• 제목/요약/키워드: Electric Power Loads

검색결과 364건 처리시간 0.025초

Winters' Multiplicative Seasonal Model에 의한 월 최대 전력부하의 단기예측 (Short-Term Forecasting of Monthly Maximum Electric Power Loads Using a Winters' Multiplicative Seasonal Model)

  • 양문희;임상규
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.63-75
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    • 2002
  • To improve the efficiency of the electric power generation, monthly maximum electric power consumptions for a next one year should be forecasted in advance and used as the fundamental input to the yearly electric power-generating master plan, which has a greatly influence upon relevant sub-plans successively. In this paper, we analyze the past 22-year hourly maximum electric load data available from KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation) and select necessary data from the raw data for our model in order to reflect more recent trends and seasonal components, which hopefully result in a better forecasting model in terms of forecasted errors. After analyzing the selected data, we recommend to KEPCO the Winters' multiplicative model with decomposition and exponential smoothing technique among many candidate forecasting models and provide forecasts for the electric power consumptions and their 95% confidence intervals up to December of 1999. It turns out that the relative errors of our forecasts over the twelve actual load data are ranged between 0.1% and 6.6% and that the average relative error is only 3.3%. These results indicate that our model, which was accepted as the first statistical forecasting model for monthly maximum power consumption, is very suitable to KEPCO.

손실배분계수를 이용한 송전선로 유효전력 손실의 배분법 (A Method to Allocate Real Power Losses of Transmission Lines using Loss Distribution factors)

  • 노경수
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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    • pp.1259-1261
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    • 1999
  • The paper proposes a simple method to calculate the portion of real power losses allocated to individual loads. The method is implemented by loss distribution factors, and analyses the share of loads in transmission line losses. Effectiveness of the algorithm is verified by a computer simulation. The results can be used to compute the cost of ancillary services under deregulated environment in electric power industries.

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EMTDC 시뮬레이션을 이용한 DVR 시스템 적용에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Application of the DVR System using EMTDC Simulation)

  • 최영도;곽노홍;전영수;전동훈
    • 전력전자학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 전력전자학회 2008년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.69-71
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    • 2008
  • Recently, the interest on power quality has been hot issue because the equipments cause voltage disturbance and become more sensitive to the voltage disturbance. The DVR(Dynamic Voltage Restorer) is one of the Custom Power Device that can compensate the voltage. DVR operates as a series connected compensator whose output voltage can be controlled system voltage. And the magnitude of compensation voltage is limited by the characteristics of system and load. Compensation capability of DVR was simulated by EMTDC under several condition. This paper analyzed effect of DVR's compensation at power quality test center which has SSFG(Sag, swell, and Flicker Generator, CPDs(SSTS, DVR, DSTATCOM), and loads.

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다중회귀모형을 이용한 104주 주 최대 전력수요예측 (Weekly Maximum Electric Load Forecasting Method for 104 Weeks Using Multiple Regression Models)

  • 정현우;김시연;송경빈
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제63권9호
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    • pp.1186-1191
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    • 2014
  • Weekly and monthly electric load forecasting are essential for the generator maintenance plan and the systematic operation of the electric power reserve. This paper proposes the weekly maximum electric load forecasting model for 104 weeks with the multiple regression model. Input variables of the multiple regression model are temperatures and GDP that are highly correlated with electric loads. The weekly variable is added as input variable to improve the accuracy of electric load forecasting. Test results show that the proposed algorithm improves the accuracy of electric load forecasting over the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model. We expect that the proposed algorithm can contribute to the systematic operation of the power system by improving the accuracy of the electric load forecasting.

부하변동율을 이용한 선거일의 24시간 수요예측 (The 24 Hourly Load Forecasting of the Election Day Using the Load Variation Rate)

  • 송경빈
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제59권6호
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    • pp.1041-1045
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    • 2010
  • Short-term electric load forecasting of power systems is essential for the power system stability and the efficient power system operation. An accurate load forecasting scheme improves the power system security and saves some economic losses in power system operations. Due to scarcity of the historical same type of holiday load data, most big electric load forecasting errors occur on load forecasting for the holidays. The fuzzy linear regression model has showed good accuracy for the load forecasting of the holidays. However, it is not good enough to forecast the load of the election day. The concept of the load variation rate for the load forecasting of the election day is introduced. The proposed algorithm shows its good accuracy in that the average percentage error for the short-term 24 hourly loads forecasting of the election days is 2.27%. The accuracy of the proposed 24 hourly loads forecasting of the election days is compared with the fuzzy linear regression method. The proposed method gives much better forecasting accuracy with overall average error of 2.27%, which improved about average error of 2% as compared to the fuzzy linear regression method.

연료전지를 이용한 전력변환장치 시스템 모델링 (The Modeling of Power conversion system with PEM fuel cell)

  • 한경희;권삼영;박현준;이병송;백수현
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1984-1989
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    • 2008
  • A powered system with fuel cell is regarded as a high current and low voltage source. Effects of the loads on the electrical power source are important to optimize the integrated power system. The design parameters of the system should be chosen by taking into account the characteristics of the fuel cell, so the costs of the power system at given operating conditions can be reduced. Furthermore, the dynamics characteristic of the system is crucial to acquire performance in applications, particularly interactions between loads and the fuel cell system. Currently, no integrated simulation has been approached to analyze interrelated effects. Therefore, the dynamic models of power conversion system with a PEM fuel cell that includes the PEM fuel cell stack, DC/DC converter and associated controls is developed. Electric lads for the system are derived by using a power theory that separates a load current into active, reactive, distortion or a mixed current component. Dependency of the DC capacitor on the loads are analyzed.

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VEHICLE ELECTRIC POWER SIMULATOR FOR OPTIMIZING THE ELECTRIC CHARGING SYSTEM

  • Lee, Wootaik;Sunwoo, MyoungHo
    • International Journal of Automotive Technology
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.157-164
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    • 2001
  • The vehicle electric power system, which consists of two major components: a generator and a battery, which have to provide numerous electrical and electronic systems with enough electrical energy. A detailed understanding of the characteristics of the electric power system, electrical load demands, and the driving environment such as road, season, and vehicle weight is required when the capacities of the generator and the battery are to be determined for a vehicle. An easy-to-use and inexpensive simulation program may be needed to avoid the over/under design problem of the electric power system. A vehicle electric power simulator is developed in this study. The simulator can be utilized to determine the optimal capacities of generators and batteries. To improve the expandability and easy usage of the simulation program, the program is organized in modular structures, and is run on a PC. Empirical electrical models of various generators and batteries, and the structure of the simulation program are presented. For executing the vehicle electric power simulator, data of engine speed profile and electric loads of a vehicle are required, and these data are obtained from real driving conditions. In order to improve the accuracy of the simulator, numerous driving data of a vehicle are logged and analyzed.

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전기철도용 무접촉 급전방식일 환한 기초검토 (Investigation of contactless power transfer system for electric railway)

  • 이병송;배창한
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전기기기 및 에너지변환시스템부문
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    • pp.272-274
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    • 2003
  • This paper investigates contactless power transfer system for electric railway which makes use of electromagnetic induction among the coils. The transmission line efficiency and the quality factor are introduced to analyze the performance of the contactless power transfer system. Several instances of the mobile loads using contactless power transmission are described to understand practical usefulness.

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철근 콘크리트 벽과 강판 콘크리트 벽이 수직으로 만나는 이질접합 구조물의 면외 휨 거동 특성 연구 (A Study on Out-of-Plane Flexural Behavior of the Structure with a Vertical Plane Connection between a Reinforced Concrete Wall and a Steel Plate Concrete Wall)

  • 황경민;이경진;함경원;김원기
    • 한국강구조학회 논문집
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 철근콘크리트 벽과 강판 콘크리트 벽이 서로 수직면의 이질접합 형태로 만나는 벽의 면외 휨 거동 특성을 검토하기 위하여, L형 실험체를 제작하고 휨 실험을 수행하였다. 실험 시, 실험체의 동적특성을 확인하기 위하여 Push 및 Pull 하중을 반복하는 싸이클 하중을 구현하고자 하였다. Push 하중에 의한 실험 결과, 실험체의 공칭강도를 초과하는 휨 성능을 발휘하였으며, 이에 따라 설계에 적용된 수직철근의 미겹침 이음길이의 타당성을 확인할 수 있었다. 한편, Pull 하중 가력 시에는 수직철근이 최대 내력을 발휘하기 전에 접합부 콘크리트에서 전단 파괴 거동이 나타나, 이에 대한 보강이 필요함을 확인하였다.

가변부하를 갖는 선형 증폭기를 구동하기 위한 전압적응 변환기용 전력공급기 개발 (Development of Power Supply for Voltage-Adaptable Converter to Drive Linear Amplifiers with Variable Loads)

  • 엄기홍
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.251-257
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    • 2014
  • 모터의 일종으로서 엑츄에이터는 전기 에너지를 운동 에너지로 변환하기 위하여 전류를 이용하여 동작하는 메커니즘을 제어하는 시스템이다. 전압을 가청 신호로 변환하는 기능을 갖는 오디오 액츄 에이터로서는 스피커와 증폭기가 흔히 사용된다. 산업 현장에서는 고출력 고양질의 전력 시스템이 필요하다. 이러한 시스템들이 품질이 좋은 출력을 생성하기 위하여 오디오 시스템의 출력 임피던스를 제어해야 만 한다. 우리는 이 논문에서 가변 부하가 연결되어 있는 능동 증폭기 시스템을 구동하기 위한 적응 특성을 전력 공급기를 제시한다. 전기 신호를 오디오 신호로 변환하는 스피커의 저항값이 변동함에 따라 능동 증폭기에 대한 전력 공급 장치는 부하값의 변동에 적응하여 스피커에 최대 전력을 공급하며, 피크전류의 급격한 변동과 과잉전류의 흐름으로부터 증폭기를 보호하게 된다.