• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimation Equation

검색결과 1,855건 처리시간 0.033초

강우강도를 고려한 도달시간 산정식 (The Time of Concentration Considering the Rainfall Intensity)

  • 유동훈;김종희;이민호;이상호
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제44권7호
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    • pp.591-599
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    • 2011
  • 도달시간 산정식에서 강우강도는 고려되어야 할 매우 중요한 요소이지만 일반적으로 강우강도식의 복잡함 때문에 도달시간 산정에서 강우강도를 충분히 고려하지 못하고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 도달시간 계산의 정확성을 높이기 위하여 강우강도와 재현기간을 도달시간 산정식의 유도에 포함시켰다. 강우강도식으로는 Sherman형 식을 사용하였고, 건설교통부에서 발행한 확률강우량도에서 독취한 강우강도 값으로 수식의 지역상수를 추정하였다. 그리고 확률강우량을 간결하게 계산하기 위하여 Sherman형 식의 지역상수를 등치선도로 나타냈다. 기존의 연구에서는 일반형 강우강도식을 대입하여 반복계산으로 도달시간을 산정하였지만, 본 연구에서는 Sherman형 강우강도식을 도달시간 수식에 대입함으로써 반복계산이 필요 없는 간단한 도달시간 식이 유도되었다. 연구 결과로부터, 도달시간 계산에 강우강도의 영향을 반영하기 위하여 Sherman형 식의 사용을 추천한다. 그리고 재현기간과 우리나라에서 위치가 정해지면, 강우강도식의 지역상수를 간편하게 추정할 수 있고, 강우강도가 고려된 도달시간을 계산할 수 있다.

다중회귀분석에 의한 하천 월 유출량의 추계학적 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Stochastic Estimation of Monthly Runoff by Multiple Regression Analysis)

  • 김태철;정하우
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 1980
  • Most hydro]ogic phenomena are the complex and organic products of multiple causations like climatic and hydro-geological factors. A certain significant correlation on the run-off in river basin would be expected and foreseen in advance, and the effect of each these causual and associated factors (independant variables; present-month rainfall, previous-month run-off, evapotranspiration and relative humidity etc.) upon present-month run-off(dependent variable) may be determined by multiple regression analysis. Functions between independant and dependant variables should be treated repeatedly until satisfactory and optimal combination of independant variables can be obtained. Reliability of the estimated function should be tested according to the result of statistical criterion such as analysis of variance, coefficient of determination and significance-test of regression coefficients before first estimated multiple regression model in historical sequence is determined. But some error between observed and estimated run-off is still there. The error arises because the model used is an inadequate description of the system and because the data constituting the record represent only a sample from a population of monthly discharge observation, so that estimates of model parameter will be subject to sampling errors. Since this error which is a deviation from multiple regression plane cannot be explained by first estimated multiple regression equation, it can be considered as a random error governed by law of chance in nature. This unexplained variance by multiple regression equation can be solved by stochastic approach, that is, random error can be stochastically simulated by multiplying random normal variate to standard error of estimate. Finally hybrid model on estimation of monthly run-off in nonhistorical sequence can be determined by combining the determistic component of multiple regression equation and the stochastic component of random errors. Monthly run-off in Naju station in Yong-San river basin is estimated by multiple regression model and hybrid model. And some comparisons between observed and estimated run-off and between multiple regression model and already-existing estimation methods such as Gajiyama formula, tank model and Thomas-Fiering model are done. The results are as follows. (1) The optimal function to estimate monthly run-off in historical sequence is multiple linear regression equation in overall-month unit, that is; Qn=0.788Pn+0.130Qn-1-0.273En-0.1 About 85% of total variance of monthly runoff can be explained by multiple linear regression equation and its coefficient of determination (R2) is 0.843. This means we can estimate monthly runoff in historical sequence highly significantly with short data of observation by above mentioned equation. (2) The optimal function to estimate monthly runoff in nonhistorical sequence is hybrid model combined with multiple linear regression equation in overall-month unit and stochastic component, that is; Qn=0. 788Pn+0. l30Qn-1-0. 273En-0. 10+Sy.t The rest 15% of unexplained variance of monthly runoff can be explained by addition of stochastic process and a bit more reliable results of statistical characteristics of monthly runoff in non-historical sequence are derived. This estimated monthly runoff in non-historical sequence shows up the extraordinary value (maximum, minimum value) which is not appeared in the observed runoff as a random component. (3) "Frequency best fit coefficient" (R2f) of multiple linear regression equation is 0.847 which is the same value as Gaijyama's one. This implies that multiple linear regression equation and Gajiyama formula are theoretically rather reasonable functions.

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염소이온투과시험을 이용한 콘크리트제품의 강도추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Strength Estimation Formular of the Precast Concrete Products Using the Chloride Ion Penetrating Test)

  • 장문기;이정재
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 1998년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.146-149
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    • 1998
  • In this study, the chloride ion penetration test and the compressive strength test should be done simultaneously on the standard cylinder specimen. And from analyzing the data from those tests, a strength estimation equation with high credibility is to be developed.

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소나무(강원지방·중부지방) 중량추정식 및 중량표 개발 (Development of Weight Estimation Equation and Weight Table in Pinus densiflora Stand (Kangwon and Centr al Distr icts))

  • 강진택;임종수;고치웅;성상민;손영모
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제111권4호
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    • pp.630-643
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 소나무의 생중량 및 건중량 추정식을 도출하고, 이를 이용하여 중량표를 작성하기 위해 수행되었다. 생중량 및 건중량을 산정하기 위해 이용한 식은 흉고직경만을 이용하는 1변수식, 흉고직경과 수고를 이용하는 2변수식을 적용하였다. 생중량 및 건중량을 산정하기 위해 각 식은 적합도 지수, 표준오차, 잔차도 등의 통계량을 이용하여 검증하였다. 또한 최적식은 통계적 검증을 거쳤으며, 도출된 계수로서 중량을 계산하여 적용성을 검토하였다. 분석결과, 1변수식에서는 W = bD+cD2이 선정되었으며, 2변수식에서는 때 W = aDbHc가 선정이 되었다. 1변수 최적추정식의 적합도지수는 0.87~0.92 범위였으며, 2변수 중량추정식 적합도지수는 0.94~0.98 범위로, 두 가지 식 모두 적합도가 높았다. 최적 추정식을 이용하여 새로운 중량표를 작성하고 이전 중량표와 비교 분석하였다. 분석결과, 강원지방소나무는 이전 중량표의 값이 더 높은 반면, 중부지방소나무는 새롭게 작성된 중량표의 값이 더 높았다.

NLRE 곡선을 이용한 주상 변압기 월간 사용전력량 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Monthly Electric Energy Estimation of Pole-Transformer Using NLRE Curve)

  • 임진순;윤상윤;김재철
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부 A
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    • pp.58-60
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    • 2000
  • In this paper we present an estimation method of electric energy[kWh] for load management of pole-transformer. For the electric energy estimation, we use the nonlinear load research based estimation(NLRE) algorithm. The NLRE curve is the normalized annual cumulative energy consumption for a particular day in a year. And, it is used for the coefficient estimation. Estimation method of suggested electric energy of pole-transformer used billing cycle electric energy estimation equation is verified as comparison billing cycle electric energy and estimated electric energy. We can reduce the error of peak load estimation by suggested method than the conventional method in domestic.

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A Generalized Calorie Estimation Algorithm Using 3-Axis Accelerometer

  • Choi, Jee-Hyun;Lee, Jeong-Whan;Shin, Kun-Soo
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.301-309
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    • 2006
  • The main purpose of this study is to derive a regression equation that predicts the individual differences in activity energy expenditure (AEE) using accelerometer during different types of activity. Two subject groups were recruited separately in time: One is a homogeneous group of 94 healthy young adults with age ranged from $20\sim35$ yrs. The other subject group has a broad spectrum of physical characteristics in terms of age and fat ratio. 226 adolescents and adults of age ranged from $12\sim57$ yrs and fat ratio from $4.1\sim39.7%$ were in the second group. The wireless 3-axis accelerometers were developed and carefully fixed at the waist belt level. Simultaneously the total calorie expenditure was measured by gas analyzer. Each subject performed walking and running at speeds of 1.5, 3.0, 4.5, 6.0, 6.5, 7.5, and 8.5 km/hr. A generalized sensor-independent regression equation for AEE was derived. The regression equation was developed fur walking and running. The regression coefficients were predicted as functions of physical factors-age, gender, height, and weight with multivariable regression analysis. The generalized calorie estimation equation predicts AEE with correlation coefficient of 0.96 and the average accuracy of the accumulated calorie was $89.6{\pm}7.9%$.

궤도결정을 위한 비선형 필터 (Nonlinear Filter for Orbit Determination)

  • 윤장호
    • 항공우주시스템공학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2016
  • Orbit determination problems have been interest of many researchers for long time. Due to the high nonlinearity of the equation of motion and the measurement model, it is necessary to linearize the both equations. To avoid linearization, the filter based on Fokker-Planck equation is designed. with the extended Kalman filter update mechanism, in which the associated Fokker-Planck equation was solved efficiently and accurately via discrete quadrature and the measurement update was done through the extended Kalman filter update mechanism. This filter based on the DQMOM and the EKF update is applied to the orbit determination problem with appropriate modification to mitigate the filter smugness. Unlike the extended Kalman filter, the hybrid filter based on the DQMOM and the EKF update does not require the burdensome evaluation of the Jacobian matrix and Gaussian assumption for the system, and can still provide more accurate estimations of the state than those of the extended Kalman filter especially when measurements are sparse. Simulation results indicate that the advantages of the hybrid filter based on the DQMOM and the EKF update make it a promising alternative to the extended Kalman filter for orbit estimation problems.

저진동 파일시공법에 따른 지반진동 응답 예측을 위한 실험적 연구 (Experimental Study for Prediction of Ground Vibration Responses by the Low-vibration Pile Driving Methods)

  • 강성후;정석규;박선준
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.299-306
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    • 2011
  • This study investigated the SIP-method as a low-vibration, low-noise engineering method. The ground vibrations caused by the SIP-method were measured and analyzed in each step. From the analysis results, quantitative ground vibration values and reliable vibration estimation equations were proposed. Furthermore, the ground vibrations caused by the SIP-method were compared with the ground vibrations caused by other methods presented by existing studies. Based on the vibration estimation equation with 50 % reliability, the ground vibration values by the SIP-method at the distance of 10~150 m corresponded to 17~57 % of the ground vibration values by the equation proposed by Attewell & Famer, and 14~96 % of the ground vibration values by the equation proposed by Prof. Park in his study using a diesel drop hammer. These results showed that the ground vibration reduction effect of the SIP-method was higher those of other general engineering methods. Finally, the permissible scope of work using the SIP-method which meets the domestic vibration standards was presented.

공동주택의 건물외부조건과 에너지비용과의 관계분석 (Relation between the Building Exterior Conditions and Energy Costs in the Running period of the Apartment Housing)

  • 이강희;류승훈;이은택
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2009
  • The energy cost is resulted from the energy use. Its sources are divided into some types and depended on the building use or energy-use type. The energy cost should be affected by the amount of the energy use. The cost could be calculated to consider various factors such as the insulation, heating type, building shape and others. But it can not consider all of the affect factors to the energy cost and need to categorize the factors to the condition for estimating the cost. In this paper, it aimed at providing the estimation model in linear equation and multiple linear regression, utilizing the building exterior condition and management characteristics in apartment housing. Its survey are conducted in two parts of management characteristics and building exterior condition. The correlation analysis is conducted to get rid of the multicolinearity among the inputted factors. The number of linear equation model is 11 and includes the 1st, 2nd and 3rd equation function, power function and others. Among these, it suggested the 2nd and 3rd function and power function in terms of the statistics. In multiple linear regression model, the building volume and management area are inputted to the estimation.

Defects Length Measurement using an Estimation Algorithm of the Camera Orientation and an Inclination Angle of a Laser Slit Beam

  • Kim, Young-Hwan;Yoon, Ji-Sup;Kang, E-Sok
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2004년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.1452-1457
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, a method of measuring the length of defects on the wall and restructuring the defect image is proposed based on the estimation algorithm of a camera orientation which uses the declination angle of a laser slit beam. The estimation algorithm of the horizontally inclined angle of CCD camera adopts a 3-dimensional coordinate transformation of the image plane where both the laser beam and the original image of the defects exist. The estimation equation is obtained by using the information of the beam projected on the wall and the parameters of this equation are experimentally obtained. With this algorithm, the original image of the defect can be reconstructed to an image normal to the wall. From the result of a series of experiments, the measuring accuracy of the defect is measured within 0.5% error bound of real defect size under 30 degree of the horizontally inclined angle. The proposed algorithm provides the method of reconstructing the image taken at any arbitrary horizontally inclined angle to the image normal to the wall and thus, it enables the accurate measurement of the defect lengths only by using a single camera and a laser slit beam.

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