• Title/Summary/Keyword: Explanatory variable

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A Study on the Impact of Business Cycle on Corporate Credit Spreads (글로벌 회사채 스프레드에 대한 경기요인 영향력 분석: 기업 신용스프레드에 대한 경기사이클의 설명력 추정을 중심으로)

  • Jae-Yong Choi
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.221-240
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This paper investigates how business cycle impacts on corporate credit spreads since global financial crisis. Furthermore, it tests how the impact changes by the phase of the cycle. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected dataset from Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index through the Bloomberg. It conducted multi-regression analysis by projecting business cycle using Hodrick-Prescott filtering and various cyclical variables, while ran dynamic analysis of 5-variable Vector Error Correction Model to confirm the robustness of the test. Findings - First, it proves to be statistically significant that corporate credit spreads have moved countercyclicaly since the crisis. Second, It indicates that the corporate credit spread's countercyclicality to the macroeconomic changes works symmetrically by the phase of the cycle. Third, the VECM supports that business cycle's impact on the spreads maintains more sustainably than other explanatory variable does in the model. Research implications or Originality - It becomes more appealing to accurately measure the real economic impact on corporate credit spreads as the interaction between credit and business cycle deepens. The economic impact on the spreads works symmetrically by boom and bust, which implies that the market stress could impact as another negative driver during the bust. Finally, the business cycle's sustainable impact on the spreads supports the fact that the economic recovery is the key driver for the resilience of credit cycle.

The Relationship between Climatic and Oceanographic Factors and Laver Aquaculture Production (기후 및 해양 요인과 김 생산량과의 관계에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Do-Hoon
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2013
  • While some steps in laver aquaculture production can be controlled artificially to a certain extent, the culturing process is largely affected by natural factors, such as the characteristics of seawater, climatic and oceanographic conditions, etc. This study aims to find a direct relationship between climatic and oceanographic factors (water temperature, air temperature, salinity, rainfall, sunshine duration and wind speed) and laver aquaculture production in Wando region, the biggest aquaculture production area of laver, located in the southwest coast of Korea using a multiple regression analysis. Despite the small sample size of a dependent variable, the goodness of model fit appeared acceptable. In addition, the R-squared value was 0.951, which means that the variables were very explanatory. Model results indicated that duration of sunshine, temperature, and rainfall during the farming period from the end of September to the end of April would be important factors affecting significantly to the laver aquaculture production.

ON THEIL'S METHOD IN FUZZY LINEAR REGRESSION MODELS

  • Choi, Seung Hoe;Jung, Hye-Young;Lee, Woo-Joo;Yoon, Jin Hee
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.185-198
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    • 2016
  • Regression analysis is an analyzing method of regression model to explain the statistical relationship between explanatory variable and response variables. This paper propose a fuzzy regression analysis applying Theils method which is not sensitive to outliers. This method use medians of rate of increment based on randomly chosen pairs of each components of ${\alpha}$-level sets of fuzzy data in order to estimate the coefficients of fuzzy regression model. An example and two simulation results are given to show fuzzy Theils estimator is more robust than the fuzzy least squares estimator.

A mixed model for repeated split-plot data (반복측정의 분할구 자료에 대한 혼합모형)

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2010
  • This paper suggests a mixed-effects model for analyzing split-plot data when there is a repeated measures factor that affects on the response variable. Covariance structures are discussed among the observations because of the assumption of a repeated measures factor as one of explanatory variables. As a plausible covariance structure, compound symmetric covariance structure is assumed for analyzing data. The restricted maximum likelihood (REML)method is used for estimating fixed effects in the model.

Additive Regression Models for Censored Data (중도절단된 자료에 대한 가법회귀모형)

  • Kim, Chul-Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.32-43
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    • 1996
  • In this paper we develop nonparametric methods for regression analysis when the response variable is subject to censoring that arises naturally in quality engineering. This development is based on a general missing information principle that enables us to apply, via an iterative scheme, nonparametric regression techniques for complete data to iteratively reconstructed data from a given sample with censored observations. In particular, additive regression models are extended to right-censored data. This nonparametric regression method is applied to a simulated data set and the estimated smooth functions provide insights into the relationship between failure time and explanatory variables in the data.

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An Effect of Internet Usage on the Awareness of Utility and Negativeness -Focusing on the On-Line Panel of Married Men and Women- (인터넷 활용이 효용성 인지 및 부정적 인지에 미치는 영향 -온라인 조사업체 패널의 기혼자 집단을 중심으로-)

  • 차성란
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.107-126
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    • 2004
  • As the information society matures, an analysis on possible outputs of internet usage is needed. Thus, this study was peformed in order to understand the utility cognition and negative outputs of internet users. The method used in this study was a web-based questionnaire that was administered to the internet users. Five hundred married men and women were analyzed with a factor and a multiple regression analysis. Results were as follows: First, many kinds of internet usages - information searching, internet shopping, electronic mail, instant messaging, and decision-making dependent on internet information - were differentiated with age. Second, the altitude about the internet was an important explanatory variable in the types of internet usage. Third, negative outputs of internet usage were great in terms of information resource management and unbalanced scheduling in daily time spent. Fourth, utility cognition was affected by qualitative elements on internet usage more than the quantitative ones.

FUZZY REGRESSION TOWARDS A GENERAL INSURANCE APPLICATION

  • Kim, Joseph H.T.;Kim, Joocheol
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.32 no.3_4
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    • pp.343-357
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    • 2014
  • In many non-life insurance applications past data are given in a form known as the run-off triangle. Smoothing such data using parametric crisp regression models has long served as the basis of estimating future claim amounts and the reserves set aside to protect the insurer from future losses. In this article a fuzzy counterpart of the Hoerl curve, a well-known claim reserving regression model, is proposed to analyze the past claim data and to determine the reserves. The fuzzy Hoerl curve is more flexible and general than the one considered in the previous fuzzy literature in that it includes a categorical variable with multiple explanatory variables, which requires the development of the fuzzy analysis of covariance, or fuzzy ANCOVA. Using an actual insurance run-off claim data we show that the suggested fuzzy Hoerl curve based on the fuzzy ANCOVA gives reasonable claim reserves without stringent assumptions needed for the traditional regression approach in claim reserving.

A Study on the Determinants of Imbalanced Regional Development : An Application of Regression Model for a Bias due to Heterogeneity across Region (지역 불균형 발전의 결정요인 : 지역간 이질성 편의를 고려한 희귀모형의 적용)

  • 박범조;고석찬
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.35-50
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    • 1998
  • This paper examines the determinants of imbalanced regional development in Korea during the period of 1985-1995. The review of previous analytical techniques have been used to analyze the determinants of disparities in regional development of disparities in regional development, but few has applied the regression technique which reduces a bias due to heterogeneity across region. The results of the study show that Kmenta model with per capita GRDP as dependent variable can reduce the heterogeneity bias in regional development and can minimize the statical errors in estimation and interpretation of the coefficients of the explanatory variables. According to the results of Kmenta model, urban infrastructure such as roads, information and communication facilities are major causes of regional disparity over the period of 1985-1995. The results of the study also indicate that local government should devote their policy efforts to identify and utilize the unique soci-economic characteristics of each locality in the process of regional development.

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A study on the influences of KOSDAQ listed venture firms' financing method on management accomplishments (코스닥등록 벤처기업의 자본조달방식이 경영성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Mo, Kang-Kyung;Yang, Hae-Sool
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.1625-1633
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, influences of financing method on management accomplishments for KOSDAQ listed venture firms has been objectively verified. The results of this study revealed that explanatory variable had significant influences on management outcomes of firms, and some part of pecking order theory has not gotten the supported result and other part has gotten the supported result. Also, it was analyzed that fixed asset investment had significant influences on management accomplishments.

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R&D Intensity and Market Structure (R&D집약도와 시장구조)

  • Kim, Byung-Woo
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2004
  • According to "structure-conduct-performance" paradigm in IO, market structure (concentration) determines conduct (R&D investments), and conduct yields market performance (ratio of price to marginal cost). Previous empirical studies on Schumpeter Mark I, II assumed that the explanatory variable (market structure) and the disturbance are uncorrelated in the R&D equation. In this situation, Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimates of the structural parameters are inconsistent, because the endogeneous variables (R&D and market structure) can be determined simultaneously. So, in this study, full information (or system methods) estimation is used to test Schumpeter hypothesis since joint estimation can as well bring efficiency gains in the seemingly uncorrelated regressions (SUR) setting.

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