• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy Probability

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Fuzzy Based Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) of Hydrogen Production Process Using the Thermococcus Onnurineus NA1 (퍼지기반 해양 미생물 이용 수소 제조 공정의 고장유형 및 영향분석)

  • PARK, SUNG HO;AHN, JUNKEON;KIM, SU HYUN;YOO, YOUNG DON;CHANG, DAEJUN;KANG, SUNGKYUN
    • Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.307-316
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) of hydrogen production process by using the Thermococcus onnurineus NA1 was conducted and advanced methodology to compensate the weakness of previous FMEA methodology was applied. To bring out more quantitative and precise FMEA result for bio-hydrogen production process, fuzzy logic and potential loss cost estimated from ASPEN Capital Cost Estimator (ACCE) was introduced. Consequently, risk for releasing the flammable gases via internal leakage of steam tube which to control the operating temperature of main reactor was caution status in FMEA result without applying the fuzzification and ACCE. Moreover, probability of the steam tube plugging caused by solid property like medium was still caution status. As to apply the fuzzy logic and potential loss cost estimated from ACCE, a couple of caution status was unexpectedly upgraded to high dangerous status since the potential loss cost of steam tube for main reactor and decrease in product gases are higher than expected.

Estimation of HMM parameters Using a Codeword Dependent Distance Normalization and a Distance Based codeword Weighting by Fuzzy Contribution (코드워드 의존 거리 정규화와 거리에 기반한 코드워드 가중을 이용한 은닉마르코프모델의 파라미터 추정)

  • Choi, Hwan-Jin;Oh, Yung-Hwan
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.36-42
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we have proposed the robust estimation of HMM parameters which is based on CDDN(codeword dependent distance normalization)and codeword weighting by distance. The proposed method has used a distance normalization based on the characteristics of a codeword dependent distribution and have computed fuzzy contributions of codeword to a input vector with a fuzzy objective function. From experimental results, we have shown the effectiveness of the proposed method in that the correction rate of the proposed method is improved 4.5% over the conventional FVQ based method. Especially, the application of distance weighting to smoothing of output probability is improved the performance of 2.5% compared to distance based codeword weighting.

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A Study on the Classification for Satellite Images using Hybrid Method (하이브리드 분류기법을 이용한 위성영상의 분류에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Young-Joon;Kim, Jin-Il
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.11B no.2
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    • pp.159-168
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents hybrid classification method to improve the performance of satellite images classification by combining Bayesian maximum likelihood classifier, ISODATA clustering and fuzzy C-Means algorithm. In this paper, the training data of each class were generated by separating the spectral signature using ISODATA clustering. We can classify according to pixel's membership grade followed by cluster center of fuzzy C-Means algorithm as the mean value of training data for each class. Bayesian maximum likelihood classifier is performed with prior probability by result of fuzzy C-Means classification. The results shows that proposed method could improve performance of classification method and also perform classification with no concern about spectral signature of the training data. The proposed method Is applied to a Landsat TM satellite image for the verifying test.

Personalized Media Control Method using Probabilistic Fuzzy Rule-based Learning (확률적 퍼지 룰 기반 학습에 의한 개인화된 미디어 제어 방법)

  • Lee, Hyong-Euk;Kim, Yong-Hwi;Lee, Tae-Youb;Park, Kwang-Hyun;Kim, Yong-Soo;Cho, Joon-Myun;Bien, Z. Zenn
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.244-251
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    • 2007
  • Intention reading technique is essential to provide personalized services toward more convenient and human-friendly services in complex ubiquitous environment such as a smart home. If a system has knowledge about an user's intention of his/her behavioral pattern, the system can provide mote qualified and satisfactory services automatically in advance to the user's explicit command. In this sense, learning capability is considered as a key function for the intention reading technique in view of knowledge discovery. In this paper, ore introduce a personalized media control method for a possible application iii a smart home. Note that data pattern such as human behavior contains lots of inconsistent data due to limitation of feature extraction and insufficiently available features, where separable data groups are intermingled with inseparable data groups. To deal with such a data pattern, we introduce an effective engineering approach with the combination of fuzzy logic and probabilistic reasoning. The proposed learning system, which is based on IFCS (Iterative Fuzzy Clustering with Supervision) algorithm, extract probabilistic fuzzy rules effectively from the given numerical training data pattern. Furthermore, an extended architectural design methodology of the learning system incorporating with the IFCS algorithm are introduced. Finally, experimental results of the media contents recommendation system are given to show the effectiveness of the proposed system.

Development of Korean Tissue Probability Map from 3D Magnetic Resonance Images (3차원 MR 영상으로부터의 한국인 뇌조직확률지도 개발)

  • Jung Hyun, Kim;Jong-Min, Lee;Uicheul, Yoon;Hyun-Pil, Kim;Bang Bon, Koo;In Young, Kim;Dong Soo, Lee;Jun Soo, Kwon;Sun I., Kim
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.323-328
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    • 2004
  • The development of group-specific tissue probability maps (TPM) provides a priori knowledge for better result of cerebral tissue classification with regard to the inter-ethnic differences of inter-subject variability. We present sequential procedures of group-specific TPM and evaluate the age effects in the structural differences of TPM. We investigated 100 healthy volunteers with high resolution MRI scalming. The subjects were classified into young (60, 25.92+4.58) and old groups (40, 58.83${\pm}$8.10) according to the age. To avoid any bias from random selected single subject and improve registration robustness, average atlas as target for TPM was constructed from skull-stripped whole data using linear and nonlinear registration of AIR. Each subject was segmented into binary images of gray matter, white matter, and cerebrospinal fluid using fuzzy clustering and normalized into the space of average atlas. The probability images were the means of these binary images, and contained values in the range of zero to one. A TPM of a given tissue is a spatial probability distribution representing a certain subject population. In the spatial distribution of tissue probability according to the threshold of probability, the old group exhibited enlarged ventricles and overall GM atrophy as age-specific changes, compared to the young group. Our results are generally consistent with the few published studies on age differences in the brain morphology. The more similar the morphology of the subject is to the average of the population represented by the TPM, the better the entire classification procedure should work. Therefore, we suggest that group-specific TPM should be used as a priori information for the cerebral tissue classification.

Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Construction Projects (건설공사의 확률적 위험도분석평가)

  • 조효남;임종권;김광섭
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.24-31
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    • 1997
  • Recently, in Korea, demand for establishment of systematic risk assessment techniques for construction projects has increased, especially after the large construction failures occurred during construction such as New Haengju Bridge construction projects, subway construction projects, gas explosion accidents etc. Most of existing risk analysis modeling techniques such as Event Tree Analysis and Fault Tree Analysis may not be available for realistic risk assessment of construction projects because it is very complex and difficult to estimate occurrence frequency and failure probability precisely due to a lack of data related to the various risks inherent in construction projects like natural disasters, financial and economic risks, political risks, environmental risks as well as design and construction-related risks. Therefor the main objective of this paper is to suggest systematic probabilistic risk assessment model and demonstrate an approach for probabilistic risk assessment using advanced Event Tree Analysis introducing Fuzzy set theory concepts. It may be stated that the Fuzzy Event Tree AnaIysis may be very usefu1 for the systematic and rational risk assessment for real constructions problems because the approach is able to effectively deal with all the related construction risks in terms of the linguistic variables that incorporate systematically expert's experiences and subjective judgement.

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Future Trend Impact Analysis Based on Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS 접근방식에 의한 미래 트랜드 충격 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Gil;Moon, Kyung-Il;Choi, Se-Ill
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.499-505
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    • 2015
  • Trend Impact Analysis(: TIA) is an advanced forecasting tool used in futures studies for identifying, understanding and analyzing the consequences of unprecedented events on future trends. An adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system is a kind of artificial neural network that integrates both neural networks and fuzzy logic principles, It is considered to be a universal estimator. In this paper, we propose an advanced mechanism to generate more justifiable estimates to the probability of occurrence of an unprecedented event as a function of time with different degrees of severity using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System(: ANFIS). The key idea of the paper is to enhance the generic process of reasoning with fuzzy logic and neural network by adding the additional step of attributes simulation, as unprecedented events do not occur all of a sudden but rather their occurrence is affected by change in the values of a set of attributes. An ANFIS approach is used to identify the occurrence and severity of an event, depending on the values of its trigger attributes. The trigger attributes can be calculated by a stochastic dynamic model; then different scenarios are generated using Monte-Carlo simulation. To compare the proposed method, a simple simulation is provided concerning the impact of river basin drought on the annual flow of water into a lake.

An Improved Dempster-Shafer Algorithm Using a Partial Conflict Measurement

  • Odgerel, Bayanmunkh;Lee, Chang-Hoon
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.308-317
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    • 2016
  • Multiple evidences based decision making is an important functionality for computers and robots. To combine multiple evidences, mathematical theory of evidence has been developed, and it involves the most vital part called Dempster's rule of combination. The rule is used for combining multiple evidences. However, the combined result gives a counterintuitive conclusion when highly conflicting evidences exist. In particular, when we obtain two different sources of evidence for a single hypothesis, only one of the sources may contain evidence. In this paper, we introduce a modified combination rule based on the partial conflict measurement by using an absolute difference between two evidences' basic probability numbers. The basic probability number is described in details in Section 2 "Mathematical Theory of Evidence". As a result, the proposed combination rule outperforms Dempster's rule of combination. More precisely, the modified combination rule provides a reasonable conclusion when combining highly conflicting evidences and shows similar results with Dempster's rule of combination in the case of the both sources of evidence are not conflicting. In addition, when obtained evidences contain multiple hypotheses, our proposed combination rule shows more logically acceptable results in compared with the results of Dempster's rule.

Extended cognitive reliability and error analysis method for advanced control rooms of nuclear power plants

  • Xiaodan Zhang;Shengyuan Yan;Xin Liu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.9
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    • pp.3472-3482
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    • 2024
  • This study proposes a modified extended cognitive reliability and error analysis method (CREAM) for achieving a more accurate human error probability (HEP) in advanced control rooms. The traditional approach lacks failure data and does not consider the common performance condition (CPC) weights in different cognitive functions. The modified extended CREAM decomposes tasks using a method that combines structured information analysis (SIA) and the extended CREAM. The modified extended CREAM performs the weight analysis of CPCs in different cognitive functions, and the weights include cognitive, correlative, and important weights. We used the extended CREAM to obtain the cognitive weight. We determined the correlative weights of the CPCs for different cognitive functions using the triangular fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (TF-DEMATEL), and evaluated the importance weight of CPCs based on the interval 2-tuple linguistic approach and ensured the value of the importance weight using the entropy method in the different cognitive functions. Finally, we obtained the comprehensive weights of the different cognitive functions and calculated the HEPs. The accuracy and sensitivity of the modified extended CREAM were compared with those of the basic CREAM. The results demonstrate that the modified extended CREAM calculates the HEP more effectively in advanced control rooms.

Fuzzy Inference-based Replication Scheme for Result Verification in Desktop Grids (데스크톱 그리드에서 결과 검증을 위한 퍼지 추론 기반 복제 기법)

  • Gil, Joon-Min;Kim, Hong-Soo;Jung, Soon Young
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2009
  • The result verification is necessary to support a guarantee for the correctness of the task results be executed by any unspecified resources in desktop grid environments. Typically, voting-based and trust-based result verification schemes have been used in the environments. However, these suffer from two potential problems: waste of resources due to redundant replicas of each task and increase in turnaround time due to the inability to deal with a dynamic changeable execution environment. To overcome these problems, we propose a fuzzy inference-based replication scheme which can adaptively determine the number of replicas per task by using both trusty degree and result return probability of resources. Therefore our proposal can reduce waste of resources by determining the number of replicas meeting with a dynamic execution environment of desktop grids, not to mention an enhancement of turnaround time for entire asks. Simulation results show that our scheme is superior to other ones in terms of turnaround time, the waste of resources, and the number of re-replications per task.

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