• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimated Mean Error

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Estimation of Mean and Variance for $NH_3-N$ data of Puyeo Intake (부여 취수장의 $NH_3-N$자료에 대한 평균 및 분산추정)

  • Kim, Hyeong-Su;Jeong, Geon-Hui;Kim, Eung-Seok;Kim, Jung-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.357-364
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    • 2001
  • Sometimes the observed data is too small to discriminate it from noise of the instrument. Say, the data can be recorded as below DL(Detection Level) value. Even though the data below Detection Level(BDL) is small vague, it can be resulted in wrong estimates for mean and variance. However, in practice, the BDL data is generally eliminated as N.D. (Not Detected) and do not record it in Korea. This study investigates the distributions according to the data values of ammonia concentration (NH$_3$-N) in Puyeo intake. Also we try to find out DL value and an appropriate method for the estimations of mean and variance of BDL values that can be discriminate the distributions. The DL is estimated by trial and error method. The appropriate method for the estimations of mean and variance of above the detection level(ADL)and BDL dada sets is selected, and the mean and variance are estimated. As a result, it is found that the Bias Corrected Maximum Likelihood Estimator is the most accurate method for NH$_3$-N in Puyeo intake.

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Short-term Reactive Power Load Forecasting Using Multiple Time-Series Model (다중 시계열 모델을 이용한 단기 부하 무효전력 예측)

  • Lee, Hyo-Sang;Cho, Jong-Man;Park, Woo-Hyun;Kim, Jin-O
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.105-111
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    • 2004
  • This paper shows that active and reactive power load have significant positive relationship and there exist two types of relationship between them using Test Statistics. In investigating the cross plots at every hour, we found out that from 0 to 8 hours, there relationships are linear, while from 9 to 23 hours, they are two piece-wise linear. Also, reactive power loads was estimated and forecasted using active power load as the explanary variable with OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) regression methods. MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) for each model is calculated for one-hour ahead forecasting.

A Channel Estimation Technique for OFDM-CDMA Systems (OFDM-CDMA 시스템을 위한 채널 추정 기법)

  • 송동욱;박중후
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.29 no.6A
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    • pp.660-666
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    • 2004
  • Transmitted data may be compensated by using estimated channel values that are obtained with pilot symbols in OFDM-CDMA systems. Generally, a USE (Minimum Mean-Squared Error) estimator using correlations between pilot symbols gives good results, but its structure is so complicated. Starting with a modification of PA (Pilot-Aided) algorithm using pilot symbols and PADD (Pilot-Aided Decision-Directed) algorithm using both pilot and data symbols, a new channel estimation algorithm with more simpler structure is proposed. The performance of this algorithm is evaluated with varying mobile speed in a Ralyleigh multipath fading environment through computer simulations. The simulation results show that the proposed channel estimation algorithm outperforms a conventional PA algorithm.

A Mathematical Model for Color Changes in Red Pepper during Far Infrared Drying

  • Ning, XiaoFeng;Han, ChungSu;Li, He
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.327-334
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: The color changes in red pepper during far infrared drying were studied in order to establish a color change model. Methods: The far infrared drying experiments of red pepper were conducted at two temperature levels of 60, $70^{\circ}C$ and two air velocity levels of 0.6 and 0.8 m/s. The results were compared with the hot-air drying method. The surface color changes parameters of red pepper were measured qualitatively based on L (lightness), a (redness), b (yellowness) and total color changes (${\Delta}E$). The goodness of fit of model was estimated using the coefficient of determination ($R^2$), the root mean square error (RMSE), the mean relative percent error (P) and the reduced chi-square (${\chi}^2$). Results: The results show that an increase in drying temperature and air velocity resulted in a decrease in drying time, the values of L (lightness) and a (redness) decreased with drying time during far infrared drying. The developed model showed higher $R^2$ values and lower RMSE, P and ${\chi}^2$ values. Conclusions: The model in this study could be beneficial to describe the color changes of red pepper by far infrared drying.

The Bus Arrival Time Prediction Using Bus Delay Time (버스지체시간을 활용한 버스도착시간 예측)

  • Lee, Seung-Hun;Mun, Byeong-Seop;Park, Beom-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2010
  • It is occurred bus arrival time errors when a bus arrives at a bus stop because of a variety of traffic condition such as traffic signal cycle, the time to get on and off a bus, a bus-only lane and so on. In this paper, bus delay time which is occurred as the result of traffic condition was estimated with Markov Chain process and bus arrival time at each bus stop was predicted with it. As the result of the study, it is confirmed to improve accuracy than the method of bus arrival time prediction with existing method (weighed moving average method) in case predicting bus arrival time using 7 by 7 and 9 by 9 matrixes.

WASHINGTON CCD PHOTOMETRY OF THE OLD OPEN CLUSTER NGC 1245

  • WEE SUN-OK;LEE MYUNG GYOON
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.181-194
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    • 1996
  • We present a study of the metallicity of the old open cluster NGC 1245 , based on the Washington CCD photometry obtained using the 0.6 m telescope at the Sobaeksan Observatory, Korea. NGC 1245 has been known to be a unique cluster among the known open clusters in the sense that the previous metallicity estimates for this cluster are much larger $(by\;\sigma)$ than the value expected from the radial metallicity gradient of the old open clusters in Our galaxy. We have estimated the metallicity of the cluster red giants using the four color-color diagrams, obtaining a value for the mean metallicity of $[Fe/H] = -0.04\pm0.05$ dex. The total error including the error of the metallicity calibration, 0.15 dex, is 0.16 dex. The metallicity estimate of NGC 1245 we have obtained in this study is smaller than previous estimates, and is consistent with the radial metallicity gradient of the old open clusters, showing that the mean metallicity of NGC 1245 is not abnormally high. The reddening, distance, and age of the cluster have also been derived using the isochrones based on the convective overshooting models: the reddening $E(B-V) = 0.28\pm0.03$; the distance $d = 2.5\pm0.2 kpc$ (the corresponding galactocentric distance is RGC = 10.7 kpc, and the distance from the galactic plane is z = -0.4 kpc); and the age $t = 1.1\pm0.1 Gyrs$.

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On optimal design of soft-decision multistage detectors for asynchronous DS/CDMA systems (비동기 DS/CDMA 시스템을 위한 연판정 다단 검출기의 최적 설계)

  • 고정훈;주정석;이용훈
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.22 no.9
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    • pp.2035-2042
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    • 1997
  • We consider the design of soft decision functions for each stage of multistage detection for coherent demodulation in an asynchronous code-division multiple-access(CDMA) system. In particular, the sigmoid function, which is shown to be optimal under the mean square error(MSE) criterion, andmultilevel quantizers that best approximate the sigmoid function are derived. At each stage of multistage detection, the parameters of these decision functions are adjusted depending on estimated input statistics. Computer simulation results demonstrate that multistage detectors employing these soft decision functions perform considerably better than those with hard decision.

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Multi-Stage Turbo Equalization for MIMO Systems with Hybrid ARQ

  • Park, Sangjoon;Choi, Sooyong
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.333-339
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    • 2016
  • A multi-stage turbo equalization scheme based on the bit-level combining (BLC) is proposed for multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems with hybrid automatic repeat request (HARQ). In the proposed multi-stage turbo equalization scheme, the minimum mean-square-error equalizer at each iteration calculates the extrinsic log-likelihood ratios for the transmitted bits in a subpacket and the subpackets are sequentially replaced at each iteration according to the HARQ rounds of received subpackets. Therefore, a number of iterations are executed for different subpackets received at several HARQ rounds, and the transmitted bits received at the previous HARQ rounds as well as the current HARQ round can be estimated from the combined information up to the current HARQ round. In addition, the proposed multi-stage turbo equalization scheme has the same computational complexity as the conventional bit-level combining based turbo equalization scheme. Simulation results show that the proposed multi-stage turbo equalization scheme outperforms the conventional BLC based turbo equalization scheme for MIMO systems with HARQ.

Strength and strain modeling of CFRP -confined concrete cylinders using ANNs

  • Ozturk, Onur
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.225-239
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    • 2021
  • Carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) has extensive use in strengthening reinforced concrete structures due to its high strength and elastic modulus, low weight, fast and easy application, and excellent durability performance. Many studies have been carried out to determine the performance of the CFRP confined concrete cylinder. Although studies about the prediction of confined compressive strength using ANN are in the literature, the insufficiency of the studies to predict the strain of confined concrete cylinder using ANN, which is the most appropriate analysis method for nonlinear and complex problems, draws attention. Therefore, to predict both strengths and also strain values, two different ANNs were created using an extensive experimental database. The strength and strain networks were evaluated with the statistical parameters of correlation coefficients (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE). The estimated values were found to be close to the experimental results. Mathematical equations to predict the strength and strain values were derived using networks prepared for convenience in engineering applications. The sensitivity analysis of mathematical models was performed by considering the inputs with the highest importance factors. Considering the limit values obtained from the sensitivity analysis of the parameters, the performances of the proposed models were evaluated by using the test data determined from the experimental database. Model performances were evaluated comparatively with other analytical models most commonly used in the literature, and it was found that the closest results to experimental data were obtained from the proposed strength and strain models.

Small Target Detecting and Tracking Using Mean Shifter Guided Kalman Filter

  • Ye, Soo-Young;Joo, Jae-Heum;Nam, Ki-Gon
    • Transactions on Electrical and Electronic Materials
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.187-192
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    • 2013
  • Because of the importance of small target detection in infrared images, many studies have been carried out in this area. Using a Kalman filter and mean shift algorithm, this study proposes an algorithm to track multiple small moving targets even in cases of target disappearance and appearance in serial infrared images in an environment with many noises. Difference images, which highlight the background images estimated with a background estimation filter from the original images, have a relatively very bright value, which becomes a candidate target area. Multiple target tracking consists of a Kalman filter section (target position prediction) and candidate target classification section (target selection). The system removes error detection from the detection results of candidate targets in still images and associates targets in serial images. The final target detection locations were revised with the mean shift algorithm to have comparatively low tracking location errors and allow for continuous tracking with standard model updating. In the experiment with actual marine infrared serial images, the proposed system was compared with the Kalman filter method and mean shift algorithm. As a result, the proposed system recorded the lowest tracking location errors and ensured stable tracking with no tracking location diffusion.