• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.137-152
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• 2023

Purpose - Although many existing studies on the US-China hegemonic conflict and decoupling have been published, most of them are qualitative and use descriptive analysis methods. Papers that quantitatively analyzed decoupling mainly estimate the effect of a tariff increase. However, this paper quantitatively analyzed the ripple effect by focusing on decoupling technology spillover between the United States and China. And, for the first time, it was suggested that the blocking of technology spillover could give a fatal blow to the East Asian economy as well as China. Design/methodology - The United States is pursuing decoupling with China, primarily in goods trade and blocking technology transfer. This paper sets up various scenarios and uses three computational general equilibrium (CGE) models to analyze the overall ripple effects of decoupling. A paper using the three CGE models for decoupling ripple effect analysis has not yet been published. Findings - Decoupling will hit the economies of regions with close economic ties to China more than others. According to simulation results of this study, the Chinese economy may suffer severe damage that is difficult to recover from, and the economies of Asian countries are predicted to deteriorate to the point of being choked. Originality/value - Existing papers that assessed the effect of decoupling mostly focus on estimating the effect itself through tariff hikes. This paper is meaningful in that it comprehensively analyzed decoupling by adding the effect of technology spillover blockade. In addition, another meaning can be found in that it quantified for the first time that it will deal a huge blow to the extent of choking the East Asian economy as well as China.

• 정보관리연구
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• 제39권3호
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• pp.73-94
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• 2008

과학기술정보가 앞으로의 경제발전의 주도적인 역할을 수행할 지식기반사회의 핵심 요체임과 동시에 우리나라가 지식정보강국으로 도약할 기본적인 인프라임에도 불구하고 국가 지식정보시스템 개발에 따른 경제성장 및 제반 경제구조에 미치는 영향에 대한 분석은 현재 매우 미미한 실정이다. 이에 본 논문은 국가 지식정보시스템 개발의 연구활동이 경제 각 부문에 미치는 효과를 한국은행(2007)의 산업연관분석을 이용하여 생산유발효과, 부가가치유발효과, 수입유발효과, 취업자유발효과로 나누어 경제적 파급효과를 분석하고, 연구개발 투자에 대한 비용편익분석을 통해 국가 지식정보시스템 개발에 대한 경제사회적 타당성을 검증하고자 한다.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.53-58
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• 2017

Purpose - The world economy is changing with FTA. Lots of FTAs are going on between countries and economic blocs in the world economy as the battle field of FTA. This study is aims to suggest a practical data about Korea-China FTA by analyzing an economic ripple effect and main issues on Korea-China FTA negotiation. Research design, data, and methodology - This study analyzes the economic impact and major issues expected during the promotion period of Korea-China FTA, and promoted the purpose of this research with literature review and comparative analysis. Result - FTA agreement with China is expected to contribute to Korean economic growth by bringing effectiveness of securing and resolving mutual trade conflict, and one-sided trade protection control of Chinese domestic demand market. The potentiality between United States and Korea is also very important issue. Conclusions - To minimize the adverse effects of FTA and to maximize the positive effects on the logistics industry, the Correspondence strategy is suggested based on the effects of FTA after analyzing the entire situation of the logistics. Especially, this article places emphasis on a close cooperation system between the government agencies to get a good conclusion from the negotiation even if the e-Commerce issue to be a critical point under Korea-China FTA.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.132-140
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• 2020

The development status was studied to predict the concept of how drone taxis would be presented in daily life. the results of the analysis on traffic effects of drone taxis showed that they would be an innovative transportation option that could reach a distance of 60km, which would typically take an hour by car, within twenty minutes. Moreover, the economic analysis of existing aircraft development was limited to production (development investment) of the input budget. However, since the drone taxi is a new transportation system, an overall traffic platform, such as its own terminals, would need to be established. So, the production inducement effect was analyzed by dividing input budget into three factors; production, infrastructure, and service. The results indicate this to be an innovative project expected to have an economic ripple effect and reach a total of 24 trillion won after an investment of 13 trillion won (production + infrastructure + service) in Korea from 2020 to 2040.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.161-181
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• 2005

This paper investigates the circumstances and conditions of Mokpo Port to develop it as an international logistics stronghold and seeks scheme to maximize the local economic ripple effect through construction and activation of Mokpo New Port. Under the circumstances in which neighboring ports vying with each other have built broad spheres of influence, and competition among ports becomes fierce, a priority cargo attraction strategy should be established by using Mokpo's favorable location compared to other ports in order to ensure that a large quantity of goods is transported from Mokpo New Port. Especially, Mokpo New Port needs to be developed as a vehicles-only exporting port, as well as a port for used car exports and an import port for stones and timber.

• 한국데이타베이스학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국데이타베이스학회 2008년도 연합학회학술대회
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• pp.321-338
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• 2008

Information and communication industry, which shows rapid growth rate, is now leading the global economic growth, contributing a ripple effect on general business and economic structure. It is said that information and communication industry enables swift economic growth taking a role as a basic industry of information-oriented society. Especially, rapid technical innovation promotes mutual growth of other related industries and it is technology-intensive. The purpose of this research is to analyze the management efficiency of information and communication industry using DEA method, and finally suggest numerical value for inefficient organizations to improve their efficiency. CCR-I, BCC-I efficiency and RTS(Returns to scale) of 29 companies engaged in information and communication industry was evaluated. With the results, I suggested model companies for benchmarking in information and communication industry. To summarize, 7 companies were selected with CCR-I efficiency rate 1, and 12 companies with BCC-I efficiency rate 1. RTS was finalized with 8 IRS companies, 10 DRS companies, and 11 CRS companies.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제20권6호
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• pp.117-125
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• 2019

본 연구에서는 해외 산업단지 건설의 국내경제 파급효과를 극대화하기 위한 방안을 도출하는데 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 해외 건설협회의 준공실적 원시자료와 산업연관모형을 응용하여 산업단지 개발단계별(조사설계, 단지조성, 공장건축) 유발계수를 도출하였다. 분석결과, 도시용역은 인건비 비중이 높게 나타나고 있으며, 단지토목은 손익액 비중이 높게 나타났다. 이에 비해 공장건축은 중간투입비중과 손익비중이 높게 나타났다. 결국 동일한 공종과 비교할 때 산업단지의 해외개발은 고용측면에서는 용역이, 기업의 영업잉여 측면에서는 토목과 건축이, 국가경제 측면에서는 건축의 효과가 크게 나타난다. 따라서 우리나라 국내경제 파급 효과를 극대화하기 위해서는 단순히 해외 산업단지 개발을 통해 부지를 분양하는 사업구조보다는 산업단지 내 공장 건축까지 사업에 포함할 수 있는 수주전략을 도모할 필요가 있음을 시사한다.

• 융합정보논문지
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• 제8권6호
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• pp.409-416
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• 2018

본 연구의 목적은 2006년 12월 30일 조세특례제한법 제12조의2 신설로 도입된 조세감면제도의 거시경제적 파급효과를 추정하는 것에 있다. 연구방법은 자본의 사용자비용모형과 산업연관분석모형이며, 추정결과는 다음과 같다. 특구에 대한 법인세 감면제도로 2007~2016년 기간 동안 생산액 2,807억원, 부가가치 1,392억원, 취업자 수 2,355명을 증가시킨 것으로 나타났다. 이 결과는 연구개발특구에 대한 법인세 감면을 존속시키는 것이 "국가기술의 혁신을 통해 국민경제에 이바지할 것"이라는 정책 목표가 달성되었다는 것이 실증되었음을 보여준다.

• 한국병원경영학회지
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.32-42
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• 2016

This study is conducted to estimate economic ripple effects of subsidiary services of hospitals. Using the Input/Output Analysis, this study analyzes production inducement effect, added value inducement effect, and labor inducement effect. Also, it assesses potential economic effects of the subsidiary services of which the scope is expanded as the government's proposed in 2014. Data regarding hospital subsidiary services and economic effects are obtained from the hospitals' financial statements on the National Tax Services and the Bank of Korea. The major results of this study are summarized as follows; subsidiary service profits of hospitals are 466 billion won and rent profits of hospitals are 152 billion won. Of these, the rate of subsidiary service profits in tertiary hospitals is about 66% of total subsidiary service profits. Producement inducement effect of subsidiary services of hospitals is higher than that of total industry, service industry and medical service industry. Added value inducement effect of subsidiary services of hospitals is higher than that of total industry, manufacturing industry, service industry and medical service industry. Job position inducement effect of subsidiary service in hospitals is higher than that of total industry, service industry and medical service industry. Also, employment inducement effect of subsidiary service in hospitals is higher than that of total industry and medical service industry. The results may suggest that subsidiary services revenue in medical institutions contribute to improving operating profits. Facing with intense market competition and pressures to control health care costs, hospitals may need to determine whether subsidiary services help boost their profitability and improve customer satisfaction.

• 한국정보통신학회논문지
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.1031-1039
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• 2015

본 연구는 산업연관분석을 통하여 국내 정보보호 제조 및 서비스 산업의 경제파급효과를 분석한 것이다. 분석 결과, 정보보호 제품의 생산유발계수는 전 산업 평균보다 크지만, 정보보호 서비스는 전 산업 평균을 크게 하회하는 것으로 나타났다. 반면, 부가가치유발계수 및 고용유발계수의 경우 정보보호 서비스는 전 산업 평균을 크게 상회하는데 반해, 정보보호 제품은 전 산업 평균에 미치지 못해 생산유발계수와 대조적인 결과를 보였다. 전ㆍ후방 연쇄효과는 정보보호 제품 및 서비스 모두 산업 평균보다 낮은 수준으로 나타났다. 그리고 정보보호 산업은 전반적으로 국민경제에 미치는 성장 기여도와 고용기여도가 미약한 것으로 나타났으며, 특히 정보보호 제품의 경우 고용기여도가 마이너스를 기록해 해당 부문의 고용증대를 위한 노력이 시급한 것으로 나타났다.