• 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신뢰성학회 2005년도 학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.115-120
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• 2005

This paper introduces models for preventive maintenance policies and considers periodic preventive maintenance policy with minimal repair when the failure of system occurs. It is assumed that minimal repairs do not change the failure rate of the system. The failure rate under prevention maintenance received an effect by a previously prevention maintenance and the slope of failure rate increases the model where it considered. Also the start point of failure rate under prevention maintenance considers the degradation of system and that it increases quotient, it assumed. Per unit time it bought an expectation cost from under this prevention maintenance policy. We obtain the optimal period time and the number for the periodic preventive maintenance by using Nakagawa's Algorithm, which minimizes the expected cost rate per unit time. Finally, it suppose that the failure time of a system has a Weibull distribution as an example and we obtain an expected cost rate per unit time the optimal period time and the number when cost of replacement and cost of minimal repair change.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제16권18호
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• pp.8387-8390
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• 2016

Background: Treatment of biochemical failure after radical prostatectomy for prostate cancer is largely empirically based. The use of PSA kinetics has been used as a guide to determine local or systemic treatment of biochemical failure. We here compared PSA kinetics with detection of bone marrow micrometastasis as methods to determine local or systemic relapse. Materials and Methods: A transversal study was conducted of men with biochemical failure, defined as a serum PSA >0.2ng/ml after radical prostatectomy. Consecutive patients having undergone radical prostatectomy and with biochemical failure were enrolled and clinical and pathological details were recorded. Bone marrow biopsies were obtained from the iliac crest and touch prints made, micrometastasis (mM) being detected using anti-PSA. The clinical parameters of total serum PSA, PSA velocity, PSA doubling time and time to biochemical failure, age, Gleason score and pathological stage were registered. Results: A total of 147 men, mean age $71.6{\pm}8.2years$, with a median time to biochemical failure of 5.5 years (IQR 1.0-6.3 years) participated in the study. Bone marrow samples were positive for micrometastasis in 98/147 (67%) of patients at the time of biochemical failure. The results of bone marrow micrometastasis detected by immunocytochemistry were not concordant with local relapse as defined by PSA velocity, time to biochemical failure or Gleason score. In men with a PSA doubling time of < six months or a total serum PSA of >2,5ng/ml at the time of biochemical failure the detection of bone marrow micrometastasis was significantly higher. Conclusions: The detection of bone marrow micrometastasis could be useful in defining systemic relapse, this minimally invasive procedure warranting further studies with a larger group of patients.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.144-157
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• 1999

In this paper, we consider a new preventive replacement policy for the system which deteriorates while it is in operation with an increasing failure rate. The system is subject to two types of failure. A type 1 failure is repairable while a type 2 failure is not repairable. In the new policy, a system is replaced at the age of $t_p$ or at the instant the$\textsc{k}^{th}$ type 1 failure occurs, whichever comes first. However, if a type 2 failure occurs before a preventive replacement is performed, a failure replacement should be made. We assume that a type 1 failure can be rectified with a minimal repair. We also assume that a replacement takes a non-negligible amount of time while a minimal repair takes a negligible amount of time. Under a cost structure which includes a preventive replacement cost, a failure replacement cost and a minimal repair cost, we develop a model to find the optimal ($\textsc{k},t_p$) policy which minimizes the expected cost per unit time in the long run while satisfying a system availability constraint.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.487-493
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• 2007

In this study is analysis which dams breach shapes are effect on peak discharge of dam-failure. The dam breach shapes and failure time are important peak discharge when dam failure. When dam failure times are 1hr, 2hr and 3hr condition for the ECRD and 0.1hr and 0.2hr for the CG and CFRD that breach shapes changed base length $B_b=1Hd,\;B_b=2Hd\;and\;B_b=3Hd$. As the results from DAMBRK(Dam Break model) peak discharge are increase base widths lengthen. As failure time is longer then peak discharge is decrease. So peak discharge is increase more short of dam failure time. Also peak discharge is increase become larger dam breach shapes.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제17권11호
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• pp.1295-1305
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• 2008

This study aims at the analyze of unsteady downstream flow due to dam failure along dam failure scenario and applied to Yeoncheon Dam which was collapsed August 1st 1999, using HEC-RAS simulation model. The boundary conditions of this unsteady flow simulation are that dam failure arrival time could be at 02:45 a.m. August 1st 1999 and failure duration time could be also 30 minutes. Downstream 19.5 km from dam site was simulated for unsteady flow analysis in terms of dam failure and non-failure cases. For the parameter calibration, observed data of Jeonkok station were used and roughness coefficient was applied to simulation model. The result of the peak discharge difference was 2,696 to $1,745\;m^3/sec$ along the downstream between dam failure and non-failure and also peak elevation of water level showed meanly 0.6m difference. Those results of these studies show that dam failure scenarios for the unknown failure time and duration were rational because most results were coincident with observed records. And also those results and procedure could suggest how and when dam failure occurs and downstream unsteady flow analyzes.

• Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.49-64
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• 2015

This paper presents a method for assessing the risk of wave run-up and overtopping of existing coastal defences and for analysing the probability of failure of the structures under future hydraulic conditions. The recent UK climate projections are employed in the investigations of the influence of changing environments on the long-term performance of sea defences. In order to reduce the risk of wave run-up and overtopping caused by rising sea level and to maintain the present-day allowances for wave run-up height and overtopping discharge, the future necessary increase in crest level of existing structures is investigated. Various critical failure mechanisms are considered for reliability analysis, i.e., erosion of crest by wave overtopping, failure of seaside revetment, and internal erosions within earth sea dykes. The time-dependent reliability of sea dykes is analysed to give probability of failure with time. The results for an example earth dyke section show that the necessary increase in crest level is approximately double of sea level rise to maintain the current allowances. The probability of failure for various failure modes of the earth dyke has a significant increase with time under future hydraulic conditions.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제14권5호
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• pp.859-870
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• 2011

The purpose of this paper is to develop reliability analysis procedures for repairable systems with interval failure time data and apply the procedures for assessing the storage reliability of a subsystem of a certain type of guided missile. In the procedures, the interval failure time data are converted to pseudo failure times using the uniform random generation method, mid-point method or equispaced intervals method. Then, such analytic trend tests as Laplace, Lewis-Robinson, Pair-wise Comparison Nonparametric tests are used to determine whether the failure process follows a renewal or non-renewal process. Monte Carlo simulation experiments are conducted to compare the three conversion methods in terms of the statistical performance for each trend test when the underlying process is homogeneous Poisson, renewal, or non-homogeneous Poisson. The simulation results show that the uniform random generation method is best among the three. These results are applied to actual field data collected for a subsystem of a certain type of guided missile to identify its failure process and to estimate its mean time to failure and annual mean repair cost.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제23권6호
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• pp.467-478
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• 2016

The accelerated failure time model or accelerated life model relates the logarithm of the failure time linearly to the covariates. The parameters in the model provides a direct interpretation. In this paper, we review some newly developed practically useful estimation and inference methods for the model in the analysis of right censored data.

• 산업기술연구
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• 제27권B호
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• pp.245-253
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• 2007

Failure rate serves as a pivotal role in reliability study. Of all, the constant failure rate is the most popularly used in field exercises. In reality, however, the electrical and electronic parts' life is represented by not only the constant failure rate but the decreasing and/or increasing failure rates. Explicit consideration and incorporation of them into the model development may yield more desirable results. In this study, we built a reliability model for failure rates varying over time intervals and derived well known measures such as probability density function, reliability function, mean life, moments, and mission time. We then evaluated mean life with consideration of the first-year multiplier and compared the results those with constant failure rate. The results given in the study may provide a reference applying for practical decision making.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.71-81
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• 1998

In reliability analysis, the time difference between the expected next failure time and the current failure time or the Mean Time Between Failure(MTBF) is of significant interest. Until recently, in reliability growth studies, the reciprocal of the intensity function at current failure time has been used as being equal to MTBE($t_n$)at the n-th failure time $t_n$. That is MTBF($t_n$)=l/$\lambda (t_n)$. However, such a relationship is only true for Homogeneous Poisson Process(HPP). Tsokos(1995) obtained the upper bound and lower bound for the MTBF($t_n$) and proposed an estimator for the MTBF($t_n$) as the mean of the two bounds. In this paper, we provide the estimator for the MTBF($t_n$) which does not depend on the value of the shape parameter. The result of the Monte Carlo simulation shows that the proposed estimator has better efficiency than Tsokos's estimator.