• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ensemble models

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Scoring models to detect foreign exchange money laundering (외국환 거래의 자금세탁 혐의도 점수모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Seong-Ik;Moon, Tae-Hee;Sohn, So-Young
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.268-276
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    • 2005
  • In recent years, the money Laundering crimes are increasing by means of foreign exchange transactions. Our study proposes four scoring models to provide early warning of the laundering in foreign exchange transactions for both inward and outward remittances: logistic regression model, decision tree, neural network, and ensemble model which combines the three models. In terms of accuracy of test data, decision tree model is selected for the inward remittance and an ensemble model for the outward remittance. From our study results, the accumulated number of transaction turns out to be the most important predictor variable. The proposed scoring models deal with the transaction level and is expected to help the bank teller to detect the laundering related transactions in the early stage.

The Development of Ensemble Statistical Prediction Model for Changma Precipitation (장마 강수를 위한 앙상블 통계 예측 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Yong;Seo, Kyong-Hwan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.533-540
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    • 2014
  • Statistical forecast models for the prediction of the summertime Changma precipitation have been developed in this study. As effective predictors for the Changma precipitation, the springtime sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the North Atlantic (NA1), the North Pacific (NPC) and the tropical Pacific Ocean (CNINO) has been suggested in Lee and Seo (2013). To further improve the performance of the statistical prediction scheme, we select other potential predictors and construct 2 additional statistical models. The selected predictors are the Northern Indian Ocean (NIO) and the Bering Sea (BS) SST anomalies, and the spring Eurasian snow cover anomaly (EUSC). Then, using the total three statistical prediction models, a simple ensemble-mean prediction is performed. The resulting correlation skill score reaches as high as ~0.90 for the last 21 years, which is ~16% increase in the skill compared to the prediction model by Lee and Seo (2013). The EUSC and BS predictors are related to a strengthening of the Okhotsk high, leading to an enhancement of the Changma front. The NIO predictor induces the cyclonic anomalies to the southwest of the Korean peninsula and southeasterly flows toward the peninsula, giving rise to an increase in the Changma precipitation.

Response of Terrestrial Carbon Cycle: Climate Variability in CarbonTracker and CMIP5 Earth System Models (기후 인자와 관련된 육상 탄소 순환 변동: 탄소추적시스템과 CMIP5 모델 결과 비교)

  • Sun, Minah;Kim, Youngmi;Lee, Johan;Boo, Kyoung-On;Byun, Young-Hwa;Cho, Chun-Ho
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.301-316
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzes the spatio-temporal variability of terrestrial carbon flux and the response of land carbon sink with climate factors to improve of understanding of the variability of land-atmosphere carbon exchanges accurately. The coupled carbon-climate models of CMIP5 (the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project) and CT (CarbonTracker) are used. The CMIP5 multi-model ensemble mean overestimated the NEP (Net Ecosystem Production) compares to CT and GCP (Global Carbon Project) estimates over the period 2001~2012. Variation of NEP in the CMIP5 ensemble mean is similar to CT, but a couple of models which have fire module without nitrogen cycle module strongly simulate carbon sink in the Africa, Southeast Asia, South America, and some areas of the United States. Result in comparison with climate factor, the NEP is highly affected by temperature and solar radiation in both of CT and CMIP5. Partial correlation between temperature and NEP indicates that the temperature is affecting NEP positively at higher than mid-latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere, but opposite correlation represents at other latitudes in CT and most CMIP5 models. The CMIP5 models except for few models show positive correlation with precipitation at $30^{\circ}N{\sim}90^{\circ}N$, but higher percentage of negative correlation represented at $60^{\circ}S{\sim}30^{\circ}N$ compare to CT. For each season, the correlation between temperature (solar radiation) and NEP in the CMIP5 ensemble mean is similar to that of CT, but overestimated.

Metaheuristic models for the prediction of bearing capacity of pile foundation

  • Kumar, Manish;Biswas, Rahul;Kumar, Divesh Ranjan;T., Pradeep;Samui, Pijush
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.129-147
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    • 2022
  • The properties of soil are naturally highly variable and thus, to ensure proper safety and reliability, we need to test a large number of samples across the length and depth. In pile foundations, conducting field tests are highly expensive and the traditional empirical relations too have been proven to be poor in performance. The study proposes a state-of-art Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) hybridized Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS); and comparative analysis of metaheuristic models (ANN-PSO, ELM-PSO, ANFIS-PSO) for prediction of bearing capacity of pile foundation trained and tested on dataset of nearly 300 dynamic pile tests from the literature. A novel ensemble model of three hybrid models is constructed to combine and enhance the predictions of the individual models effectively. The authenticity of the dataset is confirmed using descriptive statistics, correlation matrix and sensitivity analysis. Ram weight and diameter of pile are found to be most influential input parameter. The comparative analysis reveals that ANFIS-PSO is the best performing model in testing phase (R2 = 0.85, RMSE = 0.01) while ELM-PSO performs best in training phase (R2 = 0.88, RMSE = 0.08); while the ensemble provided overall best performance based on the rank score. The performance of ANN-PSO is least satisfactory compared to the other two models. The findings were confirmed using Taylor diagram, error matrix and uncertainty analysis. Based on the results ELM-PSO and ANFIS-PSO is proposed to be used for the prediction of bearing capacity of piles and ensemble learning method of joining the outputs of individual models should be encouraged. The study possesses the potential to assist geotechnical engineers in the design phase of civil engineering projects.

Contactless User Identification System using Multi-channel Palm Images Facilitated by Triple Attention U-Net and CNN Classifier Ensemble Models

  • Kim, Inki;Kim, Beomjun;Woo, Sunghee;Gwak, Jeonghwan
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we propose an ensemble model facilitated by multi-channel palm images with attention U-Net models and pretrained convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for establishing a contactless palm-based user identification system using conventional inexpensive camera sensors. Attention U-Net models are used to extract the areas of interest including hands (i.e., with fingers), palms (i.e., without fingers) and palm lines, which are combined to generate three channels being ped into the ensemble classifier. Then, the proposed palm information-based user identification system predicts the class using the classifier ensemble with three outperforming pre-trained CNN models. The proposed model demonstrates that the proposed model could achieve the classification accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score of 98.60%, 98.61%, 98.61%, 98.61% respectively, which indicate that the proposed model is effective even though we are using very cheap and inexpensive image sensors. We believe that in this COVID-19 pandemic circumstances, the proposed palm-based contactless user identification system can be an alternative, with high safety and reliability, compared with currently overwhelming contact-based systems.

Development of Multi-Ensemble GCMs Based Spatio-Temporal Downscaling Scheme for Short-term Prediction (여름강수량의 단기예측을 위한 Multi-Ensemble GCMs 기반 시공간적 Downscaling 기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Min, Young-Mi;Hameed, Saji N.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1142-1146
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    • 2009
  • A rainfall simulation and forecasting technique that can generate daily rainfall sequences conditional on multi-model ensemble GCMs is developed and applied to data in Korea for the major rainy season. The GCM forecasts are provided by APEC climate center. A Weather State Based Downscaling Model (WSDM) is used to map teleconnections from ocean-atmosphere data or key state variables from numerical integrations of Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models to simulate daily sequences at multiple rain gauges. The method presented is general and is applied to the wet season which is JJA(June-July-August) data in Korea. The sequences of weather states identified by the EM algorithm are shown to correspond to dominant synoptic-scale features of rainfall generating mechanisms. Application of the methodology to seasonal rainfall forecasts using empirical teleconnections and GCM derived climate forecast are discussed.

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Pareto RBF network ensemble using multi-objective evolutionary computation

  • Kondo, Nobuhiko;Hatanaka, Toshiharu;Uosaki, Katsuji
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.925-930
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, evolutionary multi-objective selection method of RBF networks structure is considered. The candidates of RBF network structure are encoded into the chromosomes in GAs. Then, they evolve toward Pareto-optimal front defined by several objective functions concerning with model accuracy and model complexity. An ensemble network constructed by such Pareto-optimal models is also considered in this paper. Some numerical simulation results indicate that the ensemble network is much robust for the case of existence of outliers or lack of data, than one selected in the sense of information criteria.

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Design and Implementation of the Ensemble-based Classification Model by Using k-means Clustering

  • Song, Sung-Yeol;Khil, A-Ra
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.20 no.10
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we propose the ensemble-based classification model which extracts just new data patterns from the streaming-data by using clustering and generates new classification models to be added to the ensemble in order to reduce the number of data labeling while it keeps the accuracy of the existing system. The proposed technique performs clustering of similar patterned data from streaming data. It performs the data labeling to each cluster at the point when a certain amount of data has been gathered. The proposed technique applies the K-NN technique to the classification model unit in order to keep the accuracy of the existing system while it uses a small amount of data. The proposed technique is efficient as using about 3% less data comparing with the existing technique as shown the simulation results for benchmarks, thereby using clustering.

Classification for Imbalanced Breast Cancer Dataset Using Resampling Methods

  • Hana Babiker, Nassar
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.89-95
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    • 2023
  • Analyzing breast cancer patient files is becoming an exciting area of medical information analysis, especially with the increasing number of patient files. In this paper, breast cancer data is collected from Khartoum state hospital, and the dataset is classified into recurrence and no recurrence. The data is imbalanced, meaning that one of the two classes have more sample than the other. Many pre-processing techniques are applied to classify this imbalanced data, resampling, attribute selection, and handling missing values, and then different classifiers models are built. In the first experiment, five classifiers (ANN, REP TREE, SVM, and J48) are used, and in the second experiment, meta-learning algorithms (Bagging, Boosting, and Random subspace). Finally, the ensemble model is used. The best result was obtained from the ensemble model (Boosting with J48) with the highest accuracy 95.2797% among all the algorithms, followed by Bagging with J48(90.559%) and random subspace with J48(84.2657%). The breast cancer imbalanced dataset was classified into recurrence, and no recurrence with different classified algorithms and the best result was obtained from the ensemble model.

A Study on the Insider Behavior Analysis Framework for Detecting Information Leakage Using Network Traffic Collection and Restoration (네트워크 트래픽 수집 및 복원을 통한 내부자 행위 분석 프레임워크 연구)

  • Kauh, Janghyuk;Lee, Dongho
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.125-139
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we developed a framework to detect and predict insider information leakage by collecting and restoring network traffic. For automated behavior analysis, many meta information and behavior information obtained using network traffic collection are used as machine learning features. By these features, we created and learned behavior model, network model and protocol-specific models. In addition, the ensemble model was developed by digitizing and summing the results of various models. We developed a function to present information leakage candidates and view meta information and behavior information from various perspectives using the visual analysis. This supports to rule-based threat detection and machine learning based threat detection. In the future, we plan to make an ensemble model that applies a regression model to the results of the models, and plan to develop a model with deep learning technology.