• Title/Summary/Keyword: First Demand

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The Determinants of the Expected Demand for Elderly Care by Government in Aged Korea (국가에 의한 노후보장 기대수준 결정요인)

  • Seo, Ji-Won
    • Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.59-84
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the determinants of policy demand for elderly care in aged Korea. The data from the first wave of KLoSA (Korean Longitudinal Study of Ageing) aged over 45 were used (n=10,165). The major findings were as follows: First, human capital, social capital, and socioeconomic variables influenced on the expected demand for elderly care by government, controlling the expectations of future life and society. Second, the effects of determninants on the expected demand for elderly care by government varied by the level of human capital, social capital, and socioeconomic variables, including ADL and IADL, familial support by children, public transfers, and age. Based on the empirical results, the implications for welfare mix of elderly care were provided.

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생산현장에서 발생하는 불확실성을 고려한 생산통제기법들의 유용성 분석

  • 이장한;박진우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.185-190
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    • 1993
  • In this paper, we investigate the effect of production uncertainty - especially demand fluctuation and activity time variation, to production control policies. First, we examine three famous production control policies, namely, MRP, JIT, OPT, from shop floor control perspective and analyze the difference among them. Based on these, simulation studies are performed to draw out the effects of demand fluctuation which are classified into demand lumpiness and demand irregularity, and, the effects of activity time variation which are classified into standard time variation and non-standard time variation. Experimental investigation shows that, in terms of demand fluctuations, MRP is affected by demand lumpiness, but JIT by demand irregularity. And we also see that both MRP and JIT are influenced by standard time variation with respect to activity time variations.

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A Study on the Self-confidence in Performance and Education Demand of First Aid in Kindergarten and Daycare Center Teachers (유치원 및 어린이집 교사의 응급처치 수행자신감 및 교육요구도)

  • Hwang, Ji-Young;Oh, Eun-Soon;Cho, Keun-Ja
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.234-243
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this study was to identify the self-confidence in performance and education demand of first aid in kindergarten and daycare center teachers. The data from a questionnaire were collected from teachers in kindergarten and daycare centers from March 5 to 31, 2015. The responses from 149 teachers were analyzed using SPSS 21.0. The results showed that self-confidence in the performance of first aid was mostly low (mean score 2.70), but was significantly high in cases of having a willingness to perform first aid (p=.002). The education demand for first aid was mostly high (mean score 4.04), and significantly high in the case of having experience of emergency situations (4.21, p=.006), and being educated in first aid while working in a childcare facility (4.14, p=.001). Therefore, it is important to educate teachers in first aid regularly after developing an optimized program considering the frequency of emergency situations, and level of self-confidence in the performance and education demand of first aid.

A Study on Mechanism of Load Shedding (부하차단 메카니즘에 관한 연구)

  • Shin Ho Sung;Moon Jong Fil;Kim Jae Chul;Song Kyung Bin
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.162-164
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    • 2004
  • Electrical power peak demand of Republic of Korea is annually growing and the peak demand has occurred in the summer. It is difficult that we handle with constructing power plants and increasing generation capacity to cope with a suddenly increased demand due to the cost problem, difficulty to find the new plant site, and the spread of the NIMBY. The alternative of the above problem is to efficiently manage demand of electrical power. Accordingly, load shedding of a section of demand side management is investigated. First we surveyed a trend of research in the domestic and overseas, for load curtailment and demand response program. After reviewing several demand response programs, the future research direction for load shedding in emergency and normal operation is introduced.

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Demand forecasting for intermittent demand using combining forecasting method (결합 예측 기법을 이용한 간헐 수요에 대한 수요예측)

  • Kwon, Ick-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.161-169
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    • 2016
  • In this research, we propose efficient demand forecasting scheme for intermittent demand. For this purpose, we first extensively analyze the drawbacks of the existing forecasting methods such as Croston method and Syntetos-Boylan approximation, then using these findings we propose the new demand forecasting method. Our goal is to develop forecasting method robust across many situations, not necessarily optimal for a limited number of specific situations. For this end, we adopt combining forecasting method that utilizes unbiased forecasting methods such as simple exponential smoothing and simple moving average. Various simulation results show that the proposed forecasting method performed better than the existing forecasting methods.

A Study on the Prediction Analysis of Aviation Passenger Demand after Covid-19

  • Jin, Seong Hyun;Jeon, Seung Joon;Kim, Kyoung Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.147-153
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed the outlook for aviation demand for the recovery of the aviation industry, focusing on airlines facing difficulties in management due to the Covid-19 crisis. Although the timing of the recovery in aviation demand is uncertain at the moment, this study is based on prior research related to Covid-19 and forecasts by aviation specialists, and analyzed by SWOT technique to a group of aviation experts to derive and suggest implications for the prospects of aviation demand. Looking at the implications based on the analysis results, first, customer trust to prevent infection should be considered a top priority for recovering aviation demand. Second, promote reasonable air price policy. Finally, it seeks to try various research and analysis techniques to predict long-term aviation demand to overcome Covid-19.

Integrated Demand and Production Control for the Competition-based Component and Cooperation-based End Item (경쟁 기반의 부품 생산과 협업 기반의 완성품 생산 시스템에서 생산과 수요 통제의 통합적 고찰)

  • Kim, Eun-Gab
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.368-375
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    • 2009
  • This paper considers a two-stage supply system consisting of two make-to-stock facilities. The facility in the first stage produces a single type of component in anticipation of future demands from the market and the end item production while the facility in the second stage produces the end item in anticipation of future demands from the OEM customers. The facility in the first stage has the option of to accept or reject each incoming demand from the market. In this paper, we address the problem of how to control the exogenous component demand and how to manage the production of the end item and the component so as to maximize the system's profit subject to the system costs. In this paper, we present a heuristic policy that is the base-stock production policy combined with a linear switching curve for component demand control. Numerical study is implemented under different operating conditions of the system and it shows that the performance of the heuristic is very promising compared to that of the optimal policy for the Markov model.

An Analysis of Location Marginal Prices Considering Demand Response Resources (수요반응자원을 고려한 지역별 한계가격 해석기법 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Houng;Kim, Jin-Ho;Kim, Hyeong-Jung;Shin, Joong-Rin;Park, Jong-Bae
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.1
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents a new approach of a evaluation of location marginal prices(LMPs) considering demand response resources in the competitive electricity market. The stabilization of the electric power supply and demand balance has been one of the major important activities in electric power industry. Recently, much attention is paid to the demand-side resources which are responsive to incentives or time-varying prices and existing power system planning and operation activities are incorporated with the so-called demand response resources. In this paper, we first present an analytical method for calculation of LMPs considering demand response resources and then break down the LMPs into three components. In this study, we assume that Korean power system consists of two major regions, one which is the metropolitan and the other is non-metropolitan region. In the case study, we have considered several LMPs cases with different use of locational demand response resource and we can obtain a locational signal to demand response resources. Also, the economics of demand response resources are evaluated, compared with the increase of transmission line capacity and of generation capacity.

Study of Peak Load Demand Estimation Methodology by Pearson Correlation Analysis with Macro-economic Indices and Power Generation Considering Power Supply Interruption

  • Song, Jiyoung;Lee, Jaegul;Kim, Taekyun;Yoon, Yongbeum
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1427-1434
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    • 2017
  • Since the late 2000s, there has been growing preparation in South Korea for a sudden reunification of South and North Korea. Particularly in the power industry field, thorough preparations for the construction of a power infrastructure after reunification are necessary. The first step is to estimate the peak load demand. In this paper, we suggest a new peak demand estimation methodology by integrating existing correlation analysis methods between economic indicators and power generation quantities with a power supply interruption model in consideration of power consumption patterns. Through this, the potential peak demand and actual peak demand of the Nation, which experiences power supply interruption can be estimated. For case studies on North Korea after reunification, the potential peak demand in 2015 was estimated at 5,189 MW, while the actual peak demand within the same year was recorded as 2,461 MW. The estimated potential peak demand can be utilized as an important factor when planning the construction of power system facilities in preparation for reunification.

A Preliminary Study on Development of Family Welfare Service Program (가정복지서비스 프로그램개발을 위한 기초연구)

  • 김양희
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.163-180
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study were to identify the differences between the demand for education program and the demand for counseling program of family welfare and to analyze the relation between demographic characteristics and the demand for family welfare service program For these purposes, total sample of 909 women those residing in Seoul, Inchon, Taejun, Taegu, Pusan, Kwangju, Chungju, Junju and Choonchun, were selected. Statistics were frequencies, means, percentile, cross-tabulation, t-test and Anova. The results were as follows. First, in family welfare service program on children and adolescents, the improvement in family living, consumption, retirement planning, health management, protection of environment and resource, volunteering and the advance of living culture, the demand for education program were higher than the demand for cunseling program. In particular, demands for both education program and counseling program on children and adolescents were the highest. Second, age, residence and income had very significant effects on the demands for both education program and counseling program. By understanding these differences in the demand for education program and counseling program of family welfare, practitioners and educators may be able to develop family welfare service program to solve family problems.

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