• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy Regression Analysis

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A Study on Fuzzy Trend Monitoring Method for Fault Detection of Gas Turbine Engine (가스터빈 엔진의 손상 진단을 위한 퍼지 경향감시 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kong, Chang-Duk;Kho, Seong-Hee;Ki, Ja-Young;Oh, Sung-Hwan;Kim, Ji-Hyun;Ko, Han-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2008
  • This work proposes a fuzzy trend monitoring method for the fault detection of a gas turbine engine through analyzing measured performance data trend. The proposed trend monitoring technique can diagnose the engine status by monitoring major engine measured parameters such as fuel flow rate, exhaust gas temperature, rotor rotational speed and vibration, and then analyzing their time deppendent changes. In order to perform this, firstly the measured engine performance data variation is formulated using Linear Regression, and then faults are isolated and identified using fuzzy logic.

Comparison of the Explanation on Visual Texture of Cotton Textiles using Regression Analysis and ANFIS - on Warmness (회귀분석과 ANFIS를 활용한 면직물의 시각적 질감에 대한 해석 비교 - 온난감을 중심으로)

  • 주정아;유효선
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2004
  • The regression analysis and Adaptive -Network based Fuzzy-inference system (ANFIS) were applied to the explanation on human's visual texture of cotton fabrics with 7 mechanical properties. The ANFIS uses the structure with fuzzy membership function and neural network. The results obtained by the statistical analysis through the coefficient of correlation and regression analysis showed that subjective texture had a linear relationship with mechanical properties. But It had a relatively low coefficient of determination and was difficult that the statistical analysis explained other relationship with the exception of a lineality and interaction among mechanical properties. Comparing the statistical analysis, the ANFIS was an effective tool to explain human's non-linear perceptions and their interactions. But to apply ANFIS to human's perceptions more effectively, it is necessary to discriminate effective input variables through controlling the properties of samples.

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A New Modeling Approach to Fuzzy-Neural Networks Architecture (퍼지 뉴럴 네트워크 구조로의 새로운 모델링 연구)

  • Park, Ho-Sung;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Yoon, Yang-Woung
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.664-674
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, as a new category of fuzzy-neural networks architecture, we propose Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks (FPNN) and discuss a comprehensive design methodology related to its architecture. FPNN dwells on the ideas of fuzzy rule-based computing and neural networks. The FPNN architecture consists of layers with activation nodes based on fuzzy inference rules. Here each activation node is presented as Fuzzy Polynomial Neuron(FPN). The conclusion part of the rules, especially the regression polynomial, uses several types of high-order polynomials such as linear, quadratic and modified quadratic. As the premise part of the rules, both triangular and Gaussian-like membership functions are studied. It is worth stressing that the number of the layers and the nods in each layer of the FPNN are not predetermined, unlike in the case of the popular multilayer perceptron structure, but these are generated in a dynamic manner. With the aid of two representative time series process data, a detailed design procedure is discussed, and the stability is introduced as a measure of stability of the model for the comparative analysis of various architectures.

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Support Vector Machine for Interval Regression

  • Hong Dug Hun;Hwang Changha
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2004
  • Support vector machine (SVM) has been very successful in pattern recognition and function estimation problems for crisp data. This paper proposes a new method to evaluate interval linear and nonlinear regression models combining the possibility and necessity estimation formulation with the principle of SVM. For data sets with crisp inputs and interval outputs, the possibility and necessity models have been recently utilized, which are based on quadratic programming approach giving more diverse spread coefficients than a linear programming one. SVM also uses quadratic programming approach whose another advantage in interval regression analysis is to be able to integrate both the property of central tendency in least squares and the possibilistic property In fuzzy regression. However this is not a computationally expensive way. SVM allows us to perform interval nonlinear regression analysis by constructing an interval linear regression function in a high dimensional feature space. In particular, SVM is a very attractive approach to model nonlinear interval data. The proposed algorithm here is model-free method in the sense that we do not have to assume the underlying model function for interval nonlinear regression model with crisp inputs and interval output. Experimental results are then presented which indicate the performance of this algorithm.

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An Evaluation Model of Corporate Culture Using Fuzzy System (퍼지시스템을 이용한 기업문화 평가모델)

  • Kim, Chun-Ho;Hwang, Seung-Gook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2010
  • This paper suggests an evaluation method through corporate culture's evaluation model considering the relationship and affection between types and elements of corporate culture. 314 data obtained from the members of small and medium enterprises analyzed the relationship by the correlation analysis, and the degree affecting rate the corporate culture types by the regression analysis. Finally, fuzzy system was used to analyze the evaluation model of the corporate culture type. The evaluation model of the corporate culture types in this paper is mixed possibility and necessity sides and showed the usefulness through reviewing the model which has an identification problem of the fuzzy system estimated fuzzy relation matrix for corporate culture types using the model.

Development of Short-Term Load Forecasting Method by Analysis of Load Characteristics during Chuseok Holiday (추석 연휴 전력수요 특성 분석을 통한 단기전력 수요예측 기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Oh-Sung;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.12
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    • pp.2215-2220
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    • 2011
  • The accurate short-term load forecasting is essential for the efficient power system operation and the system marginal price decision of the electricity market. So far, errors of load forecasting for Chuseok Holiday are very big compared with forecasting errors for the other special days. In order to improve the accuracy of load forecasting for Chuseok Holiday, selection of input data, the daily normalized load patterns and load forecasting model are investigated. The efficient data selection and daily normalized load pattern based on fuzzy linear regression model is proposed. The proposed load forecasting method for Chuseok Holiday is tested in recent 5 years from 2006 to 2010, and improved the accuracy of the load forecasting compared with the former research.

New fuzzy method in choosing Ground Motion Prediction Equation (GMPE) in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis

  • Mahmoudi, Mostafa;Shayanfar, MohsenAli;Barkhordari, Mohammad Ali;Jahani, Ehsan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.389-408
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    • 2016
  • Recently, seismic hazard analysis has become a very significant issue. New systems and available data have been also developed that could help scientists to explain the earthquakes phenomena and its physics. Scientists have begun to accept the role of uncertainty in earthquake issues and seismic hazard analysis. However, handling the existing uncertainty is still an important problem and lack of data causes difficulties in precisely quantifying uncertainty. Ground Motion Prediction Equation (GMPE) values are usually obtained in a statistical method: regression analysis. Each of these GMPEs uses the preliminary data of the selected earthquake. In this paper, a new fuzzy method was proposed to select suitable GMPE at every intensity (earthquake magnitude) and distance (site distance to fault) according to preliminary data aggregation in their area using ${\alpha}$ cut. The results showed that the use of this method as a GMPE could make a significant difference in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) results instead of selecting one equation or using logic tree. Also, a practical example of this new method was described in Iran as one of the world's earthquake-prone areas.

Establish for Link Travel Time Distribution Estimation Model Using Fuzzy (퍼지추론을 이용한 링크통행시간 분포비율 추정모형 구축)

  • Lee, Young Woo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.2D
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    • pp.233-239
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    • 2006
  • Most research for until at now link travel time were research for mean link travel time calculate or estimate which uses the average of the individual vehicle. however, the link travel time distribution is divided caused by with the impact factor which is various traffic condition, signal operation condition and the road conditional etc. preceding study result for link travel time distribution characteristic showed that the patterns of going through traffic were divided up to 2 in the link travel times. therefore, it will be more accurate to divide up the link travel time into the one involving delay and the other without delay, rather than using the average link travel time in terms of assessing the traffic situation. this study is it analyzed transit hour distribution characteristic and a cause using examine to the variables which give an effect at link travel time distribute using simulation program and determinate link travel time distribute ratio estimation model. to assess the distribution of the link travel times, this research develops the regression model and the fuzzy model. the variables that have high level of correlations in both estimation models are the rest time of green ball and the delay vehicles. these variables were used to construct the methods in the estimation models. The comparison of the two estimation models-fuzzy and regression model- showed that fuzzy model out-competed the regression model in terms of reliability and applicability.

Statistical Approach for Corrosion Prediction Under Fuzzy Soil Environment

  • Kim, Mincheol;Inakazu, Toyono;Koizumi, Akira;Koo, Jayong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2013
  • Water distribution pipes installed underground have potential risks of pipe failure and burst. After years of use, pipe walls tend to be corroded due to aggressive soil environments where they are located. The present study aims to assess the degree of external corrosion of a distribution pipe network. In situ data obtained through test pit excavation and direct sampling are carefully collated and assessed. A statistical approach is useful to predict severity of pipe corrosion at present and in future. First, criteria functions defined by discriminant function analysis are formulated to judge whether the pipes are seriously corroded. Data utilized in the analyses are those related to soil property, i.e., soil resistivity, pH, water content, and chloride ion. Secondly, corrosion factors that significantly affect pipe wall pitting (vertical) and spread (horizontal) on the pipe surface are identified with a view to quantifying a degree of the pipe corrosion. Finally, a most reliable model represented in the form of a multiple regression equation is developed for this purpose. From these analyses, it can be concluded that our proposed model is effective to predict the severity and rate of pipe corrosion utilizing selected factors that reflect the fuzzy soil environment.

Neuro-Fuzzy System for Predicting Optimal Weld Parameters of Horizontal Fillet welds

  • Moon, H.S.;Na, S.J.
    • International Journal of Korean Welding Society
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.36-44
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    • 2001
  • To get the appropriate welding process variables, mathematical modeling in conjunction with many experiments is necessary to predict the magnitude of weld bead shape. Even though the experimental results are reliable, it has a difficulty in accurately predicting welding process variables for the desired weld bead shape because of nonlinear and complex characteristics of welding processes. The welding condition determined for the desired weld bead shape may cause the weld defect if the welding current/voltage/speed combination is improperly selected. In this study, the $2^{n-1}$ fractional factorial design method and correlation parameter were used to investigate the effect of the welding process variables on the fillet joint shape, and the multiple non-linear regression analysis was used for modeling the gas metal arc welding(GMAW)parameters of the fillet joint. Finally, a fuzzy rule-based method and a neural network method were proposed so that the complexity and non-linearity of arc welding phenomena could be effectively overcome. The performance of the proposed neuro-fuzzy system was evaluated through various experiments. The experimental results showed that the proposed neuro-fuzzy system could effectively check the welding conditions as to whether or not weld defects would occur, and also adjust the welding conditions to avoid these weld defects.

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