• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.65-85
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• 2024

The tail probability of a function of a multivariate random variable is not easy to estimate by the crude Monte Carlo simulation. When the occurrence of the function value over a threshold is rare, the accurate estimation of the corresponding probability requires a huge number of samples. When the explicit form of the cumulative distribution function of each component of the variable is known, the inverse transform likelihood ratio method is directly applicable scheme to estimate the tail probability efficiently. The method is a type of the importance sampling and its efficiency depends on the selection of the importance sampling distribution. When the cumulative distribution of the multivariate random variable is represented by a copula and its marginal distributions, we develop an iterative algorithm to find the optimal importance sampling distribution, and show the convergence of the algorithm. The performance of the proposed scheme is compared with the crude Monte Carlo simulation numerically.

• 한국해안해양공학회지
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.165-172
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• 1999

경사제 피복재의 안정성에 대한 신뢰성 해석을 수행하였다. 특히, 본 연구에서 신뢰함수에 대한 확률 밀도함수가 수학적으로 유도되었다. 유도된 확률밀도함수의 적용성을 검증하기 위하여 Monte-Carlo 해석방법과 모멘트법인 FMA 방법과 AFDA 방법도 같이 수행하였으며, 그 결과들을 정성적, 정량적으로 비교하여 만족스러운 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 또한 경사제의 피복재에 대한 파괴확률 산정시 신뢰함수에 포함된 각각의 변수들이 확률적으로 독립이다 라고 가정할 수 있다는 사실이 확인되었다. 이는 각각의 확률변수가 정규분포를 따르지 않는다는 조건에서도 본 연구에서 사용된 해석방법이 확장될 수 있다는 것을 의미한다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제30권4호
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• pp.579-590
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• 2017

다변량 자료의 분포함수를 알고 있거나 추정할 수 있으면 다변량 경험분포함수를 정의할 수 있다. 이변량인 경우에는 계단그림과 분위그림을 사용하여 경험분포함수를 시각화할 수 있는데, 본 연구에서는 다변량인 경우에 경험분포함수를 정사각형에 표현할 수 있는 다변량 경험분포그림을 제안하였다. 여러 종류의 다변량 정규분포와 특정한 분포에 대하여 경험분포그림을 작성하고 특징을 살펴보니, 다양한 분산공분산행렬을 포함된 분포함수에 따라 경험분포그림이 민감하게 반응하는 것을 탐색하였다. 이를 바탕으로 경험분포함수를 구할 때 가정한 다변량 분포함수의 적합도 검정방법을 제안하였다. 대표적인 다섯 종류의 적합도 검정방법을 사용하고, 다양한 분포함수들에 대하여 각각의 검정통계량 기각역을 구하였다. 본 연구에서 얻은 기각역은 문헌에서 구할 수 있는 기각역과 큰 차이가 없음을 발견하였다. 그러므로 본 연구에서 제안한 적합도 검정방법을 문헌에서 제시한 기각역으로 쉽게 사용할 수 있는 장점이 있다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.109-122
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• 2003

This paper presents a robust process capability index(PCI) based on the expected loss derived from the empirical distribution function(EDF). We propose the EDF expected loss in order to develop a PCI that does not depends on the underlying process distribution. The EDF expected loss depends only on the sample data, so the PCI based on it is robust and it does nor require complex calculations. The inverted normal loss function(INLF) is employed in order to overcome the drawback of the quadratic loss which may Increase unboundedly outside the specification limits. A comprehensive simulation study was performed under various process distributions, in order to compare the accuracy and the precision of the proposed PCI with those of the PCI based on the expected loss derived from the normal distribution. The proposed PCI turned out to be more accurate than the normal PCI in most cases, especially when the process distribution has high kurtosis or skewness. It is expected that the proposed PCI can be utilized In real processes where the true distribution family may not be known.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.623-633
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• 2019

This paper proposes two distance measures between two cumulative hazard functions that can be obtained by comparing their difference and ratio, respectively. Then we estimate the measures and present goodness of t test statistics. Since the proposed test statistics are expressed in terms of the cumulative hazard functions, we can easily give more weights on earlier (or later) departures in cumulative hazards if we like to place an emphasis on earlier (or later) departures. We also show that these test statistics present comparable performances with other well-known test statistics based on the empirical distribution function for an exponential null distribution. The proposed test statistic is an omnibus test which is applicable to other lots of distributions than an exponential distribution.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제8권6호
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• pp.1276-1282
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• 2013

This paper proposes a stochastic modeling of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) distribution in power systems, and analyzes the corresponding clustering characteristic. It is essential for power utilities to estimate the PEV charging demand as the penetration level of PEV is expected to increase rapidly in the near future. Although the distribution of PEVs in power systems is the primary factor for estimating the PEV charging demand, the data currently available are statistics related to fuel-driven vehicles and to existing electric demands in power systems. In this paper, we calculate the number of households using electricity at individual ending buses of a power system based on the electric demands. Then, we estimate the number of PEVs per household using the probability density function of PEVs derived from the given statistics about fuel-driven vehicles. Finally, we present the clustering characteristic of the PEV distribution via case studies employing the test systems.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제48권7호
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• pp.839-846
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• 1999

This paper presents an efficient algorithm for determining the location, size and number of capacitors in unbalanced radial distribution system. The objective function formulated consists of two terms: cost for energy loss and cost related to capacitor purchase and capacitor installation. The cost function associated with capacitor placement is considered as step function due to banks of standard discrete capacities. Genetic algorithms(GA) are used to obtain the population is derived. The strings in each population consist of the bus number index and size of capacitors to be installed. In order to determine the number of capacitor placement, the length mutation operator is used. Its efficiency is proved through the application in unbalanced radial distribution systems made of 10 buses with 9 distribution lines and 25 buses with 24 distribution lines.

• East Asian mathematical journal
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.67-75
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• 2019

We investigate the averaging value of a random sampling of a Dirichlet series with some condition using Poisson distribution. Our result is the following: Let $L(s)={\sum}^{\infty}_{n=1}{\frac{a_n}{n^s}}$ be a Dirichlet series that converges absolutely for Re(s) > 1. If $X_t$ is an increasing random sampling with Poisson distribution and there exists a number $0<{\alpha}<{\frac{1}{2}}$ such that ${\sum}_{n{\leq}u}a_n{\ll}u^{\alpha}$, then we have $${\mathbb{E}}L(1/2+iX_t)=O(t^{\alpha}{\sqrt{{\log}t}})$$, for all sufficiently large t in ${\mathbb{R}}$. As a result, we get the behaviour of $L({\frac{1}{2}}+it)$ such that L is a Dirichlet L-function or a modular L-function, when t is sampled by the Poisson distribution.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제39권5_6호
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• pp.725-742
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• 2021

The aim of this article is to estimate the coefficient bounds of certain subclasses of analytic functions. We claim that this is a novel and unique effort in combining the coefficient functional along with the new domains and the probability distributions which have not been found or are available in the literature of coefficients bounds. Here the authors analyze these bounds in the special domains associated with exponential function and sine function. Further we obtain Fekete-Szegö inequalities for the defined subclasses of analytic functions defined through Poisson distribution series and Pascal distribution series.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제16권6호
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• pp.100-107
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• 1999

This paper describes a probabilistic remaining life assessment program for the creep crack growth. The probabilistic life assessment program is developed to increase the reliability of life assessment. The probabilistic life assessment involves some uncertainties, such as, initial crack size, material properties, and loading condition, and a triangle distribution function is used for random variable generation. The resulting information provides the engineer with an assessment of the probability of structural failure as a function of operating time given the uncertainties in the input data. This study forms basis of the probabilistic life assessment technique and will be extended to other damage mechanisms.