sampling scheme, variable transformation, imputation, variable selection, and model evaluation. Finally, implications of the model with repeated measurement and future direction of research will be discussed.

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Properties of a Generalized Impulse Response Gramian with Application to Model Reduction

  • Choo, Younseok;Choi, Jaeho
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.516-522
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    • 2004
  • In this paper we investigate the properties of a generalized impulse response Gramian. The recursive relationship satisfied by the family of Gramians is established. It is shown that the generalized impulse response Gramian contains information on the characteristic polynomial of a linear time-invariant continuous system. The results are applied to model reduction problem.

Modeling Approaches for Dynamic Robust Design Experiment

  • Bae, Suk-Joo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.373-376
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    • 2006
  • In general, there are three kinds of methods in analyzing dynamic robust design experiment: loss model approach, response function approach, and response model approach. In this talk, we review the three modeling approaches in terms of several criteria in comparison. This talk also generalizes the response model approach based on a generalized linear model. We develop a generalized two-step optimization procedure to substantially reduce the process variance by dampening the effect of both explicit and hidden noise variables. The proposed method provides more reliable results through iterative modeling of the residuals from the fitted response model. The method is compared with three existing approaches in practical examples.

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A Balanced Model Reduction for Uncertain Nonlinear Systems (불확실한 비선형 시스템의 균형화된 모델축소)

  • Yoo, Seog-Hwan;Choi, Byung-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.144-149
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    • 2006
  • This paper deals with a balanced model reduction for uncertain nonlinear systems via T-S fuzzy approach. We define a generalized controllability/observability gramian and obtain a balanced state space model using generalized gramians which can be obtained from solutions of linear matrix inequalities. We present a balanced model reduction scheme by truncating not only state variables but also uncertain elements. An upper bound of the model reduction error will also be suggested. In order to demonstrate the efficacy of our method, a numerical example will be presented.

Binary regression model using skewed generalized t distributions (기운 일반화 t 분포를 이용한 이진 데이터 회귀 분석)

  • Kim, Mijeong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.775-791
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    • 2017
  • We frequently encounter binary data in real life. Logistic, Probit, Cauchit, Complementary log-log models are often used for binary data analysis. In order to analyze binary data, Liu (2004) proposed a Robit model, in which the inverse of cdf of the Student's t distribution is used as a link function. Kim et al. (2008) also proposed a generalized t-link model to make the binary regression model more flexible. The more flexible skewed distributions allow more flexible link functions in generalized linear models. In the sense, we propose a binary data regression model using skewed generalized t distributions introduced in Theodossiou (1998). We implement R code of the proposed models using the glm function included in R base and R sgt package. We also analyze Pima Indian data using the proposed model in R.

Estimation of nonlinear GARCH-M model (비선형 평균 일반화 이분산 자기회귀모형의 추정)

  • Shim, Joo-Yong;Lee, Jang-Taek
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.831-839
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    • 2010
  • Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) is a kernel trick gaining a lot of popularities in the regression and classification problems. We use LS-SVM to propose a iterative algorithm for a nonlinear generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model in the mean (GARCH-M) model to estimate the mean and the conditional volatility of stock market returns. The proposed method combines a weighted LS-SVM for the mean and unweighted LS-SVM for the conditional volatility. In this paper, we show that nonlinear GARCH-M models have a higher performance than the linear GARCH model and the linear GARCH-M model via real data estimations.

Maximum likelihood estimation of Logistic random effects model (로지스틱 임의선형 혼합모형의 최대우도 추정법)

  • Kim, Minah;Kyung, Minjung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.957-981
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    • 2017
  • A generalized linear mixed model is an extension of a generalized linear model that allows random effect as well as provides flexibility in developing a suitable model when observations are correlated or when there are other underlying phenomena that contribute to resulting variability. We describe maximum likelihood estimation methods for logistic regression models that include random effects - the Laplace approximation, Gauss-Hermite quadrature, adaptive Gauss-Hermite quadrature, and pseudo-likelihood. Applications are provided with social science problems by analyzing the effect of mental health and life satisfaction on volunteer activities from Korean welfare panel data; in addition, we observe that the inclusion of random effects in the model leads to improved analyses with more reasonable inferences.

Effects on Regression Estimates under Misspecified Generalized Linear Mixed Models for Counts Data

  • Jeong, Kwang Mo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1037-1047
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    • 2012
  • The generalized linear mixed model(GLMM) is widely used in fitting categorical responses of clustered data. In the numerical approximation of likelihood function the normality is assumed for the random effects distribution; subsequently, the commercial statistical packages also routinely fit GLMM under this normality assumption. We may also encounter departures from the distributional assumption on the response variable. It would be interesting to investigate the impact on the estimates of parameters under misspecification of distributions; however, there has been limited researche on these topics. We study the sensitivity or robustness of the maximum likelihood estimators(MLEs) of GLMM for counts data when the true underlying distribution is normal, gamma, exponential, and a mixture of two normal distributions. We also consider the effects on the MLEs when we fit Poisson-normal GLMM whereas the outcomes are generated from the negative binomial distribution with overdispersion. Through a small scale Monte Carlo study we check the empirical coverage probabilities of parameters and biases of MLEs of GLMM.

Generalized Linear Models for the Analysis of Data from the Quality-Improvement Experiments (일반화 선형모형을 통한 품질개선실험 자료분석)

  • Lee, Youngjo;Lim, Yong Bin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.128-141
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    • 1996
  • The advent of the quality-improvement movement caused a great expansion in the use of statistically designed experiments in industry. The regression method is often used for the analysis of data from such experiments. However, the data for a quality characterstic often takes the form of counts or the ratio of counts, e.g. fraction of defectives. For such data the analysis using generalized linear models is preferred to that using the simple regression model. In this paper we introduce the generalized linear model and show how it can be used for the analysis of non-normal data from quality-improvement experiments.

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Design of Experiment Using Design Matrix in Terms of Generalized Linear Model (일반화 선형모형의 디자인 행렬을 이용한 품질 실험 설계)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2009.04a
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    • pp.423-427
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    • 2009
  • This study proposes the generation mechanism of various design matrix using generalized linear model for design of experiment. Design generation method of GLM analysis, factorial design(FD) with center points, ANOVA design with lack-of-fit test, and response surface design are introduced. In central composite(CC) design, orthogonal blocking and fractional factorial design(FFD) are presented. We compare the design of Box-Benhken(BB) and face-centred central compsite design.

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