• 한국응급구조학회지
• /
• 제12권3호
• /
• pp.129-135
• /
• 2008

Purpose : This study was to analyze the demand for emergency ambulance service and to characterize the factors associated with the demand. Method : The basis for the model was from the actual demand for public emergency ambulance and socioeconomic and geographic characteristics. Multiple regression analyses were done for the related characteristics of public ambulance service. Result : The model explained total demand with a high degree of accuracy : the coefficient of determination($R^2=0.96$). For the regression, the set of variables indicative of low socioeconomic status were all significant. It showed the inappropriate use of public ambulance system. Public ambulance demand increased in higher housing density, low income, male unemployment and female labor force. Conclusion : The demand for public ambulances appeared to be highly predictable, using a simple linear model employing socioeconomic variables, quality of service variables, and land use variables. Low-income families tended, to use the public ambulance system more often than higher income. Area having elderly people or children also made many calls. Estimated demand calls were stable and had a tendency to be similar incident types.

• 국제학술발표논문집
• /
• The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
• /
• pp.58-65
• /
• 2011

Construction Productivity is one of the most important elements in construction management. It is used in construction process scheduling and cost management, which are significant sector in construction management. It is important to make appropriate schedule and monitor how works are done within schedule. But construction project contains uncertainty and inexactitude, modifying construction schedule is being an issue to manage construction works well. Even though prediction and monitoring of productivity can be principal activity, it is hard to predict productivity with manager's experience and a standard of estimate. A large number of factors influencing productivity, such as drawing, construction method, weather, labor, material, equipment, etc. But current calculation of productivity depends on empirical probability, not consider difference of each influencing factor. In this research, the aim is to present a productivity predicting regression model of form work, which includes effectiveness of influences factors. 5 variables existed inside form work are selected by interview and site research based on literature review of existed various productivity influencing factors. The effectiveness and correlation of productivity influencing factors are analyzed by statistical approach, and it is used to make productivity regression model. The finding of this research will improves monitoring and controlling of project schedule in construction phase.

• 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
• /
• 제6권2호
• /
• pp.29-50
• /
• 1997

This paper addresses the issues of affecting factors to measure the satisfaction degree in PC communication utilizations. In order to develope an optimal model, we study appropriate affecting factors in PC communication utilizations through the focus group interviews with student users, and surveys the satisfaction levels that users have felt in services. Based on the optimal regression model, we suggest an appropriate satisfaction model in PC communication utilizations. That model shows that most users are interested in the A/S area for use. A/S factor is the most powerful one to the satisfaction model. Second one is usefulness, next is DB quality. But service-ability factor and convenience one are negative ones. Most users think that their factors are in the way of fluent communication. So to keep the competitiveness in the PC communication utilizations, the negative factors should be amended as soon as possible.

• 대한산업공학회지
• /
• 제40권3호
• /
• pp.283-290
• /
• 2014

In the flat panel display industry, to meet production target quantities and the deadline of production, the scheduler and dispatching systems are major production management systems which control the order of facility production and the distribution of WIP (Work In Process). Especially the delivery time is a key factor of the dispatching system for the time when a lot can be supplied to the facility. In this paper, we use survival analysis methods to identify main factors of the delivery time and to build the delivery time forecasting model. To select important explanatory variables, the cox proportional hazard model is used to. To make a prediction model, the accelerated failure time (AFT) model was used. Performance comparisons were conducted with two other models, which are the technical statistics model based on transfer history and the linear regression model using same explanatory variables with AFT model. As a result, the mean square error (MSE) criteria, the AFT model decreased by 33.8% compared to the statistics prediction model, decreased by 5.3% compared to the linear regression model. This survival analysis approach is applicable to implementing the delivery time estimator in display manufacturing. And it can contribute to improve the productivity and reliability of production management system.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
• /
• 제7권10호
• /
• pp.513-521
• /
• 2020

In this paper, we have developed a Fama - French five factor model (FF5 model) from Fama & French (2015) by using concept of time-varying coefficient. For a data set, we have used monthly data form Kenneth R. French home page, it include Japan portfolios (classified by using size and book-to-market) and 5 factors from July 1990 to April 2020. The first analysis, we used Augmented Dickey-Fuller test (ADF test) for the stationary test, from the result, all Japan portfolios and 5 factors are stationary. Next analysis, we estimated a coefficient of Fama - French five factor model by using a generalized additive model with a thin-plate spline to create the time-varying coefficient Fama - French five factor model (TV-FF5 model). The benefit of this study is TV-FF5 model which can capture a different effect at different times of 5 factors but the traditional FF5 model can't do it. From the result, we can show a time-varying coefficient in all factors and in all portfolios, for time-varying coefficients of Rm-Rf, SMB, and HML are significant for all Japan portfolios, time-varying coefficients of RMW are positively significant for SM, and SH portfolio and time-varying coefficients of CMA are significant for SM, SH, and BM portfolio.

• 한국ITS학회 논문지
• /
• 제11권1호
• /
• pp.13-27
• /
• 2012

ITS 기술의 발달에 따라 평균적으로 고속도로 8km마다 도로전광표지가 설치되어 운영중이다. 하지만 도로의 교통상황을 적절히 반영하지 못한 채, 기 설정된 정보를 일방적으로 표출하고 있는 실정이다. 이로 인해 한정된 시간 동안 운전자는 표출되는 정보를 모두 인지하지 못하거나, 자신이 원하는 정보가 표출되기 전에 도로전광표지를 지나감으로써 도로전광표지의 기능을 떨어뜨리고 신뢰성 저하를 가져오고 있다. 본 연구에서는 교통류속도 등의 교통상황 및 인적요소를 고려한 도로전광표지 판독소요시간 및 거리 측정을 위한 실험을 수행하였다. 실제 주행환경을 모사할 수 있는 Winroad 패키지를 이용하여 실험환경을 구현하였으며 113명의 피실험자군을 대상으로 실험을 수행하였다. 실험결과에 대하여 회귀분석을 수행하였으며, 도로전광표지 메시지 판독소요시간 측정 모형을 도출하였다. 본 연구에서 도출된 도로전광표지 판독소요시간 측정 모형을 이용하여 교통류 속도와 표출 메시지 정보량 등 교통상황과 인적요소를 반영한 메시지셋을 개발하는데 활용 될 수 있도록 한다.

• 한국기후변화학회지
• /
• 제7권2호
• /
• pp.193-203
• /
• 2016

The importance of forecasting agricultural production is receiving attention while climate change is accelerating. This study suggested three types of crop yield forecasting model for major vegetable crops by using downscaled meteorological information of main production area on farmland level, which identified as limitation from previous studies. First, this study conducted correlation analysis with seven types of farm level downscaled meteorological informations and reported crop yield of main production area. After, we selected three types of meteorological factors which showed the highest relation with each crop species and regions. Parameters were deducted from meterological factor with high correlation but crop species number was neglected. After, crop yield of each crops was estimated by using the three suggested types of models. Chinese cabbage showed high accuracy in overall, while the accuracy of daikon and onion was quiet revised by neglecting the outlier. Chili and garlic showed differences by region, but Kyungbuk chili and Chungnam, Kyungsang garlic appeared significant accuracy. We also selected key meteorological factor of each crops which has the highest relation with crop yield. If the factor had significant relation with the quantity, it explains better about the variations of key meteorological factor. This study will contribute to establishing the methodology of future studies by estimating the crop yield of different species by using farmland meterological information and relatively simplify multiple linear regression models.

• 한국도로학회논문집
• /
• 제13권4호
• /
• pp.211-220
• /
• 2011

최근 대중교통지향형개발(TOD)이 활발해지며, 역세권의 환경 변화를 통하여 국내의 대중교통 이용 증진을 시키기 위해서는 TOD 통합계획요소를 종합적으로 고려한 역세권 유형과 이용수요에 관한 실증분석이 전제되어야 향후 계획수립시 활용이 가능 할 것이다. 본 연구는 서울시 역세권을 대상으로 다양한 TOD 영향요인을 파악하고, 대중교통 이용수요와 연관성을 규명하기 위한 실증분석을 진행하였다. TOD의 대표적 요소인 Density, Diversity, Accessibility에 대한 자료를 수집하고, 요인분석과 회귀모형을 구축하였다. 분석결과 (1) 요인분석을 토대로 7개 영향요인이 도출되었으며, Factor 1(Diversity/토지이용복합도 (LUM)), Factor 2(Density/개발밀도수준), Factor 3(Accessibility/대중교통시설공급수준), Factor 4(Design/가로설계수준), Factor 5(Green/연계교통시설(보행자, 자전거), Factor 6(Design/지하철시설규모), Factor 7(Accessibility/대중교통운영수준)로 유형화되었다. (2) 요인-회귀분석 결과를 토대로 역세권 승하차 인원에 긍정적(+) 영향을 미치는 주요 요인은 Factor 1(Diversity : 토지이용복합도(LUM) 요인), Factor 3(Accessibility : 대중교통시설공급수준), Factor 2(Density : 개발밀도수준), Factor 5(Design/연계교통시설(보행자, 자전거), Factor 6(지하철시설규모)로 나타났다. 다음으로 역세권의 승하차 인원에 부정적(-) 영향은 Factor 7(Accessibility/대중교통운영수준)로 나타났으며, 가장 높은 영향력을 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 지하철과 버스의 배차간격이 증가할 경우 이용수요가 감소하기 때문이다.

• 보건교육건강증진학회지
• /
• 제33권2호
• /
• pp.77-87
• /
• 2016

Objectives: This study was conducted to provide data in order to develop effective family planning programs by analyzing the factors which affect contraceptive use among women in Ethiopia. Methods: The community health survey was conducted on women of childbearing age. The research model was developed based on Andersen's Model. A total of 320 respondents were analyzed through Chi-square analysis, t-tests and logistic regression analysis. Results: Contraceptive prevalence rate was 43.1% and most of them were using modern and short-term methods. Among three factor categories, the need factor(unwanted pregnancy experience) was revealed as the most important factor, following enabling factor which was knowing the FP services in health center. Conclusions: These results lead to several conclusions. First, the results imply that programs should focus on women who are in the over 30yr. as well as the poorer economic group and urban residents. Second, to improve the effectiveness of the program, it is important to help them to be motivated themselves and to promote knowledge on various methods. Third, in terms of service delivery, community health workers are expected to take a crucial role. To improve the availability of services, they should provide practical services as those in health center.

• 대한토목학회논문집
• /
• 제28권2D호
• /
• pp.155-162
• /
• 2008

본 연구에서는 전체 시간대별 교통량을 관측하지 못하여 설계시간교통량을 구할 수 없는 지점에 대하여 설계시간계수를 추정하는 방법에 대하여 분석하였다. 수시조사는 연 1~5회 조사되며, 이러한 지점에서는 설계시간교통량을 구할 수 없어 설계시간계수를 구할 수 없다. 분석을 위하여 2006년 일반국도 상시조사 지점의 시간대별 교통량을 이용하여 분석하였다. 설계시간계수를 추정하기 위하여 시간대별 교통량의 변동을 반영하는 시간대별 교통량의 변동계수(Coefficient of Variance), 시간대별 교통량의 표준편차, 첨두시간교통량(peak hour volume)과 도로의 특성을 파악할 수 있는 중차량비율, 주야율, AADT와 중방향계수 등의 변수를 독립변수로 하여 각 변수들과 설계시간계수와의 상관분석 및 회귀분석을 이용하여 설계시간교통량을 추정하였다. 산점도를 통하여 독립변수와 종속변수의 관계를 분석한 결과 대부분의 변수들이 곡선의 형태를 띠는 것으로 나타나 선형회귀분석보다 곡선회귀분석이 더 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 곡선회귀분석으로 분석한 결과 AADT를 독립변수로 하여 분석한 대수모형이 결정계수가 가장 높은 것으로 나타났다.