• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimated rainfall

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Rainfall Seasonality and Estimation Errors of Area-Average Rainfall (강수의 계절성과 면적평균강수량의 추정오차)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.575-581
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    • 2002
  • This study evaluates the variation of estimation error of area-average rainfall due to rainfall seasonality. Both the cases considering and not considering the spatial correlation are compared to derive the characteristics of estimation error. Similar cases with different accumulation time without considering the rainfall seasonality are also investigated. This study was applied to the Geum-river basin with total 28 rain gauge measurements haying more than 30 years of daily rainfall measurements. As results of the study we found that: (1) The absolute estimation error of monthly area-average rainfall show strong seasonality like the total rainfall amount. However, the relative estimation error normalized by its mean was estimated to have similar values about 5 to 8% except January and December. (2) The relative estimation error of annual area-average rainfall estimated was found to have the estimation error about 3% of its annual mean. (3) However, the relative estimation error normalized by the standard deviation remains almost the same for both monthly and annual rainfall amounts, which was estimated about 11% of its standard deviation. (4) Finally, the estimation error without considering the spatial correlation was found to become almost twice the estimation error with considering the spatial correlation.

Estimation of Rainfall Intensity for MTSAT-1R Data using Microwave Rainfall (마이크로웨이브 강수량을 이용한 MTSAT-1R 위성의 강우강도 추정)

  • Jee, Joon-Bum;Lee, Kyu-Tae
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.511-525
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    • 2010
  • Rainfall intensity was estimated using the MTSAT-1R infrared channels and the microwave satellite precipitation data. Brightness temperature of geostationary satellite is matched temporal and spatial to a variety of microwave satellite(SSM/I, SSMIS, AMSU-B, AMSRE, TRMM) precipitation data. Rainfall intensity was calculated by the look -up table using relationships of MTSAT-1R brightness temperature and microwave precipitation. Estimated rainfall is verified using by precipitation of TRMM satellite(TRMM3B42) and ground rainfall as AWS from Jul. 21 2008 to Jul. 25 2008. The results of rainfall estimated TRMM 2A12(TMI) that validated by AWS and TRMM3B42 precipitation are represented highly 0.38 and 0.61 by correlation coefficient, 5.81 mm/hr and 2.44 mm/hr by RMSE, 0.79 and 0.84 by POD and 0.65 and 0.87 by PC, respectively. Overall, estimated rainfall using by microwave satellite calculated 5 mm/hr or more comparing by AWS and 5 mm/hr or more comparing by TRMM3B42 precipitation, respectively. Validation results of correlation coefficient are shown series of TRMM 2A12, AMSRE, SSM/I, AMSU-B and SSMIS.

Watershed-based PMF and Sediment-runoff Estimation Using Distributed Hydrological Model (분포형 수문모형을 이용한 유역기반의 PMF 및 유사-유출량 산정)

  • Yu, Wansik;Lee, Giha;Kim, Youngkyu;Jung, Kwansue
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.2
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2018
  • Probable Maximum Flood (PMF) is mostly applied for the designs of large-scale hydraulic structures and it is estimated by computing the runoff hydrograph where Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) is inserted as design rainfall. The existing PMP is estimated by transferring the heavy rainfall from all watersheds of korea to the design watershed, however, in this study, PMP was analyzed by selecting only rainfall events occurred in the design watershed. And then, Catchment-scale Soil Erosion Model (CSEM) was used to estimate the PMF and sediment-runoff yield according to the watershed-based estimated PMP. Although the PMF estimated in this study was lower than the existing estimated PMF in the Yongdam-dam basin, it was estimated to be higher than the 200-year frequency design flood discharge. In addition, sediment-runoff yield was estimated with a 0.05 cm of the maximum erosion and a 0.06 cm of the maximum deposition, and a total sediment-runoff yield of 168,391 tons according to 24-hour PMP duration.

Application of SWAT Model considering Spatial Distribution of Rainfall (강우의 공간분포를 고려한 SWAT 모형의 적용)

  • JANG, Daewon;KIM, Duckgil;KIM, Yonsoo;Choi, Wooil
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.94-104
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    • 2018
  • In general, the rainfall-runoff simulation is performed using rainfall data from meteorological and observational rain gauge stations. However, if we only use rainfall data from meteorological and observational rain gauge stations for runoff simulation of a large watershed, the problem in the reliability of the simulated runoff can be occurred. Therefore, this study examined the influence of the rainfall data on the simulated runoff volume by a Semi-distributed model. For this, we used rainfall data from meteorological stations, meteorological and observational stations, and a spatially distributed rainfall data from hypothetical stations obtained by kriging method. And, we estimated the areal rainfall of each sub-basin. Also the estimated areal rainfall and the observed rainfall were compared and we compared the simulated runoff volumes using SWAT model by the rainfall data from meteorological and observational rain gauge stations and runoff volume from the estimated areal rainfall by Kriging method were analyzed. This study was performed to examine the accuracy of calculated runoff volume by spatially distributed areal rainfall. The analysis result of this study showed that runoff volume using areal rainfall is similar to observed runoff volume than runoff volume using the rainfall data of weather and rain gauging station. this means that spatially distributed rainfall reflect the real rainfall pattern.

Estimation of Parameters of the Linear, Discrete, Input-Output Model (선형 이산화 입력-출력 모형의 매개변수 결정에 관한 연구)

  • 강주복;강인식
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.193-199
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    • 1993
  • This study has two objectives. One is developing the runoff model for Hoe-Dong Reservoir basin located at the upstream of Su-Young River in Pusan. To develop the runoff model, basic hydrological parameters - curve number to find effective rainfall, and storage coefficient, etc. - should be estimated. In this study, the effective rainfall was calculated by the SCS method, and the storage coefficient used in the Clark watershed routing was cited from the report of P.E.B. The other is the derivation of transfer function for Hoe-Dong Reservoir basin. The linear, discrete, input-output model which contained six parameters was selected, and the parameters were estimated by the least square method and the correlation function method, respectively. Throughout this study, rainfall and flood discharge data were based on the field observation in 1981.8.22 - 8.23 (typhoon Gladys). It was observed that the Clark watershed routing regenerated the flood hydrograph of typhoon Gladys very well, and this fact showed that the estimated hydrological parameters were relatively correct. Also, the calculated hydrograph by the linear, discrete, input-output model showed good agreement with the regenerated hydrograph at Hoe-Dong Dam site, so this model can be applicable to other small urban areas. Key Words : runoff, effective rainfall, SCS method, clark watershed iou상ng, hydrological parameters, parameter estimation, least square method, correlation function method, input-output model, typhoon gladys.

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Hydrological Evaluation of Rainwater Harvesting: 1. Hydrological Analysis (빗물이용의 수문학적 평가: 1. 수문해석)

  • Yoo, Chulsang;Kim, Kyoungjun;Yun, Zuhwan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.221-229
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    • 2008
  • This study revised a model for hydrologically analyzing rainwater harvesting facilities considering their rainfall-runoff properties and the data available. This model has only a few parameters, which can be estimated with rather poor measurements available. The model has a non-linear module for rainfall loss, and the remaining rainfall excess (effective rainfall) is assumed to be inflow to the storage tank. This model has been applied for the rainwater harvesting facilities in Seoul National University, Korea Institute of Construction Technology, and the Daejon World Cup Stadium. As a result, the runoff coefficients estimated were about 0.9 for the building roof as a rainwater collecting surface and about 0.18 for the playground. This result is coincident with that for designing the rainwater harvesting facilities to show the accuracy of model and the simulation results.

Computation of Criterion Rainfall for Urban Flood by Logistic Regression (로지스틱 회귀에 의한 도시 침수발생의 한계강우량 산정)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.713-723
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    • 2019
  • Due to the climate change and various rainfall pattern, it is difficult to estimate a rainfall criterion which cause inundation for urban drainage districts. It is necessary to examine the result of inundation analysis by considering the detailed topography of the watershed, drainage system, and various rainfall scenarios. In this study, various rainfall scenarios were considered with the probabilistic rainfall and Huff's time distribution method in order to identify the rainfall characteristics affecting the inundation of the Hyoja drainage basin. Flood analysis was performed with SWMM and two-dimensional inundation analysis model and the parameters of SWMM were optimized with flood trace map and GA (Genetic Algorithm). By linking SWMM and two-dimensional flood analysis model, the fitness ratio between the existing flood trace and simulated inundation map turned out to be 73.6 %. The occurrence of inundation according to each rainfall scenario was identified, and the rainfall criterion could be estimated through the logistic regression method. By reflecting the results of one/two dimensional flood analysis, and AWS/ASOS data during 2010~2018, the rainfall criteria for inundation occurrence were estimated as 72.04 mm, 146.83 mm, 203.06 mm in 1, 2 and 3 hr of rainfall duration repectively. The rainfall criterion could be re-estimated through input of continuously observed rainfall data. The methodology presented in this study is expected to provide a quantitative rainfall criterion for urban drainage area, and the basic data for flood warning and evacuation plan.

Evaluation of Probability Rainfalls Estimated from Non-Stationary Rainfall Frequency Analysis (비정상성 강우빈도해석법에 의한 확률강우량의 평가)

  • Lee, Chang-Hwan;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.187-199
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    • 2010
  • This study evaluated applicability and confidence of probability rainfalls estimated by the non-stationary rainfall frequency analysis which was recently developed. Using rainfall data at 4 sites which have an obvious increasing trend in observations, we estimated 3 type probability rainfalls; probability rainfalls from stationary rainfall frequency analysis using data from 1973-1997, probability rainfalls from stationary rainfall frequency analysis using data from 1973-2006, probability rainfalls from non-stationary rainfall frequency analysis assuming that the current year is 1997 and the target year is 2006. Based on the comparison of residuals from 3 probability rainfalls, the non-stationary rainfall frequency analysis provided more effective and well-directed estimates of probability rainfalls in the target year. Using Bootstrap resampling, this study also evaluated the parameter estimation methods for the non-stationary rainfall frequency analysis based on confidence intervals. The confidence interval length estimated by the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is narrower than the probability weighted moments (PWM). The results indicated that MLE provides more proper confidence than PWM for non-stationary probability rainfalls.

The Comparison of Estimation Methods for the Missing Rainfall Data with spatio-temporal Variability (시공간적 변동성을 고려한 강우의 결측치 추정 방법의 비교)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Noh, Hui-Seong;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2011
  • This paper reviewed application of data-driven method, distance-weighted method(IDWM, IEWM, CCWM, ANN), and radar data method estimated of missing raifall data. To evaluate these methods, statistics was compared using radar and station rainfall data from Imjin-river basin. The range of RMSE values calculated for CCWM, ANN was 1.4 to 1.79mm, and the range of RMSE values estimated data used for radar rainfall data was 0.05 to 2.26mm. Spatial characteristics is considered to Radar rainfall data rather than station rainfall data. Result suggest that estimated data used for radar data can impove estimation of missing raifall data.

Runoff Analysis Using Dual Polarization RADAR and Distributed Model (이중편파 레이더강우와 분포형 모형을 이용한 유출해석)

  • Jeong, Jiyoung;Yu, Myungsu;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.9
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    • pp.801-812
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    • 2014
  • In this study, average rainfall of basin was estimated and compared with that obtained from Biseulsan dual polarization RADAR. And the runoffs are estimated using Vflo distribution model for Habcheon reservoir basin and Huicheon basin. In the rainfall estimation using dual polarization RADAR, the rainfall was estimated by using the specific phase difference and differential reflectivity of dual polarization RADAR variables. As a result, for all events rainfall estimation using dual polarization RADAR has the closest value to the gauge rainfall in terms of the peak rainfall and total rainfall. Also, runoff simulation results from dual polarization RADAR show the better results. It is concluded that the method using dual polarization radar can improve the accuracy more than a single polarization radar using only horizontal reflectivity.