• 무역학회지
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• 제46권5호
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• pp.131-152
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• 2021

Political connections may facilitate firms' exporting activities, particularly in developing countries, because politically connected firms may be more likely to receive informational and financial support, allowing them to overcome barriers to export. We test this hypothesis using a unique, firm-level dataset from traditional apparel and textile clusters in the Red River Delta Region in Northern Vietnam. We find that political connection of certain types increases the chance of receiving valuable information or financial support from the government. Moreover, those firms that have access to government information have higher chances of being direct exporters. However, firms that receive financial support from the government are not necessarily engaged in exporting activities. Although politically connected firms are more willing to export, they do not necessarily engage in more exporting activities than firms without such connections. These results suggest that the misallocation of information and financial resources to politically connected but insufficiently productive firms leads to a failure to promote exporting activities. In contrast, political connection increases the chance of importing materials and parts, possibly because high productivity is necessary for exporting, but not for importing.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제46권1호
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• pp.151-161
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• 2019

Ashwagandha (Withania sominifera Duanal) is an important medicinal herb with increased demand after discovering its anti-stress and sex stimulating properties that are attributed to the presence of biologically active alkaloid compounds. The aim of this study was to elucidate a proper agro technological package that ensures the optimum growth of Ashwagandha to obtain the finest quality without degrading the pharmacologically active constituents. Mixtures of organic and inorganic fertilizers were combined with direct seeding and transplanted as four different treatments in this study. The fresh and dry weights of the tubers were recorded up to 12 months starting from two months after sowing (MAS) while the shoot height, root length, number of leaves, fresh and dry weights of the shoot and the root with a shoot ratio of up to 6 MAS were determined. The results revealed that the growth of Ashwagandha was not affected significantly by the method of planting, type of fertilizer or their combinations during most of the harvests. However, tubers harvested at 6 MAS had the highest recorded dry tuber weight per plant in all four treatments compared to the early harvests where two direct seeded treatments had the best results. Comparison of the phytochemical compounds showed that direct seeding with organic fertilizer had the highest recorded values for alkaloid and withaferine A contents with a lower percentage of fiber compared to the treatments with inorganic fertilizer. In conclusion, direct seeding with organic fertilizer and tubers harvested at 6 MAS are recommended as the best cultivation conditions and harvesting stage to obtain high quality tubers of Ashwagandha, respectively.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.307-322
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• 2012

본 논문은 패널 단위근, 패널 공적분, 패널 인과성 검정, 패널 FMOLS(fully modified OLS) 기법을 이용하여 한국의 대 동아시아 수출 결정요인을 분석하였다. 분석결과 변수들이 패널 단위근 검정을 통하여 단위근을 가지며 1차 차분 후 안정적인 자료로 전환됨을 알 수 있었으며, 패널 공적분 통계량 모두 공적분 관계가 존재하지 않는다는 귀무가설을 기각함으로써 적어도 하나의 공적분 벡터가 존재함을 알 수 있었다. 다음으로 패널 벡터오차수정모형을 도입하여 동태적 인과성 분석을 실시하였다. GDP변동이 수출변동에 영향을 미치고 수출변동이 GDP변동에 영향을 미침으로써 수출과 GDP 간에 쌍방적 인과관계가 존재함을 알 수 있었다. 그리고 ODI변동의 오차수정항 계수가 수출변동의 오차수정항 계수보다 약 1.65배 크게 나타나 ODI의 불균형에서 균형으로 조정속도가 수출보다 1.7배 정도 빠름을 확인할 수 있었다. 이와 더불어 패널 GM FMOLS 결과 환율이 1% 상승했을 때 수출이 0.28% 감소하고, GDP가 1% 증가했을 때 수출은 0.77% 증가하고, 해외직접투자가 1% 증가했을 때 수출은 0.11% 증가함을 알 수 있었다.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.175-196
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• 2011

개도국이 경제성장을 시도할 때 일반적으로 유휴생산요소들이 존재한다. 이런 상황에서 수출, FDI와 내수생산이 고용증가에 미치는 영향에 대해 중요한 경제적 함의를 Myint(1958)의 잉여분출설과 Lewis(1954)모형은 제공한다. 이 논문은 이 두 이론을 바탕으로 하여 수출과 FDI를 통해서 빠른 경제성장을 이룩하고 있는 중국경제에 적용하여 수출, FDI와 내수생산이 고용에 미치는 효과에 대해서 실증분석 하였다. 먼저 Cobb-Douglas생산함수를 통해 추정방정식을 유도하여 첫째 수출, FDI와 내수생산이 고용이 미치는 효과, 둘째 수출과 FDI증가가 기술습득을 촉진하고 이것이 노동생산성향상을 통해 고용을 촉진하는 효과를 추정하였다. 추정결과 중국은 내수생산이 고용효과가 가장 컸고 그 다음 FDI였으며 수출은 그다지 큰 고용효과가 없는 것으로 나타났다. 기술습득에 의한 고용효과는 수출보다는 FDI가 더 실질적인 것으로 나타났다. 이제 중국은 고용을 창출하여 내부불균형문제를 해결하기 위해서는 수출보다는 유입된 FDI를 내수생산에 활용하는 것이 더 유효하리라고 판단된다.

• 무역학회지
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• 제41권3호
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• pp.43-62
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• 2016

본 연구는 B2C 온라인 수출의 특성을 도출하여 이를 해외사례와 비교하고 수출확대 요인을 규명하였다. 초보 오프라인 수출기업 45,267개사와 초보 온라인 수출기업 205개사에 대한 실증 분석 결과 온라인 기업의 수출 품목 수 및 국가 수가 오프라인 기업에 비해 더 많았고 수출생존율도 온라인기업에서 더 높은 것으로 나타났다. 또한 품목다변화 보다는 시장다변화가 온라인 수출증가에 더 크게 기여한 것으로 분석되었다. 한편 중력모형 분석결과 온라인 수출이 오프라인 수출에 비해 거리장벽을 60% 완화시키는 것으로 나타났으며 FTA체결의 수출증대 효과도 온라인 수출에서 더 뚜렷한 것으로 확인되었다.

• Asian Journal of Business Environment
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.37-44
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• 2018

Purpose - The artificial intelligence industry plays an increasingly significant role in stimulating the development of United States of America's economy. On account of this background, this paper attempts to explore the impact of artificial intelligence industry on United States of America's macroeconomy. Research design, data, and methodology - This paper mainly focuses on the impact of artificial intelligence industry on GDP, employment, real income, import, export and foreign direct investment. Furthermore, the Phillips-Perron test and Canonical cointegrating regression will be employed to examine the impact of artificial intelligence industry on United States of America's macroeconomy with a sample form 2010-Q1 to 2017-Q4. Results - Via the empirical analysis, the results reveal that the artificial intelligence industry has a positive effect on United States of America's GDP, employment, real income, export and foreign direct investment. Conversely, the artificial intelligence industry has a negative effect on United States of America's import. Conclusions - In summary, the impact of artificial intelligence industry on United States of America's macroeconomy is positive and significant in statistics. Therefore, the government of United States of America should put more input into artificial intelligence industry.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.1217-1230
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• 2021

Using a multinomial logit model with the panel-data set of Vietnam manufacturing firms, this paper investigates the impacts of foreign direct investment (FDI) - small and medium enterprises (SMEs) linkages and other factors on SMEs' participation in the global value chain (GVC). We consider GVC firms are those engaging in any of the three modes including (i) using domestic inputs to export (D2E), (ii) using imported inputs to produce for the domestic market (I2P), (iii) using imported inputs to export (I2E). We discover that FDI-SME linkages statistically encourage Vietnamese SMEs to integrate into the GVC via I2P and I2E, while no statistical association between FDI-SME linkage and D2E participation is found. GVCs participation likelihood is also positively correlated with the introduction of new product introduction. The establishment of firms' production facilities in industrial zones and foreign ownership are both reported to be significantly decisive factors to SMEs' decisions on GVC participation. Besides, there is a strong association between firms' attributes, i.e. employment, capital intensity as well as financial access, and their participation in the GVC. Local governance quality (proxied by the Provincial Competitiveness Index) and the share of skilled labor at the province-level can facilitate firms' integration into GVCs, while greater market concentration may be a hurdle to such potential.

• 무역학회지
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• 제44권1호
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• pp.115-127
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• 2019

In recent years, the Indian market has gained worldwide attention in the global trading business environment. Korean companies are also seeking to enter the indian market, and their foreign trade investment strategy is based on the Global Value Chain(GVC). In this study, we examine difference from traditional investment strategy to GVC investment strategy in the age of 4IR(fourth industrial revolution) through using POLS model(pooled least square), FEM(fixed effect model), and REM(randomized effect model). Based on the analysis of 84 monthly data related to the FDI and international trade effects between Korea and India, the following results were found. As Korean companies increased their share of export to the Indian market and export to the Indian market, the number of new companies directly invested in overseas market increased. However, the amount of import into the Indian market was relatively low in relation to the number of new companies directly in overseas markets. As a result of analyzing the investment strategy of the GVC in India, the GVC has shifted from manufacturing to process upgrading to enter the GVC on Smile Curve.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.169-183
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• 2021

Purpose - This paper analyzes the effect of the agricultural export market for Korea's new southern countries in consideration of logistics efficiency. In order to expand Korean agricultural exports, the logistics performance index, national income, per capita income, consumer price index, distance and FTA are included. Through empirical analysis, the impact of logistics efficiency on Korean agricultural exports is derived and measures are proposed to expand exports in the future. Design/methodology - The analytical model of this study takes into account the import demand factors of the new southern countries for Korean agricultural exports. A research model was established based on prior research based on the gravity model, which is widely used in international trade effect analysis. In particular, logistics efficiency measures the effect on Korean agricultural exports using the logistics performance index and examines the effect by deriving factors for export expansion. Findings - The main findings of this study can be summarized as follows: The higher the logistics efficiency of the new southern countries in exporting Korean agricultural products, the more directly they have an effect on expanding exports. In addition, it was analyzed that the expansion of Korean agricultural exports has a positive effect on the other countries' national income, per capita income, consumer price index, population, and FTA. Based on these results, the importance of efficient logistics management in agricultural exports has been emphasized. Originality/value - There are not many studies on the export of agricultural products by logistics efficiency. However, prior studies that have adapted to manufacturing and other areas suggest that logistics efficiency has a direct effect on exports. This study suggests that Korean agricultural products are directly effective in exporting to new southern countries in terms of logistics efficiency. This can be an important time point in recognizing that logistics capabilities are important to ensure new books and the safety of agricultural products.

• 경영과정보연구
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• 제37권2호
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• pp.87-108
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• 2018

본 연구에서는 방글라데시 의류(ready made garment) 산업과 그 수출 시장을 분석하고 장래에 수출시장으로서의 가능성을 계산하였다. 먼저 방글라데시 의류산업의 수출 현황을 실제 무역데이터를 이용하여 분석하였다. 수출상대국과의 무역량과 방향을 이용하여 무역구조를 제시한 후 중력모형을 이용하여 38개 수출국에 대해 수출결정 요인을 탐색하였다. 계량분석 모형으로는 패널데이터에 대한 회귀분석 모형을 이용하였으며 고정효과모형, 확률효과모형을 제시하고 하우스만 검정을 통해 모델선택을 다루었다. 이러한 분석으로부터 중력이론에서 제시하는 수출대상국의 경제규모, 거리 뿐 아니라 환율과 인플레이션 등도 수출 결정에서 중요한 변수임을 확인하였으며, 수출결정식의 고정효과를 추정하여 수출 상대국들의 잠재적 시장크기를 추정할 수 있었다. 그 결과 가장 유망한 수출시장은 미국과 일본임을 발견하였다. 그러나 Sri Lanka, Pakistan, New Zealand, Egypt들은 이미 잠재수출량을 초과하였음을 보였다. 또한 현재 잠재적 수출시장의 크기에 비해 수출이 적은 국가의 경우 잠재시장 규모와 현실 수출 규모 사이에 수렴하고 있는 경향이 있는가를 측정하였으며 수렴률을 제시하였다. 마지막으로, 만일 방글라데시가 이 분야 수출을 증가시키고자 한다면 이러한 결과에 유의하여 시장 진출 전략을 수립하여야 함을 지적하였다.