• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy assessment

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A Fuzzy-based Risk Assessment using Uncertainty Model (불확실성 모델을 사용한 퍼지 위험도분석)

  • Choi Hyun-Ho;Seo Jong-Won;Jung Pyung-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.473-476
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a systematic risk assessment procedure with uncertainty modeling for general construction projects. Since the approach is able to effectively deal with all the related construction risks in terms of the assumed probability with conditional probability concept that systematically incorporate expert's experiences and subjective judgement, the proposed methods with uncertainty modeling is able to apply to all the construction projects inherent in lots of uncertain risk events. The fuzzy set theory is adopted to enhance risk assessment to effectively handle the vague and dynamic phenomenon of an event Therefore, the fuzzy-based risk assessment is very useful, for those countries, such as Korea, where objective probabilistic data for risk assessment is extremely rare, and thus the utilization of subjective judgmental data based on expert's experiences is inevitable.

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Real-time Stability Assessment and Energy Margin Estimation using Fuzzy (퍼지를 이용한 실시간 안정도 판별과 에너지 마진의 추정)

  • Choi, Won-Chan;Kim, Soo-Nam;You, Seok-Ku
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.07c
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    • pp.1239-1241
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we propose real time transient stability assessment and energy margin estimation using fuzzy approximate reasoning. The proposed method used rotor angle, kinetic energy and acceleration power of generators at clearing time as fuzzy input. In order to calculate energy margin in transient energy function (TEF), we obtained controlling unstable equilibrium point (UEP) using mode of disturbance procedure (MOD). The proposed algorithm is tested on 4-machine, 6-bus, 7-line power system to prove of effectiveness.

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The Condition and Safety Assessment using Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis for Bridge System (퍼지결함수분석을 이용한 교량시스템의 상태 및 안전성 평가)

  • 이중빈;나기현;손용우;박주원
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 1999
  • This paper aims to propose a method that helps maintenance engineers to evaluate the damage states of bridge systems by using a Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis(FFTA). It may be stated that Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis may be may useful for the systematic md rational condition and safety assessment for real bridge systems problems because the approach is able to effectively deal with all the related bridge system damages in terms of the linguistic variables that incorporate systematically experts experiences and subjective judgement.

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MCDM Approach for Flood Vulnerability Assessment using TOPSIS Method with α Cut Level Sets (α-cut Fuzzy TOPSIS 기법을 적용한 다기준 홍수취약성 평가)

  • Lee, Gyumin;Chung, Eun-Sung;Jun, Kyung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.10
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    • pp.977-987
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to develop a multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) approach for flood vulnerability assessment which considers uncertainty. The flood vulnerability assessment procedure consists of three steps: (1) use the Delphi process to determine the criteria and their corresponding weights-the adopted criteria represent the social, economic, and environmental circumstances related to floods, (2) construct a fuzzy data matrix for the flood vulnerability criteria using fuzzification and standardization, and (3) set priorities based on the number of assessed vulnerabilities. This study uses a modified fuzzy TOPSIS method based on ${\alpha}$-level sets which considers various uncertainties related to weight derivation and crisp data aggregation. Further, Spearman's rank correlation analysis is used to compare the rankings obtained using the proposed method with those obtained using fuzzy TOPSIS with fuzzy data, TOPSIS, and WSM methods with crisp data. The fuzzy TOPSIS method based on ${\alpha}$-cut level sets is found to have a higher correlation rate than the other methods, and thus, it can reduce the difference of the rankings which uses crisp and fuzzy data. Thus, the proposed flood vulnerability assessment method can effectively support flood management policies.

Logical Consistency in Risk Assessment using the Korean Fuzzy Linguistic Variables (한국어 퍼지 언어변수를 이용한 리스크 평가의 논리적 일관성)

  • Lim, Hyeon-Kyo;Byun, Sanghun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.120-125
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    • 2016
  • Usually, a risk can be expressed as a product of likelihood and consequence of a hazard factor. Therefore, conventional risk assessment is carried out by frequency analysis and severity analysis, in turns. However, it is well known that intuitive thinking is another excellent way of thinking of human beings. This study aimed to confirm whether there exist any difference in risk assessment results derived by two different procedures - intuitive and analytical. Thus, the present study showed 10 different illustrations to 30 undergraduate students. Their responses were organized as fuzzy membership functions, and summarized as risk assessments, and compared. The results were also verified with the help of statistical hypothesis testing, which showed no significant difference. On the contrary, however, similarity measure used in fuzzy set theory was not credible as anticipated. Many cases failed to satisfy statistical hypothesis even with similarity measure higher than 0.60 so that only a trend could be accepted. In addition, a subject showed a somewhat consistent logical discrepancy in his response, which implied the necessity of sincere analysis in fuzzy formulations.

A New Traffic Congestion Detection and Quantification Method Based on Comprehensive Fuzzy Assessment in VANET

  • Rui, Lanlan;Zhang, Yao;Huang, Haoqiu;Qiu, Xuesong
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.41-60
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    • 2018
  • Recently, road traffic congestion is becoming a serious urban phenomenon, leading to massive adverse impacts on the ecology and economy. Therefore, solving this problem has drawn public attention throughout the world. One new promising solution is to take full advantage of vehicular ad hoc networks (VANETs). In this study, we propose a new traffic congestion detection and quantification method based on vehicle clustering and fuzzy assessment in VANET environment. To enhance real-time performance, this method collects traffic information by vehicle clustering. The average speed, road density, and average stop delay are selected as the characteristic parameters for traffic state identification. We use a comprehensive fuzzy assessment based on the three indicators to determine the road congestion condition. Simulation results show that the proposed method can precisely reflect the road condition and is more accurate and stable compared to existing algorithms.

Automated Assessment Of The Air Situation During The Preparation And Conduct Of Combat Operations Using A Decision Support System Based On Fuzzy Networks Of Target Installations

  • Volkov, Andriy;Bazilo, Serhii;Tokar, Oleksandr;Horbachov, Kostiantyn;Lutsyshyn, Andrii;Zaitsev, Ihor;Iasechko, Maksym
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.11
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    • pp.184-188
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    • 2022
  • The article considers the improved method and model of automated air situation assessment using a decision support system based on fuzzy networks of target installations. The advanced method of automated assessment of the air situation using the decision support system is based on the methodology of reflexive control of the first rank. With this approach, the process of assessing the air situation in the framework of the formulated task can be reduced to determining the purpose, probabilistic nature of actions and capabilities of the air target. The use of a homogeneous functional network for the formal presentation of air situation assessment processes will formally describe the process of determining classes of events during air situation assessment and the process of determining quantitative and qualitative characteristics of recognized air situation situations. To formalize the patterns of manifestation of the values of quantitative and symbolic information, it is proposed to use the mathematical apparatus of fuzzy sets.

Predictive Spatial Data Fusion Using Fuzzy Object Representation and Integration: Application to Landslide Hazard Assessment

  • Park, No-Wook;Chi, Kwang-Hoon;Chung, Chang-Jo;Kwon, Byung-Doo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.233-246
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a methodology to account for the partial or gradual changes of environmental phenomena in categorical map information for the fusion/integration of multiple spatial data. The fuzzy set based spatial data fusion scheme is applied in order to account for the fuzziness of boundaries in categorical information showing the partial or gradual environmental impacts. The fuzziness or uncertainty of boundary is represented as two kinds of fuzzy membership functions based on fuzzy object concept and the effects of them are quantitatively evaluated with the help of a cross validation procedure. A case study for landslide hazard assessment demonstrates the better performance of this scheme as compared to traditional crisp boundary representation.

Fuzzy Linguistic Variable Based Approach for Safety Assessment of Human Body in ELF Electromagnetic Field Considering Power System States (계통상태를 고려한 ELF 전자계의 인체안전평가를 위한 퍼지언어변수 접근법)

  • 김상철;김두현;고은영
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.70-79
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents a study on the fuzzy linguistic variable based approach for safety assessment of human body in ELF electromagnetic field considering power system states. To cope with the demand in modern industry, the power system becomes larger in scale, higher in voltage. The advent of high voltage system has increased the relative importance of field effects. The analysis of ELF electromagnetic field based on Quasi-Static Method is introduced while the power system is included to model the expected and/or unexpected uncertainty caused by the load fluctuation and parameter changes. In order to analyze the power system, Monte Carlo simulation method and contingency analysis method are adopted in normal state and alert state, respectively. In the safety assessment of human body, the approach based on fuzzy linguistic variable is employed to overcome the shortcomings resulting from a crisp set concept. The suggested scheme is applied to a sample system(modified IEEE 14 bus system) to validate the usefulness.

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Fuzzy-AHP-Based Technology Evaluation Model for venture firms (Fuzzy-AHP에 기반을 둔 벤처기업의 기술력 평가 모델)

  • Joun, Hyang-Soon;Lee, Sang-Yong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.363-371
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    • 2016
  • Technology evaluation for technology innovation of venture firms should take the rapidly changing corporate environment, the ambiguity of language used in evaluation, and the inaccuracy of evaluation index into consideration. In this paper, targeting the absorptive capacity and technological entrepreneurship which are typical evaluation factors of venture firms, an ACTEM model to calculate the importance, priority, and dynamic capability of factors, applying Fuzzy-AHP was proposed. The fuzzy theory was introduced to compensate for the ambiguity of cognitive judgments when calculating weighted values for the factors that made up an assessment scale. An assessment criteria framework for absorptive capacity, technological entrepreneurship, and dynamic capability, which were not considered in previous studies on the evaluation and measurement of technological prowess, so that the users could have a realistic alternative to choose. The study compared the ACTEM model with the old AHP assessment method and found that "knowledge acquisition" and "producing ability" were the highest in absorptive capacity and technological entrepreneurship, respectively, thus demonstrating its validity.