• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood stage

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River Stage Forecasting Model Combining Wavelet Packet Transform and Artificial Neural Network (웨이블릿 패킷변환과 신경망을 결합한 하천수위 예측모델)

  • Seo, Youngmin
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.1023-1036
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    • 2015
  • A reliable streamflow forecasting is essential for flood disaster prevention, reservoir operation, water supply and water resources management. This study proposes a hybrid model for river stage forecasting and investigates its accuracy. The proposed model is the wavelet packet-based artificial neural network(WPANN). Wavelet packet transform(WPT) module in WPANN model is employed to decompose an input time series into approximation and detail components. The decomposed time series are then used as inputs of artificial neural network(ANN) module in WPANN model. Based on model performance indexes, WPANN models are found to produce better efficiency than ANN model. WPANN-sym10 model yields the best performance among all other models. It is found that WPT improves the accuracy of ANN model. The results obtained from this study indicate that the conjunction of WPT and ANN can improve the efficiency of ANN model and can be a potential tool for forecasting river stage more accurately.

The Comparative Study of the Flood Discharge Formulas in Korean Rivers (우리나라 홍수량(洪水量) 공식(公式)들의 비교연구(比較硏究))

  • Ko, Jae Ung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.113-125
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    • 1988
  • The design flood formulas in Korean river are reviewed from the early historical stage of the river improvement projects to the present situation. The 11 different formulas are selected for the comparative purpose of the each results at the same rainfall and basin characteristics under the same size of the basin. The max. and min. values of the design flood discharge for the same basin deviated almost as large as 400% according to the formula used without respect to the basin size. The remains have big scattering within those deviations. The steps to derive the design flood are very complicated and tedious time consuming process at present applications. However the reaults computed through the steps are quationable in accordance with the lengths of the hydrological historic records and the accuracy of the data observation technique in view of the engineering judgement. The purpose of this review will give the one of the simplest and the reasonable approach to eliminate misleading the determination of the design flood peak.

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Application of a Method Estimating Grid Runoff for a Global High-Resolution Hydrodynamic Model (전지구 고해상도 수문모델 적용을 위한 격자유량 추정 방법 적용 연구)

  • Ryu, Young;Ji, Hee-Sook;Hwang, Seung-On;Lee, Johan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.155-167
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    • 2020
  • In order to produce more detailed and accurate information of river discharge and freshwater discharge, global high-resolution hydrodynamic model (CaMa-Flood) is applied to an operational land surface model of global seasonal forecast system. In addition, bias correction to grid runoff for the hydrodynamic model is attempted. CaMa-Flood is a river routing model that distributes runoff forcing from a land surface model to oceans or inland seas along continentalscale rivers, which can represent flood stage and river discharge explicitly. The runoff data generated by the land surface model are bias-corrected by using composite runoff data from UNH-GRDC. The impact of bias-correction on the runoff, which is spatially resolved on 0.5° grid, has been evaluated for 1991~2010. It is shown that bias-correction increases runoff by 30% on average over all continents, which is closer to UNH-GRDC. Two experiments with coupled CaMa-Flood are carried out to produce river discharge: one using this bias correction and the other not using. It is found that the experiment adapting bias correction exhibits significant increase of both river discharge over major rivers around the world and continental freshwater discharge into oceans (40% globally), which is closer to GRDC. These preliminary results indicate that the application of CaMa-Flood as well as bias-corrected runoff to the operational global seasonal forecast system is feasible to attain information of surface water cycle from a coupled suite of atmospheric, land surface, and hydrodynamic model.

Numerical Model for Flood Inundation Analysis in a River(I) : GIS Application (하천 홍수범람해석을 위한 수치모형의 개발(I) : GIS와의 연계해석)

  • Lee, Hong-Rae;Han, Geon-Yeon;Kim, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.415-427
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    • 1998
  • FIAS (Flood Inundation Analysis System) using Arc/Info is developed and applied to the South Han River basin. The DWOPER model is revised and expanded to handle simultaneous multiple overtopping and/or breaking and to estimate the inundation depth and extents. The model is applied to an actual levee overtopping case, which occurred on August 23~27, 1995 in the South Han River. Stage hydrographs inside and outside of the levee are compared, then inundated discharges from overbank spilling are computed. The Graphic User Interface is developed with AML(Arc/Info Macro Language). Two-and three-dimensional inundation maps by Arc/Info are presented. The computed inundation extends agree with observations in terms of inundation depth and flooded area. Keywords : River, Floodwave, Flood Inundation, Geographic Information System.

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Analysis of Hydraulic Characteristics of Flood Plain Using Two-Dimensional Unsteady Model (2차원 부정류 모형을 이용한 둔치의 수리특성 분석)

  • Ku, Young Hun;Song, Chang Geun;Kim, Young Do;Seo, Il Wo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.997-1005
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    • 2013
  • Since the cross-sectional shape of the Nakdong river is compound type, the water stage rises up to the top of the flood plane, as the flow discharge increases during the extreme rain storm in summer. The recent increase of rainfall intensity and flood frequency results in the immersions of parks and hydrophilic facilities located in the flood plain. Therefore it is necessary to analyze the hydraulic characteristics evolved by the extreme rain storm in the flood plain. The study reach ranging from the Gangjeong Goryeong Weir and the Dalseong Weir, where several hydraulic facilities are located along the channel, was selected and numerical simulations were conducted for 42 hours including the peak flood of the typhoon Sanba. The 2-D transient model, FaSTMECH was employed and the accuracy of the model was assessed by comparing the water level between the simulation results and the measured ones at a gauging station. It showed a high correlation with $R^2$ of 0.990, AME of 0.195, and RMSE of 0.252. In addition, the inundation time, the inundation depth, the inundation velocity, and the shear stress variation in the flood plain facilities were analyzed.

Real-time Flood Stage Forecasting of Tributary Junctions in Namhan River (남한강 지류 합류부의 실시간 홍수위 예측)

  • Kim, Sang Ho;Hyun, Jin Sub;Kim, Ji-Sung;Jun, Kyung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.561-572
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    • 2014
  • The backwater effect at a tributary junction increases the risk of flood damage such as inundation and levee overflow. In particular, the rapid increase in water level may cause injury to persons. The purpose of this research is the development of the real-time flood forecasting technique as a part of the non-structural flood damage reduction measures. To this end, the factors causing a water level rising at a junction were examined, and the empirical formula for predicting flood level at a junction was developed using the calculated discharge and water level data from the well-constructed hydraulic model. The water level predictions show that average absolute error is about 0.2~0.3m with the maximum error of 1.0m and peak time can be captured prior to 0~5 hr. From the results of this study, the real-time flood forecasting system of a tributary junction can be easily constructed, and this system is expected to be utilized for reduction of flood inundation damage.

Analysis of Runoff Reduction Effect of Flood Mitigation Policies based on Cost-Benefit Perspective (비용-편익을 고려한 홍수 대응 정책의 유출 저감 효과 분석)

  • Jee, Hee Won;Kim, Hyeonju;Seo, Seung Beom
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.721-733
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    • 2023
  • As the frequency of extreme rainfall events increase due to climate change, climate change adaptation measures have been proposed by the central and local governments. In order to reduce flood damage in urban areas, various flood response policies, such as low impact development techniques and enhancement of the capacity of rainwater drainage networks, have been proposed. When these policies are established, regional characteristics and policy-effectiveness from the cost-benefit perspective must be considered for the flood mitigation measures. In this study, capacity enhancement of rainwater pipe networks and low impact development techniques including green roof and permeable pavement techniques are selected. And the flood reduction effect of the target watershed, Gwanak campus of Seoul National University, was analyzed using SWMM model which is an urban runoff simulation model. In addition, along with the quantified urban flooding reduction outputs, construction and operation costs for various policy scenarios were calculated so that cost-benefit analyses were conducted to analyze the effectiveness of the applied policy scenarios. As a result of cost-benefit analysis, a policy that adopts both permeable pavement and rainwater pipe expansion was selected as the best cost-effective scenario for flood mitigation. The research methodology, proposed in this study, is expected to be utilized for decision-making in the planning stage for flood mitigation measures for each region.

Disaster reduction technique based on the case study on embankment failures (댐.제방유실 사고사례를 통한 재해경감 대책기술)

  • Hong, Byug-Man;Kim, Hyun-Tae;Kang, Byung-Yoon;Yoo, Ki-Cheong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.117-128
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    • 2005
  • Korea is affected by typhoon 2-3 times a year, and 50${\sim}$60 % of annual rainfall is concentrated during summer with heavy daily precipitation. Recently such natural conditions cause many of failures or damages of reservoirs and embankments. Overflow by heavy flood is the main cause that results 54.2 % of total embankment failures with damages of spillway, outlet channel and stilling basin. Since damages by overflow are triggered by scour of soils nearby the structures, use of proper backfill materials with great resistance against erosion should be considered and application of suitable construction method to protect erosion may be adopted. Most failures of levee are caused by piping along the surface of cross-structure underneath levee. Such failures may be protected by deep consideration of piping at the stage of design and good quality control during construction. Sufficient magnitude of spillway and outlet channel is the ideal way to prevent failures by the flood. For existing structures, remodeling with reinforcement to protect against flood with review of required storage of dam should be considered.

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The Circulation and the Submarine Topography in Asan Bay (아산만의 해저지형과 해수유동)

  • 장선덕
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 1977
  • A series of echo-sounding and current measurements as well as the drogue and the drift bottle experiments were carried out in Asan Bay since November 1974. Several sand bars or sand flats covered by silts were developed at ebb tide in the bay. Sand waves and sand ripples were seen on the surface of the sand bars, around which sea channels of 8~ 12 meters in depth are formed. The main stream axis of the flood current which is separated into east and west branch flows southward. A cyclonic and an anticyclonic eddy are developed at the early stage of flood tide. They are transformed into a clockwise eddy before the slack water. The maximum tidal current speed observed was 3.1 ~ 3.2 knots at the entrance of the bay, while it was 1.O ~ 2.8 knots in the bay. The location of the main stream axis of the tidal current coincides well with the sea channel. A salt wedge was observed at the estuary of the Sabgyo-cheon River.

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Numerical Simulation of the Floodwave Analysis Resulting from Dam Failure - Flood on Dry Bed from Instantaneous Dam-Break- (댐의 파괴형태와 하도부 양상에 따른 홍수파의 전달특성 해석에 관한 연구 - 급격한 댐 파괴와 마른하도를 중심으로 -)

  • 한건윤
    • Water for future
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.467-476
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    • 1990
  • Numerical model for the floodwave propagation on dry bed which is resulting from the instantaneous failure of a dam has been developed by moving Hartree scheme. The numerical simulation result of the model has good agreements with the observed data by WES in terms of stage hydrograph and characteristics profiled. The model would contribute effectively to forecast the flood on dry bed resulting from instantaneous dam-break.

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