• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.34-46
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• 2021

Purpose - This paper aims to analyze the impact of the terms of trade, export price, and import price on the Korean economy (that is, real GDP, CPI, money market rate, and real effective exchange rate), and vice versa in the simple vector autoregression. Design/methodology - We impose two assumptions, i.e., diagonality and bloc exogeneity, to correctly identify the impact of a factor to the others in the structural equation. With two contemporaneous assumptions in the structural VAR, this paper investigates the impacts of the terms of trade on the Korean economy and vice versa. Findings - Impulse responses to the shocks in the terms of trade and Korean economy show that 1) an impact of the terms of trade on the economy is different in export prices and in import prices. A higher export price is beneficial to the economy while a higher import price hurts the economy, and 2) an increase in real effective exchange rate and in interest rate constrains domestic production and lowers consumer prices. Originality/value - Unlike the conventional perception that a depreciation of a currency would promote exports and domestic production at the price of inflation, our result shows the opposite, and 3) real GDP and consumer prices are positively correlated. That is, an increase in real GDP does not only cause inflation, but an increase in consumer prices also promote domestic production. Yet, the only difference is that export prices and import prices end up higher with an increase in real GDP, but lower with inflation.

• 한국항만학회지
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.145-156
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• 1997

The purpose in this study is development of model for the Container Terminals of Pusan Port, First of all, Quantitive and Qualititve factors are characterized which effects on Physical Distribution System in Container Terminals. The System Dynamics method is used to develope the model by using these factor. This model is able to present the timinig of investment in Container Terminals of Pusan Port. Six models are showed by change of parameters in System Dynamics, in this paper. In the model, Five feedback loop were found. Loop 1 : Number of Liners$\rightarrow$Number of Congested ships$\rightarrow$Port's Charges$\rightarrow$Export & Import Cargo Volumes$\rightarrow$Number of Liners$\rightarrow$The will to investment of government$\rightarrow$Length of berth→Number of Liners. Negative loop was acquired. Loop 2 : Port's Charge$\rightarrow$Economic of Port$\rightarrow$The will to Private management$\rightarrow$Efficiency for Port's Operation$\rightarrow$Port's Charges. Positive loop was acquired. Loop 3 : Number of Congested ships$\rightarrow$Planning for future development$\rightarrow$Information Service$\rightarrow$Support service for port's user$\rightarrow$Number of Congested ships. Negative loop was acquired. Loop 4 : Number of Congested ships$\rightarrow$Planning for future development$\rightarrow$Extent of stacking area$\rightarrow$Number of handling equipmint$\rightarrow$Number of Congested ships. Negative loop was acquired. Loop 5 : Export & Import Cargo Volumes$\rightarrow$Number of Liners$\rightarrow$Econmic of Port$\rightarrow$Support service for port's user$\rightarrow$Export & Import Cargo Volumes. Positive loop was acquired. System's level variables were selected as followings ; Number of Liners, Number of Congested ships, Export & Import Carge Volumes, Length of berth, and Port's Charges. As result of simmulation of model, fluctuation of respective year was found in level variables. This fluctuation can be used properly to present timing of investment.

• 한국경제지리학회지
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.225-242
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• 2006

본 연구는 내륙세관인 청주세관에서 통관이 이루어진 지역을 대상으로 국제무역의 배후지와 관문, 지향지의 관계를 상호작용형 속성행렬 4차원의 행렬체를 2차원화 시켜 주성분분석을 하여 국제무역의 공간적 분포 패턴을 파악하였는데, 그 결과는 다음과 같다. 배후지-관문-지향지의 지역결합에 의한 주요 공간적 패턴은 수출의 경우 10개, 수입의 경우 9개로 나타났다. 청주세관 통관지역에서의 주요 수출입상품의 구성은 대체로 유사하지만 '정밀기계 제품', '비금속광물'은 수출에서, '광물성 제품', '기계류 및 전자제품'은 수입에서 주로 이루어지는 점이 다르다. 또 관문은 수출입 모두 유사하지만 수입의 경우 인천공항의 이용이 더 많고 청주공항을 이용하는 상품도 있어 지역공항의 이용도를 높이고 있다. 그리고 충북 이외의 지역에서의 수입의 지향지가 두드러지게 나타난다.

• Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.34-42
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• 1991

Protection of tropical forest affects on significant reduce of tropical hardwood supply, and softwood resources will be increasingly important for the timber security in Korea. U.S. softwood log was most favorite species for Korean softwood log importers in overall import conditions except price stablization and consistency of export policy. Reduced export volume from Pacific Northwest to Korean market has been immediately replenished by rediata pine from New Zealand and Chilean plantation. Siberian timber will hardly play major roles in Korean timber market unless budding structure. softwood plywood and softwood furniture uses are enhanced. Recent rapid rise of labor cost and reducing tariff rrate in Korea provided better opportunities for import lumber in building materials market. Dry dimension lumber was relatively profitable when processed from import U.S. soft-wood log while green lumber was favorable products processed from radiata pine log in Korean lumber market. This means U.S. softwood lumber would have better opportunity to market for '2${\times}$'4 studs when wood frame housing is introduced. On the other hand while radiata pine is competitive on temporary construction lumber such as supporter and concrete forming frame in Korea. Shortage of raw material for the new capacity of board plants in Korea will be it bottle neck. Major log export countries to Korea as U.S. New Zealand and Chile showed high trade intensity indices of composite hoard produces for Korean market. As Korea efforts to diversify import sources, and tariffs are reduced to 8% as scheduled by 1994. countries of scoring higher comparative advantages as Portugal. Brazil, Austria as well as New Zealand will have better opportunity to penetrate into promised Korean composites hoard market.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제22권
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• pp.227-254
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• 2004

This paper focuses on the analysis of effects on fisheries sector following Korea-Japan Free Trade Agreement and the results are found as follows. In terms of national competitiveness, the RCA(Revealed comparative advantage) index shows that Korea is higher than Japan in most species items. And the calculation of TSI(Trade Specialization Index) finds that Korea is export specialized while Japan import specialized, showing that Korean fisheries sector is internationally more competitive than Japan. The tariffs on the marine products should be completely scrapped between Korea and Japan, export of marine products to Japan increases a mere 2%, while import from Japan 13.5%. In terms of value, annual export to Japan stands at 20,135thousand USD, while import from Japan at 12,137thousands USD, resulting in trade balance improvement of 8,000thousand USD in total. The tariff measures above is expected to have a positive effect on the related industry of marine products such as Oyster, Conger eel, Ark shells and Laver, but those involved in fisheries of Alaska pollack, Hair tail, Sea-bream(live fish), Red horsehead(frozen), Saury are expected to be negatively affected. Given the results of analysis above, the effects of FTA on the fisheries would be advantageous to Korea as a whole, but at the same time, the advantage and disadvantage sustained differs by fishery type and marine products. To that effect, negotiation strategies and countermeasures should be made, taking the results into account.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제30권3호
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• pp.86-91
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• 2022

This study empirically analyzes the patterns of import and export of air cargo between Korea and EU member states. In order to understand the detailed characteristics of the air transport sector, the amount of trade was analyzed by dividing it into exports, imports, and trades. As a result of the analysis, in terms of exports, imports, and trade, both EU member states' GDP per capita and Korea's GDP showed positive directions, while EU member states' GDP and Korea's per capita GDP both showed negative directions. In addition, international oil prices and exchange rates, which were expected to have an effect on aviation trade, did not show significant results in this study. On the other hand, when applying the fixed-effect model, both the country area and the number of airports excluded from the analysis were analyzed as positive directions as a result of the Houseman Taylor analysis.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.52-67
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• 2019

Purpose - This study analyzes the effect of the authorized economic operator-mutual recognition arrangement (AEO-MRA) on the performance of Korean exporters and importers. The effect of the import-export companies' characteristics, such as annual sales, the number of foreign markets, and overseas experience, on the AEO-MRA is deduced; the relationship between this effect and firm performance is analyzed. Design/methodology - An empirical research model was constructed and analyzed using structural equation modeling. The effect of AEO-MRA on logistics and operational performance was derived from the aforementioned characteristics as leading factors of the AEO-MRA. The regulatory influence of cooperation with logistics companies was analyzed in the AEO-MRA effect on logistics performance. Thus, 172 valid samples were obtained from import-export companies certified by the AEO-MRA. Findings - Among the aforementioned characteristics, only "annual sales" has a positive effect on the AEO-MRA, whose effect enhances logistics and operational performances. The AEO-MRA effect did not directly affect operational performance. Owing to the adjustment effect analysis, the AEO-MRA effect and logistics performance relationship is strengthened if the cooperative relationship with the logistics company is higher than a certain level. If this cooperation falls below a certain level, the AEO-MRA effect on logistics performance reduces. Thus, logistics cooperation is an important factor in the AEO-MRA effect and logistics performance relationship. Originality/value - Hinging on the resource-based theory and relational viewpoint, an empirical model that explains the relationship between the AEO-MRA effect and firm performance is established.

• 수산해양교육연구
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.1118-1128
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• 2015

In the midst of the advancement of global economic trade restrictions, the internationalization of domestic agriculture, which has occurred at a time of crisis in the industry, has presented an opportunity for Korea's agricultural products to be exported overseas. In particular, from 2015, after favorable outlooks for Korean rice, it is expected that the domestic agricultural industry is in a strong position to play a major role in export markets. Due to this, among existing measures targeting the import of rice, increasing domestic measures to boost rice exports and establish an effective operating plan are being pursued. However, until now, appropriate measures targeting domestic rice markets have not been found. In addition, domestic grain piers, which are currently used exclusively for the import of grain, do not have sufficient capacity to handle export operations. Therefore this paper will examine the current status of domestic grain piers, and will suggest a operating plan in grain terminal for the export of grain in order to successfully bring domestically produced rice to foreign markets. The conclusions drawn from this paper are designed to be used as a basic application for the operational plan of grain piers for the purpose of increasing domestic rice exports.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.61-69
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• 2021

The aim of this paper is to empirically investigate whether and how domestic currency valuation is related to firm-level export competitiveness and profitability by using the unique firm-specific dataset on Bangladeshi nonfinancial firms which have been listed continuously from 2010 to 2018. To achieve the aim of this paper, 63 exporting firms are extracted from a total of 125 firms which have been continuously listed during 2010-2018 and used as the final sample firms. The Pedroni cointegration test reveals that export and import prices of the exporting firms are cointegrated in the short-run as well as long-run. The panel dynamic ordinary least square (DOLS) analysis finds that a firm's export competitiveness is maintained by high import inputs even in the presence of depreciation of Bangladeshi currency against the US dollar. Finally, the DuPont analysis finds that the depreciated Bangladeshi currency enhances an exporter's profitability. Conclusions based on the findings are consistent regardless of exchange rate types, such as, real bilateral exchange rate and nominal or real effective exchange rate indexes. Consequently, the firm-level findings of this investigation suggest that undervalution of home currency is essential for Bangaldesh which is one of the frontier markets in South Asia whose exporting firms are mostly price followers in global markets.

• 아태비즈니스연구
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.39-50
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• 2022

Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine how Korea's macroeconomic factors, such as GDP, CPI, Export, Import, Unemployment rate and USD/KRW exchange rate, are affected by the oil price shocks. Design/methodology/approach - This study used monthly and quarterly time-series data of each variable for the period 1983 to 2022, consisting of two sub-periods, to employ Granger causality test and GARCH method in order to identify the role of the oil price movement in macroeconomic factors in Korea. Findings - Korea's currency rate to the US dollar is negatively correlated with the price change of crude oil while the GDP change is positively correlated with the price change of crude oil with strong relationship between Export and Import in particular. The exchange rate and GDP growth are believed to be not correlated with the oil price change for the pre-GFC period. According to the Granger causality test, the price change in crude oil has a causal impact on CPI, Export and Import while other factors are relatively slightly affected. Transmission effect from the oil price to Export is found and there also exists volatility spillover from oil price to economic variables under examination. Comparing two sub-periods, CPI and Export volatility responds negatively to shocks in the oil price for the pre-GFC period while volatility of CPI and Unemployment reacts positively to the oil price shocks for the post-GFC period. Research implications or Originality - The findings of this study could be helpful for both domestic and international investors to build their portfolio for the risk management since rising WTI price can be interpreted as a result of global economic growth and ensuing increase in the worldwide demand of the crude oil. Consequently, the national output is expected to increase and the currency is also expected to be strong in the long run.