• Title/Summary/Keyword: Export Period

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Declines in Exchange Rate Pass-through to Export Prices in Korea (우리나라 수출가격에 대한 환율전가율 변화)

  • Lee, Hangyong;Kim, Hyeon-Wook
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.235-266
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    • 2009
  • This paper investigates changes in the extent of exchange rate pass-through to export price in Korea. First, empirical results show that export prices have become less responsive to the exchange rate since the financial crisis in 1997. The decline of exchange rate pass-through to export prices suggests that Korean exporters are more likely to use profit margins to absorb part of the impact of exchange rate changes, consistent with pricing to market phenomenon. Second, this paper finds asymmetries in the response of export prices to exchange rate changes. In the post-crisis period. appreciations are more likely to be offset by markup adjustment than depreciations. Third, this paper documents that a significant portion of the decline of exchange rate pass-through is a result of both increased volatility of exchange rate and increased competition with China in the world market.

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A Study on Demand Forecasting of Export Goods Based on Vector Autoregressive Model : Subject to Each Small Passenger Vehicles Quarterly Exported to USA (VAR모형을 이용한 수출상품 수요예측에 관한 연구: 소형 승용차 모델별 분기별 대미수출을 중심으로)

  • Cho, Jung-Hyeong
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.73-96
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this research is to evaluate a short-term export demand forecasting model reflecting individual passenger vehicle brands and market characteristics by using Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models that are based on multivariate time-series model. The short-term export demand forecasting model was created by discerning theoretical potential factors that affect the short-term export demand of individual passenger vehicle brands. Quarterly short-term export demand forecasting model for two Korean small vehicle brands (Accent and Avante) were created by using VAR model. Predictive value at t+1 quarter calculated with the forecasting models for each passenger vehicle brand and the actual amount of sales were compared and evaluated by altering subject period by one quarter. As a result, RMSE % of Accent and Avante was 4.3% and 20.0% respectively. They amount to 3.9 days for Accent and 18.4 days for Avante when calculated per daily sales amount. This shows that the short-term export demand forecasting model of this research is highly usable in terms of prediction and consistency.

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Export Strategies Against Decreasing Demand of Fukushima's Agricultural Porducts (후쿠시마산(産) 농산물 수요감소에 대비한 농산물 수출전략)

  • Hong, Gil-Jong
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.105-121
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    • 2018
  • In 1995, the WTO started to ease the trade barriers. Globalization has accelerated. The opening of the agricultural products market is rapidly gaining momentum with the conclusion of an FTA. The acceleration of this FTA is expected to be a threat to Korea's agriculture, and a new strategy is needed. At the beginning of the nuclear accident, mainly radioactive materials are found in the surface layer of the soil. Over time, the concentration of the plant gradually increases. After 5 years, it becomes noticeable. In March 2016, it will be five years after the nuclear accident. Radioactive contamination is very likely to occur in agricultural products produced in the Fukushima area at this time. In this period, agricultural products produced in the Fukushima region are expected to generate supply disruptions in Japan, and imports to replace them will increase. Therefore, it is necessary to establish a mid- and long-term strategy for exporting to Japan by analyzing the competitiveness of Korean agricultural products. In this study, standardization index was derived by using agricultural price ratio, TSI, export CAC. Based on this, we analyzed the competitiveness of each item in the Japanese market. The analysis shows that garlic is the most competitive product in the Japanese market. Also, strawberry, tomato, and cucumber were found to be competitive. On the other hand, Kiwi, pineapple, soybean, onion, potato, etc. As a result of the analysis, the following strategies were proposed for the export of agricultural products with high competitiveness. First, it is necessary to develop technology to suppress deterioration of export transportation quality. Second, continuous supply of local consumption pattern information is required. Third, it is necessary to expand exports by processing fresh food. Fourth, it suggested the establishment of export base and strengthening of support system.

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An Analysis of Determinants for Korean Spray Rose Purchase in China (중국 지역에서의 한국산 스프레이 장미 구입 결정요인 분석)

  • Kim, Kyung-Phil;Choi, Jong Woo;Kim, Sang-Hyo;Han, Jung-Hoon;Lim, Seung-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2017
  • In order to export Korean spray roses to the China, it is needed to analyse chinese preferences, rose attributes, and purchase intentions. The purpose of this study is to present the implications on the production and distribution of roses for export by analyzing the quality preference attributes and purchase intention of Korean rose for Chinese flower experts. A survey on the preference and purchase intention of Korean flower roses by Chinese flower experts was conducted through face - to - face interviews with flower show participants in China. Approximately 100 Chinese flower experts who participated in the Flower Show in 2016 received the questionnaire, and 86 survey results could be used for analysis. Survey data were analyzed using ordered probit and bivariate probit models. As a result of an analysis, it was found that Chinese flower experts were more likely to buy Korean roses than Chinese roses even if they consider flower color, leaf shape and size and color diversity. The probability of purchasing more than twice the price was higher than that of the color diversity considering the flower shape, leaf shape and size, but the bivariate order probit model was larger than that of flowers, leaves and size, and the order of probability size was changed. In order to increase the export of Korean spray roses to the Chinese market, We need to increase Chinese experts' preferences and satisfaction. For this purpose, it is very important to develop export varieties of roses with large flower buds and shape / coloring, and to apply the useful post-harvest technology that can extend freshness and distribution period of export roses.

A Study on the Determinant of Korean Fisheries Export to ASEAN (한국의 대ASEAN 수산물 수출결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Lin, Xuemei;Kim, Ki-Soo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.15-32
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    • 2016
  • The Association of Southeast Asian Nations(ASEAN) has been the most essential organization in Asia. In spite of the world economic crisis, Southeast Asian countries have shown fast economic growth since 2000, and they have been actively expanding investments and trades especially with major countries. Research on competitiveness in ASEAN market has spawned an increasingly large literature, but empirical research on the determinants of Korea's export to ASEAN is limited. The purpose of this study is to draw out the determinant of Korean fisheries export to ASEAN by carrying out a panel analysis. For achieving such a purpose, pooled OLS, Hausman Test, Fixed Effect, Random Effect are performed. The last 20 years' data over the period of 1995 to 2014 concentrated on the ASEAN 6 countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippine, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam is used in this study. Amount of aquatic products export to ASEAN is used as the dependent variable; real exchange rate, real GDP, relative price level and GDP per capita are used as the explanatory variables and FTA as dummy variable. Empirical results show that fixed-effect analysis is the best model among all the models. As the fixed effect model shows, real exchange rate, real GDP, GDP per capita and dummy variable(FTA) play positive and statistically significant roles in fisheries export to ASEAN, while price variable plays a negative and statistically significant role to the dependent variable.

An analysis on the influence of the China government's software support policy on the revenue of software export (중국 소프트웨어 지원정책이 중국 소프트웨어 수출액에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Choi, JeongHo;Zhang, YongAn
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.875-886
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we investigate an influence of the China government's software support policy on the revenue of software export. In the analysis in the areas of technology development, manpower development, quality control and marketing reinforcement from 2008 to 2014, it has been found that the amounts of the policy influence and annual revenue of software export increase simultaneously, proving that the China government's support policy has a close relationship with the software export revenue. However, the annual ratio of the software export revenue to the gross software production revenue has decreased over the period, which indicates that the growth of software industry in China has been mainly driven by domestic market.

Export Behaviors of the Passenger Cars of Gunsan, Pyeongtaek and Ulsan Port (항만별 승용차 수출 행태: 군산항.평택항.울산항)

  • Mo, Soo-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2011
  • The paper aims at examining the behavioral characteristics of the passenger car export of Gunsan, Pyeongtaek, and Ulsan port. This is accomplished by modelling export demand as exchange rate and the Unites States industrial production. All series span the period January 2001 to December 2010. I first show that both the series and the residuals are stationary at the 5 percent significance level. The result cannot reject the null hypothesis of a unit root in each of the level variables and of a unit root for the residuals from the cointegration regression at the 5 percent significance level. I hitherto make use of forecast error decomposition and historical decompositions The forecast error decomposition indicates that car export is endogenous to industrial production and exchange rate. The historical decompositions for the export show that the entire difference between actual export and the base forecast can be attributed to industrial production shocks since exchange rate moves closer to the actual data or the base forecast. It indicates that industrial production outperforms exchange rate in explaining the passenger car exports.

The Value Relevance of Advertising Activity based on R&D Intensity and Export Ratio (매출액영업이익률, 매출액성장률, 부채비율 및 기업규모를 고려하여 살펴본 광고선전활동이 기업가치에 미치는 영향 : 한국 제조업 기업을 대상으로 한 연구개발집약도 및 수출비중의 조절효과 분석)

  • Kim, Jinsu;Kwon, Gee Jung
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.312-338
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    • 2010
  • This paper investigates the value relevance of advertising activity over the period from 2001 to 2009 in the listed Korean stock markets(KOSPI and KOSDAQ). In addition, this paper divide all sample firm into several subsample, based on R&D intensity and export ratio in total sales. The empirical result of this paper shows following two evidence; First, advertising intensity, which proxies for advertising activity, is significantly related to firm value at the 1% level of significance. Second, advertising activity of high R&D intensity and high export ratio sample firms has more significant value relevance than for firms with low R&D intensity and low export ratio. The empirical results suggest that moderation effect of R&D intensity and export ratio are very important factor in determining the value relevance of advertising activity.

Exports Trends by Major Ports·Airports and Future Development Direction (주요 항만·공항별 수출액 동향과 향후 발전 방향)

  • Choi, Soo-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.177-186
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the trend of export growth rate and rate of change by each port/airport in Korea. And to analyze which each port/airport are showing a high growth rate. To this end, Incheon Airport, Busan, Incheon, Ulsan, Gwangyang and Pyeongtaek were selected in order of export value. The analysis period for each port/airport was 200 monthly data from September 2001 to April 2018. Pyeongtaek, Incheon and Gwangyang are relatively larger than Busan and Ulsan in the rate of increase and change. This is because export to China and Southeast Asia has increased more than in the US and Japan. As a result of the analysis, exports from Busan, Incheon Airport and Ulsan have recently been shifted to Incheon Airport, Incheon, Gwangyang and Pyeongtaek. In addition, the export portion of Incheon International Airport, which is an aviation logistics service, is growing more and more. In the west coast era, interest and investment in Incheon, Pyeongtaek and Gwangyang seem to be more needed in preparation for import and export to China, Southeast Asia and North Korea.

Empirical Analysis on the Effects of Input Factor Prices on the Export Performance in Korean Manufacturing Industries (생산요소가격 변동과 제조산업의 수출성과에 관한 실증연구)

  • Kang, Joo Hoon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.3-17
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of the paper is to suggest the empirical evidences for the effects of factor prices on the export performance in the Korean manufacturing industries during the period 1975:1-2016:4. The paper is to set up the error correction model derived from the autoregressive distributed lag scheme and to estimate the factor price elasticities of export in the 8 manufacturing industries. The real wage, interest and import price index elasticities of export all were estimated to be statistically significant at 1% level in the most industries with showing negative signs as expected. And the real wage elasticity proved to likely be smaller as the industries become more capital-intensive while the import price index elasticity tended to become larger in industries with larger ratio of imported intermediate goods to output. The empirical results suggest that the declines in input factor prices since the foreign exchange crisis in the end of 1997 have positive effects on the export performance in the Korean manufacturing industries.