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Variability of Future Wind and Solar Resource Over the Korean Peninsula Based on Climate Change Scenario

기후변화 시나리오에 근거한 한반도 미래 풍력·태양-기상자원 변동성

  • 변재영 (국립기상연구소 지구환경시스템연구과) ;
  • 김유미 (국립기상연구소 응용기상연구과) ;
  • 최병철 (국립기상연구소 응용기상연구과)
  • Received : 2014.05.07
  • Accepted : 2014.06.27
  • Published : 2014.06.25

Abstract

This study examines the future variability of surface wind speed and solar radiation based on climate change scenario over the Korean Peninsula. Climate change scenarios used in this study are RCP 4.5 and 8.5 with a 12.5 km horizontal resolution. Climate change scenario RCP 4.5 and 8.5 reproduce the general features of wind speed over the Korean Peninsula, such as strong wind speed during spring and winter and weak wind speed during summer. When compared with the values of wind speed and solar radiation of the future, they are expected to decrease current wind and solar resource map. Comparing the resource maps using RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, wind speed and solar radiation decrease with increasing greenhouse gas concentration. Meteorological resource maps of future wind and solar radiation should be improved with high resolution for the industrial application.

Keywords

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Cited by

  1. Quantitative Analysis of the Smoothing Effect According to the Number of Wind Farms in Korea vol.14, pp.1, 2018, https://doi.org/10.7849/ksnre.2018.3.14.1.031