• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy Regression Analysis

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The System Marginal Price Forecasting in the Power Market Using a Fuzzy Regression Method (퍼지 회귀분석법을 이용한 경쟁 전력시장에서의 현물가격 예측)

  • 송경빈
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.54-59
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents hourly system marginal price forecasting of the Korea electric power system using a fuzzy linear regression analysis method. The proposed method is tested by forecasting hourly system marginal price for a week of spring in 2002. The percent average of forecasting error for the proposed method is from 3.14% to 6.10% in the weekdays, from 7.04% to 8.22% in the weekends, and comparable with a artificial neural networks method.

Cable Adjustment of Composite Cable Stayed Bridge with Fuzzy Linear Regression Analysis (선형퍼지회귀분석기법을 이용한 합성형 사장교 케이블의 장력보정)

  • Kwon, Jang Sub;Chang, Seung Pil;Cho, Suh Kyoung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.9 no.4 s.33
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    • pp.579-588
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    • 1997
  • During the construction of cable stayed bridge, errors are always caused by various reasons, accumulated and amplified through the complex construction steps. It is likely that the undesirable stress distribution of members and the large deflection of the bridge different from design values come out The adjustment of cables during construction is absolutely indispensable to correct the stress distribution of the members and the geometrical configuration of the bridge. In the conventional method, weight coefficients are used to consider the difference of units between cable forces and girder deflections during the optimization process of cable adjustment. However, it is not easy to determine weight coefficients and the adjustment must be repeated several times with the time consuming process of the determination of new weight coefficients in case that errors are out of design allowable limits. In this paper, fuzzy linear regression analysis is applied to the cable adjustment to overcome those problems. In the application of fuzzy linear regression analysis method the designer's intention and the design allowable limits can be formulated in the form of the constraints of the linear optimization problem. Therefore, the cable adjustment in construction site can be carried out with the fuzzy linear regression analysis more rapidly than with the convetional method.

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A Study on the Emotional Evaluation of fabric Color Patterns

  • Koo, Hyun-Jin;Kang, Bok-Choon;Um, Jin-Sup;Lee, Joon-Whan
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2002
  • There are Two new models developed for objective evaluation of fabric color patterns by applying a multiple regression analysis and an adaptive foray-rule-based system. The physical features of fabric color patterns are extracted through digital image processing and the emotional features are collected based on the psychological experiments of Soen[3, 4]. The principle physical features are hue, saturation, intensity and the texture of color patterns. The emotional features arc represented thirteen pairs of adverse adjectives. The multiple regression analyses and the adaptive fuzzy system are used as a tool to analyze the relations between physical and emotional features. As a result, both of the proposed models show competent performance for the approximation and the similar linguistic interpretation to the Soen's psychological experiments.

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Artificial Intelligence-based Leak Prediction using Pipeline Data (관망자료를 이용한 인공지능 기반의 누수 예측)

  • Lee, Hohyun;Hong, Sungtaek
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.26 no.7
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    • pp.963-971
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    • 2022
  • Water pipeline network in local and metropolitan area is buried underground, by which it is hard to know the degree of pipe aging and leakage. In this study, assuming various sensor combinations installed in the water pipeline network, the optimal algorithm was derived by predicting the water flow rate and pressure through artificial intelligence algorithms such as linear regression and neuro fuzzy analysis to examine the possibility of detecting pipe leakage according to the data combination. In the case of leakage detection through water supply pressure prediction, Neuro fuzzy algorithm was superior to linear regression analysis. In case of leakage detection through water supply flow prediction, flow rate prediction using neuro fuzzy algorithm should be considered first. If flow meter for prediction don't exists, linear regression algorithm should be considered instead for pressure estimation.

A Study on Fault Detection using Fuzzy Trend Monitoring Technique of UAV Turbofan Engine (퍼지 경향 감시 기법을 이용한 무인기용 터보팬 엔진의 손상 탐지에 관한 연구)

  • Kong, C.D.;Kho, S.H.;Ki, J.Y.;Kho, H.Y.;Oh, S.H.;Kim, J.H.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.345-349
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    • 2007
  • In this study a fuzzy trend monitoring method for detecting the engine mechanical faults was proposed through analyzing performance trends of measurement data. The trend monitoring is an engine conditioning method which can find engine faults by monitoring important measuring parameters such as fuel flow, exhaust gas temperatures, rotational speeds, vibration. etc. Using engine condition data set as a input which generated by linear regression analysis of real engine instrument data, an application of fuzzy logic in diagnostics estimate a cause of fault in each components.

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Design of Fuzzy PID Controller Using GAs and Estimation Algorithm (유전자 알고리즘과 Estimation기법을 이용한 퍼지 제어기 설계)

  • Roh, Seok-Beom;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.11c
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    • pp.416-419
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    • 2001
  • In this paper a new approach to estimate scaling factors of fuzzy controllers such as the fuzzy PID controller and the fuzzy PD controller is presented. The performance of the fuzzy controller is sensitive to the variety of scaling factors[1]. The desist procedure dwells on the use of evolutionary computing(a genetic algorithm) and estimation algorithm for dynamic systems (the inverted pendulum). The tuning of the scaling factors of the fuzzy controller is essential to the entire optimization process. And then we estimate scaling factors of the fuzzy controller by means of two types of estimation algorithms such as Neuro-Fuzzy model, and regression polynomial [7]. This method can be applied to the nonlinear system as the inverted pendulum. Numerical studies are presented and a detailed comparative analysis is also included.

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A Study on Subjective Assessment of Knit Fabric by ANFIS

  • Ju Jeong-Ah;Ryu Hyo-Seon
    • Fibers and Polymers
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of the structural properties of plain knit fabrics on the subjective perception of textures, sensibilities, and preference among consumers. This study, then, aimed to provide useful information with respect to planning and designing knitted fabrics by predicting the subjective characteristics analyzed according to their structural properties. For this purpose, we employed statistical analysis tools, such as factor and regression analysis and an adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system(ANFIS), thereby combining the merits of fuzzy and neural networks and presupposing a non-linear relationship. Through factor analysis, we also categorized the subjective textures into 'roughness', 'softness', 'bulkiness' and 'stretch-ability' with R2=70.32%: and categorized the sensibilities into 'Stable/Neat', 'Natural/Comfortable' and 'Feminine/Elegant' with R2=68.12%. We analyzed subjective textures, sensibilities, and preference with ANFIS, assuming non-linear relationships; consequently, we were able to generate three or four fuzzy rules using wool/rayon fiber content and loop length as input data. The textures of roughness and softness exhibited a linear relationship, but other subjective characteristics demonstrated a non-linear input-output relationship. Compared with linear regression analysis, the ANFIS exhibited had higher predictive power with respect to predicting subjective characteristics.

An Evaluation of Effectiveness for the Application of Fuzzy Reasoning to Sensory Test (관능검사에 대한 Fuzzy추론 적용의 유효성 평가)

  • Kim, Jeong-Man;Lee, Sang-Do
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 1996
  • In order to evaluate the effectiveness of fuzzy reasoning to sensory tests, in this paper, a non-linear fuzzy system model that can estimate the general evaluator obtained from a numerical example of test of taste is constructed. And the applicability of fuzzy reasoning to sensory test is discussed on the basis of errors occurred from the estimates in combination of attributes of objects and from the results of multi-regression analysis. This paper proved that fuzzy reasoning using fuzzy If-then rules is applicable to sensory test.

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Industrial load forecasting using the fuzzy clustering and wavelet transform analysis

  • Yu, In-Keun
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.4 no.2 s.7
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    • pp.233-240
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents fuzzy clustering and wavelet transform analysis based technique for the industrial hourly load forecasting fur the purpose of peak demand control. Firstly, one year of historical load data were sorted and clustered into several groups using fuzzy clustering and then wavelet transform is adopted using the Biorthogonal mother wavelet in order to forecast the peak load of one hour ahead. The 5-level decomposition of the daily industrial load curve is implemented to consider the weather sensitive component of loads effectively. The wavelet coefficients associated with certain frequency and time localization is adjusted using the conventional multiple regression method and the components are reconstructed to predict the final loads through a five-scale synthesis technique. The outcome of the study clearly indicates that the proposed composite model of fuzzy clustering and wavelet transform approach can be used as an attractive and effective means for the industrial hourly peak load forecasting.

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Analysis of Client Propensity in Cyber Counseling Using Bayesian Variable Selection

  • Pi, Su-Young
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.277-281
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    • 2006
  • Cyber counseling, one of the most compatible type of consultation for the information society, enables people to reveal their mental agonies and private problems anonymously, since it does not require face-to-face interview between a counsellor and a client. However, there are few cyber counseling centers which provide high quality and trustworthy service, although the number of cyber counseling center has highly increased. Therefore, this paper is intended to enable an appropriate consultation for each client by analyzing client propensity using Bayesian variable selection. Bayesian variable selection is superior to stepwise regression analysis method in finding out a regression model. Stepwise regression analysis method, which has been generally used to analyze individual propensity in linear regression model, is not efficient since it is hard to select a proper model for its own defects. In this paper, based on the case database of current cyber counseling centers in the web, we will analyze clients' propensities using Bayesian variable selection to enable individually target counseling and to activate cyber counseling programs.