• 한국초등과학교육학회지:초등과학교육
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• 제30권3호
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• pp.353-366
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• 2011

An alternative vision for science inquiry that appears to be important and challenging is model-based inquiry in which students generate, evaluate and revise their explanatory model. Pre-service teachers should be given opportunities to develop and use their mechanistic explanatory models in order to participate in the practice of science and to have a sound understanding of science. With this view, this study described a case of pre-service elementary teachers' scientific modeling in magnetism. The aims of this study were to explore difficulties preservice elementary teachers encountered while they engaged in a model-based inquiry, and to examine how their understandings of the nature of scientific models changed after the model-based inquiry. The data analysis revealed that the pre-service teachers had difficulties in drawing and writing their own thinking because they had little experience of expressing their own science ideas. When asked to predict what would happen, they could not understand what it meant to make a prediction "based on their model". They did not know how to use or consider their model in making a prediction. At the end of the model-based inquiry they reached a final consensus of a best model. However, they were very anxious about whether the model was the "correct" answer. With respect to the nature of scientific models, almost all of the pre-service teachers initially viewed models only as a communication tool among scientists or students and teachers to help understand others' ideas. After the model-based inquiry, however, many of them understood that they could create, test, and revise their "own" models "by themselves". They also realized the key aspects of scientific models that a model can be changed as evidence is accumulated and a model is a knowledge production tool as well as a communication tool. The results indicated that pre-service elementary teachers' understandings of the nature of scientific models and their previous school science experiences could affect their performance on a model-based inquiry, and their experience of scientific modeling could help them enhance their understandings of the nature of scientific models.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제95권5호
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• pp.601-604
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• 2006

This study compared the accuracy of partial multivariate and vector autoregressive models for lumber demand prediction in Korea. The partial multivariate model has three explanatory variables; own price, construction permit area and dummy. The dummy variable reflected the boom of lumber demand in 1988, and the abrupt decrease in 1998. The VAR model consists of two endogenous variables, lumber demand and construction permit area with one lag. On the other hand, the prediction accuracy was estimated by Root Mean Squared Error. The results showed that the estimation by partial multivariate and vector autoregressive model showed similar explanatory power, and the prediction accuracy was similar in the case of using partial multivariate and vector autoregressive model.

• 한국초등과학교육학회지:초등과학교육
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• 제40권1호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2021

This study investigated pre-service elementary teachers' understanding of the planetary revolution movement of Mars and their explanatory models to show how the Sun-Earth-Mars system worked. An assessment item set using five celestial maps drawn from the Stellarium was designed to probe pre-service teachers' understanding of the prograde-retrograde motion of Mars. Among 23 participants, only four showed scientifically accurate understanding of Mars movement and drawing correct explanatory models for the planetary movement. Even the pre-service teachers who construed correctly prograde and retrograde motions of Mars showed a clockwise movement model due to their intuitive perceptions of Mars movement data from the celestial maps. Pre-service teachers with poor understanding of planetary movement also showed weak explanatory models due to their limited observation or lower spatial thinking. Although the planetary motion is not an easy topic for pre-service elementary teachers, it can be argued if the alternative approach, such as using appropriate observational data of a planet and changing the frames of reference between Earth-based view and Space-based view, is employed effectively in teaching planetary motion, pre-service teachers can reach the upper level of leaning planetary motion in terms of the planet's revolution.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.227-233
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• 2004

This paper presents our work on constructing a model that is intended to predict the probability of attrition at specified points in time among customers of an insurance company. There are some difficulties in building a data-based model because a data set may contain possibly censored observations. In an effort to avoid such kind of problem, we performed logistic regression over specified time intervals while using explanatory variables to construct the proposed model. Then, we developed a Cox-type regression model for estimating the probability of attrition over a specified period of time using time-dependent explanatory variables subject to changes in value over the course of the observations.

• 성인간호학회지
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.90-102
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• 2010

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identity factors affecting patient adherence and to develop an explanatory model for patient adherence in patients with spinal cord injury. 8 Variables that were based on the previous research and a review of literature were used to construct hypothetical model. Social support, economic status, perceived barrier, patient provider relationship and rehabilitation related knowledge were the exogenous variables, depression, self-efficacy and patient adherence were the endogenous variables. Methods: Data form 117 patients with SCI were analysed to test the hypothetical model, using SAS and LISREL 8.53 program. Results: The overall fitness of the model was good (GFI=.991, AGFI=.915, NNFI=1.299, NFI=.953, p=.632) Depression, powerlessness, economic status were the strong factors influencing patient adherence. Powerlessness was significant factors for self-efficacy. Conclusion: To improve of patient adherence should focus on nursing intervention for depression, powerlessness and economic status.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제21권6호
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• pp.1117-1124
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• 2010

미세먼지 농도는 국가의 중요한 환경 척도 중의 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 경기도 남부에 위치한 수원시 2003년-2009년 미세먼지 농도를 주위에서 쉽게 구할 수 있는 대기자료와 기상자료를 이용하여 자기회귀오차모형으로 월별로 분석하였다. 미세먼지 농도 분석을 위한 대기자료는 이산화황, 이산화질소, 일산화탄소, 오존 등을 사용했고, 기상자료로는 일 최고온도, 풍속, 상대습도, 강수량, 일사량, 운량을 사용하였다. 분석 결과, 자기회귀오차모형으로 월별 미세먼지 농도를 13%-49% 정도 설명할 수 있다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.535-542
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• 2012

소비자물가지수는 국가의 중요한 경제 척도 중의 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 4개 도시, 서울, 부산, 대구, 광주지역의 소비자물가지수를 연구하였다. 자료는 모두 통계청에서 발췌하였고, 기간은 1998년-2011년 월별자료이며, 시계열분석 기법인 자기회귀오차모형으로 분석하였다. 소비자물가 분석을 위한 설명변수는 9가지 경제변수인 경기동행지수, 미국환욜, 생산자물가지수, 원유수입단가, 원유수입물량, 국제경상수지, 수입물가지수, 실업율, 화폐통화량을 사용하였다. 분석 결과, 자기회귀오차모형으로 각 지역별 소비자물가지수를 46%-52% 정도 설명할 수 있다.

• 한국축산식품학회지
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• 제43권1호
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• pp.113-123
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• 2023

This study investigated the predictability of cooking loss of pork loin through relatively easy and quick measurable quality properties. The pH, color, moisture, protein content, and cooking loss of 100 pork loins were measured. The explanatory variables included in all linear regression models with an adjust-r² value of ≥0.5 were pH and the protein content. In the linear regression model predicting cooking loss, the highest adjust-r² value was 0.7, with pH, CIE L^*, CIE b^*, moisture, and protein content as the explanatory variables. In 30 pork loins, electrical conductivity was additionally measured, and as a result of linear regression analysis for predicting cooking loss, the highest adjust-r² value was 0.646 with electrical conductivity measured at 40 Hz, with pH and color as the explanatory variables. Ordinal logistic regression analysis was performed to predict the three grades (low, middle, and high) of loin cooking loss using pH, color, and 40 Hz electrical conductivity as the explanatory variables, and the percent concordance was 93.8%. In conclusion, the addition of electrical conductivity as an explanatory variable did not increase the prediction accuracy of the linear regression model for predicting cooking loss; however, it was demonstrated that it is possible to predict and classify the cooking loss grade of pork loin through quality properties that can be measured quickly and easily.

• Asia Marketing Journal
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.1-24
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• 2012

본 연구는 고객만족과 기업가치 성과간의 관계를 분석하는 것이 목적이다. 기업가치성과는 주가와 신용등급으로 나눌 수 있는데, 전자는 기업의 시장가치이고 후자는 자금조달비용이라 구분하여 사용되고 있다. 고객만족과 주가와의 관계는 비교적 오래전부터 연구되어 왔으나 신용등급과의 관계는 최근 들어 연구되기 시작하였다. 대표적으로 Anderson and Mansi(2009)의 연구에서는 양자가 긍정적으로 관련된 것으로 밝혀졌으나, 윤상운(2010)이 국내자료를 사용한 연구에서는 그 관계가 입증되지 못하였다. 일치하지 않는 두 연구의 결과에서 아이디어를 얻어 본 연구에서는 고객만족이 신용등급에 긍정적 영향을 미치는 것으로 보고 이를 검증하였다. 두 연구에서 사용한 모델을 참고로 하였고 특히 우리나라 실정에서는 정부지원이 중요한 변수임을 감안하여 이를 포함한 연구모형을 설정하여 검증한 결과 긍정적 관련성이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 추가분석에서 자산규모가 큰 기업보다 작은 기업에서, 제조업보다 서비스업에서 고객만족이 신용등급에 더 유의한 긍정적 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

• 동아시아식생활학회지
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• 제17권6호
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• pp.963-971
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• 2007

This research aimed to determine the relationship between hotel restaurants' SCM activities and their results. The samples are included exclusive high-end hotels located in the seoul area. To analyze the data, frequency analysis, reliability analysis, factor analysis, and regression analysis were applied. Multiple regression analysis showed that SCM activities (${\beta}$=.342, p<.000), information sharing (${\beta}$=.136, p<.006), and cooperative activities (${\beta}$=.120, p<.015) had a significant impact on financial performance. The explanatory power of this model was 14%, and there was statistical significance in the regression model. SCM activities(${\beta}$=.221, p<.000), information sharing (${\beta}$=.475, p<.000), and cooperative activities (${\beta}$=.172, p<.000) also had a significant impact on non-financial performance, and the explanatory power of this model was 29%, with statistical significance in the regression model.