• Title/Summary/Keyword: Disaster statistics

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A Study on the Automation Algorithm to Identify the Geological Lineament using Spatial Statistical Analysis (공간통계분석을 이용한 지질구조선 자동화 알고리즘 연구)

  • Kwon, O-Il;Kim, Woo-Seok;Kim, Jin-Hwan;Kim, Gyo-Won
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.367-376
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    • 2017
  • Recently, tunneling under the seabed is becoming increasingly common in many countries. In Korea, there are proposals to tunnel from the mainland to Jeju Island. Safe construction requires geologic structures such as faults to be characterized during the design and construction phase; however, unlike on land, such structures are difficult to survey seabed. This study aims to develop an algorithm that uses geostatistics to automatically derive large-scale geological structures on the seabed. The most important considerations in this method are the optimal size of the moving window, the optimal type of spatial statistics, and determination of the optimal percentile standard. Finally, the optimal analysis algorithm was developed using the R program, which comprehensibly presents variations in spatial statistics. The program allows the type and percentile standard of spatial statistics to be specified by the user, thus enabling an analysis of the geological structure according to variations in spatial statistics. The geotechnical defense-training algorithm shows that a large, linear geological lineament is best visualized using a $3{\times}3$ moving window and a 10% upper standard based on the moving variance value and fractile. In particular, setting the fractile criterion to the upper 0.5% almost entirely eliminates the error values from the contour image.

A Study on the Establishment of the Framework Apportion Ratio in Calculating Damages due to Accidental Fires (화재의 실화배상책임액 산정을 위한 프레임워크 수립에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Kwang-Suk;Park, Chung-Hwa
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.190-203
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    • 2019
  • Since the amendment of the Accidental Fire Liability Act in 2009, interested parties in accidental fire liability contracts have settled issues associated with the estimation of each other's liability amounts through lawsuits. As fire accidents are complex in nature, it is difficult to distinguish between direct and additional damages caused by extended combustion while calculating liability amounts for accidental fires. Additionally, there is an increasing need for establishing and using a framework that includes validity and reliability. To establish such a framework for estimating the liability amounts in case of an accidental fire, this study suggests a novel categorization of fires to be applied to the framework. This will be organized by the subjects of the liability of accidental fires, and quantified and probabilistic processed qualitative items through the methods applied to quantification (AMEA/FTA) based on the fire statistics data published by the government and the previous researchers' research application data and results.

Local Imbalance of Emergency Medical Services(EMS): Analyses on 119 EMS Activity Reports of Busan (구급서비스의 지역 불균형: 부산시 119 구급활동일지 분석)

  • Lee, Dalbyul
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.161-173
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed local imbalances in the supply and demand of emergency medical services in Busan using the 119 emergency activity reports of the Busan Fire & Disaster Headquarters. The data for EMS activity reports in 2017 was converted into Jimgyegu units. The spatial distribution of the indicators representing the local imbalance of emergency demand and supply (number of reports, number of reports relative to the population, average coefficient of variation and outlier of on-site arrival time, and number of dispatches outside the jurisdiction) was analyzed using Hotspot analysis of GIS spatial statistics analysis. As a result of the analysis, the hot spot area and the cold spot area where both supply and demand of emergency services are concentrated were clearly distinguished. This means that the supply and demand of emergency services in Busan are locally unbalanced. In particular, there was a difference in the demand and supply of emergency services in the original downtown and its surrounding areas, and in the outskirts of Busan.

Analysis on the Characteristics of Hazardous Chemical Transport Vehicle Accidents in Korea (국내 유해화학물질 운송차량사고 특성분석)

  • Jeong, Jae-uk;Lee, Sang-jae
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.310-317
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: In this study, the characteristics of hazardous chemical transport vehicle accidents during the last six years from 2014 to 2019 was analyzed. This study is to prevent chemical transport accidents. Method: Using statistics from the Ministry of Environment, chemical transport vehicle accidents were classified into accident type, accident cause and vehicle type. Result: Of the total 506 cases chemical accidents, 105 cases were caused by transport vehicle. More than 20 percent of total accidents were reported. Most of the accidents were caused by spill·leak. The main causes of the accident were traffic accidents(49 cases) and management negligence(29 cases). This was more than 74% of all transport vehicle accidents. By vehicle type, 57 cases(54%) were most common in tank lorries, followed by trucks (39 cases, 37%) and trailers (9 cases, 9%). Conclusion: In order to prevent accident of transport vehicle, thorough inspection of the transport vehicle is required and safe operation of the driver. In addition, the government needs to expand real-time monitoring of transport vehicles and comprehensively manage different systems by the relevant ministries.

Statistical Characteristics of Pier-Scour Equations for Scour Depth Calculation (교각세굴심 산정 공식의 통계적 특성)

  • Lee, Ho Jin;Chang, Hyung Joon;Heo, Tae Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2019
  • In recent years, the occurrence of localized torrential rain has increased due to the increase in heavy rainfall and massive typhoons caused by abnormal weather. As a result, the flow rate of small and medium-sized rivers in Korea is rapidly increasing, affecting the safety of bridges and increasing the risk of scour. However, the domestic bridge construction technology does not reflect the watershed characteristics of domestic rivers because the bridge scour depth calculation formula developed overseas is used to calculate the bridge scour depth. Therefore, this study is a basic study for prevention of bridge damage according to scouring phenomenon, and a comparative analysis was performed between the experimental data measured through hydraulic model test and the scour depth formulas applied in Korea. In addition, the statistical analysis between experimental data and scour depth formula shows that Coleman's (1971) formula estimates the best scour depth. The results of this study are expected to be used to calculate more accurate bridge scour depth in river design and bridge design.

Analysis of Utilization and Perception of Special Weather Reports for Climate Change Adaptation: Focus on Dryness Advisory and Warning (기후변화적응을 위한 기상특보 인지도 및 활용도 분석: 건조특보를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Su-Jin;Kim, Eun-Byul;Jung, Woo-Sik;Kim, Baek-Jo;Park, Jong-Kil
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.1121-1130
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to find the perception and utilization of the citizen about the dryness watch warning (DWW) among special weather reports. For this we have made up a descriptive questionnaire including the perception, utilization of special weather reports. Using the SPSS 17.0 program, descriptive statistics, t-test, ANOVA and Scheffe test were used to analyze the collected data. The results are as follows; The perception of DWW is measured by 4 point Likert scale and the average is $15.97{\pm}3.70$ (percentile=57.0). This value shows that the awareness level is not that high and according to the occupation, college students show the lowest awareness and housewives show the highest awareness. According to the age, the teens and twenties show the lowest awareness and fifties and sixties show the highest awareness. Although the perception of the teens and college students are rather poor, there were many positive answers that it is necessary to establish the advanced disaster prevention plan according to the questionnaire about the utilization of DWW. Therefore, if we come up with an effective plan to improve the perception than we can expect a large-effect in terms of fire and forest fire prevention. The perception of DWW can be improved by providing weather information and weather related education program on TV or internet which have the high level of preference. Also, it is necessary to provide online and offline program of advertising education and disaster management education through the weather forecast bureau which is the host organization of delivering weather information.

Landslide Triggering Rainfall Threshold Based on Landslide Type (사면파괴 유형별 강우 한계선 설정)

  • Lee, Ji-Sung;Kim, Yun-Tae;Song, Young-Karb;Jang, Dae-Heung
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.30 no.12
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    • pp.5-14
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    • 2014
  • Most of slope failures have taken place between June and September in Korea, which cause a considerable damage to society. Rainfall intensity and duration are very significant triggering factors for landslide. In this paper, landslide-triggering rainfall threshold consisting of rainfall intensity-duration (I-D) was proposed. For this study, total 255 landslides were collected in landslide inventory during 1999 to 2012 from NDMI (National Disaster Management Institute), various reports, newspapers and field survey. And most of the required rainfall data were collected from KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration). The collected landslides were classified into three categories: debris flow, shallow landslide and unconfirmed. A rainfall threshold was proposed based on landslide type using statistical method such as quantile-regression method. Its validation was carried out based on 2013 landslide database. The proposed rainfall threshold was also compared with previous rainfall thresholds. The proposed landslide-triggering rainfall thresholds could be used in landslide early warning system in Korea.

Study of the Relationship between the East Asian Marginal SST and the Two Different Types of El Niño (서로 다른 두 유형의 엘니뇨와 동아시아 인근 해역 표층 온도 상관성 연구)

  • Yoon, Jin-Hee;Yeh, Sang-Wook
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 2009
  • In this study we define the two different types of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$, i.e., the eastern Pacific El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ (i.e., EP-El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$) versus the central Pacific El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ (i.e., CP-El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$), during the boreal summer (June-July-August, JJA) and winter (December-January-February, DJF) using the two NINO indices in the tropical Pacific. The two different types of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ significantly differ in terms of the location of the maximum anomalous sea surface temperature (SST) in the tropical Pacific. The CP-El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ has been observed more frequently during recent decades compared to the EP-El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$. In addition, our analysis indicates that the statistics of CP-El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ during JJA is closely associated with the warming trend in the central equatorial Pacific. We also examine the different responses of the East Asian marginal SST to the two types of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ during JJA and DJF. The CP-El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ during both JJA and DJF is concurrent with warm SST anomalies around the Korean Peninsula including the East China Sea, which is in contrast to the EP-El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$. Such different responses are associated with the difference in tropics/mid-latitude teleconnections via atmosphere between the two types of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$. Furthermore, our results indicate that atmospheric diabatic forcing in relation to the precipitation variability is different in the tropical Pacific between the EP-El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ and the CP-El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$.

A Study on the Optimal Safety Measurement Classification System by Correcting and Deriving Statistical Items for External Causes of Death (통계청 사망외인 통계항목군의 수정도출을 통한 최적의 안전측정 분류체계(안) 연구)

  • Park, Hyung-joo
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.535-543
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    • 2020
  • The KSA caused an error in deriving the statistical measurement items due to the misconfiguration of the safety variables and sub-modules that constitute the safety statistics framework for external causes of death, and pathogenesis, without considering the academic classification system of the field and area of the disaster/accident. By naming it as a mechanism, it was analyzed that the result of poor statistical validity has arrived. Therefore, in this study, by changing the safety parameters according to the WHO safety definition and setting the sub-modules appropriately, the categories of falls, drowning accidents, and accidents exposed to inanimate mechanical forces are classified as accidents at industrial sites and work in daily life. As a result, by systematically re-establishing the complex group of statistical items of the NSO by deriving the field of disasters/accidents according to the nature of the source of external causes of death and setting the relevant domains academically, statistical validity gets better and It is anticipated to play an important role in determining the direction of safe investment.

An analysis of Changes of International Terrorisms of IS (IS테러를 중심으로 한 국제테러의 변화양상 분석)

  • Oh, Seiyouen
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.429-435
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzes the changes of international terrorisms which are caused by IS through literature investigation, statistics and case analysis, and gives an understanding about recent trend of the terrorisms and aggressive method. Moreover, this study is for presenting a basic standard about an effective counterplan of the terrorisms. The results of this study are summarized as follows. First of all, there is a change of terrorism that homegrown terrorism grows into wolf-pack terrorism. Second, the terrorists show psychological terror by expanding their targets and using brutal and indiscriminate terrorism attacks. Third, the terrorists use networks of internet and SNS as a resource and as a tool for publicity activities of their groups. Forth, the terrorists have form of global organization through ties of other terrorists like middle-east or Africa.