• 제목/요약/키워드: Estimate

검색결과 24,628건 처리시간 0.04초

Application of Best Estimate Approach for Modelling of QUENCH-03 and QUENCH-06 Experiments

  • Kaliatka, Tadas;Kaliatka, Algirdas;Vileiniskis, Virginijus
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.419-433
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    • 2016
  • One of the important severe accident management measures in the Light Water Reactors is water injection to the reactor core. The related phenomena are investigated by performing experiments and computer simulations. One of the most widely known is the QUENCH test-program. A number of analyses on QUENCH tests have also been performed by different computer codes for code validation and improvements. Unfortunately, any deterministic computer simulation is not free from the uncertainties. To receive the realistic calculation results, the best estimate computer codes should be used for the calculation with combination of uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of calculation results. In this article, the QUENCH-03 and QUENCH-06 experiments are modelled using ASTEC and RELAP/SCDAPSIM codes. For the uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, SUSA3.5 and SUNSET tools were used. The article demonstrates that applying the best estimate approach, it is possible to develop basic QUENCH input deck and to develop the two sets of input parameters, covering maximal and minimal ranges of uncertainties. These allow simulating different (but with the same nature) tests, receiving calculation results with the evaluated range of uncertainties.

A leak detection and 3D source localization method on a plant piping system by using multiple cameras

  • Kim, Se-Oh;Park, Jae-Seok;Park, Jong Won
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제51권1호
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2019
  • To reduce the secondary damage caused by leakage accidents in plant piping systems, a constant surveillance system is necessary. To ensure leaks are promptly addressed, the surveillance system should be able to detect not only the leak itself, but also the location of the leak. Recently, research to develop new methods has been conducted using cameras to detect leakage and to estimate the location of leakage. However, existing methods solely estimate whether a leak exists or not, or only provide two-dimensional coordinates of the leakage location. In this paper, a method using multiple cameras to detect leakage and estimate the three-dimensional coordinates of the leakage location is presented. Leakage is detected by each camera using MADI(Moving Average Differential Image) and histogram analysis. The two-dimensional leakage location is estimated using the detected leakage area. The three-dimensional leakage location is subsequently estimated based on the two-dimensional leakage location. To achieve this, the coordinates (x, z) for the leakage are calculated for a horizontal section (XZ plane) in the monitoring area. Then, the y-coordinate of leakage is calculated using a vertical section from each camera. The method proposed in this paper could accurately estimate the three-dimensional location of a leak using multiple cameras.

New algorithm to estimate proton beam range for multi-slit prompt-gamma camera

  • Ku, Youngmo;Jung, Jaerin;Kim, Chan Hyeong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권9호
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    • pp.3422-3428
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    • 2022
  • The prompt gamma imaging (PGI) technique is considered as one of the most promising approaches to estimate the range of proton beam in the patient and unlock the full potential of proton therapy. In the PGI technique, a dedicated algorithm is required to estimate the range of the proton beam from the prompt gamma (PG) distribution acquired by a PGI system. In the present study, a new range estimation algorithm was developed for a multi-slit prompt-gamma camera, one of PGI systems, to estimate the range of proton beam with high accuracy. The performance of the developed algorithm was evaluated by Monte Carlo simulations for various beam/phantom combinations. Our results generally show that the developed algorithm is very robust, showing very high accuracy and precision for all the cases considered in the present study. The range estimation accuracy of the developed algorithm was 0.5-1.7 mm, which is approximately 1% of beam range, for 1×109 protons. Even for the typical number of protons for a spot (1×108), the range estimation accuracy of the developed algorithm was 2.1-4.6 mm and smaller than the range uncertainties and typical safety margin, while that of the existing algorithm was 2.5-9.6 mm.

COST ESTIMATE AT EARLY STAGE USING CASE-BASED REASONING

  • Kihoon Seong;Moonseo Park;Hyun-Soo Lee;Sae-Hyun Ji
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.883-889
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    • 2009
  • The importance of cost estimate in early stage such has been increasing due to market change and severe competition in construction industry. Because the adjustable budget is only 20% after design stage, most of the crucial decisions to influence cost is made in the early stage. However, in the early stage, the project scope is not defined completely so that estimator has inaccurate information to make critical decision. Therefore, this research suggests the cost estimate method using case-based reasoning. Case-based reasoning is appropriate for the early cost estimating, as it has the strength of rapidity and convenience in cost estimation. This research analyzes 84 actual data of public apartment on the scale of 11~15 stories. In order to extract the most similar case, at the first step this research identifies influence factors and calculates attribute similarity. In case-based reasoning, the most challenging task is determining attribute weight. At the third step, this research calculates case similarity which is aggregated attribute similarity multipled by attribute weight. Finally, extracts the most similar case which has the highest score of case similarity.

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A Signal Detection of Minimum Variance Algorithm on Linear Constraints

  • Kwan Hyeong Lee
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.8-13
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    • 2023
  • We propose a method for removing interference and noise to estimate target information. In wireless channels, information signals are subject to interference and noise, making it is difficult to accurately estimate the desired signal. To estimate the desired information signal, it is essential to remove the noise and interference from the received signal, extracting only the desired signal. If the received signal noise and interference are not removed, the estimated information signal will have a large error in distance and direction, and the exact location of the target cannot be estimated. This study aims to accurately estimate the desired target in space. The objective is to achieve more presice target estimation than existing methods and enhance target resolution.An estimation method is proposed to improve the accuracy of target estimation. The proposed target estimation method obtains optimal weights using linear constraints and the minimum variance method. Through simulation, the performance of the proposed method and the existing method is analyzed. The proposed method successfully estimated all four targets, while the existing method only estimated two targets. The results show that the proposed method has better resolutiopn and superior estimation capability than the existing method.

D형 Durometer를 이용한 콘크리트의 미장용 모르타르의 응결시간 및 초기재령 압축강도 추정 (ing Durometer D type Evaluation of the possibility of Estimatingon of Setting Time and InitialEarly aAge Compressive Strength Using Durometer D type Durometer)

  • 한수환;한준희;현승용;김종;한민철;한천구
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2021년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.57-58
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    • 2021
  • This study is conducted an experiment to unifyprovide a method to estimate the method of measuring the condensationsetting time and estimating the initialearly age compressive strength using the existingD type ddurometer. into a single device and to adopt the best estimation guidelines of the estimator. As a result of the experiment, Test results indicated that it is analyzed that the use of D type Durometer attached with modified needle, which was designed to secure improved accuracy in setting and compressive strength, enables to estimate it is possible to estimate the condensationsetting time of mortar and estimate the compressive strength ofat early age. the initial age when the estimation No. 2 is adopted for the Durometer D type.

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재관수 실증실험과 TRACE 코드를 활용한 모델 변수의 불확실도 정량화 (Uncertainty Quantification of Model Parameters Using Reflood Experiments and TRACE Code)

  • 유선오;이경원
    • 한국압력기기공학회 논문집
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.32-38
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    • 2024
  • The best estimate plus uncertainty methodologies for loss-of-coolant accident analyses make use of the best-estimate codes and relevant experimental databases. Inherently, best-estimate codes have various uncertainties in the model parameters, which can be quantified by the dedicated experimental database. Therefore, this study was devoted to establishing procedures for identifying the input parameters of predictive models and quantifying their uncertainty ranges. The rod bundle heat transfer experiments were employed as a representative reflood separate effect test, and the TRACE code was utilized as a best-estimate code. In accordance with the present procedure for uncertainty quantification, the integrated list of the influential input parameters and their uncertainty ranges was obtained through local sensitivity calculations and screening criteria. The validity of the procedure was confirmed by applying it to uncertainty analyses, which checks whether the measured data are within computed ranges of the variables of interest. The uncertainty quantification procedure proposed in this study is anticipated to provide comprehensive guidance for the conduct of uncertainty analyses.

무인 컨테이너 운송차량의 절대속도 추정을 위한 뉴럴 네크워크 모델 적용 (Absolute Vehicle Speed Estimation of Unmanned Container Transporter using Neural Network Model)

  • 하희권;오경흡
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.227-232
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    • 2004
  • 차량동역학제어시스템은 복잡하고 비선형이므로 잠금방지 제동시스템 및 자동주행시스템 개발에 어려움이 있다. 차량절대속도를 추정하기 위해 퍼지 로직 기법이 최근 적용되어 정상적인 조건에서 만족할 만한 결과를 얻고 있다. 그러나 급격한 제동시 추정오차가 크게 발생되었다. 본 논문에서는 휠 속도 센서를 이용하여 무인 컨테이너 운송차량의 절대속도를 추정하기 위해, 뉴럴 네트워크 모델의 방사대칭 기저함수와 주성분 분석법을 적용하여 10개의 추정 알고리즘중 오차를 4% 이내로 추정할 수 있는 알고리즘을 제시하였다.

MS Excel 함수들을 이용한 회귀 분석 모형 추정 및 관계 분석 검정을 위한 매크로 개발 (지하철 전기요금 자료 회귀분석에 응용) (Development of MS Excel Macros to estimate regression models and test hypotheses of relationships between variables (Application to regression analysis of subway electric charges data))

  • 김숙영
    • 한국컴퓨터산업학회논문지
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    • 제10권5호
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    • pp.213-220
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    • 2009
  • 변수들간의 관계 모형을 설정하고 관계성 유무를 분석하는 회귀 분석은 거의 모든 조사 연구 및 실험연구들에서 필수적인 통계 분석 방법이다. 자료는 독립변수와 종속변수로 구성되므로 쌍으로 취급되며 모든 통계량 계산은 행렬 연산에 의하여 수행된다. 변수들 관계를 가장 잘 설명하는 모형 설정에 따라 회귀분석 결과의 정확성이 평가되므로 자료 수치들을 XY 평면상에서 점을 찍어 가장 적합한 함수 모형을 선택해야 한다. MS 엑셀의 그래픽 및 행렬 연산 기능의 메뉴들을 사용하면 수집된 자료에 가장 적합한 모형을 설정하고 필요한 모든 가설검정 작업을 쉽게 수행할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 회귀 분석의 모형 설정 및 가설검정 결과들을 산출하는 엑셀 함수를 이용한 매크로를 개발하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 회귀분석 매크로를 한 개의 종속변수와 3개의 독립 변수를 가진 지하철 전기요금 자료 분석에 적용하여 얻은 결과와 엑셀에 내장된 통계 회귀분석 메뉴를 적용한 결과를 비교한다.

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Estimate of the Basic Reproduction Number for COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

  • Alimohamadi, Yousef;Taghdir, Maryam;Sepandi, Mojtaba
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제53권3호
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is one of the main public health challenges currently facing the world. Because of its high transmissibility, COVID-19 has already caused extensive morbidity and mortality in many countries throughout the world. An accurate estimation of the basic reproduction number (R0) of COVID-19 would be beneficial for prevention programs. In light of discrepancies in original research on this issue, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to estimate the pooled R0 for COVID-19 in the current outbreak. Methods: International databases (including Google Scholar, Science Direct, PubMed, and Scopus) were searched to identify studies conducted regarding the R0 of COVID-19. Articles were searched using the following keywords: "COVID-19" and "basic reproduction number" or "R0." The heterogeneity among studies was assessed using the I2 index, the Cochran Q test, and T2. A random-effects model was used to estimate R0 in this study. Results: The mean reported R0 in the identified articles was 3.38±1.40, with a range of 1.90 to 6.49. According to the results of the random-effects model, the pooled R0 for COVID-19 was estimated as 3.32 (95% confidence interval, 2.81 to 3.82). According to the results of the meta-regression analysis, the type of model used to estimate R0 did not have a significant effect on heterogeneity among studies (p=0.81). Conclusions: Considering the estimated R0 for COVID-19, reducing the number of contacts within the population is a necessary step to control the epidemic. The estimated overall R0 was higher than the World Health Organization estimate.