• Title/Summary/Keyword: Disaster Risk Level

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Dynamic risk assessment of water inrush in tunnelling and software development

  • Li, L.P.;Lei, T.;Li, S.C.;Xu, Z.H.;Xue, Y.G.;Shi, S.S.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.57-81
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    • 2015
  • Water inrush and mud outburst always restricts the tunnel constructions in mountain area, which becomes a major geological barrier against the development of underground engineering. In view of the complex disaster-causing mechanism and difficult quantitative predictions of water inrush and mud outburst, several theoretical methods are adopted to realize dynamic assessment of water inrush in the progressive process of tunnel construction. Concerning both the geological condition and construction situation, eleven risk factors are quantitatively described and an assessment system is developed to evaluate the water inrush risk. In the static assessment, the weights of eight risk factors about the geological condition are determined using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Each factor is scored by experts and the synthesis scores are weighted. The risk level is ultimately determined based on the scoring outcome which is derived from the sum of products of weights and comprehensive scores. In the secondary assessment, the eight risk factors in static assessment and three factors about construction situation are quantitatively analyzed using fuzzy evaluation method. Subordinate levels and weight of factors are prepared and then used to calculate the comprehensive subordinate degree and risk level. In the dynamic assessment, the classical field of the eleven risk factors is normalized by using the extension evaluation method. From the input of the matter-element, weights of risk factors are determined and correlation analysis is carried out to determine the risk level. This system has been applied to the dynamic assessment of water inrush during construction of the Yuanliangshan tunnel of Yuhuai Railway. The assessment results are consistent with the actual excavation, which verifies the rationality and feasibility of the software. The developed system is believed capable to be back-up and applied for risk assessment of water inrush in the underground engineering construction.

Analysis of Fire Scenarios and Evaluation of Risks that might Occur in Operation Stage of CAES Storage Cavern (CAES 저장 공동 운영단계에서 발생 가능한 리스크 평가 및 화재 시나리오 분석)

  • Yoon, Yong-Kyun;Ju, Eun-Hye;Seo, Saem-Mul;Choi, Byung-Hee
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2015
  • This study focuses on assessing risks which might occur in operation stage of CAES storage cavern and analyzing fire scenarios for the risk that have been assessed with highest risk level. Risks in operation stage were categorized into upper risk group and lower risk group. Components of upper risk group are technical risk, facility risk and natural disaster risk. Lower risk group is composed of 11 sub-risks. 20 experts were chosen to survey questionnaires. ANP model was applied to analyze the relative importance of 11 sub-risks. Results of risk analysis were compared with risk criterion to set risk priorities, and the highest risk was determined to be 'occurrence of the fire within the management opening'. Three fire scenarios were developed for the highest risk level and FDS (Fire dynamics Simulator) was used to analyze these scenarios. No. 3 scenario which air blows from tunnel into outside atmosphere represented that a rate of smoke spread was the fastest among three fire scenarios and a smoke descended most quickly below the limit line of breathing. Thus, No. 3 scenario turned out to be the most unfavorable condition when operating staffs were evacuated from access tunnel.

Assessment of Earthquake Disaster Risk in Seoul Metropolitan Area (서울지역 지진 재해 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.5 no.4 s.19
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2005
  • The principal basic concepts of aseismic design minimize damage of human-life and have little probability during life of structures. For detailed understanding of the design, the best reasonable countermeasure can be possible equally the smallest damage of human-life and economic loss. As a result, it can be achieved by notion of not structure-centered but city-centered, the notion is actualized by development of a macro-level evaluation. A seismic damage between city and country is different. And the larger the city then, the greater the loss by rather collateral hazards than collapse of structures. Hence, the macro-evaluation of an earthquake disaster is suitable for an old city where is center of political and economic activity, and is concentration of population and infrastructure. This study aims to develop comprehensive earthquake desaster risk index, and assesses relative earthquake risk of six zones in Seoul metropolitan area.

Pre-resilience Group Activities Against a Forthcoming Big Flood Disaster in Tokyo Below-Sea-Level Area

  • Ichiko, Taro;Kato, Takaarki;Ishikawa, Kinji
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.3-8
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    • 2011
  • In April 2010, Japan Cabinet Office has published the first countermeasure report for severe flood disasters. This report showed various flood-disaster scenarios and factors that widened damages. One of important suggestions was to transmit precious information for long-distance evacuation. So far, local municipalities have made Flood Hazard Map to inform resident risk and evacuation. In this paper, cognition and effectiveness of a flood hazard map in the down ARAKAWA river Tokyo were measured by social questionnaire survey. In conclusion, there were 3 factors to effect validity of a flood hazard map. There were (1) commitment to their neighborhood organization, (2) experience of Kathleen typhoon in 1947 and (3) level of using targeted river. As results, a logical diagram about a flood hazard map perception was drawn and discussed from a view of community-based approach.

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Effects of the borehole drainage for roof aquifer on local stress in underground mining

  • Shao, Jianli;Zhang, Qi;Zhang, Wenquan;Wang, Zaiyong;Wu, Xintao
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.479-490
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    • 2021
  • Pre-drainage of groundwater in the roof aquifer by boreholes is the main method for prevention of roof water disaster, and the drop in the water level during the drainage leads to the variation of the local stress in the overlying strata. Based on a multitude of boreholes for groundwater drainage from aquifer above the 1303 mining face of Longyun Coal Mine, theoretical analysis and numerical simulation are used to investigate the local stress variation in the process of borehole drainage. The results show that due to the drop in the water level of the roof aquifer during the drainage, the stress around the borehole gradually evolved. From the center of the borehole to the outside, a stress-relaxed zone, a stress-elevated zone, and a stress-recovered zone are sequentially formed. Along with the expansion of drainage influence, the stress peak in the stress-elevated zone also moves to the outside. When the radius of influence develops to the maximum, the stress peak position no longer moves outward. When the coal mining face advances to the drainage influence range, the abutment pressure in front of the mining face is superimposed with the high local stress around the borehole, which increases the risk of stress concentration. The present study provides a reference for the stress concentration caused by borehole drainage, which can be potentially utilized in the optimal arrangement of drainage boreholes in underground mining.

Cause Analysis and Improvement Suggestion for Flood Accident in Dorimcheon - Focused on the Tripping and Isolation Accidents (도림천에서 발생한 고립 및 실족사고의 원인분석을 통한 개선방안 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Su;Jeon, Jong-Hyeong;Kim, Tai-Hoon;Kim, Hyunju
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the causes of flood accidents, such as isolation and lost footing accidents in Dorimcheon, to provide legal and institutional improvements. For cause analysis, Field Investigation, Stakeholder Interview, Report, manual, Law et al. Review, Analysis of water level change characteristics, automatic alarm issuance standard level analysis, and evacuation time according to river control were evaluated. Dorimcheon has the characteristics of a typical urban river, which is disadvantageous in terms of water control. In addition, the risk of flood accidents is high because the section where fatal accidents occur forms sharply curved channels. Tripping and isolation accidents occur in the floodplain watch and evacuation stage, which is the stage before the flood watch and warning is issued. Because floodplain evacuation is issued only when the water level rises to the floodplain, an immediate response according to the rainfall forecast is essential. Furthermore, considering that the rate of water level rise is up to 2.62 cm/min in Sillimgyo 3 and Gwanakdorimgyo, sufficient evacuation time is not secured after the floodplain watch is issued. Considering that fatal accidents occurred 0.46 m below the standard water level for the flood watch, complete control is very important, such as blocking the entry of rivers to prevent accidents. Based on these results, four improvement measures were suggested, and it is expected to contribute to the prevention of Tripping and Isolation Accidents occurring in rivers.

A Study on Types of Disasters Affecting City Safety (도시안전에 영향을 미치는 재난유형에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Yun-Cheul
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2019
  • Modern society is transforming into an extreme climate environment. This is fatal to humans and ecosystems and is expected to cause large-scale damage. As this spokesman, natural disasters are increasing as this global average temperature rises. Social and economic damage by this tendency is also increasing. In addition, the frequency and scale of social disasters are increasing. Damage to the living area due to the damage of the infrastructure due to the increased reliance on infrastructure has been increasingly enlarged. In this research, various disasters such as natural disasters and social disasters analyze the impact on urban safety. A local autonomous entity K Priority Management Establish a kind of disaster, prepare crisis management manual, and use it as a basic material of education / training.

Earthquake hazard and risk assessment of a typical Natural Gas Combined Cycle Power Plant (NGCCPP) control building

  • A. Can Zulfikar;Seyhan Okuyan Akcan;Ali Yesilyurt;Murat Eroz;Tolga Cimili
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.581-591
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    • 2023
  • North Anatolian Fault Zone is tectonically active with recent earthquakes (Mw7.6 1999-Kocaeli and Mw7.2 1999-Düzce earthquakes) and it passes through Marmara region, which is highly industrialized, densely populated and economically important part of Turkey. Many power plants, located in Marmara region, are exposed to high seismic hazard. In this study, open source OpenQuake software has been used for the probabilistic earthquake hazard analysis of Marmara region and risk assessment for the specified energy facility. The SHARE project seismic zonation model has been used in the analysis with the regional sources, NGA GMPEs and site model logic trees. The earthquake hazard results have been compared with the former and existing earthquake resistant design regulations in Turkey, TSC 2007 and TBSCD 2018. In the scope of the study, the seismic hazard assessment for a typical natural gas combined cycle power plant located in Marmara region has been achieved. The seismic risk assessment has been accomplished for a typical control building located in the power plant using obtained seismic hazard results. The structural and non-structural fragility functions and a consequence model have been used in the seismic risk assessment. Based on the seismic hazard level with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years, considered for especially these type of critical structures, the ratios of structural and non-structural loss to the total building cost were obtained as 8.8% and 45.7%, respectively. The results of the study enable the practical seismic risk assessment of the critical facility located on different regions.

Verification of Ground Subsidence Risk Map Based on Underground Cavity Data Using DNN Technique (DNN 기법을 활용한 지하공동 데이터기반의 지반침하 위험 지도 작성)

  • Han Eung Kim;Chang Hun Kim;Tae Geon Kim;Jeong Jun Park
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.334-343
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: In this study, the cavity data found through ground cavity exploration was combined with underground facilities to derive a correlation, and the ground subsidence prediction map was verified based on the AI algorithm. Method: The study was conducted in three stages. The stage of data investigation and big data collection related to risk assessment. Data pre-processing steps for AI analysis. And it is the step of verifying the ground subsidence risk prediction map using the AI algorithm. Result: By analyzing the ground subsidence risk prediction map prepared, it was possible to confirm the distribution of risk grades in three stages of emergency, priority, and general for Busanjin-gu and Saha-gu. In addition, by arranging the predicted ground subsidence risk ratings for each section of the road route, it was confirmed that 3 out of 61 sections in Busanjin-gu and 7 out of 68 sections in Sahagu included roads with emergency ratings. Conclusion: Based on the verified ground subsidence risk prediction map, it is possible to provide citizens with a safe road environment by setting the exploration section according to the risk level and conducting investigation.

Safety management service using voice chatbot for risks response of field workers (현장 작업자 위험대응을 위한 음성챗봇을 이용한 안전관리 서비스)

  • Yun-Hee Kang;Chang-Su Park;Yong-Hak Lee;Dong-Ho Kim;Eui-Gu Kim;Myung-Ju Kang
    • Journal of Platform Technology
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 2023
  • Recently, industrial accidents have continued to increase due to the industrialization, and worker safety management is recognized as essential to reduce losses due to hazardous factors at work places. To manage the safety of workers, it is required to apply customized safety management artificial intelligence technology that takes into account the characteristics of industrial sites, and a service for real-time risk detection and response to workers depending on the situation based on safety accident types and risk analysis for each task and process. The proposed safety management service consists of worker devices to acquire sensor data, edge devices to collect from IoT-based sensors, and a voice chatbot to support workers' disaster response. The voice chatbot plays a major role in interacting with workers at disaster sites to respond to risks. This paper focuses on real-time risk response using an IoT-based system and voice chatbot on a server for work safety according to the worker's situation. A Scenario-based voice chatbot is used to process responses at the edge level to provide safety management services.

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