• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.65-76
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• 2013

In order to assess the reliability of engine mount for a vehicles, life test model and procedure are developed. By using this method, failure mechanism and life distribution are analyzed. The main results are as follows; i) the main failure mechanism is degradation failure of engine mount rubber by fatigue failure at dynamic load. ii) temperature is a second factor to affect a failure. iii) the life distribution of engine mount module is fitted well to Weibull life distribution and the shape parameter is 18.4 and the accelerated life model of that is fitted well to Arrhenius model.

• 터널과지하공간
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.100-109
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• 2016

이 연구에서는 횡등방성 암석파괴함수의 개발에 활용할 수 있는 3가지 강도정수 공간분포함수를 제안하였다. 제안된 분포함수는 편구(oblate spheroid)분포함수, 지수분포함수, 강도정수텐서 방향투영함수이며 모두 2개의 모델파라미터로 정의된다. 제안된 분포함수들을 점착력과 마찰각의 공간분포함수로 활용하여 횡등방성 Mohr-Coulomb 파괴함수를 유도한 후 이를 활용하여 수치삼축시험을 모사하였다. 연약면의 경사각과 구속압의 변화에 따른 파괴축응력 변화 및 파괴면 방향 변화를 계산한 결과 3개의 분포함수을 적용한 경우 모두 실제 실험에서 관찰되는 이방성 파괴특성을 재현하고 있음을 확인하였다. 3개의 분포함수 중 강도정수텐서 방향투영함수를 채용한 경우가 가장 큰 파괴축강도를 계산하였으며 지수분포함수, 편구분포함수 순으로 낮은 파괴축강도 값을 예측하였다.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제34권6호
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• pp.781-787
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• 2010

고장의 특성을 예상하는 것은 미래의 고장을 예견하고 최적의 교체간격을 결정할 수 있도록 해주기 때문에 정비 계획에서 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 신뢰도 해석에서 가장 전통적인 방법 중의 하나인 확률지에 도시하는 기법을 이용하여 J79 엔진 Transfer Gearbox의 고장 분포를 검토하였다. 고장 데이터에 대한 적절한 분포를 찾기 위해서 다양한 확률분포가 이용되었으며, 얻어진 상관계수는 고장데이터가 대수정규분포에 가장 근접함을 나타내었다. 예상되는 비계획 정비행위의 횟수와 다양한 비용 비율에 대해서 최적의 교체간격을 구하였다.

• KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.79-86
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• 2022

Recently, the amount of maintenance is increasing due to the aging of power facilities, but the budget is constrained. Therefore, the importance of asset management that selects replacement priorities based on the failure probability and enhances investment effects is increasing. Because the number of distribution transformers is very large, the proportion of investment cost is very high. Therefore, it is important to select the investment priority by evaluating the reliable remaining life based on the failure probability. This paper evaluates the statistical expected life using the failure data of distribution transformers for the last 11 years and the current operation data. The hazard rate of distribution transformer and MV cable was compared with each other and the adequacy of early failure removal was reviewed and the statistical expected life corresponding to the cumulative failure probability B3% was calculated.

• 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국추진공학회 2005년도 제24회 춘계학술대회논문집
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• pp.47-52
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• 2005

이 논문은 열폭발 실험에서의 열적, 화학적, 기계적 행동의 결과에 대한 3차원 모델 결과를 나타낸다. 폭발이 관찰되기 전까지 제한된 고 폭발물은 시간당 $1^{\circ}C$의 비율로 가열된다. 임의의 Lagrangian-Euler 코드를 사용하여 모델링된 가열, 점화 그리고, deflagration 단계는 구조적에서 동적인 hydro 시간단계까지 변하는 넓은 범위의 시간 영역에서 다루어 질수 있다. Johnson-Cook Failure Model (JCFM)에 실험적 고장분포를 더하여 폭발기기의 균열방향과 fragment의 크기를 예측할 수 있는 모델을 개발한다.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.76-85
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• 1986

This study was intended to examine the failure characteristics and breakdowns of the head-fed type combines generally used on farms. The failure distribution was assumed to follow Weibull distribution function and the Weibull parameters of the major parts, units and combine as whole were estimated by using the data collected in a survey. A computer program for the estimation of the Weibull parameter was developed. Monte Carlo method was used in predicting the time between failures. The results of study may be summarized as follows: 1. The number of failures per combine was 4.83 times per year and 0.3 times per hectare of combines of different ages. 2. According to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test method, it was proved that the Weibull distribution function is well fitted to the characteristics of the failure and breakdowns of combines. 3. Weibull parameters of failure distribution of the combine as a whole were estimated to give the shape parameter ${\beta}$=1.3089 and the scale parameter ${\alpha}$=105.2409. The combining area with 80% reliability was 1.1 ha, and the probability of operating the combine without any failure for a year, was $2.76{\times}10^{-4}$. 4. The mean time between failures (MTBF) of the combines was predicted to be 3.2 ha of operation, which corresponds to 32 hours of operation.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제47권3호
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• pp.641-659
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• 2019

Purpose: Recently, the managing customer complaints properly has emerged as key source of competitive advantage in the large distribution industry. Effective customer complaint management helps firms minimize service failures and incense the capability to respond to customer's needs. Despite this importance, the in-depth prior study of a firm's service failures is very limited. Therefore, the actual service failure cases of large discount stores in Korea were analyzed in this study, and the types of service failures that occur at the service interface were identified. Method: Specifically, a total of 48,307 cases of customer complaints that have occurred in the past three years were collected from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2018. Using 7 dimensions of service marketing mix. we have classified and analyzed systematically the service failure cases collected. Results: Among the cases of service failures, 34,921 (72.3%) cases were involved with the product factor, followed by 6,152 (12.7%) cases with person factor and 5,392 (11.2%) cases with process factor. Conclusion: By linking the main causes of service failure with the service marketing mix variables, this research presented a more systematic analytic model and verified by applying it to large domestic distribution company. Understanding the main factors affecting customer complaints n the large distribution industry can provide managers useful information and insight who want to achieve an effective customer complaint management.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.93-103
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• 2014

This paper deals with the problem of predicting censored data in a half triangle distribution with an unknown parameter based on progressively Type-II censored samples. We derive maximum likelihood predictors and some approximate maximum likelihood predictors of censored failure times in a progressively Type-II censoring scheme. In addition, we construct the shortest-length predictive intervals for censored failure times. Finally, Monte Carlo simulations are used to assess the validity of the proposed methods.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국경영과학회 1993년도 추계학술대회발표논문집; 서강대학교, 서울; 25 Sep. 1993
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• pp.24-30
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• 1993

When modeling a complex system we use an event tree to analyze propagation of failure. An event tree cannot represent the statistical interrelationships among parameters, but it can be represented as a statistically identical influence diagram so that parameter updating can be easily performed. After updating parameters we can calculate posterior distribution of the failure rate for each path. But exact distribution requires considerably complex numerical integration. We propose an approximation method to calculate the posterior and derive the predictive distribution of the time to next failure. Finally we introduce the system which implements our methodology.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제24권5호
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• pp.509-517
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• 2010

Statistical distribution of annual maximum rainfall intensity of 18 cities in Korea was analyzed and applied to the reliability model which can calculate the probability of performance failure of storm sewer. After the analysis, it was found that distribution of annual maximum rainfall intensity of 18 cities in Korea is well matched with Gumbel distribution. Rational equation was used to estimate the load and Manning's equation was used to estimate the capacity in reliability function to calculate the probability of performance failure of storm sewer. Reliability analysis was performed by developed model applying to the real storm sewer. It was found that probability of performance failure is abruptly increased if the diameter is smaller than certain size. Therefore, cleaning the inside of storm sewer to maintain the original diameter can be one of the best ways to reduce the probability of performance failure. In the present study, probability of performance failure according to accumulation of debris in storm sewer was calculated. It was found that increasing the amount of debris seriously decrease the capacity of storm sewer and significantly increase the probability of performance failure.