• 제목/요약/키워드: Factor Regression Model

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의사방문수 결정요인 분석 (A Study on Factors Affecting the Use of Ambulatory Physician Services)

  • 박현애;송건용
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.58-76
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    • 1994
  • In order to study factors affecting the use of the ambulatory physician services. Andersen's model for health utilization was modified by adding the health behavior component and examined with three different approaches. Three different approaches were the multiople regression model, logistic regression model, and LISREL model. For multiple regression, dependent variable was reported illness-related visits to a physician during past one year and independent variables are variaous variables measuring predisposing factor, enabling factor, need factor and health behavior. For the logistic regression, dependent variable was visit or no-visit to a physician during past one year and independent variables were same as the multiple regression analysis. For the LISREL, five endogenous variables of health utiliztion, predisposing factor, enabling factor, need factor, and health behavior and 20 exogeneous variables which measures five endogenous variables were used. According to the multiple regression analysis, chronic illness, health status, perceived health status of the need factor; residence, sex, age, marital status, education of the predisposing factor ; health insurance, usual source for medical care of enabling factor were the siginificant exploratory variables for the health utilization. Out of the logistic regression analysis, health status, chronic illness, residence, marital status, education, drinking, use of health aid were found to be significant exploratory variables. From LISREL, need factor affect utilization most following by predisposing factor, enabling factor and health behavior. For LISREL model, age, education, and residence for predisposing factor; health status, chronic illess, and perceived health status for need factor; medical insurance for enabling factor; and doing any kind of health behavior for the health behavior were found as the significant observed variables for each theoretical variables.

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동적요인모형에 기반한 한국의 GDP 성장률 예측 (Forecasting Korea's GDP growth rate based on the dynamic factor model)

  • 이경서;임예지
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.255-263
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    • 2024
  • GDP는 한 나라의 가계, 기업, 정부 등 모든 경제 주체가 일정 기간 동안 창출한 재화와 서비스의 시장 가치의 합을 나타낸다. GDP를 통하여 국가의 경제 규모를 파악할 수 있으며, 정부의 정책 방향에 영향을 미치는 대표적인 경제 지표이므로 이에 대한 연구가 다양하게 이루어지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 G20 국가들의 주요 거시경제 지표를 활용하여 dynamic factor model 기반의 GDP 성장률 예측 모델을 제시하였다. 추출된 factor를 다양한 회귀분석 방법론과 결합하여 그 결과들을 비교하였으며, 기존의 전통적인 시계열 예측방법인 ARIMA 모델, common component를 이용한 예측 등도 함께 비교하였다. COVID 이후 지표의 변동성이 큰 점을 고려하여 예측 시기를 COVID 전후로 나누었으며, 그 결과 factor에 대해 ridge regression과 lasso regression을 적용하여 예측한 경우 가장 좋은 성능을 나타내었다.

제2형 당뇨병의 위험인자 분석을 위한 다층 퍼셉트론과 로지스틱 회귀 모델의 비교 (A comparison of Multilayer Perceptron with Logistic Regression for the Risk Factor Analysis of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus)

  • 서혜숙;최진욱;이홍규
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.369-375
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    • 2001
  • The statistical regression model is one of the most frequently used clinical analysis methods. It has basic assumption of linearity, additivity and normal distribution of data. However, most of biological data in medical field are nonlinear and unevenly distributed. To overcome the discrepancy between the basic assumption of statistical model and actual biological data, we propose a new analytical method based on artificial neural network. The newly developed multilayer perceptron(MLP) is trained with 120 data set (60 normal, 60 patient). On applying test data, it shows the discrimination power of 0.76. The diabetic risk factors were also identified from the MLP neural network model and the logistic regression model. The signigicant risk factors identified by MLP model were post prandial glucose level(PP2), sex(male), fasting blood sugar(FBS) level, age, SBP, AC and WHR. Those from the regression model are sex(male), PP2, age and FBS. The combined risk factors can be identified using the MLP model. Those are total cholesterol and body weight, which is consistent with the result of other clinical studies. From this experiment we have learned that MLP can be applied to the combined risk factor analysis of biological data which can not be provided by the conventional statistical method.

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회귀분석에 의한 TOC 농도 추정 - 오수천 유역을 대상으로 - (Application of Regression Analysis Model to TOC Concentration Estimation - Osu Stream Watershed -)

  • 박진환;문명진;한성욱;이형진;정수정;황경섭;김갑순
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.187-196
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    • 2014
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate and analyze Osu stream watershed water environment system. The data were collected from January 2009 to December 2011 including water temperature, pH, DO, EC, BOD, COD, TOC, SS, T-N, T-P and discharge. The data were used for principle component analysis and factor analysis. The results are as followes. The primary factors obtained from both the principal component analysis and the factor analysis were BOD, COD, TOC, SS and T-P. Once principal component analysis and factor analysis have been performed with the collected data and then the results will be applied to both simple regression model and multiple regression model. The regression model was developed into case 1 using concentrations of water quality parameters and case 2 using delivery loads. The value of the coefficient of determination on case 1 fell between 0.629 and 0.866; this was lower than case 2 value which fell between 0.946 and 0.998. Therefore, case 2 model would be a reliable choice.The coefficient of determination between the estimated figure using data which was developed to the regression model in 2012 and the actual measurement value was over 0.6, overall. It can be safely deduced that the correlation value between the two findings was high. The same model can be applied to get TOC concentrations in future.

실험적 연구를 통한 비정형롤판재성형 예측 모델 개발 (Development of Prediction Model for Flexibly-reconfigurable Roll Forming based on Experimental Study)

  • 박지우;길민규;윤준석;강범수;이경훈
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.341-347
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    • 2017
  • Flexibly-reconfigurable roll forming (FRRF) is a novel sheet metal forming technology conducive to produce multi-curvature surfaces by controlling strain distribution along longitudinal direction. Reconfigurable rollers could be arranged to implement a kind of punch die set. By utilizing these reconfigurable rollers, desired curved surface can be formed. In FRRF process, three-dimensional surface is formed from two-dimensional curve. Thus, it is difficult to predict the forming result. In this study, a regression analysis was suggested to construct a predictive model for a longitudinal curvature of FRRF process. To facilitate investigation, input parameters affecting the longitudinal curvature of FRRF were determined as maximum compression value, curvature radius in the transverse direction, and initial blank width. Three-factor three-level full factorial experimental design was utilized and 27 experiments using FRRF apparatus were performed to obtain sample data of the regression model. Regression analysis was carried out using experimental results as sample data. The model used for regression analysis was a quadratic nonlinear regression model. Determination factor and root mean square root error were calculated to confirm the conformity of this model. Through goodness of fit test, this regression predictive model was verified.

Sampling Based Approach to Bayesian Analysis of Binary Regression Model with Incomplete Data

  • Chung, Young-Shik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.493-505
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    • 1997
  • The analysis of binary data appears to many areas such as statistics, biometrics and econometrics. In many cases, data are often collected in which some observations are incomplete. Assume that the missing covariates are missing at random and the responses are completely observed. A method to Bayesian analysis of the binary regression model with incomplete data is presented. In particular, the desired marginal posterior moments of regression parameter are obtained using Meterpolis algorithm (Metropolis et al. 1953) within Gibbs sampler (Gelfand and Smith, 1990). Also, we compare logit model with probit model using Bayes factor which is approximated by importance sampling method. One example is presented.

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단순회귀분석에 의한 토층지반의 투수계수 산정모델 (Estimation model of coefficient of permeability of soil layer using linear regression analysis)

  • 이문세;김경수
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2009년도 춘계 학술발표회
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    • pp.1043-1052
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    • 2009
  • To derive easily the coefficient of permeability from several other soil properties, the estimation model of coefficient of permeability was proposed using linear regression analysis. The coefficient of permeability is one of the major factors to evaluate the soil characteristics. The study area is located in Kangwon-do Pyeongchang-gun Jinbu-Myeon. Soil samples of 45 spots were taken from the study area and various soil tests were carried out in laboratory. After selecting the soil factor influenced by the coefficient of permeability through the correlation analysis, the estimation model of coefficient of permeability was developed using the linear regression analysis between the selected soil factor and the coefficient of permeability from permeability test. Also, the estimation model of coefficient of permeability was compared with the results from permeability test and empirical equation, and the suitability of proposed model was proved. As the result of correlation analysis between various soil factors and the coefficient of permeability using SPSS(statistical package for the social sciences), the largest influence factor of coefficient of permeability were the effective grain size, porosity and dry unit weight. The coefficient of permeability calculated from the proposed model was similar to that resulted from permeability test. Therefore, the proposed model can be used in case of estimating the coefficient of permeability at the same soil condition like study area.

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내재된 인자회귀모형의 베이지안 분석법 (Bayesian analysis of latent factor regression model)

  • 경민정
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.365-377
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    • 2020
  • 선형모형에서 두개 이상의 설명변수들 사이에 존재하는 다중공선성 문제를 변수들 간에 내재되어 있는 공통의 구조인 인자를 구성하고, 인자들을 회귀변수로 사용하여 해결하는 인자회귀모형에 대하여 논의한다. 무한개로 가정 가능한 내재된 인자 중 유의미한 인자적재행렬을 구성하기 위하여 벌점모수의 값이 큰 LASSO 사전분포를 적용하는 베이지안 추정법을 사용한다. 결정된 인자적재행렬과 다른 모수들의 추정값을 각 설명변수의 선형모수로 역변환 하여, 새로운 관측값에 대한 예측 모형으로도 사용한다. 제안한 방법을 제품 서비스 관리 자료에 적용하여 정해진 인자의 개수에 대한 인자가 일반적인 공통인자회귀모형과 동일한 결과를 나타냄을 확인하였고, 일반적인 공통인자회귀모형과 비교를 위해 계산한 평균 제곱 오차값이 더 작다는 것을 알 수 있었다.

Bayesian Analysis for a Functional Regression Model with Truncated Errors in Variables

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.77-91
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    • 2002
  • This paper considers a functional regression model with truncated errors in explanatory variables. We show that the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators produce bias in regression parameter estimates under misspecified models with ignored errors in the explanatory variable measurements, and then propose methods for analyzing the functional model. Fully parametric frequentist approaches for analyzing the model are intractable and thus Bayesian methods are pursued using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling based approach. Necessary theories involved in modeling and computation are provided. Finally, a simulation study is given to illustrate and examine the proposed methods.

인공신경망 이론을 이용한 척도인자 결정방법의 향상방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Improvement of Scaling Factor Determination Using Artificial Neural Network)

  • Sang-Chul Lee;Ki-Ha Hwang;Sang-Hee Kang;Kun-Jai Lee
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2004
  • Final disposal of radioactive waste generated from Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) requires the detailed information about the characteristics and the quantities of radionuclides in waste package. Most of these radionuclides are difficult to measure and expensive to assay. Thus it is suggested to the indirect method by which the concentration of the Difficult-to-Measure (DTM) nuclide is estimated using the correlations of concentration - it is called the scaling factor - between Easy-to-Measure (Key) nuclides and DTM nuclides with the measured concentration of the Key nuclide. In general, the scaling factor is determined by the log mean average (LMA) method and the regression method. However, these methods are inadequate to apply to fission product nuclides and some activation product nuclides such as 14$^{C}$ and 90$^{Sr}$ . In this study, the artificial neural network (ANN) method is suggested to improve the conventional SF determination methods - the LMA method and the regression method. The root mean squared errors (RMSE) of the ANN models are compared with those of the conventional SF determination models for 14$^{C}$ and 90$^{Sr}$ in two parts divided by a training part and a validation part. The SF determination models are arranged in the order of RMSEs as the following order: ANN model

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