• 한국농공학회논문집
• /
• 제46권3호
• /
• pp.31-42
• /
• 2004

This research seeks to derive the design rainfalls through the L-moment with the test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of data on annual maximum daily rainfall at 38 rainfall stations in Korea. To select the appropriate distribution of annual maximum daily rainfall data by the rainfall stations, Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Generalized Logistic (GLO), Generalized Pareto (GPA), Generalized Normal (GNO) and Pearson Type 3 (PT3) probability distributions were applied and their aptness were judged using an L-moment ratio diagram and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test. Parameters of appropriate distributions were estimated from the observed and simulated annual maximum daily rainfall using Monte Carlo techniques. Design rainfalls were finally derived by GEV distribution, which was proved to be more appropriate than the other distributions.

• 한국방재학회 논문집
• /
• 제7권5호
• /
• pp.79-88
• /
• 2007

본 연구에서는 강우량 자체 및 확률강우량의 통계학적 정상성을 판단하였다. 사계열의 정상성을 판단하는 대표적인 방법인 Cox-Stuart의 추세검정과 Dickey-Fuller의 단위근 검정 방법이 적용되었으며, 특히 확률 강우량의 정상성 평가상의 문제점을 평가하였다. 결과적으로, 먼저 서울지점 강우량 자료에 대한 분석에서는 강우량이 증가하거나 감소하는 추세가 없다는 판단을 할 수 있었고, 아울러 단위근 검정에서도 정상적인 시계열이라는 결론을 얻을 수 있었다. 그러나 Cox-Stuart 검정에 의하면 확률강우량이 전체적으로 어떤 상승 또는 하향의 추세가 있는지에 대해서 일관된 판단을 하기가 어려졌다. 그러나 Dickey-Fuller의 단위근 검정에서는 확률강우량이 비정상시계열임을 판단할 수 있었다. 이러한 결과는 근본적으로 강우량과 확률강우량의 차이에서 비롯된 것이다. 즉, 강우는 무작위 변량으로서 어떤 경향성이나 비정상성을 찾기 힘들다. 반대로 확률강우량은 계산시점까지 관측된 모든 자료를 고려하여 추정되므로 전 후의 값의 상관성이 매우 커지게 된다. 즉, 정상시계열인 강우자료가 연속적으로 추가되며 확률강우량이 추정되므로 전 값이 높은 상관성이 가능하다, 따라서 확률강우량이 비정상 시계열로 판단되는 것은 본 연구에서 적용된 판단기법으로는 당연한 결과라 할 수 있다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제48권6호
• /
• pp.451-461
• /
• 2015

본 연구에서는 태풍의 경로 및 규모를 이용한 호우분리기법을 통해 한반도에 유발된 강우를 집중호우와 태풍강우로 분류하고, 지역별 강우특성 및 경향성 분석을 수행하였다. 또한 호우분리를 통한 비정상성 빈도해석을 수행하여 미래확률강우량을 산정하였으며, 이에 대한 정량적인 비교 및 평가를 수행하였다. 분석결과, 전기간 자료, 태풍강우 및 집중호우의 증가 및 감소율이 각각 상이하며, 증가 및 감소경향이 서로 상반되는 지점도 나타났다. 또한 호우분리를 통한 비정상성 빈도해석을 수행한 결과, 비교적 합리적인 미래확률강우량이 산정됨을 확인할 수 있었으며, 전기간 자료를 이용한 미래확률강우량과 비교한 결과 한반도 남부 및 동부지역에서 상대적으로 큰 차이가 나타났다. 호우분리기법을 적용한 비정상성 빈도해석 결과는 태풍 및 집중호우의 지역적인 변화특성을 잘 반영하는 것으로 나타나 수공구조물 설계 및 미래 기후변화와 관련된 치수대책 및 정책수립에 활용도가 높을 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국습지학회지
• /
• 제4권2호
• /
• pp.43-56
• /
• 2002

About 12 rain gauge stations of Korea, annual maximum rainfall series of before and after 1980 whose durations are 1, 2, 3, 6, 12, 24, 48, 72 hours respectively were composed and statistical characteristics of those time series were calculated and probability rainfall were estimated by L-moment frequency analysis method and compared each other in order to investigate the recent quantitative rainfall variations. And also, distribution curves of each statistical variations for each duration were constructed by using Kigging method to look into spacial rainfall variation aspects. As a result, We could confirm recent rainfall increase in the South Korea. And spatial increase pattern of standard deviation and frequency rainfall appeared analogously each other. 1n the cases of comparatively short rainfall duration, we could see relatively low increase or decrease tendency in Chungchong Province, Cholla-bukdo, Cholla-namdo eastern part, Kyongsang-namdo western part area. While, variations happened great1y in seaside district of east coast, southwest seashore, Inchon area etc. In the cases of longer durations relatively low increase was showed in southern seashore such as Yeosoo area and as distance recedes from this area, showed gradually augmented tendency. The aspect of mean looks similar tendency of above except that the variation rate of almost seaside district are big in the case of shorter durations. In addition, rainfall increases of short durations which became the center of hydrologist and meteorologist are unconfirmed in this study.

• 지질공학
• /
• 제20권1호
• /
• pp.61-70
• /
• 2010

지하수위 변동법을 이용하여 지하수 함양량을 추정할 경우 매질의 비산출율은 결과에 대한 오차에 직접 영향을 미치게 되나 비산출율의 추정 방법에 대한 고찰은 거의 이루어지지 않았다. 장기 지하수위 관측이 이루어지는 연구지점에서 강우 발생 후 지하수위의 상승량의 상관관계로부터 비산출율을 추정한 결과 타 방법과 유사한 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 그러나, 지하수위 변동이 강우에 의해서만 나타나는 것은 아니므로 인위적인 지하수위 변동, 식생에 의한 증발산 및 지하수위의 급상승 등이 배제된 자료를 활용하여야 하며, 갈수기의 12시간 내지 24시간 단위의 평균 강우 및 지하수위 자료를 사용하는 것이 합리적인 비산출율 산정에 바람직한 것으로 나타났다.

• 산업기술연구
• /
• 제25권B호
• /
• pp.37-46
• /
• 2005

From 2000 to 2004, the research was carried out at Naerin-cheon and Inbook-cheon, the upper streams of Soyang Lake, to study the relationship between precipitation and eutrophication-causing water pollutants, BOD, T-N and T-P. During the five years, the amount of flowing water was measured, and the water quantity was examined under different precipitation levels. From the observation, outflow patterns of the water pollutants and changes in the water quality factors at the time of rainfall were clarified. In addition, estimation of the unit load was made for each stream; for Naerin-cheon at the time of rainfall, we estimated BOD to be $1,112kg/km^2/year$, T-N to be $2,077kg/km^2/year$, and T-P to be $223kg/km^2/year$; for Inbook-cheon at the time of rainfall, we estimated BOD to be $1,229kg/km^2/year$, T-N to be $1,565kg/km^2/year$, and T-P to be $255kg/km^2/year$. For the time of no rainfall different estimation was made; for Naerin-cheon, we estimated BOD to be $2,403g/km^2/day$, T-N to be $5,004g/km^2/day$, and T-P to be $53g/km^2/day$; and for Inbook-cheon, we estimated BOD to be $1,550g/km^2/day$, T-N to be $2,283g/km^2/day$, and T-P to be $42g/km^2/day$.

• 한국농공학회논문집
• /
• 제47권3호
• /
• pp.59-68
• /
• 2005

The rainfall-runoff potential of Jangseong reservoir watershed was studied based on SCS (Soil Conservation Service, which is now the NRCS, Natural Resources Conservation Service, USDA) runoff curve number (CN) technique. Precipitation and reservoir operation data had been collected. The rainfall-runoff pairs from the watershed for ten years was estimated using reservoir water balance analysis using reservoir operation records. The maximum retention, S, for each storm event from rainfall-runoff pair was estimated for selected storm events. The estimated S values were arranged in descending order, then its probability distribution was determined as log-normal distribution, and associated CNs were found about probability levels of Pr=0.1, 0.5, and 0.9, respectively. A subwatershed that has the similar portions of land use categories to the whole watershed of Jangseong reservoir was selected and hydrologic monitoring was conducted. CNs for subwatershed were determined using observed data. CNs determined from observed rainfall-runoff data and reservoir water balance analysis were compared to the suggested CNs by the method of SCS-NEH4. The $CN_{II}$ measured and estimated from water balance analysis in this study were 78.0 and 78.1, respectively. However, the $CN_{II}$, which was determined based on hydrologic soil group, land use, was 67.2 indicating that actual runoff potential of Jangseong reservoir watershed is higher than that evaluated by SCS-NEH4 method. The results showed that watershed runoff potential for large scale agricultural reservoirs needs to be examined for efficient management of water resources and flood prevention.

• 한국환경과학회지
• /
• 제18권3호
• /
• pp.315-323
• /
• 2009

Hydraulic gradient of the landfill soils is estimated by Devlin (2003) method, and its variation characteristics from rainfall and permeability of the aquifer material are analyzed. The study site of 18 m $\times$ 12 m is located in front of the Environment Research Center at the Pukyong National University, and core logging, slug/bail test and groundwater monitoring was performed. The sluglbail tests were performed in 9 wells (except BH9 well), and drawdown data with elapsed time for bail tests were analyzed using Bouwer-Rice and Hvorslev methods. The average hydraulic conductivity estimated in each of the test wells was ranged $1.991{\times}10^{-7}{\sim}4.714{\times}10^{-6}m/sec$, and the average hydraulic conductivity in the study site was estimated $2.376{\times}10^{-6}m/sec$ for arithmetic average, $1.655{\times}10^{-6}m/sec$ for geometric average and $9.366{\times}10^{-7}m/sec$ for harmonic average. The permeability of landfill soils was higher at the east side of the study site than at the west side. Groundwater level in 10 wells was monitored 44 times from October 2 to November 7, 2007. The groundwater level was ranged 1.187$\sim$1.610 m, and the average groundwater level range in each of the well showed 1.256$\sim$1.407 m. The groundwater level was higher at the east side than at the west side of the study site, and this distribution is identify to it of hydraulic conductivity. The hydraulie gradient and the major flow direction for 10 wells were estimated 0.0072$\sim$0.0093 and $81.7618{\sim}88.0836^{\circ}$, respectively. Also, the hydraulic gradient and the major flow direction for 9 wells were estimated 0.0102$\sim$0.0124 and $84.6822{\sim}89.1174^{\circ}$, respectively. The hydraulic gradient of the study site increased from rainfall (83.5 mm) on October 7, causing by that the groundwater level of the site with high permeability was higher. The hydraulic gradient estimated on and after October 16 was stable, due to almost no rainfall. Thus, it was confirmed that the variation of the hydraulic gradient in the landfill soils was controlled by the rainfall.

• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국농공학회 2003년도 학술발표논문집
• /
• pp.571-574
• /
• 2003

Three sediment traps were placed at the toe of sloping fields in the alpine belt of Korea and sediment removal efficiency was estimated. Soil texture of the site was sandy soil and 5 runoff and sediment events were observed during 2002. Sediment was largely affected by both the amount and intensity of rainfall. Especially, rainfall intensity seemed to have profound effect on sediment yield from sloping sandy fields. Sediment removal of the sediments ranged widely from 266 kg/ha to 16,974 kg/ha depending on tillage method, slope and slope length, and amount and intensity of rainfall. Sediment removal efficiency was estimated to be more than 98.8%. It was suggested that rational combination of sediment trap and drainage channel might well contribute to control sediment discharge from alpine sloping fields.

• 대한토목학회논문집
• /
• 제14권5호
• /
• pp.1129-1136
• /
• 1994

지점 강우 과정을 물리적으로 모형화하였다. 모형의 입력 변수는 지상의 기상 변수이다. 모형의 성분은 관측치와 구름 물리학의 선행 연구를 토대로 매개 변수화되었다. 특별히 강조되는 것은 집적 효율을 평가하는 것이다. 수정 비대칭 모형의 수운적 크기 분포 함수를 적용한 결과 그 모형은 호우에 적합하였다. 모형에 포함된 주요 매개변수는 최적화 기법에 의하여 평가하였다. 강우 강도는 평가된 매개변수의 중앙값을 사용하여 예측하였다.