• Title/Summary/Keyword: GDP Effects

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Value of Information Technology Outsourcing: An Empirical Analysis of Korean Industries (IT 아웃소싱의 가치에 관한 연구: 한국 산업에 대한 실증분석)

  • Han, Kun-Soo;Lee, Kang-Bae
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.115-137
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    • 2010
  • Information technology (IT) outsourcing, the use of a third-party vendor to provide IT services, started in the late 1980s and early 1990s in Korea, and has increased rapidly since 2000. Recently, firms have increased their efforts to capture greater value from IT outsourcing. To date, there have been a large number of studies on IT outsourcing. Most prior studies on IT outsourcing have focused on outsourcing practices and decisions, and little attention has been paid to objectively measuring the value of IT outsourcing. In addition, studies that examined the performance of IT outsourcing have mainly relied on anecdotal evidence or practitioners' perceptions. Our study examines the contribution of IT outsourcing to economic growth in Korean industries over the 1990 to 2007 period, using a production function framework and a panel data set for 54 industries constructed from input-output tables, fixed-capital formation tables, and employment tables. Based on the framework and estimation procedures that Han, Kauffman and Nault (2010) used to examine the economic impact of IT outsourcing in U.S. industries, we evaluate the impact of IT outsourcing on output and productivity in Korean industries. Because IT outsourcing started to grow at a significantly more rapid pace in 2000, we compare the impact of IT outsourcing in pre- and post-2000 periods. Our industry-level panel data cover a large proportion of Korean economy-54 out of 58 Korean industries. This allows us greater opportunity to assess the impacts of IT outsourcing on objective performance measures, such as output and productivity. Using IT outsourcing and IT capital as our primary independent variables, we employ an extended Cobb-Douglas production function in which both variables are treated as factor inputs. We also derive and estimate a labor productivity equation to assess the impact of our IT variables on labor productivity. We use data from seven years (1990, 1993, 2000, 2003, 2005, 2006, and 2007) for which both input-output tables and fixed-capital formation tables are available. Combining the input-output tables and fixed-capital formation tables resulted in 54 industries. IT outsourcing is measured as the value of computer-related services purchased by each industry in a given year. All the variables have been converted to 2000 Korean Won using GDP deflators. To calculate labor hours, we use the average work hours for each sector provided by the OECD. To effectively control for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation present in our dataset, we use the feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) procedures. Because the AR1 process may be industry-specific (i.e., panel-specific), we consider both common AR1 and panel-specific AR1 (PSAR1) processes in our estimations. We also include year dummies to control for year-specific effects common across industries, and sector dummies (as defined in the GDP deflator) to control for time-invariant sector-specific effects. Based on the full sample of 378 observations, we find that a 1% increase in IT outsourcing is associated with a 0.012~0.014% increase in gross output and a 1% increase in IT capital is associated with a 0.024~0.027% increase in gross output. To compare the contribution of IT outsourcing relative to that of IT capital, we examined gross marginal product (GMP). The average GMP of IT outsourcing was 6.423, which is substantially greater than that of IT capital at 2.093. This indicates that on average if an industry invests KRW 1 millon, it can increase its output by KRW 6.4 million. In terms of the contribution to labor productivity, we find that a 1% increase in IT outsourcing is associated with a 0.009~0.01% increase in labor productivity while a 1% increase in IT capital is associated with a 0.024~0.025% increase in labor productivity. Overall, our results indicate that IT outsourcing has made positive and economically meaningful contributions to output and productivity in Korean industries over the 1990 to 2007 period. The average GMP of IT outsourcing we report about Korean industries is 1.44 times greater than that in U.S. industries reported in Han et al. (2010). Further, we find that the contribution of IT outsourcing has been significantly greater in the 2000~2007 period during which the growth of IT outsourcing accelerated. Our study provides implication for policymakers and managers. First, our results suggest that Korean industries can capture further benefits by increasing investments in IT outsourcing. Second, our analyses and results provide a basis for managers to assess the impact of investments in IT outsourcing and IT capital in an objective and quantitative manner. Building on our study, future research should examine the impact of IT outsourcing at a more detailed industry level and the firm level.

The Impacts of Chinese Seaborne Trade Volume on The World Economy (중국 품목별 수출입이 세계 경제에 미치는 영향 실증분석)

  • Ahn, Young-Gyun;Lee, Min-Kyu
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.111-129
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    • 2017
  • According to the World Bank statistics, China's contribution to global economic growth during the year of 2013-2016 was estimated at 31.6 percent. This figure is even larger than 29.0 percent, the contribution by summing each contribution of the United States, EU and Japan. The Chinese commodity trade accounts for up to 11.5 percent of world trade volume. Thus, we can consider that the Chinese economy has a strong influence on the global economy. The primary purpose of this study is to analyze the contribution level of Chinese seaborne trade volume on world economy. First, this study conducted a time-lag analysis using Moran test, so we can find that China's level of contribution to global economic growth varies from time to time. The contribution of the first phase (1999-2007) was nearly three times higher than the contributions from the second phase (2008-2016), suggesting that the overall contraction of the global trade volume starting from the subprime mortgage crisis in 2008 has continued until recently and recovery has not even occurred. Second, using the econometrics model, this study conducted an regression analysis of the impact of Chinese imports and exports in chemicals, grain, steel, crude oil, and container on global economic growth. Fixed effects model with time series data has been applied to examine the effect of Chinese seaborne trade volume on global economic growth. According to the empirical analysis of this study, China's exports of steel products, exports of container, imports of containers, imports of crude oil and imports of grain have significant contributions to global economic growth. Estimates of China's exports of steel products, exports of container, imports of containers, imports of crude oil and imports of grain are 1.023, 1.020, 1.019, 1.007 and 1.006, respectively. For example, the estimated value 1.023 of China's exports of steel products means that the growth rate can be 1.023 times higher than the current world GDP growth rate if Chinese seaborne trade volume of exports of steel products increased by one unit (one million tons). This study concludes that the expansion of China's imports and exports should be realized first to increase the global GDP growth rate. The expansion of Chinese trade can lead to a simultaneous stimulus of production and consumption in China, which can even lead to global economic growth ultimately. Thus, depending on how much China's trade will be broaden in the future, the width of global economic growth can be determined.

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An Effect of FDI and Human Capital on Economic Growth Using VECM in Korea (VECM을 이용한 한국 외국인직접투자와 인적자본의 경제성장 효과)

  • Jung, Young-Chul;Kim, Seong-Ki;Seo, Min-Kyo;Kang, Han-Gyoun
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.87-114
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the economic effects of Foreign Direct Investment(FDI) and human capital using VECM in Korea from 1970 to 2009. Empirical results through VECM show that the coefficients of GDP, GFO(gross fixed capital), LAB(total labor), EXO(export), PCDB(public and commercial loan) and FDI have had a positive impact on Korean economic growth. In contrast, the effects of PCDB and FDI were not as significant as the other variables. In particular, the interaction effect, $FDI^*EDU$(the college graduation variable), was more important than that of the FDI alone. However, the coefficient of $FDI^*EDU$ was not so big. Korean government needs to attract more FDI to enhance Korean economic growth rate by the improvement of investment environment. There are a big amount gap between notification FDI and arrival FDI in Korea. So Korean government and companies should actively persuade foreign investors to invest after their investment notification. Also the Korean college authorities should emphasize more on curriculum which adapts to company skill in the field work.

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A Study on the Effect of EXPO 2012 Yeosu on the Economy of Gwangyang Bay Area (여수세계박람회의 경제적 효과 제고방안: 광양만권을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Gil-Seong;Park, Bok-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.37-55
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    • 2008
  • This paper attempts to examine the effect of EXPO 2012 Yeosu on the economy of Gwangyang bay area. Based on previous successful EXPOs, We identified four major positive effects (direct economic impact, regional infrastructure developments, redevelopment of slum areas and industrial complex, and internationalization of Gwangyang bay area). Especially, EXPO 2012 Yeosu will contribute to make the job creation of 97,842 employees and promote tourism industry. To maximize the above positive effects of EXPO 2012 Yeosu, we suggest several strategic alternatives in this paper. First of all, we need to make several plans for realizing the specialized theme of EXPO 2012 Yeosu. Second, local governments should create a more favorable business environment for foreign investors. Third, we have to make the strategic tourism programs to attract foreign tourists. Finally, local governments need to make the several communication strategies of utilizing mass media and non-mass media.

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The Effect of Workforce Aging on Human Capital Job and Regional Economic Performance in Korea: focusing on Metro Cities and Provinces (노동력 고령화가 인적자본 취업비중과 1인당 지역총생산에 미치는 효과: 우리나라 광역시와 도를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Seong-Hoon;Lee, Hyangsoo;Jung, Yonghun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes the effects of aging workforce on human capital and the per capita gross regional domestic product, using regional panel statistics from 1995 to 2017. According to the results of the two-stage least-squares panel regression analysis reflecting the fixed effects by region, the aging of the labor force had no effect on the human capital employment ratio and per capita gross domestic product in the metropolitan cities, but reduced human capital and per capita gross domestic product in the provinces. The share of service businesses had a positive effect on human capital in metropolitan cities, but the effect was not significant in the provinces. Human capital significantly contributed to the increase in per capita gross regional domestic product in the metropolitan cities, but the physical capital stock significantly contributed to the increase in per capita gross regional domestic product in the provinces. The results of this study suggest that the human capital job policy and the per capita regional GDP growth policy due to the aging workforce may be different between metropolitan cities and provinces.

An Empirical Study on the Impact of Korea Wave on the number of Foreign Tourists to Korea by age (한류가 연령별 외국인 관광객 방한에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증연구)

  • Lee, Yun-Jae;Shim, Kieun;Hong, Hye-Jeong
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.21-35
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    • 2017
  • The Korea Wave has been spread out all over the world since 1990s. Therefore, it can be seen that the Korea wave phenomenon is one of determinants of international tourism demand for Korea in addition to the macro factors such as population, GDP per capita, exchange rate, distance, etc. Existing studies have focused on analyzing the impacts of the Korea wave on the international tourism demand for Korea by using the aggregated data. However, the impacts of the Korea wave inducing tourism vary in different age groups. In this study, we conduct empirical analysis in order to explore how different the effects of Korea wave on the demand of foreign tourists visiting to Korea in different age groups are. The estimation results show that the Korea Wave influences most on international tourism demand for Korea in the age group of the under-20s. Noticeable is that the estimated effects of the Korea Wave on international tourism demand for Korea in the age group of the over-50s are higher than those in the 30s and 40s. This indicates that the parent generations visit Korea together with their young children who are most affected by the Korea Wave. Through this study, it is necessary to develop strategies for tourism marketing linked to children and parents, and to develop tourism products to increase the number of foreign visitors to Korea in the 30s and 40s.

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A Study on the Trade Effects of FTAs in Busan's Manufacturing Industry (FTA가 부산지역 제조업의 무역에 미치는 영향)

  • Hwang, Young-Soon;Kim, Hong-Youl
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.517-541
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    • 2012
  • Since the Korea-Chile FTA in 2003, eight FTAs are now in force including Korea-EU and Korea-US FTA. The government anticipate that FTAs increase the GDP of Korea. Government-related research institutes officially reports the positive economic impact in Korea. However, the report does not show that how much Busan economy is affected by the FTAs. For this reason, we study the economic effects of FTAs in Busan. We compare the trade statistics before and after the time each FTA is in force. The resulting figures show that the exports and trades of Busan with the FTA nations increased significantly after the enforcement. For example, the exports to Chile increased by 273% when we compare the three-year average trade. We also construct an econometrics model to estimate the price elasticity. The estimated elasticity of exports for manufactured goods is 1.38 while that of imports is 0.83. Among the manufacturing industry, machinery has the highest price elasticity, 1.8. The average tariff for manufactured goods is 3.9% for FTA nations, while that is 5.8% for Busan. This higher price fall in Busan is offset by the lower price elasticity to make Busan's export increase be greater than Busan's import increase. Busan's export increases by 4.8% while import increases by 3.7%. So, it is expected to be added to the annual trade surplus of approximately $107million.

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Shipbuilding Industry's Employment Linkage Effects across Regions and Industries using the Hypothetical Extraction Method (가상추출법을 이용한 조선업의 지역·산업간 고용연관효과)

  • Byeon, Jang-Seop
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 2016
  • In order to address the crisis of the regional employment structure caused by the recent restructuring of the shipbuilding industry, this study estimates the shipbuilding industry's Employment Linkage Effect(ELE) across regions and industries. Consequently, the study uses the hypothetical extraction method on the shipbuilding industry from the 2013 Regional Input-output Table. The analysis results are as follows. First, the shipbuilding industry's ELE across industries is estimated at its highest in wholesale and retail, followed by shipment, other manufacturing, project supporting service, machine and equipment manufacturing, and metal product manufacturing. These industries either have a high employment to GDP ratio or are directly related to the shipbuilding industry in terms of production activities. Second, the Southeastern Korea's ELE on South Jeolla Province is very low, and, accordingly, South Jeolla Province is isolated in the employment structure of the shipbuilding industry. Therefore, when the government establishes measures to tackle the crisis of employment caused by the shipbuilding industry's restructuring, it should prioritize identifying such regional employment structures, as demonstrated above, and incorporate them into the regional industry policy.

An Empirical Study on the Korean Trade of International Tourism Services - Focusing on 16 nations including US, Japan and China - (한국 관광교역 현황분석을 위한 실증연구 - 미국·중국·일본 등 16개국을 중심으로 -)

  • Chung, Eun-Kyung;Kim, Chul;Choi, Young Jun
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.413-438
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    • 2009
  • Tourism is an attractive field of industry to many countries due to its strong potentials in increasing employment rates as well as improving the national image. The positive effect of the tourism on the national economy and globalization has been recognized in Korea. A multilateral effort has been made in order to develop its tourist industry. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the patterns of tourism demand in Korea. The present study analyzes and demonstrates the effects of a nation's characteristics on tourism demand. The study model was based on factors that affected tourism demand, especially emphasizing on the economic size, distance, national income, and language differences from the mother country. In particular, this study highlights the effects of economic relations between the countries and their exchange rate on tourism demand. In summary, this thesis demonstrates that actual national and international panel data enhance the credibility of the research and precisely determine factors that have a direct influence on tourism demand. A corresponding strategy of development and products are required as most tourists show the preference in advanced nations.

EU Enlargement and economic environmental change of Russia and Eastern Europe - From asymmetry and subsidiarity paradigm in industrial cooperative paradigm (EU의 동방확대에 따른 동유럽·러시아간의 경제 환경 변화 - 비대칭성 및 보완성 패러다임에서 산업협력 패러다임으로)

  • Kim, Sang Won
    • Journal of International Area Studies (JIAS)
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.135-156
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    • 2009
  • The two waves of EU enlargement in 2004 and 2007, have been milestones of European integration. While research has been conducted into the impact of these events on both the European and the global economies,1 there have been few attempts to assess the effects of EU enlargement and the introduction of the euro on countries such as Russia, which neighbour the EU but currently have no perspective of accession. This paper aims to provide an assessment of the effects that EU enlargement and the introduction of the euro have had on Russia, the largest country neighbouring the EU. In particular, it focuses on trade and investment links between the EU and Russia, as well as the use of the energy by Russian residents and authorities. Economic links between Russia and the EU are found to have strengthened considerably in the areas of trade, investment and other financial flows in recent years. Strong growth, particularly in Russia, as well as the high price of oil and gas, Russia's major export items, has facilitated this expansion of trade and finance. Moreover, available data do not suggest that EU enlargement has had a negative impact on Russia in terms of trade or investment diversion. Thus, the strategic partnership between Russia and the EU has been increasingly underpinned by an expansion of cross-border economic activities. Thus, the paper contributes to two broad strands of literature on this subject, namely the impact of regional trade and economic arrangements on non-member countries and the international role of currencies.