• Title/Summary/Keyword: First-and Second-Order Sensitivity

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Reliability Analysis to Contaminant Migration in Saturated Sandy Soils: Implementation and Verification (포화(飽和)된 사질토(砂質土) 내로의 오염물(汚染物) 이동에 관한 신뢰성(信賴性): 수행(遂行) 및 검증(檢證))

  • Jang, Yeon Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.217-227
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    • 1992
  • The first and second-order reliability method(FORM and SORM) is presented using one dimensional finite difference and two dimensional finite element transport models. FORM and SORM can be used without any restrictive assumptions about the properties of the media, and the sensitivity information obtained as part of these analyses is used to identify the parameters which have major influence on the estimate of probability. The reliability analysis of transport in a one-dimensional domain is used to test the robustness of the reliability code and to evaluate the accuracy of the reliability method. A continuous source 2-D example with a concentration threshold limit state function is used to evaluate the influence of the parameters in the location of interest on the reliability solution.

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Sensitivity-based Damage detection in deep water risers using modal parameters: numerical study

  • Min, Cheonhong;Kim, Hyungwoo;Yeu, Taekyeong;Hong, Sup
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.315-334
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    • 2015
  • A main goal of this study is to propose a damage detection technique to detect and localize damages of a top-tensioned riser. In this paper, the top-tensioned finite element (FE) model is considered as an analytical model of the riser, and a vibration-based damage detection method is proposed. The present method consists of a FE model updating and damage index method. In order to accomplish the goal of this study, first, a sensitivity-based FE model updating method using natural frequencies and zero frequencies is introduced. Second, natural frequencies and zero frequencies of the axial mode on the top-tensioned riser are estimated by eigenvalue analysis. Finally, the locations and severities of the damages are estimated from the damage index method. Three numerical examples are considered to verify the performance of the proposed method.

A Comparative Study between fathers and mothers on the Parenting Efficacy, Knowledge of Infant-care and Sensitivity (아버지와 어머니의 부모 효능감, 양육지식 및 민감성의 비교 연구 - 영아기 자녀를 둔 부모를 대상으로 -)

  • Yee, Young-Hwan;Oh, Mi-Yeon
    • Korean Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.47-62
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is comparing parenting efficacy, knowledge of infant-care and sensitivity, The subjects of this study were 100 parents having 12-24 monthes old child in the city of Jeonju, Korea. Parenting efficacy was developed by Shin, Suk-Jae(1997) and consisting of 16 questions. The knowledge of infant-care was assessed using Knowledge of Child Development Inventory(KCDI) by Yoon Hyung Ju, which was modified by pedology Professor and 3 graduate school students in master's or doctorate courses. In addition, by using a tool made by Gwon, Mi-Gyeong(1998) centering on the literatures on infant cue in Barnard's NCAST program, the parents' sensitivity of infant cue is investigated. The statistical analysis of the collected data is done with SPSS 10.0, and frequency, percentage, average, standard deviation, t/F test and Pearson's correlation are also used. The results of this study were as following: First, mother's parenting efficacy was higher than father's. There were significant differences in parenting efficacy by eudcational level of mothers. Second, knowledge of infant-care was higher in mothers than fathers. Areas that mothers have knowledge of infant-care in the order of the lowest areas are emotional development, sociality development, physical development and cognitive development. Third, mothers reaction to infant cue is more sensitive and positive than father's. Fourth, There were positive correlations with father's parenting efficacy and knowledge of infant-care on emotional development, and paternal parenting uneasiness has negative correlations with his sociality development and emotional development.Meanwhile, There were positive correlations with mother's parenting efficacy and knowledge of infant-care on emotional development. Maternal parenting efficacy has negative correlations with her knowledge of infant-care on emotional development.

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The Effect of Modifying and Applying Waste Management Program on Environmental Sensitivity and Environmental Conservation Behavior (폐기물 관리 프로그램의 구안과 적용이 환경 감수성과 환경보전 행동에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Jung-Hee;Nam, Young-Sook
    • Hwankyungkyoyuk
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    • v.18 no.3 s.28
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2005
  • In the sustainable waste management, the necessity of environmental education which improves acquisition of the knowledge, attitudes and values for the environment is being emphasized to help students make environmentally desirable decision and promote responsible environmental behavior. However, the environmental education in high schools, as a whole, would be susceptible to many problems caused by tile educational administration focusing only on the college entrance examination. Therefore, this study modifies and applies a program using four teaching/learning methods (Investigation study, Internet-based learning, Field work, Issue analysis study) which deals with the sustainable waste management as the learning subject for the environmental education, and tries to find its effects on the students' environmental sensitivity and environmental conservation behavior in high schools. The main results of this study are summarized as fellows. First, the waste management program had little influence on the environmental sensitivity of experimental groups, while it had positive effect on their improvement of the environmental conservation behavior. Second, there were little meaningful effect on general environmental conservation behavior, but there were some significant results to environmental conservation behavior related to the sustainable waste management. In addition, positive results were found in ecomanagement and consumerism, whereas there were no meaningful results about in persuasion and legal action, which were sub-domains of the waste management program. Among the waste management programs, the school waste investigation study had the most positive effect on the students' recognition and solution of environmental problems as well as improvement of environmental conservation behavior. The easiest one of the four teaching/learning methods was the Internet-based learning, while the most difficult one of them was the issue analysis study. Consequently, in order to achieve the goals of the environmental education in the academic field, there has to be selected the most suitable one of the teaching/learning methods and to be applied to the class, according to the detailed objectives and loaming contents for the environmental education.

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Reliability-Based Service Life Estimation of Concrete in Marine Environment (신뢰성이론에 기반한 해양환경 콘크리트의 내구수명 평가)

  • Kim, Ki-Hyun;Cha, Soo-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.595-603
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    • 2010
  • Monte-Carlo simulation technique is often used in order to predict service life of concrete structure subjected to chloride penetration in marine environment based on probability theory. Monte-Carlo simulation method, however, the method gives different results every time that the simulation is run. On the other hand, moment method, which is frequently used in reliability analysis, needs negligible computational cost compared with simulation technique and gives a constant result for the same problem. Thus, in this study, moment method was applied to the calculation of corrosion-initiation probability. For this purpose, computer programs to calculate failure probabilities are developed using first-order second moment (FOSM) and second-order second moment (SOSM) methods, respectively. From the analysis examples with the developed programs, SOSM was found to give a more accurate result than FOSM does. The sensitivity analysis has shown that the factor affecting the corrosion-initiation probability the most was the cover depth, and the corrosion-initiation probability was influenced more by its coefficient of variation than its mean value.

Sensitivity analysis of the plastic hinge region in the wall pier of reinforced concrete bridges

  • Babaei, Ali;Mortezaei, Alireza;Salehian, Hamidreza
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.72 no.6
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    • pp.675-687
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    • 2019
  • As the bridges are an integral part of the transportation network, their function as one of the most important vital arteries during an earthquake is fundamental. In a design point of view, the bridges piers, and in particular the wall piers, are considered as effective structural elements in the seismic response of bridge structures due to their cantilever performance. Owing to reduced seismic load during design procedure, the response of these structural components should be ductile. This ductile behavior has a direct and decisive correlation to the development of plastic hinge region at the base of the wall pier. Several international seismic design codes and guidelines have suggested special detailing to assure ductile response in this region. In this paper, the parameters which affect the length of plastic hinge region in the reinforced concrete bridge with wall piers were examined and the sensitivity of these parameters was evaluated on the length of the plastic hinge region. Sensitivity analysis was accomplished by independently variable parameters with one standard deviation away from their means. For this aim, the Monte Carlo simulation, tornado diagram analysis, and first order second moment method were used to determine the uncertainties associated with analysis parameters. The results showed that, among the considered design variables, the aspect ratio of the pier wall (length to width ratio) and axial load level were the most important design parameters in the plastic hinge region, while the yield strength of transverse reinforcements had the least effect on determining the length of this region.

Estimating Influence of Local and Neighborhood Emissions on Ozone Concentrations over the Kwang-Yang Bay based on Air Quality Simulations for a 2010 June Episode (대기질 모사를 통한 인접지역 배출량이 광양만 오존농도에 미치는 영향분석 - 2010년 6월 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Soon-Tae;Lee, Chong-Bum
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.504-522
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    • 2011
  • Simulations of CMAQ with the High-order Decoupled Direct Method (HDDM) for a 2010 June episode are applied to estimate the influence of local and neighborhood emissions on ozone concentrations in the Kwang-Yang Bay (KYB) area. In order to examine ozone response to reductions in $NO_x$ and VOC emissions from KYB and Gyeongsang, ozone isopleths are generated with the first and second-order sensitivity coefficients from HDDM simulations at three sites; Taein, Samil, and Gwangmoo. Simulations show that reduction in KYB $NO_x$ may increase ozone over the sites. On the contrary, $NO_x$ reduction from Gyeongsang may decrease ozone at the sites when transport of ozone and its precursors from upwind Gyeongsang is potentially high. However, VOC reductions from KYB and Gyeongsang are favorable to lower ozone over KYB. The study implies that emission reductions for both local and neighboring areas are likely more effective to bring KYB to ozone attainment.

Model Classification and Evaluation of Measurement Uncertainty (측정 불확도 모형 분류 및 평가)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.145-156
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    • 2007
  • This paper is to propose model classification and evaluation of measurement uncertainty. In order to obtain type A and B uncertainty, variety of measurement mathematical models are illustrated by example. The four steps to evaluate expanded uncertainty are indicated as following; First, to get type A standard uncertainty, measurement mathematical models of single, double, multiple, design of experiment and serial autocorrelation are shown. Second, to solve type B standard uncertainty measurement mathematical models of empirical probability distributions and multivariate are presented. Third, type A and B combined uncertainty, considering sensitivity coefficient, linearity and correlation are discussed. Lastly, expanded uncertainty, considering degree of freedom for type A, B uncertainty and coverage factor are presented with uncertainty budget. SPC control chart to control expanded uncertainty is shown.

Enhancement of Computational Efficiency of Reliability Optimization Method by Approximate Evaluation of Sub-Optimization Problem (부 최적화 문제의 근사적인 계산을 통한 신뢰도 최적설계 방범의 효율개선)

  • Jeong, Do-Hyeon;Lee, Byeong-Chae
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.25 no.10
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    • pp.1597-1604
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    • 2001
  • Alternative computational scheme is presented fur reliability based optimal design using a modified advanced first order second moment (AFOSH) method. Both design variables and design parameters are considered as random variables about their nominal values. Each probability constraint is transformed into a sub -optimization problem and then is resolved with the modified Hasofer- Lind-Rackwitz-Fiessler (HL-RF) method for computational efficiency and convergence. A method of design sensitivity analysis for probability constraint is presented and tested through simple examples. The suggested method is examined by solving several examples and the results are compared with those of other methods.

Serviceability reliability analysis of cable-stayed bridges

  • Cheng, Jin;Xiao, Ru-Cheng
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.609-630
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    • 2005
  • A reliability analysis method is proposed in this paper through a combination of the advantages of the response surface method (RSM), finite element method (FEM), first order reliability method (FORM) and the importance sampling updating method. The accuracy and efficiency of the method is demonstrated through several numerical examples. Then the method is used to estimate the serviceability reliability of cable-stayed bridges. Effects of geometric nonlinearity, randomness in loading, material, and geometry are considered. The example cable-stayed bridge is the Second Nanjing Bridge with a main span length of 628 m built in China. The results show that the cable sag that is part of the geometric nonlinearities of cable-stayed bridges has a major effect on the reliability of cable-stayed bridge. Finally, the most influential random variables on the reliability of cable-stayed bridges are identified by using a sensitivity analysis.