• Title/Summary/Keyword: Future Scenario

Search Result 883, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Multi-Scenario-Based Implementation of User Interface for a Cloud BIM-Based Design Support System (다중 시나리오에 의한 '클라우드 BIM 기반 협업 설계 지원 시스템'의 사용자 인터페이스 개발)

  • Kim, Jinwooung;Jung, Jaehwan;Kim, Sung-Ah
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.42 no.2
    • /
    • pp.403-412
    • /
    • 2017
  • With the introduction of BIM and ICT technology, 'Cloud-based collaborative design support system' has been actively researched and new user interface is needed to support it. When developing the user interface, scenario - based design method is selected which based on the actual usage scenarios to anticipate the usage situation and reflect the user's requirements. However, since the existing scenario-based design technique is an inductive method, it is difficult to cover the usage situation of all users when creating the usage scenario. For this reason, there is a need for a new scenario creation method that can systematically create and modify scenarios instead of inductive methods. This study proposes a 'Multi-scenario-based design method' that complemented the existing method and verify its usability by applying it to the user interface development process of 'Cloud-based collaborative design support system'.

Variability of Future Wind and Solar Resource Over the Korean Peninsula Based on Climate Change Scenario (기후변화 시나리오에 근거한 한반도 미래 풍력·태양-기상자원 변동성)

  • Byon, Jae-Young;Kim, Yumi;Choi, Byoung-Choel
    • New & Renewable Energy
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.29-39
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study examines the future variability of surface wind speed and solar radiation based on climate change scenario over the Korean Peninsula. Climate change scenarios used in this study are RCP 4.5 and 8.5 with a 12.5 km horizontal resolution. Climate change scenario RCP 4.5 and 8.5 reproduce the general features of wind speed over the Korean Peninsula, such as strong wind speed during spring and winter and weak wind speed during summer. When compared with the values of wind speed and solar radiation of the future, they are expected to decrease current wind and solar resource map. Comparing the resource maps using RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, wind speed and solar radiation decrease with increasing greenhouse gas concentration. Meteorological resource maps of future wind and solar radiation should be improved with high resolution for the industrial application.

Future Technological Foresight and Promising Emerging Technology Selection Frameworks based on Six Human Senses (인간의 6감각 기반의 미래 기술예측조사 및 유망기술 발굴 체제연구)

  • Cho, Ilgu;Lee, Jungmann
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.229-236
    • /
    • 2017
  • Technology foresight is the process which investigate long term science, technology, economic and social effects to derive strategic R&D and future promising technologies. This study shows that new systematic framework based on technology classifications of space and action in human society, future six senses was employed as a new research method for effective process of future technology foresight. In addition, to increase the acceptance, forecasting, and uniqueness of new technology, we derived major issues of future society and demand-base products and services through the new process of ICT future mega trend analysis, the findings and selections of future technology, and future scenario based on human six senses.

The Scenario Development of User Experience to Expand Seniors' Social Communication using the Service Design (서비스 디자인을 활용한 고령자의 사회적 소통 확장을 위한 사용자 경험 시나리오 개발)

  • Yoo, Hoon-Sik;Kim, Yong Ki;Pan, Young-Hwan
    • Journal of The Korean Digital Architecture Interior Association
    • /
    • v.13 no.4
    • /
    • pp.87-94
    • /
    • 2013
  • While the society becomes older, the quality growth on the service adequate to seniors is required. The service design is highlighted as a measure to improve the quality of service. And actually, success cases through the service design in various areas are globally introduced. In this study, a research is conducted to develop a service scenario to expand seniors' communication by applying the service design methodology. To analyze seniors' behaviors related to the communication, profiles are established by performing interviews with professionals and the qualitative survey to seniors. And based on the profiles, an idea workshop is conducted with multi-disciplinary experts to develop ideas for seniors' communication. The representative service is drawn by refining ideas. And the detailed service scenario and the video prototype are developed by concentrating one service scenario. The developed service scenario is anticipated to be utilized as a base material to develop services to expand seniors' communication in the future.

The Use and Abuse of Climate Scenarios in Agriculture (농업부문 기후시나리오 활용의 주의점)

  • Kim, Jin-Hee;Yun, Jin I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.170-178
    • /
    • 2016
  • It is not clear how to apply the climate scenario to assess the impact of climate change in the agricultural sector. Even if you apply the same scenario, the result can vary depending on the temporal-spatial downscaling, the post-treatment to adjust the bias of a model, and the prediction model selection (used for an impact assessment). The end user, who uses the scenario climate data, should select climate factors, a spatial extend, and a temporal range appropriate for the objectives of an analysis. It is important to draw the impact assessment results with minimum uncertainty by evaluating the suitability of the data including the reproducibility of the past climate and calculating the optimum future climate change scenario. This study introduced data processing methods for reducing the uncertainties in the process of applying the future climate change scenario to users in the agricultural sector and tried to provide basic information for appropriately using the scenario data in accordance with the study objectives.

Analysis of Climate Variability under Various Scenarios for Future Urban Growth in Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA), Korea (미래 도시성장 시나리오에 따른 수도권 기후변화 예측 변동성 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Su;Jeong, Ju-Hee;Kim, Yoo-Keun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
    • /
    • v.28 no.3
    • /
    • pp.261-272
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this study, climate variability was predicted by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model under two different scenarios (current trends scenario; SC1 and managed scenario; SC2) for future urban growth over the Seoul metropolitan area (SMA). We used the urban growth model, SLEUTH (Slope, Land-use, Excluded, Urban, Transportation, Hill-Shade) to predict the future urban growth in SMA. As a result, the difference of urban ratio between two scenarios was the maximum up to 2.2% during 50 years (2000~2050). Also, the results of SLEUTH like this were adjusted in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to analysis the difference of the future climate for the future urbanization effect. By scenarios of urban growth, we knew that the significant differences of surface temperature with a maximum of about 4 K and PBL height with a maximum of about 200 m appeared locally in newly urbanized area. However, wind speeds are not sensitive for the future urban growth in SMA. These results show that we need to consider the future land-use changes or future urban extension in the study for the prediction of future climate changes.

Applying Scenarios for Designing Building Elements in the Smart Multi-family housing (지능형 아파트의 건축구성요소 디자인을 위한 시나리오 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Mi-Yun;Choi Jin-Won
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
    • /
    • v.15 no.4 s.57
    • /
    • pp.73-80
    • /
    • 2006
  • As ubiquitous technology(uT) is offered in the future space, human will find their life more convenient and prosperous, and the space efficiency will be improved with virtual displays within a limited space. In an living space with ubiquitous environments, all information of family members will be an essential source creating advanced future spaces both for users and for those maintaining the space. In recent studies of uT environment, development of scenario is mostly being carried out based on user and service. It is unsatisfactory, however, when it comes to the study of how these studies can be developed on the basis of architectural space. In this paper, we study about applying scenarios created through space analysis to suggest ways to predict the analysis of the relationship between digital devices/services and the building elements based on physical space with uT and to offer services smoothly to uT environment, intelligent devices and their users.

A Study on Vulnerability Analysis and Memory Forensics of ESP32

  • Jiyeon Baek;Jiwon Jang;Seongmin Kim
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 2024
  • As the Internet of Things (IoT) has gained significant prominence in our daily lives, most IoT devices rely on over-the-air technology to automatically update firmware or software remotely via the network connection to relieve the burden of manual updates by users. And preserving security for OTA interface is one of the main requirements to defend against potential threats. This paper presents a simulation of an attack scenario on the commoditized System-on-a-chip, ESP32 chip, utilized for drones during their OTA update process. We demonstrate three types of attacks, WiFi cracking, ARP spoofing, and TCP SYN flooding techniques and postpone the OTA update procedure on an ESP32 Drone. As in this scenario, unpatched IoT devices can be vulnerable to a variety of potential threats. Additionally, we review the chip to obtain traces of attacks from a forensics perspective and acquire memory forensic artifacts to indicate the SYN flooding attack.

The Growth of Mobile Advertising and the Future of the Advertising Industry (모바일광고의 성장과 광고산업의 미래)

  • Lee, Chi-Hyung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.14 no.8
    • /
    • pp.203-209
    • /
    • 2016
  • The advertising media is undergoing a dramatic change mainly due to the increased use of smartphone. This study predicts the future of the advertising industry driven by the mobile advertising using scenario planning. Targeting technologies, restriction on the use of personal information, and overcoming ad avoidance were selected as key uncertain variables expected to impact on the growth of the mobile advertising 5 years later. With the support by expert interviews, the $2{\times}2$ matric combines two cases to generate four scenarios; the one whether mobile ads surpass PC-based online ads, the other whether the combined force of mobile and PC-based ads surpass the traditional media in advertising spendings. Each scenario is articulated according to the future of key variables. The most likely scenario is that mobile will dominate the advertising media market. However, it is important not to ignore different scenarios because key variables evolves in unexpected manner and then they can become reality. The future research will combine its key variables with social and economic ones and segment technical variables in more details.

Projecting suitable habitats considering locational characteristics of major wild vegetables and climate change impacts

  • Choi, Jaeyong;Lee, Sanghyuk
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.46 no.3
    • /
    • pp.661-670
    • /
    • 2019
  • In this study, we constructed a model of an area where the production and production amount of wild vegetables which are designated as short term income forest products for the whole country are self-sufficient for the representative Eastern Braken fern(Pteridium aquilinum)and Edible aster(Aster scaber). The difference between the existing cultivation site and the model result was examined, and the distribution of the cultivable area was simulated according to the near future climate change by the 2050s. The degree of agreement between the cultivated area and the actual native area was very low at 14.5% for Eastern Braken fern and 12.9% for Edible aster. Using the Maxent model, which has already been proven by many research examples, the cultivation maps through the model can guarantee statistical accuracy by considering many variables. To analyze future location changes, the RCP 4.5 scenario and the RCP 8.5 scenario were applie Edible aster d to predict potential future cultivable areas and compare them to the present. There was no decrease in the cultivable area due to climate change nationwide. However, in the RCP 8.5 scenario for Eastern Braken fern and the RCP 4.5 scenario for Edible aster, declining areas such as Gangwon-do, Jeollabuk-do and Gyeongsangbuk-do showed prominence according to the scenarios. The result of this study suggests that various models can be used for the production of short-term forest productivity maps and it will be used as a climate change impact assessment data for competitive forest products considering the influence of future climate change.