• 지질공학
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.449-458
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• 2015

갑작스런 저수지 붕괴로 인하여 발생하는 자연재해를 관리하는 효율적인 방법은 홍수위험지도를 작성하는 것이다. 댐붕괴로 인한 홍수위험지도 작성에서 물리적인 현상을 재현해내기 위해서는 유출모형이 사용되는 것이 일반적이며, 모형을 이용하여 잠재적 피해대상지역을 사전에 파악하는데 모형의 정확도가 중요하다. 외국에서 만들어진 기존 상용모형을 검증을 거치지 않고 현장에 적용하는 것은 신뢰성에 문제가 있다. 따라서 모형 예측과 실측의 차이를 비교하여 모형의 정확도를 확인할 필요가 있다. 이 연구에서는 댐붕괴 모형을 하도추적모형인 FLO-2D모형에 연동하여 침수지역을 파악하였다. 모형의 매개변수는 모형의 결과에 중대한 영향을 미치므로 먼저 DEM을 구축한 후 토지피복도로 Manning계수를 산정하고 동시에 토양도를 사용하여 침투과정의 매개변수를 산정하였다. 모의 결과는 침수현장에서 설문조사를 통하여 제작한 현장침수지도와 상대 비교하였다. 침수지역의 수위와 범위 등을 비교한 결과 연구에 사용한 붕괴모형이 침수 지역을 적절하게 재현해 내는 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국방재학회 논문집
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• 제10권5호
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• pp.135-141
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• 2010

본 연구에서는 우수관의 조도계수의 변화에 따른 성능불능확률을 산정할 수 있는 신뢰성 모형이 개발되었다. 조도계수는 우수관의 토사의 적체에 따라 다시 산정되었으며 새로운 조도계수를 이용하여 신뢰성 해석이 수행되었다. 해석결과, 우수관에 적체되는 토사의 깊이가 증가함에 따라 우수관의 용량은 크게 감소하고 성능불능확률은 크게 증가함을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구에서는 우수관에 적체되는 토사의 깊이에 따라 산정된 조도계수를 사용한 신뢰성 모형을 대구와 전주에 적용하였다. 원형 우수관에 적체된 토사의 깊이가 증가할수록 우수관의 조도계수는 커지고 성능불능확률도 역시 크게 증가 하는 것을 알 수 있었다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.96-107
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• 1997

The recent stream to reliability prediction is that it is totally inclusive in depth to consider even the operating and environmental condition at the level of finished goods as well as component itselves. In this study, firstly we present the reliability prediction methods by entire failure rate model which failure rate at the system level is added to the failure rate model at the component level. Secondly we build up the improved bases of reliability demonstration through a, pp.ication of Kaplan-Meier, Cumulative hazard, Johnson's methods as non-parametric and Maximum Likelihood Estimator under exponential & Weibull distribution as parametric. And also present the methods of curve fitting to piecewise failure rate under Weibull distribution, PRST (Probability Ratio Sequential Test), curve fitting to S-shaped reliability growth curve, computer programs of each methods. Lastly we show the practical for determination of optimal burn-in time as a method of reliability enhancement, and also verify the practical usefulness of the above study through the a, pp.ication of failure and test data during 1 year.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.21-25
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• 2013

The system and components for aircraft are required the design data on which the safety requirements are properly reflected for their certification. This paper presents the procedure and results of a safety assessments analysis for the rotorcraft fuel pumps in oder to confirm and verify them. The fuel pumps design assessment must be performed, including a detailed failure analysis to identify all failures that will prevent continued safe flight or safe landing. In order to assess the fuel pumps design safety, not only system safety hazard analysis and but FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) for proofing the safety objective of the fuel pumps are performed. The results of the safety assessment for fuel pumps validate that no single failure or malfunction could result in catastrophic failure or critical accidents of the rotorcraft.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제18권34호
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• pp.139-146
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• 1995

This study is concerned with cost analysis in periodic maintenance policy. Generally periodic maintenance policy in which item is repaired periodic interval times. And in the article minimal repair is considered. Minimal repair means that if a unit fails, unit is instantaneously restored to same hazard rate curve as before failure. In the paper periodic maintenance policy with minimal repair is as follows; Operating unit is periodically replaced in periodic maintenance time, if a failure occurs between minimal repair and periodic maintenance time, unit is replaced by a spate until the periodic time comes. Also unit undergoes minimal repair at failures in minimal-repair-for-failure interval. Then total expected cost per unit time is calculated according to maintenance period and scale parameter of failure distribution. Total cost factors ate included operating, fixed, minimal repair, periodic maintenance and replacement cost Numerical example is shown in which failure time of system has erlang distribution.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.91-104
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• 2012

Sarhan and Kundu (2009) introduced a new distribution named as the generalized linear failure rate distribution. This distribution generalizes several well known distributions. The probability density function of the generalized linear failure rate distribution can be right skewed or unimodal and its hazard function can be increasing, decreasing or bathtub shaped. This distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze lifetime data in place of linear failure rate, generalized exponential and generalized Rayleigh distributions. In this paper, we apply the simulated annealing algorithm to obtain the maximum likelihood point estimates of the parameters of the generalized linear failure rate distribution. Simulated annealing algorithm can not only find the global optimum; it is also less likely to fail because it is a very robust algorithm. The estimators obtained using simulated annealing algorithm have been compared with the corresponding traditional maximum likelihood estimators for their risks.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제18권36호
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• pp.287-295
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• 1995

This paper is concerned with cost analysis model in periodic maintenance policy. Generally periodic maintenance policy in which item is repaired periodic interval times. And in the article minimal repair is considered. Mimimal repair means that if a unit fails, unit is instantaneously restored to same hazard rate curve as before failure. In the paper periodic maintenance policy with minimal repair is as follows; Operating unit is periodically replaced in periodic maintenance time, if a failure occurs between minimal repair and periodic maintenance time, unit is replaced by a new item until tile periodic maintenance time comes. Also unit undergoes minimal repair at failures in minimal-repair-for-failure interval. Then total expected cost per unit time is calculated according to scale parameter of failure distribution. Maintenance cost factors are included operating, fixed, minimal repair, periodic maintenance and new item replacement cost. Numerical example is shown in which failure time of system has weibull distribution.

• 한국임상수의학회지
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• 제25권6호
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• pp.510-513
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• 2008

Two dogs were referred due to vomiting, depression and anorexia after ingestion of xylitol gum. Both dogs were presented with hepatic failure and one dog had concurrent renal failure. Aggressive supportive treatment was performed, but these dogs died. Necropsy of one dog revealed acute hepatic necrosis, severe renal damages, and hemoperitoneum. This case report demonstrates potential hazard of xylitol toxicity for dogs with clinicopathological and pathological findings.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.37-41
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• 2018

Process safety technology has developed from qualitative methods such as HAZOP (hazard and operability study) to semi-quantitative methods such as LOPA (layer of protection analysis), and quantitative methods are actively studied these days. Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is often based on fault tree analysis (FTA). FTA is efficient, but difficult to apply when failure events are not independent of each other. This problem can be avoided using a Markov process (MP). MP requires definition of all possible states, and thus, generally, is more complicated than FTA. A method is proposed in this work that uses an MP model and a Weibull distribution model in order to construct a reliability model for multiple dependent failures. As a case study, a pressure safety valve (PSV) is considered, for which there are three kinds of failure, i.e. open failure, close failure, and gas tight failure. According to recently reported inspection results, open failure and close failure are dependent on each other. A reliability model for a PSV group is proposed in this work that is to reproduce these results. It is expected that the application of the proposed method can be expanded to QRA of various systems that have partially dependent multiple failure states.

• 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지반공학회 2002년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.3.1-14
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• 2002

Many human lives and properties have been damaged by the annually occurring natural disasters. Among them, a typhoon accompanying a gale and a localized torrential downpour induce a first order damages. In this study, states, scales and other characteristics of slope failure induced by the typhoon Rusa, which damaged the whole Korea peninsular on August 30th for 3 days, were analyzed. In addition, permanent measures for slope failure are conducted to prepare natural disasters. Since the key factor on the slope failure is considered to be a rainfall. The characteristics of domestic rainfall and typhoon are investigated, and then failure forms and some characteristics of slope failure are analyzed. By comparing with the data of existing slopes, the hazard of slope failure is examined. There fundamental results could be applied to the future measures of slope failure.