• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제38권5호
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• pp.635-643
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• 2018

이 연구에서는 지진강도의 범위가 철근콘크리트 교량의 지진취약도 해석에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. 이 목적을 위해 과거 지진에 의해 손상된 철근콘크리트 교량을 선택하여 비선형 동적 시간이력해석모델을 개발하였다. 총 25개의 계측지진파에 대해 비선형 동적 시간이력해석을 수행하여 교각의 최대 수평변위비를 구한 후, 이 결과를 이용하여 지진취약도 해석을 수행하였다. 지진취약도 해석에서는 최우도법을 사용하여 손상초과확률을 계산하였고, 계측지진파의 지진강도 범위가 지진취약도 곡선에 미치는 영향을 해석적으로 검토하였다. 예측된 해석결과, 실제 교량의 물리적인 손상상태를 반영할 수 있는 합리적인 지진취약도 해석 및 내진성능평가를 위해서는 계측지진파의 지진강도 범위가 매우 중요함을 알 수 있었다.

• 한국지반공학회논문집
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• 제33권7호
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• pp.29-41
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• 2017

지진파로 인하여 발생되는 지진하중은 발생 특성상 예측이 불가능한 불확실성이 존재한다. 또한 비탈면과 같은 지반구조물에는 지반정수의 불확실성이 존재한다. 따라서 이러한 불확실성들을 확률론적 해석으로 고려할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 깎기비탈면에 대하여 확률론적 해석으로 구조물의 안전성을 평가하는 대표적인 방법인 취약도 곡선을 작성하는 방법을 제시하였다. 지반정수의 불확실성을 고려한 취약도 곡선은 Monte Carlo Simulation 기법을 이용해 유사정적 해석으로 작성하였다. 지진파의 불확실성을 고려한 취약도 곡선은 30개의 실제 발생한 지진파로 시간이력해석을 실시하여 Newmark-Type 변위 해석으로 작성하였으며, 취약도 곡선은 최대 우도 추정법을 이용하여 대수정규분포를 갖는 누적 확률분포 함수로 나타내었다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제6권6호
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• pp.611-625
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• 2014

This paper presents a simple methodology that integrates an improved storey shear modelling, Incremental Dynamic Analysis and Monte Carlo Simulation in order to carryout vulnerability analysis towards development of fragility curves for Unreinforced Brick Masonry buildings. The methodology is demonstrated by developing fragility curves of a single storey Unreinforced Brick Masonry building for which results of experiment under lateral load is available in the literature. In the study presented, both uncertainties in mechanical properties of masonry and uncertainties in the characteristics of earthquake ground motion are included. The research significance of the methodology proposed is that, it accommodates a new method of damage grade classification which is based on 'structural performance characteristics' instead of 'fixed limiting values'. The usefulness of such definition is discussed as against the existing practice.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제16권5호
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• pp.723-740
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• 2015

In this study, the seismic performance of skewed highway bridges has been assessed by using fragility function methodology. Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) has been used to prepare complete information about the different damage states of a 30 degree skewed highway bridge. A three dimensional model of a skewed highway bridge is presented and incremental dynamic analysis has been applied. The details of the full nonlinear procedures have also been presented. Different spectral intensity measures are studied and the effects of the period on the fragility curves are shown in different figures. The efficiency, practicality and proficiency of these different spectral intensity measures are compared. A suite of 20 earthquake ground motions are considered for nonlinear time history analysis. It has been shown that, considering different intensity measures (IM) leads us to overestimate or low estimate the damage probability which has been discussed completely.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.517-538
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• 2016

This paper presents a probabilistic fragility analysis for two groups of bridges: simply supported and integral bridges. Comparisons are based on the seismic fragility of the bridges subjected to accelerograms of two seismic sources. Three-dimensional finite-element models of the bridges were created for each set of bridge samples, considering the nonlinear behaviour of critical bridge components. When the seismic hazard in the site is controlled by a few seismic sources, it is important to quantify separately the contribution of each fault to the structure vulnerability. In this study, seismic records come from earthquakes that originated in strike-slip and reverse faulting mechanisms. The influence of the earthquake mechanism on the seismic vulnerability of the bridges was analysed by considering the displacement ductility of the piers. An in-depth parametric study was conducted to evaluate the sensitivity of the bridges' seismic responses to variations of structural parameters. The analysis showed that uncertainties related to the presence of lap splices in columns and superstructure type in terms of integral or simply supported spans should be considered in the fragility analysis of the bridge system. Finally, the fragility curves determine the conditional probabilities that a specific structural demand will reach or exceed the structural capacity by considering peak ground acceleration (PGA) and acceleration spectrum intensity (ASI). The results also show that the simply supported bridges perform consistently better from a seismic perspective than integral bridges and focal mechanism of the earthquakes plays an important role in the seismic fragility analysis of highway bridges.

• 한국지반공학회논문집
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• 제32권11호
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• pp.31-42
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• 2016

지진에 대한 사면안정 해석은 지진에 의한 관성력을 정적하중으로 고려하는 유사정적해석을 널리 사용하고 있다. 사면과 같은 지반 구조물은 지반정수의 불확실성이 포함되어 있어 확률론적 해석을 이용하여 지반정수의 불확실성을 고려해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 지반의 불확실성을 고려한 확률론적 사면안정해석을 수행하였으며, 구조물이 임의 수준의 지반 운동을 받을 때 파괴상태에 도달하는 확률을 그래프로 나타낸 취약도 곡선을 작성하였다. 유사정적해석으로 확률론적 사면안정해석을 수행하기 위해 Monte Carlo Simulation(MCS)을 시행하였다. MCS의 소요 시간을 단축하기 위하여 인공신경망 기반의 응답면 기법을 이용해 파괴확률을 산출하여 수평지진계수별 취약도 곡선을 작성하는 방법을 제시하였다. 인공신경망을 이용하여 작성한 취약도 곡선을 MCS의 결과와 비교해 본 결과 상당한 시간 절약에 비해 유사한 결과를 얻을 수 있었다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제68권6호
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• pp.747-760
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• 2018

In the present study, a methodology for developing fragilities of arch concrete dams to assess their performance against seismic hazards is introduced. Firstly, the probability risk and fragility curves are presented, followed by implementation and representation of the way this method is used. Amirkabir arch concrete dam was subjected to non-linear dynamic analyses. A modified three dimensional rotating smeared crack model was used to take the nonlinear behavior of mass concrete into account. The proposed model considers major characteristics of mass concrete. These characteristics are pre-softening behavior, softening initiation criteria, fracture energy conservation, suitable damping mechanism and strain rate effect. In the present analysis, complete fluid-structure interaction is included to account for appropriate fluid compressibility and absorptive reservoir boundary conditions. In this study, the Amirkabir arch concrete dam is subjected to a set of 8 three-component earthquakes each scaled to 10 increasing intensity levels. Using proposed nonlinear smeared crack model, nonlinear analysis is performed where the structure is subjected to a large set of scaled and un-scaled ground motions and the maximum responses are extracted for each one and plotted. Based on the results, fragility curves were plotted according to various and possible damages indexes. Discrete damage probabilities were calculated using statistical methods for each considered performance level and incremental nonlinear analysis. Then, fragility curves were constructed based on the lognormal distribution assumption. Two damage indexes were introduced and compared to one another. The results indicate that the dam has a proper stability under earthquake conditions at MCE level. Moreover, displacement damages index is more conservative and impractical in the fragility analysis than tensional damage index.

• 한국지진공학회논문집
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.53-59
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• 2013

Several researches have been studied to enhance the seismic performance of nuclear power plants (NPPs) by application of seismic isolation. If a seismic base isolation system is applied to NPPs, seismic performance of nuclear power plants should be reevaluated considering the soil-structure interaction effect. The seismic fragility analysis method has been used as a quantitative seismic safety evaluation method for the NPP structures and equipment. In this study, the seismic performance of an isolated NPP is evaluated by seismic fragility curves considering the soil-structure interaction effect. The designed seismic isolation is introduced to a containment building of Shin-Kori NPP which is KSNP (Korean Standard Nuclear Power Plant), to improve its seismic performance. The seismic analysis is performed considering the soil-structure interaction effect by using the linearized model of seismic isolation with SASSI (System for Analysis of Soil-Structure Interaction) program. Finally, the seismic fragility is evaluated based on soil-isolation-structure interaction analysis results.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제34권1호
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• pp.39-60
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• 2010

In Turkey, majority of industrial facilities are composed of precast buildings. However, precast buildings have suffered extensive damage during Kocaeli and Duzce (1999) and Adana-Ceyhan (1998) earthquakes. Therefore, in this study, fragilities of existing building stock and damage probabilities of precast buildings were studied. For this purpose, building inventories were prepared and variation of structural parameters was determined by investigating the design project of 65 precast buildings constructed in Denizli, Turkey. Twelve analysis models which reflect the stiffness, strength and ductility properties of building inventory were constructed. After the definition of strain based displacement limits and corresponding damage states for buildings, displacement demands were calculated by using non linear time history analysis. During the analyses 360 strong ground motion records were used. Exceedence ratios of concerned damage limits was calculated by checking the displacement demands and then PGV based fragility curves were constructed. Efficiency of strength, stiffness and ductility properties of existing precast buildings were investigated by comparing the fragility curves. The results have shown that the most effective parameters that govern the damage probabilities of precast buildings are stiffness and ductility. It was also stated that the results of fragility analysis and damage and failure observations performed after Kocaeli and Duzce Earthquakes are compatible.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제15권6호
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• pp.701-713
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• 2018

Many bridges in Algeria were constructed without taking into account the seismic effect in the design. The implantation of a new regulation code RPOA-2008 requires a higher reinforcement ratio than with the seismic coefficient method, which is a common feature of the existing bridges. For better perception of the performance bridge piers and evaluation of the risk assessment of existing bridges, fragility analysis is an interesting tool to assess the vulnerability study of these structures. This paper presents a comparative performance of bridge piers designed with the seismic coefficient method and the new RPOA-2008. The performances of the designed bridge piers are assessed using thirty ground motion records and incremental dynamic analysis. Fragility curves for the bridge piers are plotted using probabilistic seismic demand model to perform the seismic vulnerability analysis. The impact of changing the reinforcement strength on the seismic behavior of the designed bridge piers is checked by fragility analysis. The fragility results reveal that the probability of damage with the RPOA-2008 is less and perform well comparing to the conventional design pier.