• 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.19-24
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• 2004

미생물 위해성 평가의 용량-반응 모델은 생물학적 모델과 경험적 모델로 나눌 수 있다. 생물학적 모델은 미생물의 분포형태, 미생물에 대한 숙주의 감수성, 감염을 일으킬 수 있는 미생물 수에 대한 가정을 바탕으로 성립된 모델로서, 대표적으로 Exponential model과 $\beta$-Poisson model이 있다. 경험적 모델은 주로 화학물질의 독성을 나타내는데 이용되어 온 모델로, Weibull-Gamma model등이 있다. 여러 용량-반응 모델 중에서 실험 데이터에 적합한 모델을 걱정하는 데에는 deviance function(Y)을 이용하며, 현재 일부 식중독균에 대해서는 사람과 실험동물에서의 용량-반응 모델이 연구되어 있다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.287-299
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• 2022

In radiation epidemiology, the excess relative risk (ERR) model is used to determine the dose-response relationship. In general, the dose-response relationship for the ERR model is assumed to be linear, linear-quadratic, linear-threshold, quadratic, and so on. However, since none of these functions dominate other functions for expressing the dose-response relationship, a Bayesian semiparametric method using splines has recently been proposed. Thus, we improve the Bayesian semiparametric method for the selection of the tuning parameters for splines as the number and location of knots using a Bayesian knot selection method. Equally spaced knots cannot capture the characteristic of radiation exposed dose distribution which is highly skewed in general. Therefore, we propose a nonparametric Bayesian knot selection method based on a Dirichlet process mixture model. Inference of the spline coefficients after obtaining the number and location of knots is performed in the Bayesian framework. We apply this approach to the life span study cohort data from the radiation effects research foundation in Japan, and the results illustrate that the proposed method provides competitive curve estimates for the dose-response curve and relatively stable credible intervals for the curve.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제17권12호
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• pp.5107-5111
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• 2016

Background: Epidemiological studies have indicated an increasing incidence of radiation induced secondary cancer (SC) in breast cancer patients after radiotherapy (RT), most commonly in the contra-lateral breast (CLB). The present study was conducted to estimate the SC risk in the CLB following 3D conformal radiotherapy techniques (3DCRT) including wedge field and forward intensity modulated radiotherapy (fIMRT) based on the organ equivalent dose (OED). Material and Methods: RT plans treating the chest wall with conformal wedge field and fIMRT plans were created for 30 breast cancer patients. The risks of radiation induced cancer were estimated for the CLB using dose-response models: a linear model, a linear-plateau model and a bell-shaped model with full dose response accounting for fractionated RT on the basis of OED. Results: The plans were found to be ranked quite differently according to the choice of model; calculations based on a linear dose response model fIMRT predict statistically significant lower risk compared to the enhanced dynamic wedge (EDW) technique (p-0.0089) and a non-significant difference between fIMRT and physical wedge (PW) techniques (p-0.054). The widely used plateau dose response model based estimation showed significantly lower SC risk associated with fIMRT technique compared to both wedge field techniques (fIMRT vs EDW p-0.013, fIMRT vs PW p-0.04). The full dose response model showed a non-significant difference between all three techniques in the view of second CLB cancer. Finally the bell shaped model predicted interestingly that PW is associated with significantly higher risk compared to both fIMRT and EDW techniques (fIMRT vs PW p-0.0003, EDW vs PW p-0.0032). Conclusion: In conclusion, the SC risk estimations of the CLB revealed that there is a clear relation between risk associated with wedge field and fIMRT technique depending on the choice of model selected for risk comparison.

• 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.319-326
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• 1999

최근 국내에서는 Escherichia coli O157:H7, Listeria monocytogenes등의 미생물에 대한 건강위해성이 강조되면서 미생물 위해성평가에 대한 필요성이 제기되고 있고, U.S.FPA, U.S.DA, FAO/WHO를 비롯한 국제기구 및 외국 유관기관들에서도 미생물 위해성평가 방법을 식품관리에 활용하고자 방법론 연구에 주력하고 있다. 미생물 위험성은 화학물질과 달리 인체건강에 대한 영향이 즉각적이고, 심각하게 나타나 정량적인 위해성평가가 용이하지 않고 유해화학물질과는 다른 평가방법이 요구된다. 식품중 미생물의 위해성평가는 크게 4단계로 구분되는데, 미생물관련질환 추세파악 및 미생물 관련질병에 관한 역학조사 등을 활용하는 위험성확인 단계와 실제 식품원료, 식품가공, 수송, 포장단계 중 식품의 물리적, 화학적 조건에 따른 미생물 변화를 고려하여 식품중 미생물에 대한 노출을 정량화하는 노출평가 단계, 미생물의 용량에 따른 질병발생에 근거하여 용량-반응관계를 규명하는 용량-반응평가 단계, 규명된 모델을 활용하여 모든 평가결과를 통합함으로 위해 도치 예측과 불확실성 분석 등을 수행하는 위해도결정단계로 구성되어 있다. 미생물 용량-반응평가는 크게 비역치(Nonthreshold)와 역치(Threshold) 평가 방법론으로 구분되는데, 비역치 평가방법론은 단일 병원균이 감염을 일으킬 수 있다는 것과 감염을 일으킬 수 있는 확률이 독립적이라는 가정을 전제로 하고, 역치평가방법론은 미생물이 감염을 일으키기 위해서 각기 개별 역치가 존재하는데 어느 정도의 미생물수가 모여 서로 작용해야 독성유발물질을 만들어 낸다는 가정을 전제로 한다. 현재 받아들여지고 있는 비역치 모델로는 Exponential, Beta-poisson, Gompertz, Gamma-weibull 모델 등이 있으며, 역치모델로는 Log-normal, Log-logistic모델 등이 있다. 본 연구에서는 인체 volunteer자료를 활용하여 용량-반응자료를 입력하고 용량-반응자료를 토대로 적합한 수학적 모델을 찾아내어, 선별한 모델의 적합도 검정을 실시하는 방법론 연구를 실시하였으며, 노출평가 자료와 용량-반응평가 결과를 연계하여 위해도를 결정하는 과정에 대해 연구하였다 이 밖에도 모델(Food MicroModel)을 이용하여 식품의 염도, 수분활성도, 온도, pH등의 조건에 따른 미생물의 성장률, 사멸률 등 변화를 예측할 수 있는 방법론 연구를 통해 식품의 최적 보관 조건등을 찾아내는 방법을 습득하였다. 미생물 위해성평가는 외국에서도 아직 초기 연구단계에 있으며 현재로서 사후조사자료인 역학자료보다 건강한 성인남자를 대상으로 한 volunteer 자료를 우선적으로 활용하고 있으나 노약자나 민감그룹에 대한 실험은 현실적으로 불가능하여 동물실험을 이용한 평가방법을 연구중에 있다. 추후 연구방향으로는 국내 volunteer들을 대상으로 한 미생물별 용량-반응결과를 토대로 population sensitivity를 비교할 수 있는 기초자료를 확보함으로써 미생물에 대한 인구집단의 반응 민감성 차이를 비교하고 시료채취 후 즉각적인 실험실적 분석이 가능토록하여 정확한 인체노출평가를 수행함으로써 미생물 위해성평가방법론을 식품미생물관리에 적용하는 것이다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.633-640
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• 2012

Biological methods are described for the assay of certain substances and preparations whose potency cannot be adequately assured by chemical or physical analysis. The principle applied through these assays is of a comparison with a standard preparation to determine how much of the examined substance produces the same biological effects as a given quantity (the Unit) of the standard preparation. In these dilution assays, to estimate the relative potencies of the unknown preparations to the standard preparations, it is necessary to compare dose-response relationships of standard and unknown preparations. The dose-response relationship in the dilution assay is non-linear and sigmoid when a wide range of doses is applied. The parallel line model (applied to the dose region with the steepest slope) is used to estimate the relative potency. In this paper, the statistical theory in the parallel line model is explained with an application to a dilution assay data. The parallel line method is implemented in a SAS program and is available at the author's homepage(http://cafe.daum.net/go.analysis).

• 한국의학물리학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국의학물리학회 2002년도 Proceedings
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• pp.174-176
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• 2002

A total of 134 patients with stage 1 of non-small cell lung cancer treated by carbon ion beam of HIMAC NIRS were investigated for control rate and delivered dose. The delivered dose of every patient was converted to biological effective dose (BED) of LQ model using fraction number, dose per fraction and alpha beta ratio which shows the maximum correlation between BED and tumor control. The BED of every patient was classified to establish a BED response curve for control. Assuming fraction numbers, dose response curves were introduced from BED response curve. The total doses to realize several control rates were obtained for the treatment of small fraction number.

• Journal of Pharmaceutical Investigation
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• 제39권5호
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• pp.373-379
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• 2009

This study was conducted to develop a pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) model of a direct thrombin inhibitor, argatroban to predict the concentration-effect profiles in rats. Argatroban was i.v. injected to rats at 0. 2, 0.8 and 3.2 mg/kg doses (n = 4-5 per dose), and plasma drug levels were determined by a validated LC/MS/MS assay. The pharmacokinetics of argatroban was linear over the i.v. dose range studied. The thrombin time (TT) and the activated partial thromboplastin time (aPTT) were measured in rat plasma and they were found to linearly increase with increasing the dose. A 2-compartment pharmacokinetic model linked with an indirect response pharmacodynamic model was successfully utilized to evaluate the drug concentration-response relationship.

• International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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• 제1권3호
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• pp.282-288
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• 2003

It is known that HIV (Human Immunodeficiency Virus) infection, which causes AIDS after some latent period, is a dynamic process that can be modeled mathematically. Effects of available anti-viral drugs, which prevent HIV from infecting healthy cells, can also be included in the model. In this paper we illustrate control theory can be applied to a model of HIV infection. In particular, the drug dose is regarded as control input and the goal is to excite an immune response so that the symptom of infected patient should not be developed into AIDS. Finite horizon optimal control is employed to obtain the optimal schedule of drug dose since the model is highly nonlinear and we want maximum performance for enhancing the immune response. From the simulation studies, we found that gradual reduction of drug dose is important for the optimality. We also demonstrate the obtained open-loop optimal control is vulnerable to parameter variation of the model and measurement noise. To overcome this difficulty, we finally present nonlinear receding horizon control to incorporate feedback in the drug treatment.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
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• pp.1951-1956
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• 2003

It is known that HIV (Human Immunodeficiency Virus) infection, which causes AIDS after some latent period, is a dynamic process that can be modeled mathematically. Effects of available anti-viral drugs, which prevent HIV from infecting healthy cells, can also be included in the model. In this paper we illustrate control theory can be applied to a model of HIV infection. In particular, the drug dose is regarded as control input and the goal is to excite an immune response so that the symptom of infected patient should not be developed into AIDS. Finite horizon optimal control is employed to obtain the optimal schedule of drug dose since the model is highly nonlinear and we want maximum performance for enhancing the immune response. From the simulation studies, we find that gradual reduction of drug dose is important for the optimality. We also demonstrate the obtained open-loop optimal control is vulnerable to parameter variation of the model and measurement noise. To overcome this difficulty, we finally present nonlinear receding horizon control to incorporate feedback in the drug treatment.

• The Korean Journal of Pain
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.92-99
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• 2007

Background: A correlation between a T-type voltage activated calcium channel (VACC) and pain mechanism has not yet been established. The purpose of this study is to find out the effect of ethosuximide and mibefradil, representative selective T-type VACC blockers on postoperative pain using an incisional pain model of rats. Methods: After performing a plantar incision, rats were stabilized on plastic mesh for 2 hours. Then, the rats were injected with ethosuximide or mibefradil, intraperitoneally and intrathecally. The level of withdrawal threshold to the von Frey filament near the incision site was determined and the dose response curves were obtained. Results: After an intraperitoneal ethosuximide or mibefradil injection, the dose-response curve showed a dose-dependent increase of the threshold in a withdrawal reaction. After an intrathecal injection of ethosuximide, the threshold of a withdrawal reaction to mechanical stimulation increased and the increase was dose-dependent. After an intrathecal injection of mibefradil, no change occurred in either the threshold of a withdrawal reaction to mechanical stimulation or a dose-response curve. Conclusions: The T-type VACC blockers in a rat model of postoperative pain showed the antihyperalgesic effect. This effect might be due to blockade of T-type VACC, which was distributed in the peripheral nociceptors or at the supraspinal level. Further studies of the effect of T-type VACC on a pain transmission mechanism at the spinal cord level would be needed.