• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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• 제37권3호
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• pp.177-183
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• 2012

Purpose: In near infrared spectroscopy, interactance configuration of a light source and a spectrometer probe can provide more information regarding fruit internal attributes, compared to reflectance and transmittance configuration. However, there is no through study on the parameters of interactance measurement setup. The objective of this study was to investigate the effect of the parameters on the estimation of soluble solids content (SSC) and firmness of muskmelons. Methods: Melon samples were taken from greenhouses at three different harvesting seasons. The prediction models were developed at three distances of 2, 5, and 8 cm between the light source and the spectrometer probe, three measurement points of 2, 3, and 6 evenly distributed on each sample, and different number of fruit samples for calibration models. The performance of the models was compared. Results: In the test at the three distances, the best results were found at a 5 cm distance. The coefficient of determination ($R_{cv}{^2}$) values of the cross-validation were 0.717 (standard error of prediction, SEP=$1.16^{\circ}Brix$) and 0.504 (SEP=4.31 N) for the estimation of SSC and firmness, respectively. The minimum measurement point required to fully represent the spectral characteristics of each fruit sample was 3. The highest $R_{cv}{^2}$ values were 0.736 (SEP=$0.87^{\circ}Brix$) and 0.644 (SEP=4.16 N) for the estimation of SSC and firmness, respectively. The performance of the models began to be saturated when 60 fruit samples were used for developing calibration models. The highest $R_{cv}{^2}$ of 0.713 (SEP=$0.88^{\circ}Brix$) and 0.750 (SEP=3.30 N) for the estimation of SSC and firmness, respectively, were achieved. Conclusions: The performance of the prediction models was quite different according to the condition of interactance measurement setup. In designing a fruit grading machine with interactance configuration, the parameters for interactance measurement setup should be chosen carefully.

• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.302-314
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• 2024

연구목적: 본 연구는 지하공동구 내 다수 작업자의 낙상을 자동으로 판별하기 위한 Top-down 방식의 딥러닝 자세 추정 모델 기반 낙상 검출 모델을 제안하고, 제안 모델의 성능을 평가한다. 연구방법: Top-down 방식의 자세 추정모델 중 하나인 YOLOv8-pose로부터 추론된 결과와 낙상 판별 규칙을 결합한 모델을 제시하고, 지하공동구 내 2인 이하 작업자가 출현한 기립 및 낙상 이미지에 대해 모델 성능지표를 평가하였다. 또한 동일한 방법으로 Bottom-up 방식 자세추정모델(OpenPose)을 적용한 결과를 함께 분석하였다. 두 모델의 낙상 검출 결과는 각 딥러닝 모델의 작업자 인식 성능에 의존적이므로, 작업자 쓰러짐과 함께 작업자 존재 여부에 대한 성능지표도 함께 조사하였다. 연구결과: YOLOv8-pose와 OpenPose의 모델의 작업자 인식 성능은 F1-score 기준으로 각각 0.88, 0.71로 두 모델이 유사한 수준이었으나, 낙상 규칙을 적용함에 따라 0.71, 0.23로 저하되었다. 작업자의 신체 일부만 검출되거나 작업자간 구분을 실패하여, OpenPose 기반 낙상 추론 모델의 성능 저하를 야기한 것으로 분석된다. 결론: Top-down 방식의 딥러닝 자세 추정 모델을 사용하는 것이 신체 관절점 인식 및 개별 작업자 구분 측면에서 지하공동구 내 작업자 낙상 검출에 효과적이라 판단된다.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.357-368
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• 2014

Since its birth in 1993, fuzzy time series have seen different classes of models designed and applied, such as fuzzy logic relation and rule-based models. These models have both advantages and disadvantages. The major drawbacks with these two classes of models are the difficulties encountered in identification and analysis of the model. Therefore, there is a strong need to explore new alternatives and this is the objective of this paper. By transforming a fuzzy number to a real number via integrating the inverse of the membership function, new autoregressive models can be developed to fit the observation values of a fuzzy time series. With the new models, the issues of model identification and parameter estimation can be addressed; and trends, seasonalities and multivariate fuzzy time series could also be modeled with ease. In addition, asymptotic behaviors of fuzzy time series can be inspected by means of characteristic equations.

• 정보처리학회논문지D
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• 제11D권7호
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• pp.1491-1498
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• 2004

성공적인 프로젝트 계획은 활용 가능한 일정과 더불어 프로젝트를 완수하는데 요구되는 인력을 얼마나 정확히 추정하느냐에 달려있다. 새로운 또는 보다 나은 모델 개발에 많은 연구가 이루어졌지만 현존하는 소프트웨어 인력 추정 모델들은 소프트웨어 생명주기 전반에 걸쳐 투입되는 총 개발인력 또는 시간에 따른 단위시간당 개발인력 분포만을 제공하고 있다. 본 논문은 시간의 함수가 아닌 발견된 결함 수에 따라 시험단계에 투입되는 인력과 시험단계의 시험과정과 디버깅과정에 투입되는 인력을 추정하는 모델들을 제시하였다. 시험과 디버깅 과정에서 발견되는 결함에 기반한 투입 인력의 다항식 모델을 제안한다. 제안된 모델들은 5종의 다른 소프트웨어 프로젝트들에 적용되어 결정계수와 MMRE를 통해 모델의 적합성을 검증하였다.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제33권4호
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• pp.21-29
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• 2018

In many companies handling flammable liquids, explosion-proof electrical equipment have been installed according to the Korean Industrial Standards (KS C IEC 60079-10-1). In these standards, hazardous area for explosive gas atmospheres has to be classified by the evaluation of the evaporation rate of flammable liquid leakage. The evaporation rate is an important factor to determine the zones classification and hazardous area distance. However, there is no systematic method or rule for the estimation of evaporation rate in these standards and the first principle equations of a evaporation rate are very difficult. Thus, it is really hard for industrial workplaces to employ these equations. Thus, this problem can trigger inaccurate results for evaluating evaporation range. In this study, empirical models for estimating an evaporation rate of flammable liquid have been developed to tackle this problem. Throughout the sensitivity analysis of the first principle equations, it can be found that main factors for the evaporation rate are wind speed and temperature and empirical models have to be nonlinear. Polynomial regression is employed to build empirical models. Methanol, benzene, para-xylene and toluene are selected as case studies to verify the accuracy of empirical models.

• Advances in Energy Research
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.131-143
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• 2019

Global Solar Radiation (GSR) is the key element for performance estimation of any Solar Power Plant (SPP). Its forecasting may help in estimation of power production from a SPP well in advance, and may also render help in optimal use of this power. Seasonal Auto-Regressive Moving Average (SARMA) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models are combined in order to develop a hybrid model (SARMA-ANN) conceiving the characteristics of both linear and non-linear prediction models. This developed model has been used for prediction of GSR at Gorakhpur, situated in the northern region of India. The proposed model is beneficial for the univariate forecasting. Along with this model, we have also used Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA), SARMA, ANN based models for 1 - 6 day-ahead forecasting of GSR on hourly basis. It has been found that the proposed model presents least RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and produces best forecasting results among all the models considered in the present study. As an application, the comparison between the forecasted one and the energy produced by the grid connected PV plant installed on the parking stands of the University shows the superiority of the proposed model.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제45권4호
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• pp.859-870
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• 2018

Dried red peppers are a staple agricultural product used in Korean cuisine and as such, are an important aspect of agricultural producers' income. Correctly forecasting both their supply and demand situations and price is very important in terms of the producers' income and consumer price stability. The primary objective of this study was to compare the performance of time series forecasting models for dried red peppers in Korea. In this study, three models (an autoregressive model with exogenous variables [ARX], AR-exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity [EGARCH], and ARX-EGARCH) are presented for forecasting the wholesale price of dried red peppers. As a result of the analysis, it was shown that the ARX model and ARX-EGARCH model, each of which adopt both the rolling window and the adding approach and use the agricultural cooperatives price as the exogenous variable, showed a better forecasting performance compared to the autoregressive model (AR)-EGARCH model. Based on the estimation methods and results, there was no significant difference in the accuracy of the estimation between the rolling window and adding approach. In the case of dried red peppers, there is limitation in building the price forecasting models with a market-structured approach. In this regard, estimating a forecasting model using only price data and identifying the forecast performance can be expected to complement the current pricing forecast model which relies on market shipments.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제40권4호
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• pp.179-194
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• 2024

Biophysicochemical processes in water environments and treatment systems have been great concerns of engineers and scientists for controlling the fate and transport of contaminants. These processes are practically formulated as mathematical models written in coupled differential equations. However, because these process-based mathematical models consist of a large number of model parameters, they are complicated in analytical or numerical computation. Users need to perform substantial trials and errors to achieve the best-fit simulation to measurements, relying on arbitrary selection of fitting parameters. Therefore, this study adopted a Bayesian calibration method to estimate best-fit model parameters in a systematic way and evaluated the applicability of the calibration method to biophysicochemical processes of water environments and treatment systems. The Bayesian calibration method was applied to the microbial growth-decay kinetics and flocculation kinetics, of which experimental data were obtained with batch kinetic experiments. The Bayesian calibration method was proven to be a reasonable, effective way for best-fit parameter estimation, demonstrating not only high-quality fitness, but also sensitivity of each parameter and correlation between different parameters. This state-of-the-art method will eventually help scientists and engineers to use complex process-based mathematical models consisting of various biophysicochemical processes.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
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• pp.1278-1282
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• 2003

A new interacting multiple model (IMM) method using intelligent input estimation (IIE) is proposed to track a maneuvering target. In the proposed method, the acceleration level for each sub-model is determined by IIE-the estimation of the unknown acceleration input by a fuzzy system using the relation between maneuvering filter residual and non-maneuvering one. The genetic algorithm (GA) is utilized to optimize a fuzzy system for a sub-model within a fixed range of acceleration input. Then, multiple models are composed of these fuzzy systems, which are optimized for different ranges of acceleration input. In computer simulation for an incoming ballistic missile, the tracking performance of the proposed method is compared with those of the input estimation (IE) technique and the adaptive interacting multiple model (AIMM) method.

• 한국IT서비스학회지
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.43-70
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• 2009

As software development and maintenance cost increase quickly, information systems managers are more concerned about how to effectively manage software cost. To estimate the software development cost, most public institutes of Korea use the software cost estimation standard established by the government. Unfortunately, the accuracy of the estimation derived from the standard has not been satisfactory in spite of repetitive modifications made to improve it. One of the major reasons for the inaccuracy is that the standard has too small a number of cost adjustment factors to reflect the various characteristics of a software development project. To remedy this problem, we propose new cost adjustment factors which can be incorporated into the standard and are important to enhance the estimation accuracy, based on the analysis of several well-known software estimation models. Furthermore, by applying the proposed model to real world software projects, we show that the proposed model can produce more accurate estimates than the current standard.