• Title/Summary/Keyword: Function prediction

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A trajectory prediction of human reach (Reach 동작예측 모델의 개발)

  • 최재호;정의승
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1995.04a
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    • pp.787-796
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    • 1995
  • A man model is a useful design tool for the evaluation of man machine systems and products. An arm reach trajectory prediction for such a model will be specifically useful to present human activities and, consequently, could increase the accuracy and reality of the evaluation. In this study, a three-dimensional reach trajectory prediction model was developed using an inverse kinematics technique. The upper body was modeled as a four link open kinematic chain with seven degrees of freedom. The Resolved Motion Method used for the robot kinematics problem was used to predict the joint movements. The cost function of the perceived discomfort developed using the central composite design was also used as a performance function. This model predicts the posture by moving the joints to minimize the discomfort on the constraint of the end effector velocity directed to a target point. The results of the pairwise t-test showed that all the joint coordinates except the shoulder joint's showed statistically no differences at .alpha. = 0.01. The reach trajectory prediction model developed in this study was found to accurately simulate human arm reach trajectory and the model will help understand the human arm reach movement.

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Prediction of Stand Structure Dynamics for Unthinned Slash Pine Plantations

  • Lee, Young-Jin;Cho, Hyun-Je;Hong, Sung-Cheon
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.435-438
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    • 2000
  • Diameter distributions describe forest stand structure information. Prediction equations for percentiles of diameter distribution and parameter recovery procedures for the Weibull distribution function based on four percentile equations were applied to develop prediction system of even-aged slash pine stand structure development in terms of the number of stems per diameter class changes. Four percentiles of the cumulative diameter distribution were predicted as a function of stand characteristics. The predicted diameter distributions were tested against the observed diameter distributions using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov two sample test at the ${\alpha}$=0.05 level. Statistically, no significant differences were detected based on the data from 236 evaluation data sets. This stand level diameter distribution prediction system will be useful in slash pine stand structure modeling and in updating forest inventories for the long-term forest management planning.

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Evaluation on the Prediction Model for the Compressive Strength of Concrete mixing Blast Furnace Slag Powder at early-aged by Maturity Method (적산온도에 의한 고로슬래그 미분말 혼입 콘크리트의 초기재령 압축강도의 예측 모델식 적용성 평가)

  • Yang, Hyun-Min;Park, Won-Jun;Lee, Han-Seung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.251-252
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    • 2012
  • The exiting studies on the strength prediction by maturity method is mainly focused on concrete using OPC, meanwhile the study on the concrete mixing blast furnace slag powder (BFSP) is insufficient. The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationships between compressive strength and equivalent age by existing Maturity functions, i.e., Nurse-saul function Arrhenius function. This study also compared and examined the strength prediction of concrete mixing BGSP using ACI model and Logistic Curve prediction equation. Therefore, it is intended that fundamental data are presented for quality management and process management of concrete mixing BFSP.

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RBF Neural Network Sturcture for Prediction of Non-linear, Non-stationary Time Series (비선형, 비정상 시계열 예측을 위한RBF(Radial Basis Function) 신경회로망 구조)

  • Kim, Sang-Hwan;Lee, Chong-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.07g
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    • pp.2299-2301
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, a modified RBF (Radial Basis Function) neural network structure is suggested for the prediction of time series with non-linear, non-stationary characteristics. Conventional RBF neural network predicting time series by using past outputs is for sensing the trajectory of the time series and for reacting when there exists strong relation between input and hidden neuron's RBF center. But this response is highly sensitive to level and trend of time serieses. In order to overcome such dependencies, hidden neurons are modified to react to the increments of input variable and multiplied by increments(or decrements) of out puts for prediction. When the suggested structure is applied to prediction of Lorenz equation, and Rossler equation, improved performances are obtainable.

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Using Neural Networks to Predict the Sense of Touch of Polyurethane Coated Fabrics (신경망이론은 이용한 폴리우레탄 코팅포 촉감의 예측)

  • 이정순;신혜원
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.152-159
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    • 2002
  • Neural networks are used to predict the sense of touch of polyurethane coated fabrics. In this study, we used the multi layer perceptron (MLP) neural networks in Neural Connection. The learning algorithm for neural networks is back-propagation algorithm. We used 29 polyurethane coated fabrics to train the neural networks and 4 samples to test the neural networks. Input variables are 17 mechanical properties measured with KES-FB system, and output variable is the sense of touch of polyurethane coated fabrics. The influence of MLF function, the number of hidden layers, and the number of hidden nodes on the prediction accuracy is investigated. The results were as follows: MLP function, the number of hidden layer and the number of hidden nodes have some influence on the prediction accuracy. In this work, tangent function, the architecture of the double hidden layers and the 24-12-hidden nodes has the best prediction accuracy with the lowest RMS error. Using the neural networks to predict the sense of touch of polyurethane coated fabrics has hotter prediction accuracy than regression approach used in our previous study.

Artificial neural network algorithm comparison for exchange rate prediction

  • Shin, Noo Ri;Yun, Dai Yeol;Hwang, Chi-gon
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.125-130
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    • 2020
  • At the end of 1997, the volatility of the exchange rate intensified as the nation's exchange rate system was converted into a free-floating exchange rate system. As a result, managing the exchange rate is becoming a very important task, and the need for forecasting the exchange rate is growing. The exchange rate prediction model using the existing exchange rate prediction method, statistical technique, cannot find a nonlinear pattern of the time series variable, and it is difficult to analyze the time series with the variability cluster phenomenon. And as the number of variables to be analyzed increases, the number of parameters to be estimated increases, and it is not easy to interpret the meaning of the estimated coefficients. Accordingly, the exchange rate prediction model using artificial neural network, rather than statistical technique, is presented. Using DNN, which is the basis of deep learning among artificial neural networks, and LSTM, a recurrent neural network model, the number of hidden layers, neurons, and activation function changes of each model found the optimal exchange rate prediction model. The study found that although there were model differences, LSTM models performed better than DNN models and performed best when the activation function was Tanh.

Estimation of Coverage Growth Functions

  • Park, Joong-Yang;Lee, Gye-Min;Kim, Seo-Yeong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.667-674
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    • 2011
  • A recent trend in software reliability engineering accounts for the coverage growth behavior during testing. The coverage growth function (representing the coverage growth behavior) has become an essential component of software reliability models. Application of a coverage growth function requires the estimation of the coverage growth function. This paper considers the problem of estimating the coverage growth function. The existing maximum likelihood method is reviewed and corrected. A method of minimizing the sum of squares of the standardized prediction error is proposed for situations where the maximum likelihood method is not applicable.

A Stock Price Prediction Based on Recurrent Convolution Neural Network with Weighted Loss Function (가중치 손실 함수를 가지는 순환 컨볼루션 신경망 기반 주가 예측)

  • Kim, HyunJin;Jung, Yeon Sung
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.123-128
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    • 2019
  • This paper proposes the stock price prediction based on the artificial intelligence, where the model with recurrent convolution neural network (RCNN) layers is adopted. In the motivation of this prediction, long short-term memory model (LSTM)-based neural network can make the output of the time series prediction. On the other hand, the convolution neural network provides the data filtering, averaging, and augmentation. By combining the advantages mentioned above, the proposed technique predicts the estimated stock price of next day. In addition, in order to emphasize the recent time series, a custom weighted loss function is adopted. Moreover, stock data related to the stock price index are adopted to consider the market trends. In the experiments, the proposed stock price prediction reduces the test error by 3.19%, which is over other techniques by about 19%.

Modeling of Plasma Etch Process using a Radial Basis Function Network (레이디얼 베이시스 함수망을 이용한 플라즈마 식각공정 모델링)

  • Park, Kyoungyoung;Kim, Byungwhan
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2005
  • A new model of plasma etch process was constructed by using a radial basis function network (RBFN). This technique was applied to an etching of silicon carbide films in a NF$_3$ inductively coupled plasma. Experimental data to train RBFN were systematically collected by means of a 2$^4$ full factorial experiment. Appropriateness of prediction models was tested with test data consisted of 16 experiments not pertaining to the training data. Prediction performance was optimized with variations in three training factors, the number of pattern units, width of radial basis function, and initial weight distribution between the pattern and output layers. The etch responses to model were an etch rate and a surface roughness measured by atomic force microscopy. Optimized models had the root mean-squared errors of 26.1 nm/min and 0.103 nm for the etch rate and surface roughness, respectively. Compared to statistical regression models, RBFN models demonstrated an improvement of more than 20 % and 50 % for the etch rate and surface roughness, respectively. It is therefore expected that RBFN can be effectively used to construct prediction models of plasma processes.

Passby Noise Prediction in Semi-anechoic Chamber (반무향실내에서의 가속 주행 소음 예측 방법)

  • 박순홍;김양한;고병식
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.162-172
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    • 1997
  • We investigated passby noise measurement method in a small-sized semi-anechoic chamber satisfying the American based SAE J1470 Recommended Practice to facilitate the measurements. We have tired two passby noise prediction methods. One is line array microphone method in which the free space sound field is decomposed into its eigenfunctions in the spherical coordinates and rearranged according to the order of the spherical Hankel function. However, due to the characteristics of the spherical Hankel function, it is impossible to distinguish the function's characteristics according to the order in farfield. Consequently it can be applied in the transient region of the nearfield and the farfield. The other method is nearfield acoustic holography(NAH). Although measuring hologram for the several operational engine speeds by conventional scanning method is time-consuming work, we can greatly reduce the measuring time by selecting the appropriate engine speed through preexperimental knowledge. To verify this method we experimented with the outdoor passby noise measurements and the passby noise prediction in the small-sized semi-anechoic chamber for the identical passenger vehicle and obtained reasonable and acceptable results.

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