• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimation Methods

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미소한 신뢰도 감소율을 가지는 원샷 시스템의 가부반응 데이터를 이용한 저장 신뢰도 추정방법 개발 (Development of a Storage-Reliability Estimation Method Using Quantal Response Data for One-Shot Systems with Low Reliability-Decreasing Rates)

  • 장현정;손영갑
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제35권10호
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    • pp.1291-1298
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문은 탄약, 미사일, 우주발사체 등과 같은 일회성(one-shot) 시스템의 가부반응데이터를 이용하여 신뢰도를 추정하는 새로운 방법을 제안한다. 제안한 방법은 모수 추정법을 기반으로 한다. 제안한 방법은 가부반응 데이터의 시간에 따른 고장 비율 감소를 고려하였으며 모수 추정법의 문제점을 극복할 수 있다. 기존 문헌에 공개된 7 가지 추정방법들과 제안한 방법과의 정확성을 비교하여 제안한 방법을 검증하였다. 정확성 비교 시, 다양한 샘플 수 변화를 고려하여 신뢰도 추정결과에 대한 SSE를 이용하였다. 정확성 비교 결과, 제안한 방법은 다른 방법에 비해 정확성이 높은 신뢰도 추정결과를 제공하였다.

Bayesian Estimation of Multinomial and Poisson Parameters Under Starshaped Restriction

  • Oh, Myong-Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 1997
  • Bayesian estimation of multinomial and Poisson parameters under starshped restriction is considered. Most Bayesian estimations in order restricted statistical inference require the high-dimensional integration which is very difficult to evaluate. Monte Carlo integration and Gibbs sampling are among alternative methods. The Bayesian estimation considered in this paper requires only evaluation of incomplete beta functions which are extensively tabulated.

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A Review on Nonparametric Density Estimation Using Wavelet Methods

  • Sungho;Hwa Rak
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.129-140
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    • 2000
  • Wavelets constitute a new orthogonal system which has direct application in density estimation. We introduce a brief wavelet density estimation and summarize some asymptotic results. An application to mixture normal distributions is implemented with S-Plus.

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IMU 기반 자세 추정 칼만필터에서 공분산 모델링이 추정 정확도에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Covariance Modeling on Estimation Accuracy in an IMU-based Attitude Estimation Kalman Filter)

  • 최지석;이정근
    • 센서학회지
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.440-446
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    • 2020
  • A well-known difficulty in attitude estimation based on inertial measurement unit (IMU) signals is the occurrence of external acceleration under dynamic motion conditions, as the acceleration significantly degrades the estimation accuracy. Lee et al. (2012) designed a Kalman filter (KF) that could effectively deal with the acceleration issue. Ahmed and Tahir (2017) modified this method by adjusting the acceleration-related covariance matrix because they considered covariance modeling as a pivotal factor in the estimation accuracy. This study investigates the effects of covariance modeling on estimation accuracy in an IMU-based attitude estimation KF. The method proposed by Ahmed and Tahir can be divided into two: one uses the covariance including only diagonal components and the other uses the covariance including both diagonal and off-diagonal components. This paper compares these three methods with respect to the motion condition and the window size, which is required for the methods by Ahmed and Tahir. Experimental results showed that the method proposed by Lee et al. performed the best among the three methods under relatively slow motion conditions, whereas the modified method using the diagonal covariance with a high window size performed the best under relatively fast motion conditions.

소지역 추정법에 관한 비교연구 (A Comparative Study of Small Area Estimation Methods)

  • 박종태;이상은
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2001
  • 직접(direct) 추정법, 합성(synthetic) 추정법, 복합(composite) 추정법, 베이즈(Bayes) 추정법 등 소지역 추정법들의 효율성을 비교, 분석하고자 '98 경제활동 인구조사에서 경기도의 실제 자료를 이용하여 각 시부지역의 실업자수 추정값의 편의(bias)와 평균제곱 오차(MSE)를 모의실험을 통해 계산하였다.

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The shifted Chebyshev series-based plug-in for bandwidth selection in kernel density estimation

  • Soratja Klaichim;Juthaphorn Sinsomboonthong;Thidaporn Supapakorn
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.337-347
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    • 2024
  • Kernel density estimation is a prevalent technique employed for nonparametric density estimation, enabling direct estimation from the data itself. This estimation involves two crucial elements: selection of the kernel function and the determination of the appropriate bandwidth. The selection of the bandwidth plays an important role in kernel density estimation, which has been developed over the past decade. A range of methods is available for selecting the bandwidth, including the plug-in bandwidth. In this article, the proposed plug-in bandwidth is introduced, which leverages shifted Chebyshev series-based approximation to determine the optimal bandwidth. Through a simulation study, the performance of the suggested bandwidth is analyzed to reveal its favorable performance across a wide range of distributions and sample sizes compared to alternative bandwidths. The proposed bandwidth is also applied for kernel density estimation on real dataset. The outcomes obtained from the proposed bandwidth indicate a favorable selection. Hence, this article serves as motivation to explore additional plug-in bandwidths that rely on function approximations utilizing alternative series expansions.

Terrain Slope Estimation Methods Using the Least Squares Approach for Terrain Referenced Navigation

  • Mok, Sung-Hoon;Bang, Hyochoong
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.85-90
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents a study on terrain referenced navigation (TRN). The extended Kalman filter (EKF) is adopted as a filter method. A Jacobian matrix of measurement equations in the EKF consists of terrain slope terms, and accurate slope estimation is essential to keep filter stability. Two slope estimation methods are proposed in this study. Both methods are based on the least-squares approach. One is planar regression searching the best plane, in the least-squares sense, representing the terrain map over the region, determined by position error covariance. It is shown that the method could provide a more accurate solution than the previously developed linear regression approach, which uses lines rather than a plane in the least-squares measure. The other proposed method is weighted planar regression. Additional weights formed by Gaussian pdf are multiplied in the planar regression, to reflect the actual pdf of the position estimate of EKF. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted, to compare the performance between the previous and two proposed methods, by analyzing the filter properties of divergence probability and convergence speed. It is expected that one of the slope estimation methods could be implemented, after determining which of the filter properties is more significant at each mission.

A data-adaptive maximum penalized likelihood estimation for the generalized extreme value distribution

  • Lee, Youngsaeng;Shin, Yonggwan;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.493-505
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    • 2017
  • Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) is known to sometimes over-estimate the positive value of the shape parameter for the small sample size. The maximum penalized likelihood estimation (MPLE) with Beta penalty function was proposed by some researchers to overcome this problem. But the determination of the hyperparameters (HP) in Beta penalty function is still an issue. This paper presents some data adaptive methods to select the HP of Beta penalty function in the MPLE framework. The idea is to let the data tell us what HP to use. For given data, the optimal HP is obtained from the minimum distance between the MLE and MPLE. A bootstrap-based method is also proposed. These methods are compared with existing approaches. The performance evaluation experiments for GEVD by Monte Carlo simulation show that the proposed methods work well for bias and mean squared error. The methods are applied to Blackstone river data and Korean heavy rainfall data to show better performance over MLE, the method of L-moments estimator, and existing MPLEs.

Exploring modern machine learning methods to improve causal-effect estimation

  • Kim, Yeji;Choi, Taehwa;Choi, Sangbum
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.177-191
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    • 2022
  • This paper addresses the use of machine learning methods for causal estimation of treatment effects from observational data. Even though conducting randomized experimental trials is a gold standard to reveal potential causal relationships, observational study is another rich source for investigation of exposure effects, for example, in the research of comparative effectiveness and safety of treatments, where the causal effect can be identified if covariates contain all confounding variables. In this context, statistical regression models for the expected outcome and the probability of treatment are often imposed, which can be combined in a clever way to yield more efficient and robust causal estimators. Recently, targeted maximum likelihood estimation and causal random forest is proposed and extensively studied for the use of data-adaptive regression in estimation of causal inference parameters. Machine learning methods are a natural choice in these settings to improve the quality of the final estimate of the treatment effect. We explore how we can adapt the design and training of several machine learning algorithms for causal inference and study their finite-sample performance through simulation experiments under various scenarios. Application to the percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) data shows that these adaptations can improve simple linear regression-based methods.