• 제목/요약/키워드: Distributed Parameter Model

검색결과 250건 처리시간 0.023초

일강우 내삽을 이용한 일유량 시뮬레이션 및 앙상블 유량 발생 (Ensemble Daily Streamflow Forecast Using Two-step Daily Precipitation Interpolation)

  • 황연상;허준행;정영훈
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제44권3호
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    • pp.209-220
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    • 2011
  • 입력자료의 불확실성은 강우-유출 모의에서 중요한 불확실성 요소 중의 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 먼저 세 가지의 서로 다른 내삽 기법을 통해 계산된 강수 입력 자료 (관측값을 각 소유역의 중심점으로 내삽하여 추정한 입력자료임)들이 강우-유출 모형에 미치는 영향을 분포형 수문모형 (PRMS)을 이용하여 분석하였으며, 내삽오차를 바탕으로 발생한 입력자료를 앙상블 유량 예측에 이용하는 과정을 수문학적으로 서로 다른 두개 하천 유역에 적용하였다. 또한 Monte Carlo기법을 이용하여 수문 모형의 매개변수가 서로 다른 입력자료의 특성에 따라 변화하는 양상을 구분하여 보았다. 본 연구에서 제시된 앙상블 유량 예측방법은 기상 예측 및 기상 모형의 결과물 등의 입력자료를 이용함으로써 중/장기 유량 예측에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

이분산 로짓모형의 추정과 적용 (Development and Application of the Heteroscedastic Logit Model)

  • 양인석;노정현;김강수
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2003
  • 로짓모형은 선택대안에 대한 확률 계산이 용이하고, 설명변수의 파라메타 추정이 용이하기 때문에 교통 수단 선택모형으로 널리 쓰여지고 있다. 그러나 이러한 로짓모형은 수단선택 효용함수의 오차항 분포가 선택 대안간에 독립적이고, 그 분산이 동일하다는(IID:Independent and Identically Distributed)가정을 내포한다. 본 연구는 수단선택 효용오차의 분산이 수단간에 동일하다는 가정을 완화시키는 이분산 로짓모형 추정에 관한 연구이다. 수단선택 효용오차항의 동분산성을 극복함으로써 보다 현실적인 통행자의 수단선택행태를 반영하는 로짓모형을 추정하는데 본 연구의 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 로짓모형 오차항의 분산과 직접적인 관련이 있는 규모인자(scale factor)를 도입하였다. 이는 대중 교통과 승용차의 통행시간차이에 따른 이분산성을 고려하도록 정의되었으며, 이를 통행시간 파라메타 추정에 활용하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 이분산 로짓모형의 추정 결과. 통행자의 통행시간이 증가하면서 대중교통수단과 승용차의 통행시간차이가 동일하더라도 통행자의 대중교통 수단선택확률이 차이를 보임으로 현실적인 통행자의 수단선택 행태를 반영하는 것으로 판명되었다.

계량경제모형간 국내 총화물물동량 예측정확도 비교 연구 (A Comparative Study on the Forecasting Accuracy of Econometric Models :Domestic Total Freight Volume in South Korea)

  • 정성환;강경우
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2015
  • 이 연구에서는 국내 총 화물물동량에 대한 5개 계량경제모형들의 예측정확도를 비교한다. 적용된 5개 모형은 통상최소자승모형, 부분조정모형, 축소된 자기회귀분포시차모형, 벡터자기회귀 모형, 시간변동계수모형이다. 모형의 추정과 예측은 1970-2011년 동안의 연간 국내 화물물동량 자료와 광공업생산지수를 이용하여 수행되었다. 5개 모형은 반복적인 예측방법을 이용하여 1년 후, 3년 후, 5년 후 예측성능이 비교되었다. 추가적으로 장래변동성의 크기에 따라 두 예측기간으로 나누어 예측정확도를 비교하였고, 결과적으로 시간변동계수모형은 변동을 갖는 예측기간에 대해서 가장 높은 정확도를, 반면에 벡터자기회귀 모형은 점진적인 변화를 갖는 예측기간에 대해서 다른 모형에 비해 우수한 성능을 보여주는 것으로 분석되었다.

Nonlinear deflection responses of layered composite structure using uncertain fuzzified elastic properties

  • Patle, B.K.;Hirwani, Chetan K.;Panda, Subrata Kumar;Katariya, Pankaj V.;Dewangan, Hukum Chand;Sharma, Nitin
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제35권6호
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    • pp.753-763
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    • 2020
  • In this article, the influence of fuzzified uncertain composite elastic properties on non-linear deformation behaviour of the composite structure is investigated under external mechanical loadings (uniform and sinusoidal distributed loading) including the different end boundaries. In this regard, the composite model has been derived considering the fuzzified elastic properties (through a triangular fuzzy function, α cut) and the large geometrical distortion (Green-Lagrange strain) in the framework of the higher-order mid-plane kinematics. The results are obtained using the fuzzified nonlinear finite element model via in-house developed computer code (MATLAB). Initially, the model accuracy has been established and explored later to show the dominating elastic parameter affect the deflection due to the inclusion of fuzzified properties by solving a set of new numerical examples.

Hologram Based QSAR Analysis of Xanthine Oxidase Inhibitors

  • Sathya., B
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.202-208
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    • 2017
  • Xanthine Oxidase is an enzyme, which oxidizes hypoxanthine to xanthine, and xanthine to uric acid. It is widely distributed throughout various organs including the liver, gut, lungs, kidney, heart, brain and plasma. It is involved in gout pathogenesis. Hence, in the present study, Hologram based Quantitative Structure Activity Relationship Study was performed on a series of Xanthine Oxidase antagonist named 2-(indol-5-yl) thiazole derivatives. The best HQSAR model was obtained using Atoms, Bonds, Connection, Hydrogen, Chirality and Donor Acceptor as fragment distinction parameter using hologram length 71 and 4 components with fragment size of minimum 2 and maximum 5. Significant cross-validated correlation coefficient ($q^2$= 0.563) and non cross-validated correlation coefficients ($r^2$= 0.967) were obtained. The model was then used to evaluate the six external test compounds and its $r^2{_{pred}}$ was found to be 0.798. Contribution map show that presence of propyl ring in indole thiazole makes big contributions for improving the biological activities of the compounds. We hope that our HQSAR model and analysis will be helpful for future design of xanthine oxidase antagonists.

유연 구조물에서 반력 평가를 위해 요구되는 모드의 수 (On the Number of Modes Required to Observe Forces in Flexible Structures)

  • 김주형;김상섭
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2001년도 추계학술대회논문집A
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    • pp.562-567
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    • 2001
  • The number of required modes to provide accurate force information in a truncated model of a flexible structure is investigated. In the case of modal truncation of a distributed parameter system, the difference in convergence rates between displacements and forces is discussed. The residual flexibility, a term from past literature, is used to recapture some of the lost force information in a truncated model. This paper presents numerical and experimental results of a study where the residual flexibility is used in conjunction with a Kalman filter so that accurate force information may be obtained from a small set of displacement measurements with a reduced-order model. The motivation for this paper is to be able to obtain accurate information about unmeasurable dynamic reaction forces in a rotating machine for diagnostic and control purposes.

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Robot manipulator's contact tasks on uncertain flexible objects

  • Wu, Jianqing;Luo, Zhiwei;Yamakita Masaki;Ito, Koji
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1995년도 Proceedings of the Korea Automation Control Conference, 10th (KACC); Seoul, Korea; 23-25 Oct. 1995
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    • pp.460-463
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    • 1995
  • The present paper studies a robot manipulator's contact tasks on the uncertain flexible objects. The flexible object's distributed parameter model is approximated into a lumped "position state-varying" model. By using the well-known nonlinear feedback compensation, the robot's control space is decomposed into the position control subspace and the object's torque control subspace. The optimal state feedback is designed for the position loop, and the robot's contact force is controlled through controlling the resultant torque on the object using model-reference simple adaptive control. Experiments of a PUMA robot interacting with an aluminum plate show the effectiveness of this control approach. approach.

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유연 구조물에서 반력 평가를 위해 요구되는 모드의 수 (On the Number of Modes Required to Observe Forces in Flexible Structures)

  • 김주형;김상섭
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.150-157
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    • 2002
  • The number of required modes to provide accurate force information in a truncated model of a flexible structure is investigated. In the case of modal truncation of a distributed parameter system, the difference in convergence rates between displacements and forces is discussed. The residual flexibility. a term from past literature, is used to recapture some of the lost force information in a truncated model. This paper presents numerical and experimental results of a study where the residual flexibility is used in conjunction with a Kalman filter so that accurate force information may be obtained from a small set of displacement measurements wish a reduced-order model. The motivation for this paper is to be able to obtain accurate information about unmeasurable dynamic reaction forces in a rotating machine for diagnostic and control purposes.

고정자의 유연성을 고려한 유체베어링 지지 HDD 스핀들 계의 진동해석 (Vibration Analyses of HDD Spindle Systems Supported by Hydrodynamic Bearings Taking into Account Stator's Flexibility)

  • 임승철;전상복;한윤식;이호성;김철순
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.749-756
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents vibration analyses of hard disk drive (HDD) spindle systems based on the finite element method. The systems under investigation have a cantilevered shaft rotating on hydrodynamic bearings. In particular, the influence of stator's flexibility on major modes has been taken into account in dual ways lumped and distributed-parameter model approfches. Even the latter employs relatively macroscopic elements instead of extremely fine ones Popular in commercial codes. In order to prove the effectiveness of such formulated models, two types of HDD prototypes featuring different hub and stator structures are selected as examples. Compared to the first, the second type has a reinforced stator that would raise the natural frequency of the hub's translational (or sideway) mode. Both free and forced vibration characteristics are computed, and subsequently compared with the experimental data. It is our conclusion that Particularly the Proposed distributed model method is an efficient design tool for state-of-the-art HDD spindle systems.

Hybrid Control and Protection Scheme for Inverter Dominated Microgrids

  • Xu, Xiaotong;Wen, Huiqing;Jiang, Lin;Hu, Yihua
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.744-755
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    • 2017
  • With the high penetration of various sustainable energy sources, the control and protection of Microgrids has become a challenging problem considering the inherent current limitation feature of inverter-based Distributed Generators (DGs) and the bidirectional power flow in Microgrids. In this paper, a hybrid control and protection scheme is proposed, which combines the traditional inverse-time overcurrent protection with the biased differential protection for different feeders with different kinds of loads. It naturally accommodates various control strategies such as P-Q control and V-f control. The parameter settings of the protection scheme are analyzed and calculated through a fast Fourier transform algorithm, and the stability of the control strategy is discussed by building a small signal model in MATLAB. Different operation modes such as the grid-connected mode, the islanding mode, and the transitions between these two modes are ensured. A Microgrid model is established in PSCAD and the analysis results show that a Microgrid system can be effectively protected against different faults such as the single phase to ground and the three phase faults in both the grid-connected and islanded operation modes.