• Title/Summary/Keyword: EOF분석

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Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of Droughts in Korea: Construction of Drought Severity-Area-Duration Curves (가뭄의 시공간적 분포 특성 연구: 가뭄심도-가뭄면적-가뭄지속기간 곡선의 작성)

  • Kim, Bo Kyung;Kim, Sang Dan;Lee, Jae Soo;Kim, Hung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1B
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2006
  • The rainfall depth-area-duration analysis which is used to characterize precipitation extremes for specification of so-called design storms, provides a basis for evaluation of drought severity when storm depth is replaced by an appropriate measure of drought severity. So we propose a method for constructing drought severity-area-duration curves in this study. Monthly precipitation data over the whole Korea are used to compute SPI. Such SPIs are abstracted to several independent spatial components from EOF analysis. Using Kriging method, these spatial components are used to constitute grid-based SPI data set over the whole Korea including Jeju island with $6km{\times}6km$ resolution. After identifying main drought events, the drought severity-area-duration curves for these events over 32-year period of record are finally constructed. As a result, such curves show the similar shape with storm-based curves in the sense that the drought severity (or rainfall depth) is inversely proportional to drought area from the curves, but drought-based curves are different from storm-based curves in the sense that the drought severity decreasing rate with respect to drought area is much less than depth decreasing rate.

Spatial Similarity between the Changjiang Diluted Water and Marine Heatwaves in the East China Sea during Summer (여름철 양자강 희석수 공간 분포와 동중국해 해양열파의 공간적 유사성에 관한 연구)

  • YONG-JIN TAK;YANG-KI CHO;HAJOON SONG;SEUNG-HWA CHAE;YONG-YUB KIM
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.121-132
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    • 2023
  • Marine heatwaves (MHWs), referring to anomalously high sea surface temperatures, have drawn significant attention from marine scientists due to their broad impacts on the surface marine ecosystem, fisheries, weather patterns, and various human activities. In this study, we examined the impact of the distribution of Changjiang diluted water (CDW), a significant factor causing oceanic property changes in the East China Sea (ECS) during the summer, on MHWs. The surface salinity distribution in the ECS indicates that from June to August, the eastern extension of the CDW influences areas as far as Jeju Island and the Korea Strait. In September, however, the CDW tends to reside in the Changjiang estuary. Through the Empirical Orthogonal Function analysis of the cumulative intensity of MHWs during the summer, we extracted the loading vector of the first mode and its principal component time series to conduct a correlation analysis with the distribution of the CDW. The results revealed a strong negative spatial correlation between areas of the CDW and regions with high cumulative intensity of MHWs, indicating that the reinforcement of stratification due to low-salinity water can increase the intensity and duration of MHWs. This study suggests that the CDW may still influence the spatial distribution of MHWs in the region, highlighting the importance of oceanic environmental factors in the occurrence of MHWs in the waters surrounding the Korean Peninsula.

Effects of the El Niño on Tropospheric Ozone in a Simulation using a Climate-Chemistry Model (기후-대기화학모델이 모의한 엘니뇨가 대류권 오존에 미치는 영향)

  • Moon, Byung-Kwon;Yeh, Sang-Wook;Park, Rokjin J.;Song, Chang-Keun;Youn, Daeok
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.7
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    • pp.662-668
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    • 2013
  • We examine the effects of El Ni$\tilde{n}$o on tropospheric ozone through the simulation of a Climate-Chemistry model for a 40-year period (1971-2010). The Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis reveals that the tropospheric ozone concentration in the central-eastern Pacific decreases when the El Ni$\tilde{n}$o occurs, which is consistent with the observation. However, the increase of ozone over Indian Ocean-Indonesia regions is weak in the simulation compared to the observations. We analyze details of the 2006 El Ni$\tilde{n}$o event to understand the mechanism that caused the change of ozone due to El Ni$\tilde{n}$o. It is found that enhanced convection as well as higher water vapor followed by shortened lifetime has led to lower the tropospheric ozone. Downward motion induced by the changes of atmospheric circulation due to sea surface temperature forcing, together with the decrease of water vapor, has brought ozone produced in the upper troposphere over the Indian Ocean.

Interannual Variability of Sea Water Temperatures in the Southern Waters of the Korean East Sea (한국 동남해역의 장주기 수온변동)

  • Ro, Young Jae
    • 한국해양학회지
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 1989
  • This study analyzes the interannual periodicity by using the statistical techniques of probability, spectral analysis, empirical orthogonal function analysis (EOF), and coherency analysis. The data base for this study is the time series of 1971-1985 temperature, salinity in the southern waters of the East Sea, 1960-1986 mean sea level at Pusan and Izuhara, and 1960-1986 sea level atmospheric pressure at Pusan. The appearances of anomalous temperatures higher and lower than 15-year mean monthly average with one standard deviation are about 30% of total data. The significant interannual period for temperature, salinity and sea level fluctuation is 36.6, and 23.3 months. The empirical orthogonal function analyses show that the 1st mode of the EOFs is responsible for more than 90% of total variance of the surface temperature variations, while in near-bottom waters, the relative importance of the higher EOF modes is much greater explaining more than 30% of total variance. The coherency between normalized temperatures and salinities is significant at the interannual period of 36.6 and 21.3 months.

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Analysis of the Variability of Leaf Area Index Derived From NOAA-AVHRR Satellite Image Data for South Korea (NOAA-AVHRR 자료로부터 유도된 남한지역 LAI 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Yim, Tae-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.908-911
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    • 2005
  • 지표와 대기사이에서 식물의 광합성 및 증발산 능력과 밀접하게 관련되어 있는 엽면적지수는 식생밀도를 나타낼때 사용되는 식생지수이다. 본 연구에서는 NOAA-AVHRR 자료를 사용한 엽면적지수를 사용하여 남한지역 엽면적지수의 시공간변화도와 주기성분석을 실시하였고 소양강댐유역, 안동댐유역과 주요 도시의 엽면적지수의 월별, 년별, 계절별 추세를 분석하였다. 추세분석결과 월추세 분석에서는 장기간의 뚜렷한 변동성을 나타내지는 않았지만 겨울과 봄 보다는 여름과 가을에 식생의 밀도가 더 높은 계절적인 요인에 많은 영향을 받는 것을 볼 수 있었다. 시간변화 분석결과 계절변화를 제외한 특별한 장기변동을 확인할 수 없었으며 엽면적지수의 공간 변화는 정규식생지수가 보여주는 지형이나 위도의 변화와 밀접한 관계를 가지는 변화양상을 보여주지 않았다. 이는 농지 및 삼림 등의 인위적 조성으로 인한 엽면적지수의 공간변화도 양상과 관계있다 하겠다.

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Analysis on the Variability of Korean Summer Rainfall Associated with the Tropical Low-frequency Oscillation (적도 저주파 진동과 관련된 한반도 여름철 강수의 변동성 연구)

  • Moon, Ja-Yeon;Choi, Youngeun;Park, Changyong
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.184-203
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzes the variability of Korean summer rainfall associated with the tropical low-frequency oscillation using long-term observation data. From the EOF analysis, the first mode showed opposite phase between the South and the North Korea with the regime shift in rainfall variability since the mid-1990s. The summer precipitation over South Korea tends to increase in southern part during strong El Ni$\tilde{n}$o where the warm sea surface temperature extends to far eastern tropical Pacific. In weak La Ni$\tilde{n}$a, the increased precipitation directly influences from the western tropical Pacific to the mid-latitude. In June, the rainfall over South Korea is positively correlated with the Indian Summer Monsoon while in July, it is negatively correlated with the Western North Pacific Summer Monsoon. In August, highly negative correlation between the rainfall over South Korea and the Indian Summer Monsoon is found.

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Structure and Variation of Tidal Flat Temperature in Gomso Bay, West Coast of Korea (서해안 곰소만 갯벌 온도의 구조 및 변화)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Cho, Yang-Ki;You, Kwang-Woo;Kim, Young-Gon;Choi, Hyun-Yong
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.100-112
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    • 2005
  • Soil temperature was measured from the surface to 40 cm depth at three stations with different heights in tidal flat of Gomso Bay, west coast of Korea, for one month in every season 2004 to examine the thermal structure and the variation. Mean temperature in surface layer was higher in summer and lower in winter than in lower layer, reflecting the seasonal variation of vertically propagating structure of temperature by heating and cooling from the tidal flat surface. Standard deviation of temperature decreased from the surface to lower layer. Periodic variations of solar radiation energy and tide mainly caused short term variation of soil temperature, which was also intermittently influenced by precipitation and wind. Time series analysis showed the power spectral energy peaks at the periods of 24, 12 and 8 hours, and the strongest peak appeared at 24 hour period. These peaks can be interpreted as temperature waves forced by variations of solar radiation, diurnal tide and interaction of both variations, respectively. EOF analysis showed that the first and the second modes resolved 96% of variation of vertical temperature structure. The first mode was interpreted as the heating antl cooling from tidal flat surface and the second mode as the effect of phase lag produced by temperature wave propagation in the soil. The phase of heat transfer by 24 hour period wave, analyzed by cross spectrum, showed that mean phase difference of the temperature wave increased almost linearly with the soil depth. The time lags by the phase difference from surface to 10, 20 and 40cm were 3.2,6.5 and 9.8 hours, respectively. Vertical thermal diffusivity of temperature wave of 24 hour period was estimated using one dimensional thermal diffusion model. Average diffusivity over the soil depths and seasons resulted in $0.70{\times}10^{-6}m^2/s$ at the middle station and $0.57{\times}10^{-6}m^2/s$ at the lowest station. The depth-averaged diffusivity was large in spring and small in summer and the seasonal mean diffusivity vertically increased from 2 cm to 10 cm and decreased from 10 cm to 40 cm. Thermal propagation speeds were estimated by $8.75{\times}10^{-4}cm/s,\;3.8{\times}10{-4}cm/s,\;and\;1.7{\times}10^{-4}cm/s$ from 2 cm to 10 cm, 20 cm and 40 cm, respectively, indicating the speed reduction with depth increasing from the surface.

Characteristics of Long-term Variability of the Net Heat Flux on the Sea Surface in the East Asian Marginal Seas (동아시아 해역 해수면 순열속의 장기 변동 특성)

  • Lee, Seong-Wook;Na, Jung-Yul
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.86-94
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    • 2000
  • In order to extract the spatio-temporal characteristics of long-term variability of the net heat flux on the sea surface in the East Asian marginal seas, empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis was conducted using data set calculated every 12 hours interval during 1978-1995. Among the first three modes explaining 73% of the total variance, the first mode having high peak at 1 year period indicates high variability area around the Sandong Peninsula and central and northeastern part of the East Sea. In the second mode which has spatial distribution of dipole type at the north and south, the peaks appear at 3.6 year and 2.3 year cycles. Time coefficient of the second EOF is believed to have close relation with the E1 Nino and has out-of-phase variation with NINO3 SST. Lagged correlation between NINO3 SST and time coefficient of the second EOF indicates four month time delay in the NINO3 SST. In the third mode which has opposite sign at the east and west, the periodicity of 6-9 year cycle has relatively clear appearance compared to other two EOFs. Also, high heat loss exceeding 800 W/$m^{2}$ in winter time occured at the south part of the Sandong Peninsula and Vladivostok. It reveals more frequent occurrence of about two times at the Sandong Peninsula than Vladivostok. The event is concentrated in January at Vladivostok, but it occurs primarily in December and January at the Sandong Peninsula.

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Long-term Forecast of Seasonal Precipitation in Korea using the Large-scale Predictors (광역규모 예측인자를 이용한 한반도 계절 강수량의 장기 예측)

  • Kim, Hwa-Su;Kwak, Chong-Heum;So, Seon-Sup;Suh, Myoung-Seok;Park, Chung-Kyu;Kim, Maeng-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.23 no.7
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    • pp.587-596
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    • 2002
  • A super ensemble model was developed for the seasonal prediction of regional precipitation in Korea using the lag correlated large scale predictors, based on the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis and multiple linear regression model. The predictability of this model was also evaluated by cross-validation. Correlation between the predicted and the observed value obtained from the super ensemble model showed 0.73 in spring, 0.61 in summer, 0.69 in autumn and 0.75 in winter. The predictability of categorical forecasting was also evaluated based on the three classes such as above normal, near normal and below normal that are clearly defined in terms of a priori specified by threshold values. Categorical forecasting by the super ensemble model has a hit rate with a range from 0.42 to 0.74 in seasonal precipitation.

Temporal and Spatial Variability of the TOMS Total Ozone; Global Trends and Profiles (TOMS 오존전량의 시공간 변동; 전구적인 추세 및 연직 분포)

  • Yoo Jung-Moon;Jeong Eun-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.199-217
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    • 2005
  • Using monthly total ozone data obtained from a Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) onboard the Nimbus-7 and Earth Probe satellite, this study examined the trend in the total amount of global ozone during two periods: from 1979-1992 [Early period] and 1997-2002 [Latter period]. The Annual average of total ozone during the Early period was globally reduced by about 10 DU compared to the amount during the Latter, except in some areas between the equator and 20 N. Global trends of total ozone showed a decrease of -6.30 DU/decade during 1979-1992, and an increase of 0.12 DU/decade during 1997-2002. Its enhancement during the Latter period was especially noticeable in tropical areas. The EOF analyses of total ozone from this period indicated signs of temporal/spatial variability, associated with the phenomena of Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO), Quasi-Triennial Oscillation (QTO), El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and volcanic eruption. Seasonal profiles of tropospheric ozone in the tropics obtained from ozonesondes, showed the spatial pattern of zonal wavenumber one. Overall, this study may be useful in analyzing possible causes in the variations of statospheric and tropospheric ozone.