• 제목/요약/키워드: Expected total cost

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KHP 총소유비용의 민감도 분석 사례 연구 (A Case Study on Sensitivity Analysis of KHP Total Ownership Cost)

  • 변형균;이상우;권문원;김주균;최영환
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.187-212
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    • 2011
  • KHP project sets total ownership cost as the target cost by applying CAIV and administrates total ownership cost through compromise analysis, a periodical estimate and management of design alternatives for each development. Based on expected cost results, sensibility of total ownership cost is analyzed complying with the change of reliability, availability, maintainability and other related factors. By considering potential total ownership cost saving methods, first of all, this paper identifies total ownership cost changing effects for each related factor, secondly, suggests total ownership cost and maintenance and operating cost saving methods via finding components that affect total ownership cost and lastly, suggests total ownership cost saving directions that may be applied to other projects in the future.

비용곡선과 ROC곡선에서의 비용비율 (Cost Ratios for Cost and ROC Curves)

  • 홍종선;유현상
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.755-765
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    • 2010
  • 혼합분포의 분류문제에서 비용함수를 고려한 분류점은 최소 기대비용이라는 측면에서 최적이다. 비용에 관한 어떠한 정보가 주어지지 않은 경우에 ROC곡선을 이용하여 분류정확도 측도인 전체정확도와 진실율이 최대일 때의 분류점에 대응하는 기대비용에서의 비용비율을제안하고, 최소 기대비용의 비용비율과의 관계를 설명한다. 그리고 비용곡선을 이용하여 분류정확도 측도들에 기반하는 최소 기대비용에서의 비용비율을 제안하였고 이 비용비율은 대표적인 두 종류의 분류정확도가 최대일 때의 기대비용에 대한 비용비율들 사이에 존재하며, 최소 기대비용에서의 비용비율에 수렴하는 것을 발견하였다. 본 연구는 기대비용과 정규화된 기대비용을 최소화할 때의 비용비율과 분류정확도가 최대일 때의 비용비율들의 관계를 토론한다.

FMEA에서 주기적인 고장원인 감시하의 기대손실모형에 대한 소고 (Comments on : An Expected Loss Model for FMEA under Periodic Monitoring of Failure Causes)

  • 윤원영;권혁무
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제40권3호
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    • pp.321-324
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    • 2014
  • Kwon et al. (2013) studied the optimal monitoring interval of systems with finite life cycle. It is assumed that there are several failure modes from several failure causes and the occurrence of causes follows a homogeneous Poisson process. The total expected cost is used as an optimization criterion. In this article, we derive newly the total expected cost under the same assumptions and consider some extended models.

강상형교의 최적 Life Cycle Cost 설계 (Optimum Life Cycle Cost Design of Steel Box Girder Bridges)

  • 조효남;민대홍;김구선
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1998년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents an optimal decision model for minimizing the life-cycle cost of steel box girder bridges. The point is that it takes into account service life process as a whole, and the life-cycle costs include initial (design, testing, and construction) costs, maintenance costs and expected failure costs. The problem is formulated as that of minimization of expected total life-cycle cost with respect to the design variables. The optimal solution identifies those values of the decision variables that result in minimum expected total cost. The performance constraints in the form of flexural failure and shear failure are those specified in the design code. Based on extensive numerical investigations, it may be positively stated that the optimum design of steel box girder bridges based on life-cycle cost approach proposed in this study provides a lot more rational and economical design, and thus the proposed approach will propose the development of new concepts and design methodologies that may have important implications in the next generation performance-based design codes and standards.

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정기보전 제도에서 응급수리를 고려한 대체품 수리정책에서의 비용분석 모델 (Cost Analysis Model with Minimal Repair of Spare Unit Repair Policy under Periodic Maintenance Policy)

  • 김재중
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 2006
  • This article is concerned with cost analysis model in periodic maintenance policy. The repair policy is differently applied according as unit importance during an item being used and unit restoration during an item being failed. So in this paper the repair policy with minimal repair is considered as follow : as the occurrence of failure between minimal repair and periodic interval time, unit is replaced by a spare unit until the periodic maintenance time arrived. Then total expected cost per unit time is calculated according to scale parameter of failure distribution in a view of customer's. The total expected costs are included repair and usage cost : operating, fixed, minimal repair, periodic maintenance and spare unit cost. Numerical example is shown in which failure time of item has Erlang distribution.

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구매가격 변동시 위험을 고려한 재고모형 (Risk-averse Inventory Model under Fluctuating Purchase Prices)

  • 유석천;박찬규;정욱
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.33-53
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    • 2010
  • When purchase prices of a raw material fluctuate over time, the total purchasing cost is mainly affected by reordering time. Existing researches focus on deciding the right time when the demand for each period is replenished at the lowest cost. However, the decision is based on expected future prices which usually turn out to include some error. This discrepancy between expected prices and actual prices deteriorates the performance of inventory models dealing with fluctuating purchase prices. In this paper, we propose a new inventory model which incorporates not only cost but also risk into making up a replenishment schedule to meet each period's demand. For each replenishment schedule, the risk is defined to be the variance of its total cost. By introducing the risk into the objective function, the variability of the total cost can be mitigated, and eventually more stable replenishment schedule will be obtained. According to experimental results from crude oil inventory management, the proposed model showed better performance over other models in respect of variability and cost.

sudden death 시험에 대한 고찰 (A Note on Sudden Death Tests)

  • 서순근
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2012
  • Successive and simultaneous sudden death tests are compared with the complete and Type II censored samples in terms of expected test duration and Total Time on Test(TTT) subject to the same number of failures in order to maintain the equal statistical precision under Weibull lifetime distribution with known shape parameter. Also, two sudden death tests under a proposed cost model are discussed and a numerical example is provided to illustrate the use of the proposed cost model.

정기교체 및 최소수리를 고려한 작업주기 횟수 최적화 (Optimal Working Cycles for Minimal Repair Policy)

  • 이진표
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제48권1호
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    • pp.201-214
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to determine an optimal number of cycle times for the replacement under the circumstance where the system is replaced at the periodic time and the multiple number of working cycles whichever occurs first and the system is minimally repaired between the replacements if it fails. Methods: The system is replaced at periodic time () or cycle time, whichever occurs first, and is repaired minimally when it fails between successive replacements. To determine the optimal number of cycle times, the expected total cost rate is optimized with respect to the number of cycle times, where the expected total cost rate is defined as the ratio of the expected total cost between replacements to the expected time between replacements. Results: In this paper, we conduct a sensitivity analysis to find the following results. First, when the expected number of failures per unit time increases, the optimal number of cycle times decreases. Second, when the periodic time for replacement becomes longer, the optimal number of cycle times decreases. Third, when the expected value for exponential distribution of the cycle time increases, the optimal number of cycle times increases. Conclusion: A mathematical model is suggested to find the optimal number of cycle times and numerical examples are provided through the sensitivity analysis on the model parameters to see the patterns for changes of the optimal number of cycle times.

조정가능한 대기모형에 {T:Min(T,N)} 운용방침이 적용되었을 때의 시스템분석 (A System Analysis of a Controllable Queueing Model Operating under the {T:Min(T,N)} Policy)

  • 이한교
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2015
  • A steady-state controllable M/G/1 queueing model operating under the {T:Min(T,N)} policy is considered where the {T:Min(T,N)} policy is defined as the next busy period will be initiated either after T time units elapsed from the end of the previous busy period if at least one customer arrives at the system during that time period, or after T time units elapsed without a customer' arrival, the time instant when Nth customer arrives at the system or T time units elapsed with at least one customer arrives at the system whichever comes first. After deriving the necessary system characteristics including the expected number of customers in the system, the expected length of busy period and so on, the total expected cost function per unit time for the system operation is constructed to determine the optimal operating policy. To do so, the cost elements associated with such system characteristics including the customers' waiting cost in the system and the server's removal and activating cost are defined. Then, procedures to determine the optimal values of the decision variables included in the operating policy are provided based on minimizing the total expected cost function per unit time to operate the queueing system under considerations.

장기간의 항만 폐쇄와 일시적 운영 중단이 직립 방파제 케이슨의 최적 설계에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Long-Term Harbor Shutdown and Temporal Operational Stoppage upon Optimal Design of Vertical Breakwater Caisson)

  • 서경덕;김덕래;김경숙
    • 한국해안해양공학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.113-127
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 직립 방파제 케이슨의 활동에 따른 복구비용, 과도한 케이슨 활동 발생시 항만 폐쇄에 따른 경제적 피해 비용 그리고 월파에 의한 일시적 작업 중단에 따른 경제적 피해 비용을 동시에 고려하는 기대 총 건설비 산정 모델을 수립하였다. 발생시점이 서로 다른 피해 비용을 일정한 기준으로 산정하기 위해 할인율을 적용하였다. 케이슨의 최적 단면은 방파제 수명 동안의 기대 활동량의 허용범위 내에서 기대 총 건설비용이 최소가 되는 단면으로 정의되며, 그 기대 활동량의 허용치는 0.3 m와 0.1 m 두 가지 경우에 대해 살펴보았다. 과도한 케이슨 활동에 의한 항만 폐쇄에 따른 경제적 피해 비용과 그 산정 기준이 케이슨 복구비용이나 월파에 의한 작업 중단에 따른 경제적 피해 비용보다 최적 단면 결정에 더 중요한 요인임을 확인하였고, 항만 폐쇄에 대한 케이슨 활동량의 임계 칼이 커질수록 케이슨의 최적 단면은 기대 총 건설비의 최소점보다 기대 활동량의 허용치에 의해 결정되는 것으로 나타났다.