• Title/Summary/Keyword: First rainfall

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Application of Equivalent Ellipses for the Qualification of the Spatial Scale of Rainfall Event (호우사상의 공간규모 정량화를 위한 등가타원의 적용)

  • Kim, Ha-Young;Park, Chang-Yeol;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.327-338
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    • 2011
  • This study examined the quantification problem of a storm shape using the concept of equivalent ellipses. The equivalent ellipses of a storm event were estimated at every time step with respect to the several thresholds of rainfall intensity, which was also examined in terms of their size and number. In addition, the average equivalent ellipse was decided, and the confidence intervals of major axis, minor axis, and rotational angle were calculated to evaluate if the average equivalent ellipse could be the representative one. As results, the following results could be derived. First of all, the number of equivalent ellipses and the size of equivalent ellipses increase as the threshold increase. Secondly, the appropriate ratio of major and minor axises of equivalent ellipse is 2 : 1. Finally, the average rotational angle estimated with respect to several threshold rainfall intensities were all found not to be statistically different from that of all representative rotational angles.

Establishment and Application of Neuro-Fuzzy Real-Time Flood Forecasting Model by Linking Takagi-Sugeno Inference with Neural Network (I) : Selection of Optimal Input Data Combinations (Takagi-Sugeno 추론기법과 신경망을 연계한 뉴로-퍼지 홍수예측 모형의 구축 및 적용 (I) : 최적 입력자료 조합의 선정)

  • Choi, Seung-Yong;Kim, Byung-Hyun;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.7
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    • pp.523-536
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to develop the data driven model for the flood forecasting that are improved the problems of the existing hydrological model for flood forecasting in medium and small streams. Neuro-Fuzzy flood forecasting model which linked the Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy inference theory with neural network, that can forecast flood only by using the rainfall and flood level and discharge data without using lots of physical data that are necessary in existing hydrological rainfall-runoff model is established. The accuracy of flood forecasting using this model is determined by temporal distribution and number of used rainfall and water level as input data. So first of all, the various combinations of input data were constructed by using rainfall and water level to select optimal input data combination for applying Neuro-Fuzzy flood forecasting model. The forecasting results of each combination are compared and optimal input data combination for real-time flood forecasting is determined.

Ammonia Emission and Nitrogen and Phosphorous Loss by Rainfall from Cow Manure Pile (우분 야적시 암모니아 휘산량과 강우에 의한 질소 및 인산 유출량 평가)

  • Yun, Hong-Bae;Lee, Youn;Lee, Sang-Min;Kim, Suk-Chul;Hong, Seung-Gil;Lee, Yong-Bok
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.392-396
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    • 2009
  • For the reduction of ammonia ($NH_3$) volatilization from the cow manure composting process, a cow manure pile was covered with vinyl (white polyethylene) and the ammonia emissions were evaluated using the dynamic chamber system for 47 days. Nitrogen and phosphorus loss from cow manure pile by rainfall was also measured in this study. In the cow manure pile without covering, the amount of $NH_3$ emission was 0.78 N kg/Mg which accounted for 9.4% of total nitrogen contents in the cow manure. Eighty nine percent of the total $NH_3$ emission during experimental period from the cow manure pile without covering was emitted for the first 21 days. The vinyl covering of cow manure pile reduced 91% of $NH_3$ emission compared to the pile without covering. The amounts of nitrogen and phosphorus loss by rainfall from cow manure pile without covering were 1.27 N kg/Mg and 0.23 P kg/Mg for 47 days, respectively. Results from this study demonstrated that vinyl covering of cow manure pile could reduce $NH_3$ emission and loss of nitrogen and phosphorus by rainfall during composting.

Improved Rainfall Estimation Based on Corrected Radar Reflectivity in Partial Beam Blockage Area of S-band Dual-Polarization Radar (S밴드 이중편파레이더의 부분 빔 차폐영역 내 반사도 보정을 통한 지상강우추정 개선)

  • Lee, Jeong-Eun;Jung, Sung-Hwa;Kim, Hae-Lim;Lee, Sun-Ki
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.467-481
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    • 2017
  • A correction method of reflectivity in partial beam blockage (PBB) area is suggested, which is based on the combination of digital terrain information and self-consistency principle between polarimetric observation. First, the reflectivity was corrected by adding the radar energy loss estimated from beam blockage simulation using digital elevation model (DEM) and beam propagation geometry in standard atmosphere. The additional energy loss by unexpected obstacles and non-standard beam propagation was estimated by using the coefficient between accumulated reflectivity ($Z_H$) and differences of differential phase shift (${\Phi}_{DP}$) along radial direction. The proposed method was applied to operational S-band dual-polarization radar at Jindo and its performance was compared with those of simulation method and self-consistency method for six rainfall cases. When the accumulated reflectivity and increment of ${\Phi}_{DP}$ along radial direction are too small, the self-consistency method has failed to correct the reflectivity while the combined method has corrected the reflectivity bias reasonably. The correction based on beam simulation showed the underestimation. For evaluation of rainfall estimation, the FBs (FRMSEs) of simulation method and self-consistency principle were -0.32 (0.59) and -0.30 (0.57), respectively. The proposed method showed the lowest FB (-0.24) and FRMSE (0.50). The FB and FMSE were improved by about 18% and by 19% in comparison to those before correction (-0.42 and 0.70). We can conclude that the proposed method can improve the accuracy of rainfall estimation in PBB area.

Effects of Nutrient Property Changes on Summer Phytoplankton Community Structure of Jangmok Bay (장목만에서 여름철 영양염 특성 변화가 식물플랑크톤 군집구조에 미치는 영향)

  • Jang, Pung-Guk;Jang, Min-Chul;Lee, Woo-Jin;Shin, Kyoung-Soon
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.97-111
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    • 2010
  • Phytoplankton production is affected by various physico-chemical factors of environment. However, one of the most critical factors generally accepted as controlling primary production of phytoplankton is nutrients. It has recently been found that the succession of phytoplankton groups and species are closely related to the chemical properties of ambient water including nutrient limitation and their ratios. In Jangmok Bay, silicate and nitrate are primarily supplied by rainfall, while phosphate and ammonia are supplied by wind stress. Typhoons are associated with rainfall and strong wind stress, and when typhoons pass through the South Sea, such events may induce phytoplankton blooms. When nutrients were supplied by heavy rainfalls during the rainy season and by summer typhoons in Jangmok Bay, the dominant taxa among the phytoplankton groups were found to change successively with time. The dominant taxon was changed from diatoms to flagellates immediately after the episodic seasonal events, but returned to diatoms within 3~10 days. Pseudo-nitzschia spp. were dominant mainly in the presence of low phosphate levels during the first of the survey which included the rainy season, while Skeletonema costatum was dominant when phosphate concentrations were high due to the strong wind stress during the latter half of the survey as a result of the typhoon. The competition between S. costatum and Chaetoceros spp. appeared to be regulated by the silicate concentration. S. costatum preferred high silicate and phosphate concentrations; however, Chaetoceros spp. were able to endure low silicate concentrations. These results implied that, in coastal ecosystems, the input patterns of each nutrient supplied by rainfall and/or wind stress appeared to contribute to the summer succession of phytoplankton groups and species.

Reduction Effect of Nonpoint Source Pollutants and Drainage of Infiltration Grate Inlet (침투형 빗물받이의 배수 및 비점오염물질 저감 효과)

  • Lee, Wonyong;Lim, Bongsu;Park, Insung
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.474-480
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    • 2017
  • This study was to estimate the reduction effect of nonpoint source pollutants according to the rainfall intensity and drainage of infiltration grate inlet. Soil infiltration flow was measured on-site and SS load by the filter part was calculated by the experimental data in laboratory reactor test. Soil infiltration flow was measured to be about $1m^3/hr$ in soil condition saturated with water. The filter part of the infiltration grate inlet was a hydraulic equipment unhindered by soil infiltration on the bottom of the storage tank, because the infiltration flow was measured to be about $3m^3/hr$ continuously in the closing infiltration hole condition. Infiltration flow and SS load were over about $1m^3/hr$ and 1.71 kg according to laboratory results by the filter part using the artifical sample. Therefore, the above values could be presented as the limitted value to start the reduction of filtration effect. Reduction efficiencies of SS load by the filter part for the rainfall intensity were about 87 % at 5 mm/hr and about 61 % at 10 mm/hr in consideration of one infiltration grate inlet got the drainage area about $200m^2$. The reduction efficiency of nonpoint source pollutants was very effective in the first flush rainfall. However, the reduction efficiency by rainfall density was higher than by flow.

Pollutant Load Characteristics from a Small Mountainous Agricultural Watershed in the North Han River Basin (북한강 중류 산간농업 소하천에서의 오염부하특성분석)

  • Shin, Yong-Chul;Choi, Joong-Dae;Lim, Kyoung-Jae;Shim, Hyeok-Ho;Lyou, Chang-Won;Yang, Jae E.;Yoo, Kyung-Yoal
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2005
  • Natural environment of the Wolgokri stream watershed, located in Chuncheon, Gangwon province, Korea, has been well preserved as a traditional agricultural watershed. To analyze characteristics of NPS pollution generated from an mountainous agricultural watershed, the flow and water qualities of the study watershed were monitored and were analyzed to estimate pollution loads. Annual runoff volume ratio was $70.4\%$. Concentrations of T-N, T-p, COD, and TOC were higher when monthly rainfall was between $0\~30mm$ than those when monthly rainfall was between $30\~70mm$. However, the concentrations varied considerably when monthly rainfall was higher than 100mm. The flow weighted mean concentrations(mg/L) of BOD, COD, TOC, $NO_3-N$, T-N, T-P and SS were 1.96, 2.72, 3.32, 1.41, 4.70, 0.187 and 13.36, respectively. The BOD, SS, T-N and T-P loads of July, 2004 were $48\%,\;17\%,\;51\%\;and\;32\%$ of annual load, respectively. The BOD, COD, TOC, $NO_3-N$, T-N, T-p, and SS loads (kg/ha) from Mar. 2004 to Apr. 2005 were 19.09, 26.55, 32.39, 13.85, 45.92, 1.887 and 130.18, respectively. The highest concentrations of BOD, NO3-N, T-N, T-p, SS, COD and TOC were found before the flow reached the peak runoff, possibly due to the first flushing effect. Generally, pollution loads of the Wolgokri watershed were not that significant. Phosphorus load, however, was higher enough to cause eutrophication in the receiving water body It was recommended that best management practices need to be implemented to reduce phosphorus sources.

A Study on a Reasonable Choice of Simulation Model for Rainfall-Runoff in the Prior Review System on Disaster Effect (사전재해영향성검토 시 합리적인 홍수유출 모의모형 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jung-Min;Yun, Jeong-Ran;Kim, Young-Jin;Jin, Kyu-Nam;Han, Hyung-Geun
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2010
  • Urban development is a cause of expansion of impervious area. A permanent storage is operated as a method of reducing runoff of watershed. The purpose of study is to propose reasonable choice of simulation model for rainfall-runoff in the prior review system on disaster effect. First, we indicated problem about concentration time choice in the flood simulation. To test the adequacy of a rainfall-runoff simulation model, We analyzed characteristics of rainfall-runoff about urban and natural watersheds. A simulation model was calibrated with the storm of july 7 to July 9 in 2009. From the result, we proposed that SWMM and kinematic wave method as the flood simulation models for urban and natural watersheds. A simulation model and design method of a permanent storage for flood that is proposed in this study will be useful for practical design of flood simulation. The hydrologic analysis method of the study can be used for capacity evaluation of permanent storage plan.

Uncertainty investigation and mitigation in flood forecasting

  • Nguyen, Hoang-Minh;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.155-155
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    • 2018
  • Uncertainty in flood forecasting using a coupled meteorological and hydrological model is arisen from various sources, especially the uncertainty comes from the inaccuracy of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPFs). In order to improve the capability of flood forecast, the uncertainty estimation and mitigation are required to perform. This study is conducted to investigate and reduce such uncertainty. First, ensemble QPFs are generated by using Monte - Carlo simulation, then each ensemble member is forced as input for a hydrological model to obtain ensemble streamflow prediction. Likelihood measures are evaluated to identify feasible member. These members are retained to define upper and lower limits of the uncertainty interval and assess the uncertainty. To mitigate the uncertainty for very short lead time, a blending method, which merges the ensemble QPFs with radar-based rainfall prediction considering both qualitative and quantitative skills, is proposed. Finally, blending bias ratios, which are estimated from previous time step, are used to update the members over total lead time. The proposed method is verified for the two flood events in 2013 and 2016 in the Yeonguol and Soyang watersheds that are located in the Han River basin, South Korea. The uncertainty in flood forecasting using a coupled Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS) and Sejong University Rainfall - Runoff (SURR) model is investigated and then mitigated by blending the generated ensemble LDAPS members with radar-based rainfall prediction that uses McGill algorithm for precipitation nowcasting by Lagrangian extrapolation (MAPLE). The results show that the uncertainty of flood forecasting using the coupled model increases when the lead time is longer. The mitigation method indicates its effectiveness for mitigating the uncertainty with the increases of the percentage of feasible member (POFM) and the ratio of the number of observations that fall into the uncertainty interval (p-factor).

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A Study on Annual Carbon Emission Characteristic Changes Affected by Rainfall (강우에 의한 토양호흡 배출 특성이 연간 토양호흡 배출량에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Kong, Hak Yang;Park, Sung Ae;Shim, Kyu Young;Kim, Tae Kyu;Lee, Jae Seok;Suh, Sang Uk
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.397-405
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    • 2016
  • For better understand of the soil respiration characteristic in ecosystem, it is necessary to accurately determine the daily, monthly and seasonal $CO_2$ flux related to various environmental factors. In general, soil respiration is being measured on a sunny day. But soil respiration is known to be affected by soil temperature and soil moisture content. In case of forestry, changes in soil moisture content are entirely dependent on rainfall. If we calculated the monthly soil respiration measured based on sunny days data only, it could be a factor that loses credibility soil respiration. On this study, we measured soil respiration on Pinus koraiensis plantation at Mt. Taehwa of Gwangju, Gyeonggi-do on sunny and rainy days in 2012, using Automatic Open-Closed Chamber system (AOCC) and portable $CO_2$ analyzer (GMP343). Then we computed the regression equations using sunny days data, precipitation less than 10 mm data, and precipitation over 10 mm data. At first, there were no significant differences in observed data and computed data. But less than 10 mm precipitation, computed data was 26.5% lower than observed data. Precipitation over 10 mm, on the other hand, the former was 29.3% higher than the latter. In each case, it showed significant differences between observed and computed data (p<0.05). So if we computed regression equation using soil respiration measured sunny days only, about 30% of annual soil respiration could be overestimated. Through further study, we suggest the subdivision and computation of regression equation on the basis of the rainfall intensity.