• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy Index

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An Evaluative Study of the Operational Safety of High-Speed Railway Stations Based on IEM-Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment Theory

  • Wang, Li;Jin, Chunling;Xu, Chongqi
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.1064-1073
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    • 2020
  • The general situation of system composition and safety management of high-speed railway terminal is investigated and a comprehensive evaluation index system of operational security is established on the basis of railway laws and regulations and previous research results to evaluate the operational security management of the high-speed railway terminal objectively and scientifically. Index weight is determined by introducing interval eigenvalue method (IEM), which aims to reduce the dependence of judgment matrix on consistency test and improve judgment accuracy. Operational security status of a high-speed railway terminal in northwest China is analyzed using the traditional model of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, and a general technique idea and references for the operational security evaluation of the high-speed railway terminal are provided. IEM is introduced to determine the weight of each index, overcomes shortcomings of traditional analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method, and improves the accuracy and scientificity of the comprehensive evaluation. Risk factors, such as terrorist attacks, bad weather, and building fires, are intentionally avoided in the selection of evaluation indicators due to the complexity of risk factors in the operation of high-speed railway passenger stations and limitation of the length of the paper. However, such risk factors should be considered in the follow-up studies.

Daily Stock Price Prediction Using Fuzzy Model (퍼지 모델을 이용한 일별 주가 예측)

  • Hwang, Hee-Soo
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.15B no.6
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    • pp.603-608
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    • 2008
  • In this paper an approach to building fuzzy model to predict daily open, close, high, and low stock prices is presented. One of prior problems in building a stock prediction model is to select most effective indicators for the stock prediction. The problem is overcome by the selection of information used in the analysis of stick-chart as the input variables of our fuzzy model. The fuzzy rules have the premise and the consequent, in which they are composed of trapezoidal membership functions, and nonlinear equations, respectively. DE(Differential Evolution) searches optimal fuzzy rules through an evolutionary process. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed approach numerical example is considered. The fuzzy models to predict open, high, low, and close prices of KOSPI(KOrea composite Stock Price Index) on a daily basis are built, and their performances are demonstrated and compared with those of neural network.

Fuzzy Support Vector Machine for Pattern Classification of Time Series Data of KOSPI200 Index (시계열 자료 코스피200의 패턴분류를 위한 퍼지 서포트 벡타 기계)

  • Lee, S.Y.;Sohn, S.Y.;Kim, C.E.;Lee, Y.B.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.52-56
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    • 2004
  • The Information of classification and estimate about KOSPI200 index`s up and down in the stock market becomes an important standard of decision-making in designing portofolio in futures and option market. Because the coming trend of time series patterns, an economic indicator, is very subordinate to the most recent economic pattern, it is necessary to study the recent patterns most preferentially. This paper compares classification and estimated performance of SVM(Support Vector Machine) and Fuzzy SVM model that are getting into the spotlight in time series analyses, neural net models and various fields. Specially, it proves that Fuzzy SVM is superior by presenting the most suitable dimension to fuzzy membership function that has time series attribute in accordance with learning Data Base.

Hypotheses testing of Bayes' theorem for fuzzy prior parameters (퍼지 사전 모수에 관한 베이지안 가설검정)

  • Kang Man-Ki;Chio Gue-Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.205-208
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    • 2005
  • We have fuzzy hypotheses testing from Bayesian statistics with ideas from fuzzy sets theory to generalize Bayesian methods both for samples of fuzzy data and for prior distributions with non-precise parameters. Appling the principle of agreement index, the posterior odds ratio in the favor of hypotheses $H_0$ is equal to product of the fuzzy odds ratio and the fuzzy likelihood ratio. If the Posterior odds ratio exceeds the grade judgement, we accept the hypothesis $H_0$ for the degree.

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Design and application of self tuning fuzzy PI controller (자기동조 퍼지 PI 제어기의 설계와 응용)

  • 이성주;오성권;남의석;황희수;이석진;우광방
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1991.10a
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    • pp.238-242
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    • 1991
  • This paper presents an approach to self-tuning PI control of dynamic plants, based on fuzzy logic application. A fuzzy logic composed of linguistic conditional statements is employed by defining the relations of input-output variables of the controller. In the synthesis of a fuzzy logic controller, one of the most difficult problem is the selection of linguistic control rules and parameters. To overcome this difficulty, self-tuning fuzzy PI controller (STFPIC) with a hierarchical structure in which the fuzzy PI controller is assigned as the lower level and the rule modification and parameter adjustment as the higher level. The rules and parameters are generated by the adjustment of membership function through performance index(PE). In this paper, the algorithm for of the controller performance is estimated by means of computer simulation.

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FUZZY ERROR MATRIX IN CLSSIFICATION PROBLEMS

  • Kannan, S.R.;Ramathilagam, S.R.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.26 no.5_6
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    • pp.861-876
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    • 2008
  • This paper concerns a new method called Fuzzy Supervised Method for error matrix, the method has developed based on Adoptive Neuro- Fuzzy Inference Systems(ANFIS). For the performance point of view initially the new method tested with trial data and then this paper applies the proposed method with real world problems. So that this paper generated 1000 random error matrices in programming language [R] and then it tests the new proposed method for the error matrices. The results of Fuzzy Supervised Method given in terms of Kappa Index and Congalton Accuracy Indexes, and performance of Fuzzy Supervised Method has evaluated by using Pearson's test.

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Fuzzy Learning Control for Ball & Beam System (볼과 빔 시스템의 퍼지 학습 제어)

  • Joo, Hae-Ho;Jung, Byung-Mook;Lee, Jae-Won;Lee, Hwa-Jo;Lee, Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.439-443
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    • 1996
  • A fuzzy teaming controller is experimentally designed to control the ball k beam system in this paper. Although most fuzzy controllers have been built just to emulate human decision-making behavior, it is necessary to construct the rule bases by using a learning method with self-improvement when it is difficult or impossible to get them only by expert's experience. The algorithm introduces a reference model to generate a desired output and minimizes a performance index function based on the error and error-rate using the gradient-decent method. In our balancing experiment of the ball & beam system, this paper shows that the fuzzy control rules by learning are superior to the expert's experience.

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A Study on a Solution Approach to Fuzzy Linear Programs and Its Application to Fuzzy DEA Models (퍼지 선형계획법 해법 및 퍼지 DEA에의 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Sung-Mook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2008
  • A solution method for fuzzy linear programs is proposed. A fuzzy linear program is converted to a crisp linear program with average indices being applied to the objective function and constraints. A comparative analysis between the proposed average index approach and the possibilistic approach is given. As an application example, the proposed method is applied to the linear programming model for fuzzy data envelopment analysis, and the result is compared with that of the possibilistic approach.

A Comparative Study on the Prediction of KOSPI 200 Using Intelligent Approaches

  • Bae, Hyeon;Kim, Sung-Shin;Kim, Hae-Gyun;Woo, Kwang-Bang
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2003
  • In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used the neural network models for the stock market forecasting. The KOSPI 200 (Korea Composite Stock Price Index 200) is modeled by using different neural networks and fuzzy logic. In this paper, the neural network, the dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) and the fuzzy logic employed for the prediction of the KOSPI 200. The prediction results are compared by the root mean squared error (RMSE) and scatter plot, respectively. The results show that the performance of the fuzzy system is little bit worse than that of the DPNN but better than that of the neural network. We can develop the desired fuzzy system by optimization methods.

The Implementation of the structure and algorithm of Fuzzy Self-organizing Neural Networks(FSONN) based on FNN (FNN에 기초한 Fuzzy Self-organizing Neural Network(FSONN)의 구조와 알고리즘의 구현)

  • 김동원;박병준;오성권
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2000.05a
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    • pp.114-117
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, Fuzzy Self-organizing Neural Networks(FSONN) based on Fuzzy Neural Networks(FNN) is proposed to overcome some problems, such as the conflict between ovefitting and good generation, and low reliability. The proposed FSONN consists of FNN and SONN. Here, FNN is used as the premise part of FSONN and SONN is the consequnt part of FSONN. The FUN plays the preceding role of FSONN. For the fuzzy reasoning and learning method in FNN, Simplified fuzzy reasoning and backpropagation learning rule are utilized. The number of layers and the number of nodes in each layers of SONN that is based on the GMDH method are not predetermined, unlike in the case of the popular multi layer perceptron structure and can be generated. Also the partial descriptions of nodes can use various forms such as linear, modified quadratic, cubic, high-order polynomial and so on. In this paper, the optimal design procedure of the proposed FSONN is shown in each step and performance index related to approximation and generalization capabilities of model is evaluated and also discussed.

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