• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation possibility

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A feasibility modeling of potential dam site for hydroelectricity based on ASTGTM DEM data (ASTGTM 전지구 DEM 기반의 수력발전댐 적지분석 사전모델링)

  • Jang, Wonjin;Lee, Yonggwan;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.545-555
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    • 2020
  • A feasibility modeling for potential hydroelectric dam site selection was suggested using 1 sec ASTGTM (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model) and Terra/Aqua MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) derived land use (MCD12Q1) data. The modeling includes DEM pre-processing of peak, sink, and flat, river network generation, watershed delineation and segmentation, terrain analysis of stream cross section and reservoir storage, and estimation of submerged area for compensation. The modeling algorithms were developed using Python and as an open source GIS. When a user-defined stream point is selected, the model evaluates potential hydroelectric head, reservoir surface area and storage capacity curve, watershed time of concentration from DEM, and compensation area from land use data. The model was tested for 4 locations of already constructed Buhang, BohyunMountain, Sungdeok, and Yeongju dams. The modeling results obtained maximum possible heads of 37.0, 67.0, 73.0, 42.0 m, surface areas of 1.81, 2.4, 2.8, 8.8 ㎢, storages of 35.9, 68.0, 91.3, 168.3×106 ㎥ respectively. BohyunMountain and Sungdeok show validity but in case of Buhang and Yeongju dams have maximum head errors. These errors came from the stream generation error due to ASTGTM. So, wrong dam watershed boundary limit the head. This study showed a possibility to estimate potential hydroelectric dam sites before field investigation especially for overseas project.

Development of Shielding using Medical Radiological Contrast Media; Comparison Analysis of Barium Sulfate Iodine Shielding ability by Monte Carlo Simulation (의료방사선 조영제를 이용한 차폐체 개발; 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 통한 황산바륨과 요오드의 차폐능 비교분석)

  • Kim, Seon-Chil
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.329-334
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to estimating the possibility of manufacturing radiation shielding sheet by searching for environmentally friendly materials suitable for medical environment of medical radiation shielding. There are many tungsten products which are currently used as shielding materials in place of lead, but there are small problems in the mass production of lightweight shielding sheets due to economical efficiency. To solve these problems, a lightweight, environmentally friendly material with economical efficiency is required. In this study, Barium sulphate and Iodine were proposed. Both materials are already used as contrast medias in radiography, and it is predicted that the shielding effect will be sufficient in a certain region as a shielding material because of the characteristic of absorbing radiation. Therefore, in this study, we used a Monte Carlo simulation to simulate radiation shielding materials. When it is a contrast agent such as Barium sulfate and Iodine, the radiation absorption effect in the high energy region appears greatly, and the effectiveness of the two shielding substance in the energy region of the star with thickness of 120 kVp is also evaluated in the medical radiation imaging region. Simulated estimation results it was possible to estimate the effectiveness of shielding for all two substances. Iodine has higher shielding effect than barium sulfate, 0.05 mm thick appears great effect. Therefore, the Monte Carlo simulation confirms that iodine, which is a radiological contrast agent, is also usable as barium sulfate in the production of radiation shielding sheets.

Microwave Breakdown and High-Power Handling Capability of Circular Waveguide Cavity Filter (원통형 도파관 캐비티 필터의 마이크로파 방전과 고전력 취급 능력)

  • Lee, Sun-Ik;Kim, Joong-Pyo;Lim, Won-Gyu;Kim, Sang-Goo;Jang, Jin-Baek
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.80-85
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, a mircrowave breakdown of X-band circular waveguide cavity filter, which occurred during ground test, was introduced, and electro-magnetic field simulation results to identify a root cause, and the analysis of possibility of its occurrence on orbit operation were presented. Filter modeling for simulation was conducted with a commercial tool (FEST3D), and electric fields inside the filter were monitored at the input of 1 W continuous wave. In our observation, strong electric field intensities were monitored on the tuning screws especially at the input of band-edge frequencies. The threshold power levels for the breakdown were also estimated and compared with the input power levels actually injected to the filter. From this estimation, we could figure out that the power exceeding the breakdown threshold was injected to the filter so that strong electric fields were generated and temperature increased high, and this became a root cause of the electrical short. Our further analysis showed that this kind of microwave breakdown is not likely to occur on orbit operation, and multipactor is expected not to occur at the input of band-edge frequencies. As a measure to prevent the microwave breakdown, we suggested to avoid the injection of band-edge frequencies and inject lower power levels to the filter.

Experimental Study for Estimation of Air Heating Performance and Improvement of Thermal Performance of Hybrid Solar Air-water Heater (태양열 공기-물 가열기의 공기 가열 성능 평가 및 열적 성능 개선을 위한 실험적 연구)

  • Choi, Hwi-Ung;Kim, Young-Bok;Yoon, Jung-In;Son, Chang-Hyo;Choi, Kwang-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2017
  • Solar energy is one of the important renewable energy resources. It can be used for air heating, hot water supply, heat source of desiccant cooling system and so on. And many researches for enhancing efficiency have been conducted because of these various uses of solar thermal energy. This study was performed to investigate the air heating performance of hybrid solar air-water heater that can heat air and liquid respectively or simultaneously and finding method for improving thermal performance of this collector. This collector has both liquid pipe and air channel different with the traditional solar water and air heater. Fins were installed in the air channel for enhancing the air heating performance of collector. Also air inlet & outlet temperature, ambient temperature and solar collector's inner part temperature were confirmed with different air velocity on similar solar irradiance. As a result, temperature of heated air was shown about $43^{\circ}C$ to $60^{\circ}C$ on the $30^{\circ}C$ of ambient temperature and thermal efficiency of solar collector was shown 28% to 73% with respect to air velocity. Also, possibility of improvement of thermal performance of this collector could be ascertained from the heat transfer coefficient calculated from this experiment. Thus, it is considered that the research for finding optimal structure of hybrid solar air-water heater for enhancing thermal performance might be needed to conduct as further study based on the method for improving air heating performance confirmed in this study.

Analysis of Repeated Measurement Problem in SP data (SP 데이터의 Repeated Measurement Problem 분석)

  • CHO, Hye-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 2002
  • One of the advantages of SP methods is the possibility of getting a number of responses from each respondent. However, when the repeated observations from each respondent are analysed by applying the simple modeling method, a potential problem is created because of upbiased significance due to the repeated observation from each respondent. This study uses a variety of approaches to explore this issue and to test the robustness of the simple model estimates. Among several different approaches, the Jackknife method and Kocurs method were applied. The Jackknife method was implemented using a program JACKKNIFE. The model estimate results of Jackknife method and Kocurs method were compared with those of the uncorrected estimates in order to test whether there was repeated measurement problem or not and the extent to which this problem affected the model estimates. The standard errors between the uncorrected model estimates and Jackknife estimates were also compared. The results reveals that the t-ratios of Kocurs are much lower than those of the uncorrected method and Jackknife estimates, indicating that Kocurs method underestimates the significance of the coefficients. Jackknife method produced the almost same coefficients as those of the uncorrected model but the lower t-ratios. These results indicate that the coefficients of the uncorrected method are accurate but that their significance are somewhat overestimated. In this study. 1 concluded that the repeated measurement Problem did exist in our data, but that it did not affect the model estimation results significantly. It is recommended that such a test should become a standard procedure. If it turns out that the analysis based on the simple uncorrected method are influenced by the repeated measurement problem. it should be corrected.

A STUDY ON THE ERRORS UN THE CEPHALOMETRIC MEASUREMENTS (두부방사선사진의 계측오류에 관한 연구)

  • Na, Kwang-Cheon;Yoon, Young-Jooh;Kim, Kwang-Won
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.28 no.1 s.66
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 1998
  • This study was done to recognize the importance of errors in measurements of cephalometric radiograph and to find the anatomical structures those need special care to select as a reference points through the detection of the systematic errors and estimation of random errors. For this purose, 100 cephalometric radiographs were prepared by usual manner and 61 reference points, and 130 measurement variables were established. Measurement errors were detected and estimated by the comparison of the 25 randomly-selected samples for repeated measurements with the main sample. The following results were obtained : 1. In comparison of the repeated measurements, there were statistical significant differences in 24 variables which were 18.4% of 130 total variables. 2. The frequency of the difference in identification of the reference points between the repeated measurements was very high in the root apex of upper incisor(as), the most posterior wall of maxilla(tu), soft tissue nasion(n'), soft tissue frontal eminence(ft), and ad3 in airway. 3. After correction of reference points marking until the level of below 5% significance, the range of random errors were from 0.67 to 1.71 degree or mm. 4. The variable shown the largest random error was the interincisal angle(ILs-ILi). 5. Measurement errors were mainly caused by the lack of precision in anatomic definitions and obscure radiographic image. From the above results, the author could find the high possibility of errors in cephalometric measurements and from this point, we should include error analysis in all the studies concerning measurments. In is essential to have a concept of error analysis not only for the investigator but also for a reader of other articles.

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High Resolution Ocean Color Products Estimation in Fjord of Svalbard, Arctic Sea using Landsat-8 OLI (Landsat-8 OLI를 이용한 북극해 스발바드 피요르드의 고해상도 Ocean Color Product 산출)

  • Kim, Sang-Il;Kim, Hyun-Cheol;Hyun, Chang-Uk
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.809-816
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    • 2014
  • Ocean Color products have been used to understand marine ecosystem. In high latitude region, ice melting optically influences the ocean color products. In this study, we assessed optical properties in fjord around Svalbard Arctic sea, and estimated distribution of chlorophyll-a and suspended sediment by using high resolution satellite data, Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager (OLI). To estimate chlorophyll-a and suspended sediment concentrations, various regression models were tested with different band ratio. The regression models were not shown high correlation because of temporal difference between satellite data and in-situ data. However, model-derived distribution of ocean color products from OLI showed a possibility that fjord and coastal areas around Arctic Sea can be monitored with high resolution satellite data. To understand climate change pattern around Arctic Sea, we need to understand ice meting influences on marine ecosystem change. Results of this study will be used to high resolution monitoring of ice melting and its influences on the marine ecosystem change at high latitude. KOPRI (Korea Polar Research Institute) has been operated the Dasan station on Svalbard since 2002, and study was conducted using Arctic station.

Estimation of Water Purification Ability with Applying Porous Concrete to Weir and Riverbed Materials (다공성 콘크리트의 보 및 하상재료 적용에 따른 하천 수질정화 능력 평가)

  • Choi, I-Song;Kim, Jin-Hong;Choi, Gye-Woon;Oh, Jong-Min
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.1013-1023
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    • 2003
  • This study was performed to improve water quality of stream by applying hydraulic structures (weir and river bed material) made of porous concrete. The physical and chemical characteristics of porous concrete were measured to estimate application possibility of it in hydraulic structures and it was considered as a proper material for the hydraulic structures. In the results of comparison for the component of matters attached on the hydraulic structures made of porous and ordinary concrete, DW (dry weight) amount attached on porous concrete was 1.6 times higher than that on ordinary concrete under the condition of the same flow rate but influence by flow rate (difference of 10 times) was not shown. Therefore, we could understand that the material of media was more important in DW amount than flow rate. The rate of AFDM (ash free dry mass) to DW also was more at porous concrete than at ordinary concrete. Especially, the high rates of nitrogen and phosphorous in matters attached on porous concrete verify that they were removed by assimilation, adsorption and metabolism of periphyton. The removal percentage of SS, BOD, COD, T-N and T-P by hydraulic structures applying porous concrete compared with ordinary concrete was increased by 34.6%, 36.9%, 33.9%, 18.3% and 21.6%, respectively. Therefore, applying porous concrete to hydraulic structure is expected to contribute to improvement of stream water quality.

Study of the Lower Duration Curve Characteristic by Reservoir and Weir Couple-operating System in Geum River Basin (금강수계 댐과 보의 운영에 의한 하류 유황특성 연구)

  • Ahn, Jung-Min;Cha, Kee-Uk;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Lyu, Si-Wan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.285-293
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    • 2011
  • This study presents effects of downstream control point by coupled operation of dams and multi function weirs in the Geum River. Geum river basin that study area did authoritativeness high quality data to acquisition possibility. We applied the flow duration curve, flow regime coefficient, impounded flow index analysis to investigate the quantitative changes in natural flow regimes. In sphere that water supply is possible, this study applied believability that satisfy 95% at estimation year. Impounded flow index was calculated 0.292 by dam coupled operation and 0.297 by dam-weir coupled operation. The results indicate that the storage amount is increased by 29.7% as being added. Duration flow of downstream control point was improved because became coupled operation by regulation of dam and weir in the geum river.

Occurrence and Estimation Using Monte-Carlo Simulation of Aflatoxin $M_1$in Domestic Cow’s Milk and Milk Products (국내산 우유 및 유제품에서의 Aflatoxin $M_1$오염수준 및 Monte-Carlo Simulation을 이용한 발생 추정)

  • 박경진;이미영;노우섭;천석조;심추창;김창남;신은하;손동화
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.200-205
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    • 2001
  • In this study, occurrence of aflatoxin M$_1$(AEM$_1$) in domestic milk and milk products was determined. The level of AFM$_1$ in market milk (0.047 ppb) was lower than that in raw milk (0.083 pub) but this looks like that is due to dilution in collecting process rather than the effect of sterilization. In the case of nonfat dry milk, level of AFM$_1$appeared high by 0.24 ppb but it is thought to be not different from market milk actually because nonfat dry milk is diluted at intake. In the case of ice cream, finished products were contaminated with AFM$_1$of 0.020 ppd and also have the possibility of the contamination of AFB$_1$due to secondary raw material such as nuts and almond. On the basis of the results of this study and previous studies, Monte-Carlo simulation is conducted to estimate the contamination level of AFM$_1$in domestic market milk. To consider uncertainty and variability fitting procedure was passed through. And we used beta distribution to estimate the prevalence and triangular distribution to estimate the concentration level of AFM$_1$in milk. As a result, the 5%, 50% and 95% points of the distribution of the probability of AFM$_1$contamination level in milk is 0.0214, 0.0946 and 0.1888 ppb, respectively. Also we estimate that AFM$_1$in almost milk was low more than 0.5 ppb that is American acceptable level but 80.4% exceeded far 0.05 ppb that is European standard.

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